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Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality

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On Monday, August 3, 2015 at 6:52:47 AM UTC-7, Sam Wormley wrote:
> New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality
> > http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/new-study-narrows-gap-between-models-and-reality.html
> 
> 
> 
> > A new study led by a University of York scientist addresses an
> > important question in climate science: how accurate are climate model
> > projections? If temperature calculations for models are brought into
> > line with the way temperatures are calculated in the real world then
> > models and reality are brought closer together
> 
> > Abstract
> >
> > The level of agreement between climate model simulations and observed
> > surface temperature change is a topic of scientific and policy
> > concern. While the Earth system continues to accumulate energy due to
> > anthropogenic and other radiative forcings, estimates of recent
> > surface temperature evolution fall at the lower end of climate model
> > projections. Global mean temperatures from climate model simulations
> > are typically calculated using surface air temperatures, while the
> > corresponding observations are based on a blend of air and sea
> > surface temperatures. This work quantifies a systematic bias in
> > model-observation comparisons arising from differential warming rates
> > between sea surface temperatures and surface air temperatures over
> > oceans. A further bias arises from the treatment of temperatures in
> > regions where the sea ice boundary has changed. Applying the
> > methodology of the HadCRUT4 record to climate model temperature
> > fields accounts for 38% of the discrepancy in trend between models
> > and observations over the period 1975-2014.
> >
> > Citation
> >
> > Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended
> > land air and ocean sea surface temperatures by Kevin Cowtan, Zeke
> > Hausfather, Ed Hawkins, Peter Jacobs, Michael E. Mann, Sonya K.
> > Miller, Byron A. Steinman, Martin B. Stolpe and Robert G. Way,
> > published in Geophysical Research Letters, 2015; DOI:
> > 10.1002/2015GL064888
> >
> 
> 
> -- 
> 
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Global warming #1 is ocean temp.going #2 heavy air. #3 ice melting #4 ocean level going up. TreBert

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New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 08:52 -0500
  Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality gilber34 <invalid@invalid.com> - 2015-08-03 10:10 -0500
  Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 09:58 -0700
    Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality Double-A <double-a3@hush.com> - 2015-08-03 10:56 -0700
    Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality HVAC <Mr.HVAC@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 14:55 -0400
      Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality "hanson" <hanson@quick.net> - 2015-08-03 13:52 -0700
  Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-08-03 18:03 +0000

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