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Groups > sci.physics > #560106 > unrolled thread

The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1.

Started byHenry Wilson <HGW@home.com>
First post2016-03-07 20:34 +0000
Last post2016-03-21 12:34 -0700
Articles 20 on this page of 80 — 14 participants

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Contents

  The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-07 20:34 +0000
    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. François Theobaldus <fraop@sshimown.org> - 2016-03-07 21:16 +0000
    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-07 15:29 -0600
      Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-08 17:15 +0000
        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-08 11:20 -0600
          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-09 13:21 +1100
            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-08 22:12 -0600
              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-09 19:23 +0000
                Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sylvia Else <sylvia@not.at.this.address> - 2016-03-17 19:29 +1100
                  Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Dingxiang Huizhong <dingx@consumerdomain.org> - 2016-03-17 16:23 +0000
        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sylvia Else <sylvia@not.at.this.address> - 2016-03-17 16:09 +1100
    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. "Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no> - 2016-03-07 22:42 +0100
      Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-08 17:11 +0000
        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-08 22:15 -0600
          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-09 19:10 +1100
            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-09 08:48 -0600
              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Luigi Durante <luigdu@jaccappo.org> - 2016-03-09 20:06 +0000
        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. "Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no> - 2016-03-09 21:59 +0100
          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-09 15:07 -0600
            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-10 09:15 +1100
              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-09 16:34 -0600
              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-10 09:32 -0600
                Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-12 19:27 +0000
                  Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-14 09:49 -0500
                    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hgw@...> - 2016-03-15 11:14 +1100
                      Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-15 07:53 -0500
          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Luigi Durante <luigdu@jaccappo.org> - 2016-03-09 21:14 +0000
          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-10 09:09 +1100
            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-09 16:13 -0600
            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. "Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no> - 2016-03-10 14:43 +0100
              EinsteinmaniA (the ideal that gravity is a primary force noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-10 19:15 -0800
                Re: EinsteinmaniA (the ideal that gravity is a primary force noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-10 23:01 -0800
              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-12 18:50 +0000
                Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. "Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no> - 2016-03-13 20:43 +0100
                  Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-14 09:59 +1100
                    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. "Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no> - 2016-03-14 13:39 +0100
                      Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hgw@...> - 2016-03-15 11:23 +1100
                        'slunars noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-14 19:46 -0700
                        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. "Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no> - 2016-03-15 23:20 +0100
                          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hgw@...> - 2016-03-16 10:20 +1100
                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. "Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no> - 2016-03-17 11:08 +0100
                          a. precession noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-15 16:29 -0700
                            a.p noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-16 14:14 -0700
                    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-14 10:15 -0500
                      herr doktor-professor e. noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-14 12:30 -0700
                      Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Henry Wilson <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-17 11:38 +0000
                        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-17 08:58 -0500
                          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hgw@...> - 2016-03-18 10:16 +1100
                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-17 21:07 -0500
                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-18 07:39 -0500
                              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-19 06:15 +1100
                                Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-18 15:37 -0500
                                  Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-20 03:38 +1100
                                    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-19 15:39 -0500
                                      Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-20 11:08 +1100
                                        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2016-03-20 18:22 +0000
                                          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-21 06:43 +1100
                                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-20 15:31 -0500
                                              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-21 08:17 +1100
                                                Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-20 16:39 -0500
                                              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Maciej Woźniak <mlwozniak@wp.pl> - 2016-03-20 22:28 +0100
                                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2016-03-20 21:11 +0000
                                              Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-21 08:20 +1100
                                                Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-20 16:42 -0500
                                                  Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-21 12:15 +1100
                                                    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-03-21 09:29 -0500
                                                Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2016-03-20 23:51 +0000
                                                  Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <HGW@home.com> - 2016-03-22 21:17 +1100
                                                    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-22 17:26 -0700
                                                    Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2016-03-23 05:00 +0000
                                                      Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hgw@...> - 2016-03-23 20:11 +1100
                                                        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2016-03-23 13:40 +0000
                                                          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-23 08:51 -0700
                                                          Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. HGW <hw@...> - 2016-03-24 08:50 +1100
                                                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-23 17:15 -0700
                                                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. moroney@world.std.spaamtrap.com (Michael Moroney) - 2016-03-24 15:11 +0000
                                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-21 09:42 -0500
                                        Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. Odd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com> - 2016-03-21 09:27 -0500
                            Re: The Einstein Conspiracy...Part 1. noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-21 11:57 -0700
                              query noTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com> - 2016-03-21 12:34 -0700

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#560952

FromOdd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-09 16:34 -0600
Message-ID<nbq8ck$blc$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#560949
On 3/9/2016 4:15 PM, HGW wrote:
> On 10/03/16 08:07, Odd Bodkin wrote:
>> On 3/9/2016 2:59 PM, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>
>>> Clemence calculations were based on 175 years of observations
>>> of Mercury. (10,000+ observations!)
>>>
>>> It is a measured _fact_ that the precession of the perihelion
>>> was (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs per century during these 175 years.
>>
>> Henry's position is that this measured result is impossible and
>> therefore it doesn't exist or can't be trusted. According to Henry, that
>> error bar must be wrong, because the precession was likely to be 5213
>> arcsec/century in one orbit, and 19348 arcsec/century in the next orbit,
>> and -238 arcsec/century in the next orbit, and 1598 arcsec/century in
>> the next orbit. Such a circumstance would make such a regular number as
>> (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs/century patently absurd.
>
> Finally Bodkin saw the light....

