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Groups > sci.electronics.design > #447351
| From | rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Newsgroups | sci.electronics.design |
| Subject | Re: experts aren't |
| Date | 2017-02-11 20:33 -0500 |
| Organization | A noiseless patient Spider |
| Message-ID | <o7odt3$5jn$1@dont-email.me> (permalink) |
| References | <60nu9c916reeui8gbsj3ddinq2nsok98e5@4ax.com> <o7o51c$7vm$1@dont-email.me> <a09v9c5ut72fu536jb0j5k7ni6sss7ne3b@4ax.com> <l4dv9c5cndhp2jb2r4an6iuv2hqospf50u@4ax.com> |
On 2/11/2017 8:09 PM, John Larkin wrote: > On Sat, 11 Feb 2017 18:54:01 -0500, krw@notreal.com wrote: > >> On Sat, 11 Feb 2017 22:59:56 -0000 (UTC), Cursitor Doom >> <curd@notformail.com> wrote: >> >>> On Sat, 11 Feb 2017 10:59:57 -0800, John Larkin wrote: >>> >>>> and, he notes modestly, my general theory that, except in the rare >>>> fields of study that are subject to proof by experiment, most experts >>>> are usually wrong, and most experts are even wronger than the average >>>> truck driver, and more expertise makes them yet wronger. >>> >>> For sure economists are notorious for making totally inaccurate >>> predictions; financial pundits in general are, in fact usually wrong, >>> especially the further out they're attempting to see. The joke is they >>> have the chutzpah to assume no one will notice and they can get away with >>> their old nonsense again and again and again. >> >> Kinda like climatologists. > > Yes. Nonlinear, chaotic systems can't be predicted. Chaos can be > overall, like in high turbulent fluid flow, but it can also manifest > as quiet stretches with occasional extreme events. > > Expert groupthink freezes out progress and lets stresses build up, > until something snaps. Interesting how John's theory is exactly the subject of itself. He has formed an opinion based on limited observations with a total inability to experiment. How long before his theory is shown to be BS? Is there a way to calculate a half life? Something like an LD50 maybe? -- Rick C
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experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-11 10:59 -0800
Re: experts aren't Tom Gardner <spamjunk@blueyonder.co.uk> - 2017-02-11 19:14 +0000
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-11 11:28 -0800
Re: experts aren't rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-02-11 18:07 -0500
Re: experts aren't krw@notreal.com - 2017-02-11 18:53 -0500
Re: experts aren't John Robertson <spam@flippers.com> - 2017-02-11 15:08 -0800
Re: experts aren't djlocher56@gmail.com - 2017-02-12 14:21 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 16:16 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 17:20 -0800
Re: experts aren't Tom Gardner <spamjunk@blueyonder.co.uk> - 2017-02-13 12:50 +0000
Re: experts aren't Tom Gardner <spamjunk@blueyonder.co.uk> - 2017-02-13 13:51 +0000
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-13 08:25 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-13 17:16 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-13 06:47 -0800
Re: experts aren't Tom Gardner <spamjunk@blueyonder.co.uk> - 2017-02-11 23:37 +0000
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-11 16:49 -0800
Re: experts aren't whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com> - 2017-02-11 17:19 -0800
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-11 17:39 -0500
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-11 16:36 -0800
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 12:27 -0500
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 10:52 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 16:30 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-12 19:28 +0000
Re: experts aren't Lasse Langwadt Christensen <langwadt@fonz.dk> - 2017-02-12 11:44 -0800
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 15:05 -0500
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 12:25 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 16:39 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 12:23 -0800
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 12:40 -0500
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-11 22:59 +0000
Re: experts aren't rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-02-11 18:17 -0500
Re: experts aren't krw@notreal.com - 2017-02-11 18:54 -0500
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-11 17:05 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-11 17:09 -0800
Re: experts aren't rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-02-11 20:33 -0500
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-11 18:32 -0800
Re: experts aren't whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com> - 2017-02-11 20:50 -0800
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 15:11 -0500
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 15:22 -0500
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 12:32 -0800
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 15:44 -0500
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 15:47 -0500
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 13:11 -0800
Re: experts aren't bitrex <bitrex@de.lete.earthlink.net> - 2017-02-12 16:34 -0500
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 17:10 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 16:57 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-11 16:58 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-12 15:36 +0000
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 08:36 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-12 19:44 +0000
