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Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record

From R Kym Horsell <kym@kymhorsell.com>
Newsgroups sci.physics
Subject Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record
Date 2016-01-21 06:41 +0000
Organization SDF Public Access UNIX System, Est. 1987
Message-ID <n7pujd$nir$2@odin.sdf-eu.org> (permalink)
References <atedna8wfrdSagLLnZ2dnUU7-XmdnZ2d@giganews.com> <n7ptu2$eb6$1@dont-email.me>

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Poutnik <poutnik4nntp@gmail.com> wrote:
> Dne 20/01/2016 v 22:10 Sam Wormley napsal(a):
>> 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record
>>> http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/summary-info/global/201512
>>> Global highlights: Calendar Year 2015
>>> For extended analysis of global climate patterns, please see our full
>>> Annual report
>>> During 2015, the average temperature across global land and ocean
>>> surfaces was 1.62?F (0.90?C) above the 20th century average. This was
>>> the highest among all 136 years in the 1880?2015 record, surpassing
>>> the previous record set last year by 0.29?F (0.16?C) and marking the
>>> fourth time a global temperature record has been set this century.
>>> This is also the largest margin by which the annual global
>>> temperature record has been broken. Ten months had record high
>>> temperatures for their respective months during the year. The five
>>> highest monthly departures from average for any month on record all
>>> occurred during 2015.
> .......
> From official local records from Prague Klementinum in Czech Republic
> in Central Europe, keeping the measurement serie
> for 230 years since 1775:
> 2015 was the warmest year for the whole period.
> 2014 was the 2nd warmest year for the whole period.
> Within the 17 warmest years of the whole period,
> all but 3 were from the recent period of the last 25 years.

Interestingly the Central England Temperature record kept by
Hadley dating from 1659 is not as consistent as that.

Certainly 2015 has registered the warmest at 9.7C on average for
the 12 m of the year, but No 2 spot is 1974 at 8.1C.
The much-touted 1998 is #81 in the CET record.

--
[Yet another hockey stick:]
Atm methane 800ky bce to 2014ad:
<http://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/images/indicator_thumbnails/ghg-
concentrations-thumb2-2015.png>

Precise continuous records for atm methane began ~1987 (MLO).  At that
time the annual avg value was around 1700 ppb.  Levels have risen more
or less steadily at about 4 ppb each year since.  At the end of 2014
they had reached 1860 ppb.

From the modern CH4 record we can determine for each ppb the global 
avg temp has risen around .003C +- 10% at 90% confidence.

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Thread

2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-20 15:10 -0600
  Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-20 21:28 +0000
    Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-23 09:58 -0600
      Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-23 19:02 +0000
        Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-24 21:56 -0600
          Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not "Andrew" <andrew.321remov@usa.net> - 2016-01-24 20:11 -0800
            Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-24 22:21 -0600
              Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2016-01-24 23:39 -0500
              Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-25 04:44 +0000
              Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not "Andrew" <andrew.321remov@usa.net> - 2016-01-25 07:51 -0800
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-25 12:05 -0600
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2016-01-25 15:48 -0500
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not "Andrew" <andrew.321remov@usa.net> - 2016-01-26 00:22 -0800
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-26 08:18 -0600
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-26 19:15 +0000
            Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-24 22:40 -0600
              Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-25 05:10 +0000
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-24 23:50 -0600
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-25 06:59 +0000
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-25 08:14 -0600
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year - not jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-25 19:21 +0000
          Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record "hanson" <hanson@quick.net> - 2016-01-24 20:51 -0800
            Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-24 22:55 -0600
              Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record "hanson" <hanson@quick.net> - 2016-01-24 22:26 -0800
          Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-25 04:42 +0000
            Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-24 23:52 -0600
              Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-25 06:59 +0000
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-25 08:15 -0600
                Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-25 19:22 +0000
  Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Poutnik <poutnik4nntp@gmail.com> - 2016-01-21 07:33 +0100
    Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record R Kym Horsell <kym@kymhorsell.com> - 2016-01-21 06:41 +0000
      Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Poutnik <poutnik4nntp@gmail.com> - 2016-01-21 08:04 +0100
        Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record R Kym Horsell <kym@kymhorsell.com> - 2016-01-21 07:14 +0000
          Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-01-21 20:16 +0000
  Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Double-A <double-a3@hush.com> - 2016-01-21 13:20 -0800
    Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-21 15:51 -0600
      Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Double-A <double-a3@hush.com> - 2016-01-25 12:48 -0800
        Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-01-25 16:31 -0600
          Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record benj <none@gmail.com> - 2016-01-25 21:50 -0500
          Re: 2015 is Earth's warmest year by widest margin on record noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-01-26 12:01 -0800

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