And yet....

>
> It doesn't occur to
>> Henry that the MEASURED regularity of the precession is much better than
>> what he thinks it SHOULD be. And so no measurement can be made to
>> overrule Henry's common sense.
>
> It might be better but that doesn't make it constant.

Nobody said constant. But pretty close to it. That's 1 part in 6000 
uncertainty, Henry. Not something that varies all over the place.

>
>>> The prediction of GR is:
>>> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
>>> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
>>> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
>
> What about the solar wind...and radiation pressure? It balances on the
> other half of the orbit but a shift of the axes has already occurred.
>

The number given is MEASURED. It's not all over the place.


-- 
Odd Bodkin --- maker of fine toys, tools, tables

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#561142

FromOdd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-10 09:32 -0600
Message-ID<nbs43a$u46$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#560949
On 3/9/2016 4:15 PM, HGW wrote:
> On 10/03/16 08:07, Odd Bodkin wrote:
>> On 3/9/2016 2:59 PM, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>
>>> Clemence calculations were based on 175 years of observations
>>> of Mercury. (10,000+ observations!)
>>>
>>> It is a measured _fact_ that the precession of the perihelion
>>> was (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs per century during these 175 years.
>>
>> Henry's position is that this measured result is impossible and
>> therefore it doesn't exist or can't be trusted. According to Henry, that
>> error bar must be wrong, because the precession was likely to be 5213
>> arcsec/century in one orbit, and 19348 arcsec/century in the next orbit,
>> and -238 arcsec/century in the next orbit, and 1598 arcsec/century in
>> the next orbit. Such a circumstance would make such a regular number as
>> (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs/century patently absurd.
>
> Finally Bodkin saw the light....
>
> It doesn't occur to
>> Henry that the MEASURED regularity of the precession is much better than
>> what he thinks it SHOULD be. And so no measurement can be made to
>> overrule Henry's common sense.
>
> It might be better but that doesn't make it constant.

Let's do some statistical analysis, Henry, something you surely learned 
as an undergraduate in Australia.

The orbital period of Mercury is 88 days. So in the interval of 175 
years where the measurements were taken, that's about 725 orbits, which 
is the size of our sample to measure the precession.

So let's say the 5599.74 +/- 1.2 arcsec/century is an average. Let's say 
that the precession varies chaotically from orbit to orbit with some 
standard deviation s. You claim s is large, so large in fact that in the 
course of 175 years, the precession value would surely have been 
negative at least once. But the relationship between the standard 
deviation s and the uncertainty in the mean is that the latter is 
s/sqrt(N) where N is the sample size. So s can at most be the 
uncertainty in the mean, multiplied by the square root of 725, or 27. So 
if the uncertainty in the mean is 1 part in 4700, then the standard 
deviation of the precession can be at most 1 part in 173, or about a 
half a percent. Given this, you can actually calculate the probability 
that the precession went negative at least once during the 175 years; 
that likelihood is about 1 in 38 trillion.

Since you didn't bother to exercise any of the skills you were taught as 
an undergraduate when you made the claim that the precession is chaotic 
and completely unpredictable, then your comment is completely 
dismissible, as are (in fact) just about all of your comments.

>
>>> The prediction of GR is:
>>> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
>>> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
>>> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
>
> What about the solar wind...and radiation pressure? It balances on the
> other half of the orbit but a shift of the axes has already occurred.
>


-- 
Odd Bodkin --- maker of fine toys, tools, tables

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#561925

FromHenry Wilson <HGW@home.com>
Date2016-03-12 19:27 +0000
Message-ID<nc1qj3$10am$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#561142
On Thu, 10 Mar 2016 09:32:59 -0600, Silly old bugger Odd Bodkin wrote:


