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Groups > comp.os.linux.advocacy > #289113
| From | owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> |
|---|---|
| Newsgroups | comp.os.linux.advocacy |
| Subject | Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later |
| Date | 2015-04-11 17:20 +0000 |
| Organization | ok by me, so long as it doesn't get out of hand |
| Message-ID | <hgj300a.w3@rooftop.invalid> (permalink) |
| References | (3 earlier) <bghvur80.ra0@rooftop.invalid> <mgb69g$h0h$1@dont-email.me> <jgnvmb83.gkjd@rooftop.invalid> <6eedff8d-021a-4fc3-a4f2-84ec005fe5b0@googlegroups.com> <vncbhdu3.jgie@rooftop.invalid> |
owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> wrote: > Steve Carroll <fretwizzer@gmail.com> wrote: >> On Saturday, April 11, 2015 at 8:45:59 AM UTC-6, owl wrote: >>> Ezekiel <zeke@nosuchemail.com> wrote: >>> >>> > "owl" <owl@rooftop.invalid> wrote in message >>> > news:bghvur80.ra0@rooftop.invalid... >>> >> Ezekiel <zeke@nosuchemail.com> wrote: >>> >> >>> >>> "owl" <owl@rooftop.invalid> wrote in message >>> >>> news:gbvjdu03.pa3f@rooftop.invalid... >>> >>>> Ezekiel <zeke@nosuchemail.com> wrote: >>> >>>>> Apple is worth twice as much as Google. >>> >>>> >>> >>>>> Or Google is worth 1/2 as much as Apple if you prefer. >>> >>>> >>> >>>>> AAPL = $740.33B >>> >>>>> GOOG = $367.59B >>> >>>> >>> >>>>> I know many of you are confused because of "share price." But don't >>> >>>>> be. >>> >>>>> It's market-capitalization that determines what a company is worth. Not >>> >>>>> the >>> >>>>> share price. >>> >>>> >>> >>>>> Don't be like this dimwit below. >>> >>>> >>> >>>>> -- >>> >>>>> "Share price is a measure of market confidence based on current >>> >>>>> performance. >>> >>>>> The market is apparently twice as confident of ($600) Google as it is >>> >>>>> of >>> >>>>> ($320) Apple, and 20 times more confident than it is of ($28) >>> >>>>> Microsoft. >>> >>>>> So >>> >>>>> what Google is doing today is apparently better than what others are >>> >>>>> doing." >>> >>>> >>> >>>>> Homer the "advocate" lecturing others on another simple concept he >>> >>>>> completely fails to understand >>> >>>> >>> >>>> Yeah, but market cap is basically a popularity contest. >>> >> >>> >>> To a very small extent. There's always the "now company people want to >>> >>> see >>> >>> in the portfolio" thing but it's primarily based on fundamentals and >>> >>> expected future earnings. >>> >> >>> >> >>> >>>> Apple doesn't have >>> >>>> all that money, and they don't get money every time a share of Apple >>> >>>> stock >>> >>>> is sold at a higher price. Apple got paid one time - the day the stock >>> >>>> was >>> >>>> issued. >>> >> >>> >>> Yes and no. When a company has their IPO they don't release all the >>> >>> shares. >>> >>> It's called the "float" and nearly every company owns and holds shares in >>> >>> their own company. When you hear a company is spending billions on a >>> >>> "stock >>> >>> buyback" then they're buying more of their own shares. Companies use the >>> >>> shares they own for bonuses, etc but they'll also sell some shares to >>> >>> raise >>> >>> capital. >>> >> >>> >> >>> >>>> 2014 Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity: >>> >>>> Apple: 231.84B >>> >>>> Google: 131.13B >>> >>>> Microsoft: 172.38B >>> >>>> >>> >>>> http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/aapl/financials/balance-sheet >>> >>>> http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/goog/financials/balance-sheet >>> >>>> http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/msft/financials/balance-sheet >>> >>>> >>> >> >>> >>> This is an interesting accounting trick. You see companies with insane >>> >>> amounts of money in the bank yet these companies issue debt (ie - borrow >>> >>> money) to raise capital. >>> >> >>> >>> The reason behind this is that Apple/Microsoft/Google have the highest >>> >>> possible bond ratings. So they can borrow money at a low interest rate >>> >>> and >>> >>> then deduct the interest from their taxes. >>> >> >>> >>> Most/much/shitloads of the cash they have is overseas. So if they were to >>> >>> bring that cash back into the US they would need to pay US taxes on the >>> >>> money. So it's cheaper to borrow money (at low rates) than it is to bring >>> >>> in >>> >>> money from foreign subsidiaries. >>> >> >>> >> Actually I grabbed the wrong line. >>> >> >>> >> Total Equity 2014: >>> >> Apple: 111.55B >>> >> Google: 104.5B >>> >> Microsoft: 89.78B >>> >> >>> >> So they are really *much* closer than market cap would indicate. >>> >> I mean, really, if Apple's share price fell to $1 tomorrow, based on >>> >> some wild news that made everybody suddenly hate the company and dump >>> >> their stock, the company would still actually be in the black to the >>> >> tune of 111.55 billion >>> >>> > Having $111 billion in the bank isn't a bad thing. According to their latest >>> > SEC filing it's now up to $178 Billion. >>> >>> > "Apple has mind-boggling $178 billion in cash to spend" >>> > (CNN-Money) >>> >>> >>> >>> >> and the shareholders could force the board >>> >> to give them some moolah. >>> >>> > Here's where it gets tricky. For example, Google founders did a power-play >>> > and made it so that ordinary share-holders have no voting rights. On top of >>> > that, their special "class-B shares" (that don't trade on the market) get 10 >>> > votes/share whereas ordinary class-A shares get only 1 vote per share. >>> >>> > The bottom line is that even if every single Google shareholder in the world >>> > agreed on something - they can't force the company/board to do squat. >>> >>> > <quote> >>> > I believe this stock split is largely being done so that Sergey Brin and >>> > Larry Page can maintain voting control over everyone else. >>> >>> > However if they don't execute well they can't