Re: QF72 story - wow

From	Dimiter_Popoff <dp@tgi-sci.com>
Newsgroups	comp.arch.embedded
Subject	Re: QF72 story - wow
Date	2017-05-17 21:43 +0300
Organization	TGI
Message-ID	<ofi5e5$mi$1@dont-email.me> (permalink)
References	(3 earlier) <ofceti$61u$1@dont-email.me> <ofchjn$g8l$1@dont-email.me> <off2s5$i70$1@dont-email.me> <ofhp55$m0t$1@dont-email.me> <ofhrgv$blv$1@dont-email.me>

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On 17.5.2017 г. 18:54, rickman wrote:
> On 5/17/2017 11:13 AM, Reinhardt Behm wrote:
> ......
>>> Don't worry about the details, consider the statistics.  Computers only
>>> need to be better than people and so far they have been for driving
>>> cars.
>>>
>>> If you have 1 in 1E6 chance of dying with a human pilot and a 1 in 1E7
>>> chance of dying with a computer pilot, which will you choose?
>>
>> When sitting in that plane over NYC my preferences would be clear.
>> Against
>> all  statistics.
>
> This is such a perfect example of emotion ruling over logic.  Thank you.

No it is not. Just the statistics are based on incomplete or invalid
data.

Here is an example why. Fewer people die in plain crashes per
person*distance than in car crashes, this is known.
However the percentage of idiots among pilots is a lot lower than
among drivers; I am sure the results will be different if the same
comparison is made say for planes vs. buses on reputable bus lines.

Then there are nowhere near enough data to make the stats on human
pilots vs. autopilots on similar enough planes, it will all be below
the noise floor.

Completely automated planes are a good idea a target which must be
pursued but humanity is not there yet, not by a long stretch.
Then given how *messy* todays software is I don't see it done any
time soon.

I know I would want to have access to all the controls - debugging 
included... - if I flew an autopiloted plane *I* have programmmed - and
my software is anything but messy.

Dimiter

------------------------------------------------------
Dimiter Popoff, TGI             http://www.tgi-sci.com
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http://www.flickr.com/photos/didi_tgi/

Thread

QF72 story - wow Clifford Heath <clifford.heath@gmail.com> - 2017-05-14 22:03 +1000
  Re: QF72 story - wow BM2335 <BM265@DMM.com.au> - 2017-05-15 12:25 +0800
  Re: QF72 story - wow Dimiter_Popoff <dp@tgi-sci.com> - 2017-05-15 16:05 +0300
    Re: QF72 story - wow Reinhardt Behm <rbehm@hushmail.com> - 2017-05-15 21:58 +0800
      Re: QF72 story - wow David Brown <david.brown@hesbynett.no> - 2017-05-15 16:48 +0200
        Re: QF72 story - wow Reinhardt Behm <rbehm@hushmail.com> - 2017-05-15 23:34 +0800
          Re: QF72 story - wow Tom Gardner <spamjunk@blueyonder.co.uk> - 2017-05-15 18:00 +0100
          Re: QF72 story - wow Robert Wessel <robertwessel2@yahoo.com> - 2017-05-15 17:49 -0500
          Re: QF72 story - wow David Brown <david.brown@hesbynett.no> - 2017-05-16 09:06 +0200
            Re: QF72 story - wow upsidedown@downunder.com - 2017-05-16 19:46 +0300
          Re: QF72 story - wow rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-05-16 10:41 -0400
            Re: QF72 story - wow Reinhardt Behm <rbehm@hushmail.com> - 2017-05-17 23:13 +0800
              Re: QF72 story - wow rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-05-17 11:54 -0400
                Re: QF72 story - wow Dimiter_Popoff <dp@tgi-sci.com> - 2017-05-17 21:43 +0300
                Re: QF72 story - wow rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-05-17 16:03 -0400
                Re: QF72 story - wow Dimiter_Popoff <dp@tgi-sci.com> - 2017-05-18 00:27 +0300
                Re: QF72 story - wow rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-05-17 19:56 -0400
          Re: QF72 story - wow upsidedown@downunder.com - 2017-05-16 19:30 +0300
            Re: QF72 story - wow Robert Wessel <robertwessel2@yahoo.com> - 2017-05-16 23:05 -0500
            Re: QF72 story - wow Reinhardt Behm <rbehm@hushmail.com> - 2017-05-17 23:05 +0800
        Re: QF72 story - wow rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-05-16 10:25 -0400
      Re: QF72 story - wow Przemek Klosowski <przemek@tux.dot.org> - 2017-05-18 12:45 +0000
    Re: QF72 story - wow upsidedown@downunder.com - 2017-05-16 19:10 +0300
      Re: QF72 story - wow Dimiter_Popoff <dp@tgi-sci.com> - 2017-05-16 19:48 +0300
      Re: QF72 story - wow lasselangwadtchristensen@gmail.com - 2017-05-19 17:40 -0700
  Re: QF72 story - wow Tim Wescott <seemywebsite@myfooter.really> - 2017-05-15 12:34 -0500
    Re: QF72 story - wow Robert Wessel <robertwessel2@yahoo.com> - 2017-05-15 17:21 -0500
    Re: QF72 story - wow rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-05-16 10:47 -0400
      Re: QF72 story - wow Jan Coombs <jenfhaomndgfwutc@murmic.plus.com> - 2017-05-17 10:31 +0100
        Re: QF72 story - wow Reinhardt Behm <rbehm@hushmail.com> - 2017-05-17 22:20 +0800
          Re: QF72 story - wow rickman <gnuarm@gmail.com> - 2017-05-17 10:36 -0400
  Re: QF72 story - wow George Neuner <gneuner2@comcast.net> - 2017-05-15 17:28 -0400
    Re: QF72 story - wow Robert Wessel <robertwessel2@yahoo.com> - 2017-05-15 17:22 -0500
    Re: QF72 story - wow Dimiter_Popoff <dp@tgi-sci.com> - 2017-05-16 10:51 +0300
      Re: QF72 story - wow Clifford Heath <clifford.heath@gmail.com> - 2017-05-16 18:01 +1000
  Re: QF72 story - wow upsidedown@downunder.com - 2017-05-16 18:54 +0300
    Re: QF72 story - wow Robert Wessel <robertwessel2@yahoo.com> - 2017-05-16 23:23 -0500

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