>> Finally Bodkin saw the light....
>>
>> It doesn't occur to
>>> Henry that the MEASURED regularity of the precession is much better
>>> than what he thinks it SHOULD be. And so no measurement can be made to
>>> overrule Henry's common sense.
>>
>> It might be better but that doesn't make it constant.
> 
> Let's do some statistical analysis, Henry, something you surely learned
> as an undergraduate in Australia.
> 
> The orbital period of Mercury is 88 days. So in the interval of 175
> years where the measurements were taken, that's about 725 orbits, which
> is the size of our sample to measure the precession.
> 
> So let's say the 5599.74 +/- 1.2 arcsec/century is an average. Let's say
> that the precession varies chaotically from orbit to orbit with some
> standard deviation s. You claim s is large, so large in fact that in the
> course of 175 years, the precession value would surely have been
> negative at least once. But the relationship between the standard
> deviation s and the uncertainty in the mean is that the latter is
> s/sqrt(N) where N is the sample size. So s can at most be the
> uncertainty in the mean, multiplied by the square root of 725, or 27. So
> if the uncertainty in the mean is 1 part in 4700, then the standard
> deviation of the precession can be at most 1 part in 173, or about a
> half a percent. Given this, you can actually calculate the probability
> that the precession went negative at least once during the 175 years;
> that likelihood is about 1 in 38 trillion.
> 
> Since you didn't bother to exercise any of the skills you were taught as
> an undergraduate when you made the claim that the precession is chaotic
> and completely unpredictable, then your comment is completely
> dismissible, as are (in fact) just about all of your comments.
> 
> 
>>>> The prediction of GR is:
>>>> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
>>>> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
>>>> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century

Bodkin, you are sounding like a desperate man. Einstein knew nothing 
about chaotic behaviour and nor did anyone else at the time. The average 
value of Mercury's precession was based on a lot of readings that varied 
all over the place. The spread was believed to be due to measurement 
errors, not chaotic behaviour. Einstein claimed to be able to predict 
what he and his collaborators thought was a constant rate of precession. 
His equation is pure bullshit, designed to produce the answer he thought 
was correct.

What in your opinion Bodkin , is the cause of planetary precession?

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#562301

FromOdd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-14 09:49 -0500
Message-ID<nc6j1t$184n$2@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#561925
On 3/12/2016 1:27 PM, Henry Wilson wrote:
> On Thu, 10 Mar 2016 09:32:59 -0600, Silly old bugger Odd Bodkin wrote:
>
>
>>> Finally Bodkin saw the light....
>>>
>>> It doesn't occur to
>>>> Henry that the MEASURED regularity of the precession is much better
>>>> than what he thinks it SHOULD be. And so no measurement can be made to
>>>> overrule Henry's common sense.
>>>
>>> It might be better but that doesn't make it constant.
>>
>> Let's do some statistical analysis, Henry, something you surely learned
>> as an undergraduate in Australia.
>>
>> The orbital period of Mercury is 88 days. So in the interval of 175
>> years where the measurements were taken, that's about 725 orbits, which
>> is the size of our sample to measure the precession.
>>
>> So let's say the 5599.74 +/- 1.2 arcsec/century is an average. Let's say
>> that the precession varies chaotically from orbit to orbit with some
>> standard deviation s. You claim s is large, so large in fact that in the
>> course of 175 years, the precession value would surely have been
>> negative at least once. But the relationship between the standard
>> deviation s and the uncertainty in the mean is that the latter is
>> s/sqrt(N) where N is the sample size. So s can at most be the
>> uncertainty in the mean, multiplied by the square root of 725, or 27. So
>> if the uncertainty in the mean is 1 part in 4700, then the standard
>> deviation of the precession can be at most 1 part in 173, or about a
>> half a percent. Given this, you can actually calculate the probability
>> that the precession went negative at least once during the 175 years;
>> that likelihood is about 1 in 38 trillion.
>>
>> Since you didn't bother to exercise any of the skills you were taught as
>> an undergraduate when you made the claim that the precession is chaotic
>> and completely unpredictable, then your comment is completely
>> dismissible, as are (in fact) just about all of your comments.
>>
>>
>>>>> The prediction of GR is:
>>>>> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
>>>>> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
>>>>> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
>
> Bodkin, you are sounding like a desperate man. Einstein knew nothing
> about chaotic behaviour and nor did anyone else at the time.

Bullshit. Einstein's most cited work was statistical physics and the 
analysis of fluctuations.

> The average
> value of Mercury's precession was based on a lot of readings that varied
> all over the place.

Not so. See analysis above, which you ignored. That is, you ignored 
freshman-level statistical analysis.

> The spread was believed to be due to measurement
> errors, not chaotic behaviour. Einstein claimed to be able to predict
> what he and his collaborators thought was a constant rate of precession.
> His equation is pure bullshit, designed to produce the answer he thought
> was correct.
>
> What in your opinion Bodkin , is the cause of planetary precession?
>


-- 
Odd Bodkin --- maker of fine toys, tools, tables

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#562467

FromHGW <hgw@...>
Date2016-03-15 11:14 +1100
Message-ID<nc7k54$11m1$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#562301
On 15/03/2016 1:49 AM, Odd Bodkin wrote:

...an unusually large heap of crap.

Bodkin, instead of preaching your gospel, just produce the figures for 
Mercury's precession over the last 175 years and see how chaotic they are.

>> The spread was believed to be due to measurement
>> errors, not chaotic behaviour. Einstein claimed to be able to predict
>> what he and his collaborators thought was a constant rate of precession.
>> His equation is pure bullshit, designed to produce the answer he thought
>> was correct.
>>
>> What in your opinion Bodkin , is the cause of planetary precession?

......No answer from the scientific ignoramus....

