Groups | Search | Server Info | Login | Register


Groups > sci.electronics.design > #736903

Re: More semiconductor trouble coming?

From Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org>
Newsgroups sci.electronics.design
Subject Re: More semiconductor trouble coming?
Date 2025-10-18 17:31 +1100
Organization A noiseless patient Spider
Message-ID <10cvc98$1k69e$2@dont-email.me> (permalink)
References (5 earlier) <82dvek5tmh4vpo2neemksklmg07gs914ta@4ax.com> <10coe7q$3ohto$1@dont-email.me> <l0hvek5j7j63gv3o0bbsms57mkd78bkmf6@4ax.com> <10cq9jm$8jn8$1@dont-email.me> <pp25fkl81fm3s92ru0tiuu1b0jfgoeufp3@4ax.com>

Show all headers | View raw


On 18/10/2025 5:36 am, john larkin wrote:
> On Thu, 16 Oct 2025 08:15:48 GMT, Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid>
> wrote:
> 
>>> john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com>wrote:
>>>> On Wed, 15 Oct 2025 15:22:32 GMT, Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid>
>>> wrote:
>>>
>>>>> john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com>wrote:
>>>>>> On Wed, 15 Oct 2025 07:40:16 GMT, Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid>
>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>> bitrex <user@example.net>wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 10/14/2025 11:54 AM, Jan Panteltje wrote:
>>>>>>>>> john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com>wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On Tue, 14 Oct 2025 13:03:12 GMT, Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid>
>>>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> In a reaction to the Dutch government taking control of Xperia:
>>>>>>>>>> https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/13/dutch-government-takes-control-of-chinese-owned-chipmaker-nexperia.html
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> China now has issued an export stop of Xperia chips:
>>>>>>>>>> https://news.bloomberglaw.com/international-trade/china-puts-export-controls-on-nexperia-after-dutch-takeover
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Which chips and semiconductors does Xperia make?:
>>>>>>>>>>    https://www.nexperia.com/
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Are you affected?
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> We use 6 Nexperia parts, but none are especially unique. Diodes
>>>>>>>>> mostly, one cmos schmitt trigger.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Well, we have elections in the Netherlands on October 29,
>>>>>>>>>> so who knows what the next goverment will do..
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Should be interesting. Things seem to be oscillating rightward lately,
>>>>>>>>> common-sense, anti-immigration, more oil and gas.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Yes, and there is a strong anti-Russia jive.
>>>>>>>> Especially in the EU from it's head Ursula von der Leyen (Von der Lying I say).
>>>>>>>> She was minister of defense  before that in Germany.
>>>>>>>> It is all about putting money into defense now
>>>>>>>> Trump wants war in Europe so US can sell more weapons, F35 ..
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>    
>>>>>>>>> Wiki says that you have 15 political parties! This parlimentary thing,
>>>>>>>>> with governments falling, no confidence votes, snap elections, forming
>>>>>>>>> coalitions, sounds chaotic to me. As it must have sounded to the guys
>>>>>>>>> who wrote our Constitution.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Better more parties than 2 always blocking each other?
>>>>>>>> Or one big one for the people, like in China?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> France also has a problem, Macron does not want to go, wants reforms.
>>>>>>>> I have made up my mind already what to vote for..
>>>>>>>> I do want better relations with Russia.
>>>>>>>> But will probably a minority vote.
>>>>>>>> Russofobia is fueled by the current EU head von der Lying.
>>>>>>>> Few weeks ago she was complaining her flight was delayed by Russians messing with GPS and that the pilots needed charts
>>>>>>>> Bit strange, as there is radar everywhere here and there
>>>>>>>>    (pilot to airport 'please give me a heading to your airport).
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Unfortunately  https://www.flightradar24.com/50.99,-0.31/6  showed it was all bull and the plane kept sending its GPS
>>>>>>>> positiion all the time
>>>>>>>> it just had a small delay waiting for busy airport traffic.
>>>>>>>>    https://www.msn.com/en-xl/news/other/bulgaria-u-turns-on-claim-moscow-jammed-gps-of-von-der-leyen-s-plane/ar-AA1LShRL
>>>>>>>> Where will it go?
>>>>>>>> WW3?
>>>>>>>> Or will ths USA now just fall apart into different states / countries?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Each state already has widely different laws, it would just mean doing
>>>>>>> pretty much the same thing except more border security at state lines.
>>>>>>> What's the point of that. It would just tank the restaurant and tourism
>>>>>>> industry and make it much harder to traffic cigarettes drugs and liquor
>>>>>>> around.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> 70% of the US economy is consumer spending it would just put every state
>>>>>>> that did that out of business.
>>>>>>
>>>>> >From a state point of view, Texas with its oil could become really rich selling it :-)
>>>>>> And it could unite with Mexico for cheaper drugs, :-)
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Same sort of reasoning for other states that have useful stuff, say food, tourist places, cattle..
>>>>>> No global Mafia boss in a gold plated dark house with extra space for his balls in a new ballroom
>>>>>> who fires people to get media attention.
>>>>>> He did not stop the war in Gaza, all buildings were destroyed, no more US bombs needed,
>>>>>> and now the creep wants the rest of the world to rebuild it for his golfing attempts.
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> The gazans, and really everybody, would be much better off. Maybe we
>>>>> can get the Iranians and the Chinese hooked on golf. Cuba would make a
>>>>> nice golf resort too, with fancy rum drinks.
>>>>>
>>>>> The US has astounding resources. One reason we won WWII is because we
>>>>> have so much oil and some Texans figured out how to make 150 octane
>>>>> aviation fuel. The Sun Oil refinery in Texas made the Spitfire fuel
>>>>> that won the Battle of Britain.
>>>>>
>>>>> And we fed our troops over twice the calories as our enemies could.
>>>>>
>>>>> I read that the Mississippi valley has more miles of navigable
>>>>> waterways that the rest of the world combined. Napoleon sold it to the
>>>>> USA specifically to make to make the US into a power to rival England.
>>>>
>>>> This morning, in a discussion in an other group about the value of gold vesrus the US dollar
>>>> I wrote:
>>>>
>>>> https://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-year-chart
>>>>
>>>> Richard Milhous Nixon (January 9, 1913 – April 22, 1994)
>>>> was the 37th president of the United States,
>>>>>>>>> serving from 1969 until his resignation in 1974.
>>>>
>>>> He decoupled the US dollar from the gold standard.
>>>> Ever since 1970 gold has been rising (US dollar falling)
>>>> see above graph from 1970 to today.
>>>
>>> Are the pound and euro tied to gold?
>>>
>>> The british pound used to be worth $5. Now it's about $1.30.
>>>
>>> The euro is down to $1.15, so the pound and the euro have fallen more
>>> vs gold than the dollar.
>>
>> https://www.chartoasis.com/eur-usd-forex-chart-20-years-cop0/
>> https://www.fxleaders.com/forecasts/forex/usd-eur-price-forecast/
>>
>> https://www.bullionbypost.eu/gold-price/10-year-gold-price-chart/
>>
>>
>>
>>> I'd expect the pound and the euro to continue declining vs the dollar.
>>
>> No, US is on the verge of collapse, nobody will buy its debt as it pissed of most countries by now!
> 
> What's interesting is how many outfits are building multi-gigabuck
> semiconductor fabs in the USA right now.

