Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record

From	Sergio <invalid@invalid.com>
Newsgroups	sci.physics
Subject	Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record
Date	2016-08-24 21:05 -0500
Organization	Aioe.org NNTP Server
Message-ID	<npljp0$1kvt$2@gioia.aioe.org> (permalink)
References	<nnp87s$nbg$1@gioia.aioe.org>

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On 8/1/2016 11:40 PM, Sergio wrote:
> http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/99-percent-chance-2016-will-be-the-hottest-year-on-record/
>
>
> Odds are increasing that 2016 will be the hottest year on the books, as
> April continued a remarkable streak of record-warm months.

> Last month was rated as the warmest April on record by both NASA and the
> National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which released their
> data this week. In the temperature annals kept by NOAA, it marked the
> 12th record warmest month in a row.

> Global temperatures have been hovering around 1.5°C (2.7°F) above
> pre-industrial averages—a threshold that’s being considered by
> international negotiators as a new goal for limiting warming.
>
> While an exceptionally strong El Niño has provided a boost to
> temperatures in recent months, the primary driver has been the heat that
> has built up from decades of unabated greenhouse gas emissions.

> How global temperatures have differed from average so far this year.
> Credit: NOAA
> Nearing 1.5°C
>
> NOAA announced its temperature data for April on Wednesday, with the
> month measuring 1.98°F (1.1°C) above the 20th century average of 56.7°F
> (13.7°C). It was warmer than the previous record-hot April of 2010 by
> 0.5°F (0.3°C).

> As El Niño continues to rapidly decay, monthly temperature anomalies are
> slowly declining. They are still considerably higher than they were just
> last year, the current title-holder for the hottest year on record.
>
> Given the head start this year has over last, there is a more than 99
> percent chance that 2016 will best 2015 as the hottest year on the
> books, according to Gavin Schmidt, head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for
> Space Studies, which keeps the agencies temperature data.

> If 2016 does set the mark, it will be the third record-setting year in a
> row.
>
> It is likely, though, that the streak would end with this year, as a La
> Niña event is looking increasingly likely to follow El Niño, and it
> tends to have a cooling effect on global temperatures.

> But even La Niña years today are warmer than El Niño years of previous
> decades—a clear sign of how much human caused-warming has increased
> global temperatures. In fact, the planet hasn’t seen a record cold year
> since 1911.
>
> This article is reproduced with permission from Climate Central. The
> article was first published on May 18, 2016.
.

Thread

99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record Sergio <invalid@invalid.com> - 2016-08-01 23:40 -0500
  Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "Friendly Neighborhood Vote Wrangler Emeritus, DoW #1" <FNVWe@altusenetkooks.xxx> - 2016-08-02 07:17 +0200
    Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "Friendly Neighborhood Vote Wrangler Emeritus, DoW #1" <FNVWe@altusenetkooks.xxx> - 2016-08-02 08:39 +0200
      Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "Friendly Neighborhood Vote Wrangler Emeritus, DoW #1" <FNVWe@altusenetkooks.xxx> - 2016-08-03 07:28 +0200
        Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "Friendly Neighborhood Vote Wrangler Emeritus, DoW #1" <FNVWe@altusenetkooks.xxx> - 2016-08-03 08:14 +0200
          Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-08-03 14:03 -0700
            Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-08-03 21:49 +0000
              also, Antarctican peninsulA noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-08-04 12:33 -0700
            Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-08-06 14:16 -0700
              Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record benj <benj@nobody.net> - 2016-08-06 19:17 -0400
              Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record benj <benj@nobody.net> - 2016-08-06 19:19 -0400
  Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record The Starmaker <starmaker@ix.netcom.com> - 2016-08-02 13:16 -0700
    m, the bell rings like this noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-08-02 16:00 -0700
  Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record Sergio <invalid@invalid.com> - 2016-08-24 21:05 -0500
  Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-08-25 13:20 -0700
    Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-08-25 21:17 +0000
      Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-08-26 12:12 -0700
        Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-08-26 19:41 +0000
          Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-09-03 14:20 -0700
            Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-09-03 21:55 +0000
        Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "hanson" <hanson@quick.net> - 2016-08-26 13:46 -0700
    Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "hanson" <hanson@quick.net> - 2016-08-25 16:17 -0700
  Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record James McGinn <jimmcginn9@gmail.com> - 2016-09-03 10:43 -0700
    Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-09-03 14:29 -0700
      Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-09-03 21:57 +0000
        Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-09-03 15:49 -0700
          Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "hanson" <hanson@quick.net> - 2016-09-03 17:31 -0700
        Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-09-04 10:30 -0700
          Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-09-04 18:48 +0000
            Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2016-09-19 13:53 -0700
              Re: 99 Percent Chance 2016 Will Be the Hottest Year on Record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-09-19 21:24 +0000

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