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#562587

FromOdd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-15 07:53 -0500
Message-ID<nc90jo$nn0$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#562467
On 3/14/2016 7:14 PM, HGW wrote:
> On 15/03/2016 1:49 AM, Odd Bodkin wrote:
>
> ...an unusually large heap of crap.
>
> Bodkin, instead of preaching your gospel, just produce the figures for
> Mercury's precession over the last 175 years and see how chaotic they are.

Urbain LeVerrier, data set spanning 1697 to 1848. That's 750 data 
points. The maximal value of the spread in the values of those 750 data 
points is immediately inferrable from the quoted uncertainty in the 
mean, as I indicated.

No amount of fussing that it just cannot be so will be convincing, Henry.

If you want data, refer to
Clemence, G. M. (1947). "The Relativity Effect in Planetary Motions". 
Reviews of Modern Physics 19 (4): 361–364.

>
>>> The spread was believed to be due to measurement
>>> errors, not chaotic behaviour. Einstein claimed to be able to predict
>>> what he and his collaborators thought was a constant rate of precession.
>>> His equation is pure bullshit, designed to produce the answer he thought
>>> was correct.
>>>
>>> What in your opinion Bodkin , is the cause of planetary precession?
>
> ......No answer from the scientific ignoramus....
>


-- 
Odd Bodkin --- maker of fine toys, tools, tables

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#560932

FromLuigi Durante <luigdu@jaccappo.org>
Date2016-03-09 21:14 +0000
Message-ID<nbq3nc$3l6$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#560922
Paul B. Andersen wrote:

> Clemence calculations were based on 175 years of observations of
> Mercury. (10,000+ observations!)
> It is a measured _fact_ that the precession of the perihelion was
> (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs per century during these 175 years.

That precision was unachievable at that time. You are indulging yourself.

1 degree = 1° = 1/360 of a circle
1 arcminute = 1' = 1/60 of a degree
1 arcsecond = 1" = 1/60 of an arcminute = 1/3600 of a degree 

> The prediction of GR is:
> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century Sum:
>                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
> The difference is 0.47 arcsecs per century, well within the error bar.

You must be kidding, 0.47 measured by what and under what conditions? 
Indulging.

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#560945

FromHGW <hw@...>
Date2016-03-10 09:09 +1100
Message-ID<nbq6ub$9k4$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#560922
On 10/03/16 07:59, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
> On 08.03.2016 18:11, Henry Wilson wrote:
>> On Mon, 07 Mar 2016 22:42:00 +0100, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>>
>>> On 07.03.2016 21:34, Henry Wilson wrote:
>>>> Today's subject will be a simple one...the precession of Mercury.
>>>>
>>>> For centuries, nobody could properly explain that precession.
>>>
>>> But then came Einstein and got it right.
>>> https://paulba.no/paper/Clemence.pdf
>>
>> There is no 'right' answer. The precesssion is chaotic and unpredictable.
>> It might even go backwards. The solar wind is also a factor to be
>> considered in the case of highly elliptical orbits.
>> Einstein explained nothing. His name was simply linked to planetary
>> precession to make him look clever.
>
> Clemence calculations were based on 175 years of observations
> of Mercury. (10,000+ observations!)
>
> It is a measured _fact_ that the precession of the perihelion
> was (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs per century during these 175 years.

...an average, no doubt.
>
> The prediction of GR is:
> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
>
> The difference is 0.47 arcsecs per century, well within the error bar.

How about the difference between it and the other 175 years of 
observations...which were obviously all over the place?

Any theory that claims to have produced a constant precession rate is 
obviously pure bullshit. Linking the name Einstein with Mercury was 
indeed a smart piece of salesmanship...nobody understood chaotic 
processes at that time so they lapped up the idea.

> It is true that the precession of the perihelion for each single
> orbit of Mercury will vary depending on the constellations of
> the planets. But the long term average precession, when all
> planets have made several orbits, will be pretty stable.
> And this average is predictable, calculable _and_ calculated.
>
> It is quite nonsensical to claim that the long term average
> precession is unpredictable when real measurements in
> the real world show that it is as predicted by GR.

Chaotic behavior is unpredictable. Mercury's precession has no constant 
value. GR is again shown to be nothing but a farce.


>

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#560948

FromOdd Bodkin <bodkinodd@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-09 16:13 -0600
Message-ID<nbq75p$9v0$2@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#560945
On 3/9/2016 4:09 PM, HGW wrote:
> How about the difference between it and the other 175 years of
> observations...which were obviously all over the place?

Don't say obviously without the numbers, Ralph. Making things up and 
saying "Prove me wrong" is a children's game.

