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Re: 'Based On Nonsense'

Message-ID <56536B19.791D@ix.netcom.com> (permalink)
Date 2015-11-23 11:38 -0800
From The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com>
Newsgroups alt.astronomy, rec.arts.sf.written, sci.physics, sci.physics.relativity
Subject Re: 'Based On Nonsense'
References (1 earlier) <564F6DC6.127E@ix.netcom.com> <56511756.777C@ix.netcom.com> <XOc4y.155775$sK.94170@fx14.iad> <U9OdnfkYUI4s287LnZ2dnUU7_82dnZ2d@giganews.com> <3f7ed398-e182-49b5-a563-1099f741f854@googlegroups.com>

Cross-posted to 4 groups.

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Gary Harnagel wrote:
> 
> On Monday, November 23, 2015 at 10:02:43 AM UTC-7, tjrob137 wrote:
> >
> > I believe that the consensus among physicists who have thought about
> > this is that the existence of alien life is not only possible, but
> > reasonably probable (but none of us quantify that).
> 
> Fred Hoyle DID present his quantification:
> 
> "Life cannot have had a random beginning ... The trouble is that there are
> about two thousand enzymes, and the chance of obtaining them all in a
> random trial is only one part in 1040,000, an outrageously small
> probability that could not be faced even if the whole universe consisted
> of organic soup." - Fred Hoyle
> 
> I think that he was just a bit pessimistic, and so does everyone at SETI
> or they wouldn't be there :-)  Frank Drake tried it a different way and
> came up with a few civilizations at our stage of development in our
> galaxy right now.  Maybe we'll get a better read on the probability by
> studying Tabby's star ...



Frank Drake calculations is WRONG. It is based on Mars having life on it's surface, and it does not...so that means
you need to throw Frank Drake's calculations into the garbage where it belongs.

