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Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality

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On 8/3/2015 8:52 AM, Sam Wormley wrote:
> New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality

>
>> Abstract
>>
>> The *level of agreement* between climate *model* *simulations* and observed
>> *surface temperature change* is a topic of scientific and policy
>> concern. While the Earth system continues to *accumulate* energy due to
>> anthropogenic and *other* *radiative forcings*, *estimates* of recent
>> surface temperature *evolution* fall at the lower end of climate model
>> *projections*. Global mean temperatures from climate *model* *simulations*
>> are typically calculated using *surface air temperatures*, while the
>> corresponding *observations* are based on a *blend* of air and sea
>> surface temperatures.

*weasel words*  not quantifiable, conjecture, judgemental, or not real

First Big Problem: they are using *surface air temperatures*. the mass 
difference between air and water/ground is 1,000 to 1.

Second Big Problem: The Models are Wrong. Real measurements blow them 
out of the water.

Third Big Problem: less than 0.1% of the earth surface is "measured", 
the rest of the data is "filled in" which is "guessed at", which leaves 
99.90 %  of the data is NOT MEASURED.

Fourth Big Problem:  at best they use averaged daily temperatures, 
disregarding the daily varance of (10 to 40 C), at worst they use yearly 
averaged temperatures and ignore the huge varance (30 to 70 C), then 
they average it all, and use that average to project future,  ignoreing 
the HUGE noise varance of already double and tripple averaged temperatures.

Conclusion:   "If you find a cockroach in a bowl of spaghetti, you don't 
look for another cockroach before you throw out the whole bowl of 
spaghetti."  --Dr Henry Lee, @ OJ Simpson trial

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New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 08:52 -0500
  Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality gilber34 <invalid@invalid.com> - 2015-08-03 10:10 -0500
  Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality "reber g=emc^2" <herbertglazier0@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 09:58 -0700
    Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality Double-A <double-a3@hush.com> - 2015-08-03 10:56 -0700
    Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality HVAC <Mr.HVAC@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 14:55 -0400
      Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality "hanson" <hanson@quick.net> - 2015-08-03 13:52 -0700
  Re: New Study Narrows Gap Between Models And Reality jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-08-03 18:03 +0000

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