-- 
Odd Bodkin --- maker of fine toys, tools, tables

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#561121

From"Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no>
Date2016-03-10 14:43 +0100
Message-ID<nbrtmi$34k$1@news.albasani.net>
In reply to#560945
On 09.03.2016 23:09, HGW wrote:
> On 10/03/16 07:59, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>> On 08.03.2016 18:11, Henry Wilson wrote:
>>> On Mon, 07 Mar 2016 22:42:00 +0100, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>>>
>>>> On 07.03.2016 21:34, Henry Wilson wrote:
>>>>> Today's subject will be a simple one...the precession of Mercury.
>>>>>
>>>>> For centuries, nobody could properly explain that precession.
>>>>
>>>> But then came Einstein and got it right.
>>>> https://paulba.no/paper/Clemence.pdf
>>>
>>> There is no 'right' answer. The precesssion is chaotic and
>>> unpredictable.
>>> It might even go backwards. The solar wind is also a factor to be
>>> considered in the case of highly elliptical orbits.
>>> Einstein explained nothing. His name was simply linked to planetary
>>> precession to make him look clever.
>>
>> Clemence calculations were based on 175 years of observations
>> of Mercury. (10,000+ observations!)
>>
>> It is a measured _fact_ that the precession of the perihelion
>> was (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs per century during these 175 years.
>
> ...an average, no doubt.
>>
>> The prediction of GR is:
>> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
>> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
>> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
>>
>> The difference is 0.47 arcsecs per century, well within the error bar.
>
> How about the difference between it and the other 175 years of
> observations...which were obviously all over the place?

??? :-D

> Any theory that claims to have produced a constant precession rate is
> obviously pure bullshit. Linking the name Einstein with Mercury was
> indeed a smart piece of salesmanship...nobody understood chaotic
> processes at that time so they lapped up the idea.

Read this:

>> It is true that the precession of the perihelion for each single
>> orbit of Mercury will vary depending on the constellations of
>> the planets. But the long term average precession, when all
>> planets have made several orbits, will be pretty stable.
>> And this average is predictable, calculable _and_ calculated.
>>
>> It is quite nonsensical to claim that the long term average
>> precession is unpredictable when real measurements in
>> the real world show that it is as predicted by GR.
>
> Chaotic behavior is unpredictable. Mercury's precession has no constant
> value. GR is again shown to be nothing but a farce.

You are really something, Ralph! :-D

The facts are:
The observed  precession is: (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs per century
The predicted precession is: (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
The difference is 0.47 arcsecs per century

And from this you conclude:
Chaotic behavior is unpredictable.
Mercury's precession has no constant value.
GR is again shown to be nothing but a farce.

Well done Ralph! :-D

-- 
Paul

https://paulba.no/

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#561382 — EinsteinmaniA (the ideal that gravity is a primary force

FromnoTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-10 19:15 -0800
SubjectEinsteinmaniA (the ideal that gravity is a primary force
Message-ID<7108b783-1acc-4499-b109-fc8439070d87@googlegroups.com>
In reply to#561121
it's an interesting problem, since
the pulls of teh larger or\and closer planets tend
to integrate over time; iff
you can do any calculations, just do that

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#561436 — Re: EinsteinmaniA (the ideal that gravity is a primary force

FromnoTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-10 23:01 -0800
SubjectRe: EinsteinmaniA (the ideal that gravity is a primary force
Message-ID<698da0b0-128e-4e36-a0c2-6e4794a2f5b4@googlegroups.com>
In reply to#561382
of course, there ae also rational periodicities
with the mOOns and so on

> the pulls of teh larger or\and closer planets tend

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#561922

FromHenry Wilson <HGW@home.com>
Date2016-03-12 18:50 +0000
Message-ID<nc1odo$r6b$2@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#561121
On Thu, 10 Mar 2016 14:43:36 +0100, Paul B. Andersen wrote:

> On 09.03.2016 23:09, HGW wrote:


>> ...an average, no doubt.
>>>
>>> The prediction of GR is:
>>> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
>>> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
>>> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
>>>
>>> The difference is 0.47 arcsecs per century, well within the error bar.

The only fact that matters is that Einstein and his collaborators knew 
the answer they wanted before they manufactured a result they thought 
would stun the scientific world.

Chaotic behavior may have an average but no equation can predict each 
event. Einstein's claim is clearly a blatant example of scientific fraud. 

>>
>> How about the difference between it and the other 175 years of
>> observations...which were obviously all over the place?
> 
> ??? :-D
> 
>> Any theory that claims to have produced a constant precession rate is
>> obviously pure bullshit. Linking the name Einstein with Mercury was
>> indeed a smart piece of salesmanship...nobody understood chaotic
>> processes at that time so they lapped up the idea.
> 
> Read this:
> 
>>> It is true that the precession of the perihelion for each single orbit
>>> of Mercury will vary depending on the constellations of the planets.
>>> But the long term average precession, when all planets have made
>>> several orbits, will be pretty stable.
>>> And this average is predictable, calculable _and_ calculated.

Crap. Einstein and s collaborators believed it was constant.