be "forced" to change by >>> > everyone else. >>> >>> > Currently everyone except Brin, Page, Eric Schmidt, Google's ex-CEO and >>> > Executive Chairman, and a few other people own Class A shares. Class A >>> > shares get one vote for each share. >>> >>> > Class B shares are largely owned by Brin, Page and Schmidt and they get 10 >>> > votes per share. In total there were 56,167,343 Class B shares outstanding >>> > on January 30, 2014. >>> >>> > Class C shares will be given to the Class A and B shareholders but receive >>> > no votes on stockholder resolutions. Their trading symbol will be the >>> > historical GOOG after the split. These are the shares that the company will >>> > probably issue going forward for acquisitions or stock awards. >>> >>> >>> > This means that Brin and Sergey have 468 million votes compared to the 280 >>> > million Class A shareholders, essentially complete control of the company as >>> > they have just over 55% of the total votes. Maybe the Board could exert >>> > enough pressure on either Brin or Page to step down if they thought it was >>> > being taken in such a wrong direction that it warranted action but otherwise >>> > the founders have complete control. >>> > </quote> >>> > http://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2014/04/02/google-stock-split-in-larry-and-sergey-we-trust/ >>> >>> >>> >>> >> Regardless of whatever is happening trade-wise on the market, a stock >>> >> represents an ownership share of the company, and if the company is >>> >> strong financially, that share has value separate from its market value. >>> >> Likewise, whatever inflated price a stock might be selling for has no >>> >> real relation to the "value" of a company. >>> >>> > A companies assets (like $178 billion in the bank) gets factored into the >>> > companies valuation. So in Apple's case, they're a $562 billion dollar >>> > company with $178 billion in the bank. >>> >>> All that really means though is, "this is how we're going to do the math." >>> A company is truly only worth its net worth: assets - liabilities. >> As assessed by whom and valued by what standard(s)? >> There is no "truly only worth", there is only an accepted value that has, presumably, been reasonably assessed by the person interested in buying. > Here's a hypothetical to illustrate. I have a company I started years ago. > We went public at some point in the past, and we have famous name and logo. > We have $20 billion in cash in the bank, but we have basically sold off > everything else and are not really doing business other than paying the > light bill every month. We have no assets aside from our $20 billion > in cash. Now the stockholders haven't really been paying attention to > our actual financials. They've just been buying and selling shares to > each other, and that has driven the share price up over time to where > our market cap is $100 billion. What kind of moron would want to buy > our company outright for the required $200 billion, when all we have > to our name is $20 billion in the bank? typo. should read "required $100 billion."
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It was bound to happen sooner or later "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-10 16:12 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Tomas <tgif9fri@numo.net> - 2015-04-10 16:15 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-10 16:29 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Tomas <tgif9fri@numo.net> - 2015-04-10 17:20 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Steve Carroll <fretwizzer@gmail.com> - 2015-04-10 13:33 -0700
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-10 22:07 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-10 19:20 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-11 00:19 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-11 09:08 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-11 14:45 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later DFS <nospam@dfs.com> - 2015-04-11 12:21 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-11 16:58 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later DFS <nospam@dfs.com> - 2015-04-11 22:00 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Steve Carroll <fretwizzer@gmail.com> - 2015-04-11 09:43 -0700
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-11 17:17 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-11 17:20 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Steve Carroll <fretwizzer@gmail.com> - 2015-04-11 11:58 -0700
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-11 20:02 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Steve Carroll <fretwizzer@gmail.com> - 2015-04-11 13:56 -0700
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-11 21:48 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-13 14:01 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Snit <usenet@gallopinginsanity.com> - 2015-04-13 11:21 -0700
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-13 19:24 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-13 16:04 -0400
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-13 20:35 +0000
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later Steve Carroll <fretwizzer@gmail.com> - 2015-04-13 14:13 -0700
Re: It was bound to happen sooner or later owl <owl@rooftop.invalid> - 2015-04-13 21:52 +0000
How many barrels of oil will the stock produce ? Jeff-Relf.Me <@.> - 2015-04-13 23:42 -0700
Re: How many barrels of oil will the stock produce ? "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-14 13:37 -0400
How many barrels of oil will the stock produce ? Jeff-Relf.Me <@.> - 2015-04-14 10:55 -0700
Re: How many barrels of oil will the stock produce ? "Ezekiel" <zeke@nosuchemail.com> - 2015-04-14 15:20 -0400
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