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Thread

‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-20 10:49 -0800
  Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-20 11:00 -0800
    Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-21 17:16 -0800
      Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 00:57 -0500
        Re: 'Based On Nonsense' john <johnsefton288@gmail.com> - 2015-11-21 22:17 -0800
          Re: 'Based On Nonsense' benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 01:30 -0500
            Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 08:18 -0800
              Re: 'Based On Nonsense' "Alex Sutter" <invalid@troll-lo-lo.com> - 2015-11-22 08:36 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' HVAC <mr.hvac@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 08:48 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 09:17 -0800
            Re: 'Based On Nonsense' HVAC <mr.hvac@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 08:31 -0800
          Re: 'Based On Nonsense' HVAC <mr.hvac@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 08:26 -0800
          Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Puppet_Sock <puppet_sock@hotmail.com> - 2015-11-24 12:43 -0800
            Re: 'Based On Nonsense' gilber34 <fafa@invalid.com> - 2015-11-24 16:28 -0600
              Re: 'Based On Nonsense' john <johnsefton288@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 15:25 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 23:49 -0500
          Re: 'Based On Nonsense' gilber34 <fafa@invalid.com> - 2015-11-24 16:27 -0600
        Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-21 23:11 -0800
          Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Thomas Heger <ttt_heg@web.de> - 2015-11-22 09:30 +0100
            Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-22 00:41 -0800
              Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 08:40 -0500
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' john <johnsefton288@gmail.com> - 2015-11-22 07:45 -0800
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-22 13:00 -0800
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Thomas Heger <ttt_heg@web.de> - 2015-11-26 07:10 +0100
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ gilber34 <fafa@invalid.com> - 2015-11-26 09:01 -0600
          Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Sjouke Burry <burrynulnulfour@ppllaanneett.nnll> - 2015-11-22 22:32 +0100
            Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-22 14:17 -0800
              Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-22 21:37 -0800
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-24 22:08 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 22:20 -0800
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Thomas Heger <ttt_heg@web.de> - 2015-11-25 07:40 +0100
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-25 10:24 -0800
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Jack Monaco <jacksh@umbBertopal.org> - 2015-11-25 18:32 +0000
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-25 12:01 -0800
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Thomas Heger <ttt_heg@web.de> - 2015-11-26 04:48 +0100
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Jack Monaco <jacksh@umbBertopal.org> - 2015-11-26 14:21 +0000
                Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Thomas Heger <ttt_heg@web.de> - 2015-11-27 08:05 +0100
        Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Tom Roberts <tjroberts137@sbcglobal.net> - 2015-11-23 11:02 -0600
          Re: 'Based On Nonsense' The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-23 11:38 -0800
          Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Walter Ilinois <walin@wej98j5q.org> - 2015-11-23 20:44 +0000
          Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-11-23 19:57 -0800
            Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-23 23:40 -0500
              Re: The great unwashed. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-23 21:46 -0800
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. pnalsing@gmail.com - 2015-11-23 22:23 -0800
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-11-24 08:31 -0500
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. "W.T.S. = Golden_Truth_Golden_Light!!!" <m14m@earthlink.net> - 2015-11-24 06:00 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. chrisv <chrisv@nospam.invalid> - 2015-11-24 06:49 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Slimer <.m@nsn.s> - 2015-11-24 08:57 -0500
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-24 10:10 -0800
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 11:14 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 13:59 -0500
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 12:07 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 14:48 -0500
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 13:03 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Mitchell Holman <noemail@comcast.net> - 2015-11-24 08:16 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. "Alex W." <ingilt@yahoo.co.uk> - 2015-11-24 15:54 +0100
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 13:43 -0500
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 12:07 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 14:50 -0500
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 13:02 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Christopher A. Lee <c.lee@fairpoint.net> - 2015-11-24 14:04 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 13:08 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Christopher A. Lee <c.lee@fairpoint.net> - 2015-11-24 18:05 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 17:15 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Christopher A. Lee <c.lee@fairpoint.net> - 2015-11-24 13:56 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Mitchell Holman <noemail@comcast.net> - 2015-11-24 14:32 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. chrisv <chrisv@nospam.invalid> - 2015-11-24 14:44 -0600
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. john <johnsefton288@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 12:55 -0800
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-11-24 14:10 -0700
                Re: Only 14% of Americans believe in GodlessEvolution. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 13:22 -0500
              Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 06:08 -0800
              Re: The great unwashed. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-24 13:21 -0500
                Re: The great unwashed. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-24 11:35 -0800
                Re: The great unwashed. snipe@spambin.fsnet.co.uk (Sn!pe, DoW #2) - 2015-11-24 19:56 +0000
                Ben Jacoby should play poker. Jeff-Relf.Me <@.> - 2015-11-26 06:02 -0800
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Sir Gregory Hall, Esq." <greghall@yacht_master.fake> - 2015-11-26 11:42 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-26 12:48 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Sir Gregory Hall, Esq." <greghall@yacht_master.fake> - 2015-11-26 13:17 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-26 10:41 -0800
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Sir Gregory Hall, Esq." <greghall@yacht_master.fake> - 2015-11-26 13:48 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. buZZard <buzz@nospam.invalid> - 2015-11-26 20:32 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-26 23:52 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. buZZard <buzz@nospam.invalid> - 2015-11-26 20:29 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-27 00:14 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-26 10:39 -0800
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Sir Gregory Hall, Esq." <greghall@yacht_master.fake> - 2015-11-26 13:46 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-27 00:10 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-26 12:36 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Sir Gregory Hall, Esq." <greghall@yacht_master.fake> - 2015-11-26 12:49 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-26 10:43 -0800
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Sir Gregory Hall, Esq." <greghall@yacht_master.fake> - 2015-11-26 13:51 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. buZZard <buzz@nospam.invalid> - 2015-11-26 20:34 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Sir Gregory Hall, Esq." <greghall@yacht_master.fake> - 2015-11-26 20:41 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. buZZard <buzz@nospam.invalid> - 2015-11-26 20:58 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-26 20:23 -0800
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. buZZard <buzz@nospam.invalid> - 2015-11-26 23:30 -0500
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. "Checkmate, DoW #1" <Lunatic.Fringe@The.Edge> - 2015-11-26 20:23 -0800
                Re: Ben Jacoby should play poker. benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-11-27 00:15 -0500
          Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. Hägar <hsahm@yahoo.com> - 2015-11-27 11:14 -0800
            Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-27 12:00 -0800
            Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-27 16:53 -0800
            Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-11-27 19:15 -0800
              Re: We're robots, programmed to get food, water, air, etc. Hägar <hsahm@yahoo.com> - 2015-11-28 08:43 -0800
        Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ wdstarr@panix.com (William December Starr) - 2015-11-26 08:26 -0500
          Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2015-12-09 10:34 +0000
            Re: 'Based On Nonsense' john <johnsefton288@gmail.com> - 2015-12-09 03:18 -0800
            Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Tom Roberts <tjroberts137@sbcglobal.net> - 2015-12-09 08:31 -0600
              Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-12-09 07:51 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-12-09 16:41 -0500
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2015-12-10 16:28 +0000
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-12-10 16:01 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' "Alfred Summers" <invalid@eyample.com> - 2015-12-10 17:55 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2015-12-11 03:23 +0000
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-12-11 07:23 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2015-12-11 22:33 +0000
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' Mahipal <mahipal7638@gmail.com> - 2015-12-11 15:41 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2015-12-10 22:10 -0800
                Re: 'Based On Nonsense' pnalsing@gmail.com - 2015-12-10 23:24 -0800
              Re: ‘Based On Nonsense’ Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2015-12-10 19:29 +0000

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