>>> It is quite nonsensical to claim that the long term average precession
>>> is unpredictable when real measurements in the real world show that it
>>> is as predicted by GR.
>>
>> Chaotic behavior is unpredictable. Mercury's precession has no constant
>> value. GR is again shown to be nothing but a farce.
> 
> You are really something, Ralph! :-D
> 
> The facts are:
> The observed  precession is: (5599.74 +/- 1.2) arcsecs per century The
> predicted precession is: (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century The
> difference is 0.47 arcsecs per century

That is a measured average. Einstein believed it was constant and that 
his claim applied to each cycle. It is blatant fraud.


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#562148

From"Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no>
Date2016-03-13 20:43 +0100
Message-ID<nc4ft4$9qg$1@news.albasani.net>
In reply to#561922
On 12.03.2016 19:50, Henry Wilson wrote:
>
>>> Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>>>>
>>>> The prediction of GR is:
>>>> Pull from the other planets: (5557.18 +/- 0.85) arcsecs per century
>>>> Relativity effect:           (  43.03 +/- 0.03) arcsecs per century
>>>> Sum:                         (5600.21 +/- 0.88) arcsecs per century
>>>>
>>>> The difference is 0.47 arcsecs per century, well within the error bar.
>
> The only fact that matters is that Einstein and his collaborators knew
> the answer they wanted before they manufactured a result they thought
> would stun the scientific world.

Your address is wrong!
Einstein never calculated how the tug from the other planets
would affect the precession of the perihelion of Mercury.

It was Le Verrier who in 1859 calculated what the precession
according to Newtonian mechanics should be, and it was
Le Verrier who first analysed the observations of Mercury
and found what the observed precession per century was.
And despite the fact that he knew the answer he wanted,
he didn't manufacture the result he though would stun
the scientific world, quite the contrary, he published
the fact that Newtonian mechanics predicted 38.3"/century
less than what was observed.
This is the famous "anomalous precession of the perihelion
of Mercury".
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1104.0548v1
In 1947 Clemence calculated this "anomaly" to be ~43"/century
https://paulba.no/paper/Clemence.pdf

And ever since have relativity deniers over and over
recalculated what Newtonian mechanics predicts the precession
should be, but nobody has ever succeeded to make the 'anomaly'
go away, Newtonian mechanics predicts ~43"/per century to little.

All Einstein did was to calculate what GR predicts the precession
would be if the other planets weren't there, and GR's prediction
is ~43"/century. And this prediction is recalculated over and
over, also by relativity deniers who would like it to be wrong.
There is no question about it, GR predicts ~43"/century which
remove the 'anomaly'.

>
> Chaotic behavior may have an average but no equation can predict each
> event. Einstein's claim is clearly a blatant example of scientific fraud

Your address is still wrong!
You are accusing Le Verrier and all the other scientists who
calculated what Newtonian mechanics predicts for the precession
for fraud, but they were no frauds and neither were they so stupid
that they failed to understand that the precession of each orbit of
Mercury depend on the constellation of the planets, and will change
when the constellation changes.

Of course "the precession per century" is an average of
the precession of the 415 orbits during the century, nobody
has ever claimed otherwise, and you have to be pretty stupid
not to understand that much.

The precession of the perihelion of Mercury per century
is predictable, calculable and correctly predicted by Newtonian
mechanics, but for the 43"/century which are explained by GR.

-- 
Paul

https://paulba.no/

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#562168

FromHGW <hw@...>
Date2016-03-14 09:59 +1100
Message-ID<nc4rd0$s22$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#562148
On 14/03/16 06:43, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
> On 12.03.2016 19:50, Henry Wilson wrote:
>>
>>>> Paul B. Andersen wrote:

>
>>
>> Chaotic behavior may have an average but no equation can predict each
>> event. Einstein's claim is clearly a blatant example of scientific fraud
>
> Your address is still wrong!
> You are accusing Le Verrier and all the other scientists who
> calculated what Newtonian mechanics predicts for the precession
> for fraud, but they were no frauds and neither were they so stupid
> that they failed to understand that the precession of each orbit of
> Mercury depend on the constellation of the planets, and will change
> when the constellation changes.
>
> Of course "the precession per century" is an average of
> the precession of the 415 orbits during the century, nobody
> has ever claimed otherwise, and you have to be pretty stupid
> not to understand that much.
>
> The precession of the perihelion of Mercury per century
> is predictable, calculable and correctly predicted by Newtonian
> mechanics, but for the 43"/century which are explained by GR.

Wriggling wont help you. Einstein's equation gives one single answer.
He thought Mercury's precession was constant. If I hadn't told YOU it 
was chaotic nobody here would have known.
>