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 12:38 -0800
Re: experts aren't Julian Barnes <jb9889@notformail.com> - 2017-02-12 23:43 +0000
Re: experts aren't krw@notreal.com - 2017-02-12 19:24 -0500
Re: experts aren't Julian Barnes <jb9889@notformail.com> - 2017-02-13 00:53 +0000
Re: experts aren't krw@notreal.com - 2017-02-12 20:18 -0500
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-12 17:27 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 18:28 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 18:26 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 18:29 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 17:43 -0800
Re: experts aren't rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-02-11 18:02 -0500
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-11 16:43 -0800
Re: experts aren't Robert Baer <robertbaer@localnet.com> - 2017-02-11 21:42 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 04:19 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-12 04:45 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-12 15:44 +0000
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-13 01:16 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-13 07:42 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-13 07:39 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 18:02 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-13 01:38 -0800
Re: experts aren't whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com> - 2017-02-12 18:54 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-13 01:45 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-13 07:52 -0800
Re: experts aren't bloggs.fredbloggs.fred@gmail.com - 2017-02-12 00:13 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 04:23 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-12 03:56 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 04:33 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-12 04:46 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-12 18:49 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-13 01:41 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-13 07:55 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-14 01:13 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-14 03:21 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-14 22:22 +0000
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkinxyxy@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-14 14:48 -0800
Re: experts aren't George Herold <gherold@teachspin.com> - 2017-02-14 17:09 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-14 19:22 -0800
Re: experts aren't whit3rd <whit3rd@gmail.com> - 2017-02-14 17:56 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Devereux <john@devereux.me.uk> - 2017-02-15 18:05 +0000
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-14 19:21 -0800
Re: experts aren't "Michael A. Terrell" <mike.terrell@earthlink.net> - 2017-02-18 21:41 -0500
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-18 19:05 -0800
Re: experts aren't Martin Brown <|||newspam|||@nezumi.demon.co.uk> - 2017-02-14 10:40 +0000
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-14 03:42 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-14 04:14 -0800
Re: experts aren't jurb6006@gmail.com - 2017-02-15 08:56 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Robertson <spam@flippers.com> - 2017-02-15 10:35 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkinxyxy@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-15 10:46 -0800
Re: experts aren't George Herold <gherold@teachspin.com> - 2017-02-15 11:38 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Robertson <spam@flippers.com> - 2017-02-15 12:18 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-15 15:51 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Robertson <spam@flippers.com> - 2017-02-15 16:26 -0800
Re: experts aren't krw@notreal.com - 2017-02-15 20:59 -0500
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-15 20:01 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-15 15:43 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Robertson <spam@flippers.com> - 2017-02-15 16:38 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-15 19:38 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-17 21:25 +0000
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-17 21:47 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-18 12:49 +0000
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-18 05:13 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-18 22:39 +0000
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-18 18:12 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-18 11:43 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-18 17:52 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-17 21:17 +0000
Re: experts aren't M Philbrook <jamie_ka1lpa@charter.net> - 2017-02-18 16:46 -0500
Re: experts aren't Jasen Betts <jasen@xnet.co.nz> - 2017-02-19 05:35 +0000
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-19 02:15 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-19 03:28 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-19 03:31 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-19 09:23 -0800
Re: experts aren't Cursitor Doom <curd@notformail.com> - 2017-02-20 00:31 +0000
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-19 17:31 -0800
Re: experts aren't tabbypurr@gmail.com - 2017-02-17 13:43 -0800
Re: experts aren't John Larkin <jjlarkin@highlandtechnology.com> - 2017-02-14 07:08 -0800
Re: experts aren't bill.sloman@ieee.org - 2017-02-14 20:07 -0800
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