But will they be able to outperform Taiwan?

> We have lots of land, lots of water and electricity, lots of talent.
> And far from China.

But you have a thick-eared managerial class that doesn't like listening 
to their engineers. And Trump will take an interest.

> TSMC, Samsung, Intel, Micron, TI.

TSMC and Samsung have the right social attributes. Intel tried a while 
back and their advanced fab wasn't advanced enough. I don't know enough 
about Micron to have an opinion about them. I did know more about TI, 
and I expect them to have the same kinds of problems that Intel did.

> https://www.semiconductors.org/ecosystem/

US industry has a long history of lying to their customers and 
investors. They can be expected to lie to one another.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Big_Myth

This doesn't lead to productive investment. The history of the US 
semiconductor industry is pretty much of a series splits, where the 
managements of the first companies in the business upset their 
engineers, who moved out to form new companies.

-- 
Bill Sloman, Sydney

Back to sci.electronics.design | Previous | NextPrevious in thread | Next in thread | Find similar


Thread

More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-14 13:03 +0000
  Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-14 07:38 -0700
    Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> - 2025-10-15 02:37 +1100
    Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? bitrex <user@example.net> - 2025-10-14 11:52 -0400
      Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-14 09:29 -0700
    Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-14 15:54 +0000
      Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? bitrex <user@example.net> - 2025-10-14 12:52 -0400
      Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? bitrex <user@example.net> - 2025-10-14 12:59 -0400
        Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-14 11:09 -0700
        Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-15 07:40 +0000
          Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-15 08:01 -0700
            Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-15 15:22 +0000
              Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-15 09:06 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> - 2025-10-16 16:17 +1100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-16 07:58 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> - 2025-10-17 14:10 +1100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-16 20:40 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-17 07:28 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-17 04:10 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? John R Walliker <jrwalliker@gmail.com> - 2025-10-17 14:26 +0100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? liz@poppyrecords.invalid.invalid (Liz Tuddenham) - 2025-10-17 14:30 +0100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-17 15:28 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-17 08:35 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-17 16:02 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-17 09:07 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-17 16:28 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? "Edward Rawde" <invalid@invalid.invalid> - 2025-10-19 17:10 -0400
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> - 2025-10-18 02:40 +1100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-17 09:08 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-16 08:15 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-17 11:36 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> - 2025-10-18 17:31 +1100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-18 07:48 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-18 18:00 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-18 11:23 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-19 12:33 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? JM <sunaecoNoChoppedPork@gmail.com> - 2025-10-19 14:08 +0100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-19 16:16 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-19 08:01 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? JM <sunaecoNoChoppedPork@gmail.com> - 2025-10-19 16:37 +0100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-19 16:28 +0000
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> - 2025-10-20 03:40 +1100
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? john larkin <jl@glen--canyon.com> - 2025-10-19 11:04 -0700
                Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Bill Sloman <bill.sloman@ieee.org> - 2025-10-20 17:32 +1100
  Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Buzz McCool <buzz_mccool@yahoo.com> - 2025-10-17 12:32 -0700
    Re: More semiconductor trouble coming? Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2025-10-18 18:06 +0000

csiph-web