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#562288

From"Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no>
Date2016-03-14 13:39 +0100
Message-ID<nc6beo$pio$1@news.albasani.net>
In reply to#562168
On 13.03.2016 23:59, HGW wrote:
> On 14/03/16 06:43, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>> On 12.03.2016 19:50, Henry Wilson wrote:
>>>
>>> The only fact that matters is that Einstein and his collaborators knew
>>> the answer they wanted before they manufactured a result they thought
>>> would stun the scientific world.
>>
>> Your address is wrong!
>> Einstein never calculated how the tug from the other planets
>> would affect the precession of the perihelion of Mercury.
>>
>> It was Le Verrier who in 1859 calculated what the precession
>> according to Newtonian mechanics should be, and it was
>> Le Verrier who first analysed the observations of Mercury
>> and found what the observed precession per century was.
>> And despite the fact that he knew the answer he wanted,
>> he didn't manufacture the result he though would stun
>> the scientific world, quite the contrary, he published
>> the fact that Newtonian mechanics predicted 38.3"/century
>> less than what was observed.
>> This is the famous "anomalous precession of the perihelion
>> of Mercury".
>> http://arxiv.org/pdf/1104.0548v1
>> In 1947 Clemence calculated this "anomaly" to be ~43"/century
>> https://paulba.no/paper/Clemence.pdf
>>
>> And ever since have relativity deniers over and over
>> recalculated what Newtonian mechanics predicts the precession
>> should be, but nobody has ever succeeded to make the 'anomaly'
>> go away, Newtonian mechanics predicts ~43"/per century to little.
>>
>> All Einstein did was to calculate what GR predicts the precession
>> would be if the other planets weren't there, and GR's prediction
>> is ~43"/century. And this prediction is recalculated over and
>> over, also by relativity deniers who would like it to be wrong.
>> There is no question about it, GR predicts ~43"/century which
>> remove the 'anomaly'.
>>
>>> Chaotic behavior may have an average but no equation can predict each
>>> event. Einstein's claim is clearly a blatant example of scientific fraud
>>
>> Your address is still wrong!
>> You are accusing Le Verrier and all the other scientists who
>> calculated what Newtonian mechanics predicts for the precession
>> for fraud, but they were no frauds and neither were they so stupid
>> that they failed to understand that the precession of each orbit of
>> Mercury depend on the constellation of the planets, and will change
>> when the constellation changes.
>>
>> Of course "the precession per century" is an average of
>> the precession of the 415 orbits during the century, nobody
>> has ever claimed otherwise, and you have to be pretty stupid
>> not to understand that much.
>>
>> The precession of the perihelion of Mercury per century
>> is predictable, calculable and correctly predicted by Newtonian
>> mechanics, but for the 43"/century which are explained by GR.
>
> Einstein's equation gives one single answer.

Indeed it does.

So you have realized that you were wrong when you stated:
  <<
   The only fact that matters is that Einstein and his
   collaborators knew the answer they wanted before they
   manufactured a result they thought would stun
   the scientific world.
  >>

Einstein didn't 'manufacture the answer he wanted',
it isn't possible to make GR predict anything else
than the ~43"/century which is missing in
the Newtonian prediction for the precession caused
by the pull from the planets.

> He thought Mercury's precession was constant.

Yes, indeed, and he was right.
If the other planets weren't there, the precession of the perihelion
of Mercury would indeed be a steady 43"/415 per orbit.
Einstein didn't calculate any other precession.

(But he knew about Le Verrier's Newtonian prediction for
  the influence of the other planets, of course.)

> If I hadn't told YOU it  was chaotic nobody here would have known.

The precession of the perihelion of Mercury per century isn't chaotic,
it is predictable, calculable and correctly predicted by Newtonian
mechanics, but for the 43"/century which are explained by GR.

You are indeed something, Ralph. :-D
You keep insisting over and over that what is predicted
and found to be in accordance with real measurements
is unpredictable. :-D

Do you never open your eyes and see what real measurements
in the real world have to tell you? :-D

-- 
Paul

https://paulba.no/

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#562470

FromHGW <hgw@...>
Date2016-03-15 11:23 +1100
Message-ID<nc7klc$1288$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#562288
On 14/03/2016 11:39 PM, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
> On 13.03.2016 23:59, HGW wrote:

>>>
>>> The precession of the perihelion of Mercury per century
>>> is predictable, calculable and correctly predicted by Newtonian
>>> mechanics, but for the 43"/century which are explained by GR.
>>
>> Einstein's equation gives one single answer.
>
> Indeed it does.
>
> So you have realized that you were wrong when you stated:
>   <<
>    The only fact that matters is that Einstein and his
>    collaborators knew the answer they wanted before they
>    manufactured a result they thought would stun
>    the scientific world.
>   >>
>
> Einstein didn't 'manufacture the answer he wanted',
> it isn't possible to make GR predict anything else
> than the ~43"/century which is missing in
> the Newtonian prediction for the precession caused
> by the pull from the planets.
>
>> He thought Mercury's precession was constant.
>
> Yes, indeed, and he was right.
> If the other planets weren't there, the precession of the perihelion
> of Mercury would indeed be a steady 43"/415 per orbit.
> Einstein didn't calculate any other precession.

...and what in your and Einstein's opinion causes that steady precession?

> (But he knew about Le Verrier's Newtonian prediction for
>   the influence of the other planets, of course.)
>
>> If I hadn't told YOU it  was chaotic nobody here would have known.
>
> The precession of the perihelion of Mercury per century isn't chaotic,
> it is predictable, calculable and correctly predicted by Newtonian
> mechanics, but for the 43"/century which are explained by GR.

Figures please....175 years of them....where are they?


> You keep insisting over and over that what is predicted
> and found to be in accordance with real measurements
> is unpredictable. :-D

What was predicted was something that didn't actually happen but because 
nobody was in a position to argue, was sufficient to give Einstein's 
collaborators the publicity they were after.

> Do you never open your eyes and see what real measurements
> in the real world have to tell you? :-D

Where are the figure, Paul B
>

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#562496 — 'slunars

FromnoTthaTguY <abu.kuanysh05@gmail.com>
Date2016-03-14 19:46 -0700
Subject'slunars
Message-ID<94875e7a-8ed0-48d2-934a-536c825f89eb@googlegroups.com>
In reply to#562470
it is not even a problem of celestial mechanics,
since it would obviously tend to average out,
in terms also of Mercuyy's effect
upon all of the other planets (and
their mOOns

> Where are the figure, Paul B
> >

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#562711

From"Paul B. Andersen" <relativity@paulba.no>
Date2016-03-15 23:20 +0100
Message-ID<nca1ru$uc8$1@news.albasani.net>
In reply to#562470
On 15.03.2016 01:23, HGW wrote:
> On 14/03/2016 11:39 PM, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
>> On 13.03.2016 23:59, HGW wrote:
>>>
>>> Einstein's equation gives one single answer.
>>
>> Indeed it does.
>>
>> So you have realized that you were wrong when you stated:
>>   <<
>>    The only fact that matters is that Einstein and his
>>    collaborators knew the answer they wanted before they
>>    manufactured a result they thought would stun
>>    the scientific world.
>>   >>
>>
>> Einstein didn't 'manufacture the answer he wanted',
>> it isn't possible to make GR predict anything else
>> than the ~43"/century which is missing in
>> the Newtonian prediction for the precession caused
>> by the pull from the planets.
>>
>>> He thought Mercury's precession was constant.
>>
>> Yes, indeed, and he was right.
>> If the other planets weren't there, the precession of the perihelion
>> of Mercury would indeed be a steady 43"/415 per orbit.
>> Einstein didn't calculate any other precession.
>> (But he knew about Le Verrier's Newtonian prediction for
>>   the influence of the other planets, of course.)
>>
>>> If I hadn't told YOU it  was chaotic nobody here would have known.
>>
>> The precession of the perihelion of Mercury per century isn't chaotic,
>> it is predictable, calculable and correctly predicted by Newtonian
>> mechanics, but for the 43"/century which are explained by GR.
>
> Figures please....175 years of them....where are they?

How ignorant are you? :-D

At Greenwich they observed the meridian passages for
just about every visible astronomical object, including
planets, every night for centuries, and in later times
the observations of the of all the planets are innumerable.

You must be incredible stupid if you fail to understand
that in 2016 the orbits of all the planets are extremely
well known, and that includes their apsidal precession.

The records are accessible for anybody who is interested.

You are of course referring to the 175 years of
observations of Mercury used by Clemence.
https://paulba.no/paper/Clemence.pdf

If you think Clemence faked the data, you are free to
analyse the data yourself and show that his conclusions
are wrong. The data are equally accessible for you
as they were for Clemence, but I will not dig them up for you.

>> You are indeed something, Ralph. :-D
>> You keep insisting over and over that what is predicted
>> and found to be in accordance with real measurements
>> is unpredictable. :-D
>
> What was predicted was something that didn't actually happen but because
> nobody was in a position to argue, was sufficient to give Einstein's
> collaborators the publicity they were after.

https://paulba.no/div/Ralph_listening.pdf

>> Do you never open your eyes and see what real measurements
>> in the real world have to tell you? :-D
>
> Where are the figure, Paul B

http://tdc-www.harvard.edu/astro.data.html

-- 
Paul

https://paulba.no/

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#562719

FromHGW <hgw@...>
Date2016-03-16 10:20 +1100
Message-ID<nca5cd$lm8$1@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#562711
On 16/03/2016 9:20 AM, Paul B. Andersen wrote:
> On 15.03.2016 01:23, HGW wrote:


>
> The records are accessible for anybody who is interested.
>
> You are of course referring to the 175 years of
> observations of Mercury used by Clemence.
> https://paulba.no/paper/Clemence.pdf

What a blatant load of biased dingleberry crap. The only thing I learned 
from that paper is that it is virtually impossible to measure Mercury's 
precession with any certainty.

> If you think Clemence faked the data, you are free to
> analyse the data yourself and show that his conclusions
> are wrong. The data are equally accessible for you
> as they were for Clemence, but I will not dig them up for you.
>

> https://paulba.no/div/Ralph_listening.pdf

http://www.scisite.info/paulsfactory.jpg

>>> Do you never open your eyes and see what real measurements
>>> in the real world have to tell you? :-D
>>
>> Where are the figure, Paul B
>
> http://tdc-www.harvard.edu/astro.data.html

...very funny Paul B..

>

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