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| Started by | "Robert Clark" <rgregoryclark@gmSPAMBLOACKail.com> |
|---|---|
| First post | 2015-07-30 11:12 -0400 |
| Last post | 2015-08-08 12:07 -0500 |
| Articles | 20 on this page of 53 — 12 participants |
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Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won’t notice) "Robert Clark" <rgregoryclark@gmSPAMBLOACKail.com> - 2015-07-30 11:12 -0400
Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won’t notice) jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-02 12:05 +0200
Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won’t notice) HVAC <Mr.HVAC@gmail.com> - 2015-08-02 06:58 -0400
Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won’t notice) dsr@mail.lns.cornell.edu (Daniel S. Riley) - 2015-08-02 12:53 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-03 00:12 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-02 19:57 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-03 10:40 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-03 08:03 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-03 14:37 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 13:28 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-03 14:41 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-03 22:40 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on HVAC <Mr.HVAC@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 06:48 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-03 14:51 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Fred J. McCall <fjmccall@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 08:18 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-03 13:35 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-03 20:37 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-03 22:40 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 02:51 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 02:23 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 00:01 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 13:35 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-05 03:43 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-07 01:21 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-07 12:50 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-07 13:23 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 00:43 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-04 08:30 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 14:07 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-05 03:46 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-05 08:51 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-05 20:23 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-06 02:04 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-05 23:42 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-08 09:25 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-10 02:22 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-10 09:34 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on benj <nobody@gmail.com> - 2015-08-10 10:37 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on HVAC <Mr.HVAC@gmail.com> - 2015-08-10 13:55 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-12 01:05 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-12 11:17 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-12 05:44 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on "kquirici@yahoo.com" <kquirici@yahoo.com> - 2015-08-12 05:19 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-08-12 08:05 -0500
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-13 02:34 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-05 22:23 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Snidely <snidely.too@gmail.com> - 2015-08-04 00:45 -0700
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> - 2015-08-04 09:52 +0200
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> - 2015-08-04 08:55 -0400
Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on Alain Fournier <alain245@videotron.ca> - 2015-08-04 19:28 -0400
Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won’t notice) "Robert Clark" <rgregoryclark@gmSPAMBLOACKail.com> - 2015-08-08 10:56 -0400
Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won?t notice) R Kym Horsell <kym@kymhorsell.com> - 2015-08-08 15:19 +0000
Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won?t notice) Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-08-08 12:07 -0500
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| From | "Robert Clark" <rgregoryclark@gmSPAMBLOACKail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-07-30 11:12 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won’t notice) |
| Message-ID | <mpdeop$b28$1@dont-email.me> |
You cited previously a heat imbalance due to global warming of 0.58 W/m^2. But about this recent research, you say the Sun's radiance can vary 0.1%: > No, we aren't heading into a 'mini ice age' > http://phys.org/news/2015-07-mini-iceage.html > Wouldn't it be great if scientists could make their minds up? One > minute they're telling us our planet is warming up due to human > activity and we run the risk of potentially devastating environmental > change. Next, they're warning that the Earth is heading for a mini > ice age in the next 15 years. > The latter headline has its roots in a recent press release from the > UK's National Astronomy Meeting that reported on a study suggesting > the sun is heading towards a period of very low output. > Fluctuations in solar activity are not a new discovery. The 11-year > variation in the number of dark sunspots on the solar surface was > discovered more than 150 years ago. We now understand that these > spots are symptoms of increased magnetic activity and occur during > periods when explosive outbursts of energy and material such as solar > flares and coronal mass ejections are more frequent. > The scientists behind the new research have modelled the rhythmic > variations in solar activity over recent decades and predict that a > deep low is due between 2030 and 2040. Specifically, the press > release suggests that this dip in activity could mark a return to > quiet solar conditions not seen for more than 350 years. > How is this astronomy story related to an impending ice age? The > period of low solar activity in the 17th century, known as the > Maunder minimum, lasted about 70 years and roughly coincided with the > "Little Ice Age", a era characterised by an abnormally high number of > harsh winters across the UK and Europe. As almost all newspaper > stories have reported, during several particularly cold winters the > Thames froze, enabling frost fairs to be held on the ice. > Given the apparently strong link between low solar activity and the > Little Ice Age reported in the press, it's understandable that the > prospect of a return to Maunder minimum conditions has stimulated a > lot of interest. > But the *real issue is just how strong this influence is compared* to > other factors. The total solar irradiance, a measure of the power > produced by the sun in the form of electromagnetic radiation, varies > by only about 0.1% over the course of the 11-year solar cycle. > Climate scientists have understood this effect for some time and it > is already built into the computer models that are used to try and > forecast our climate. The computer models describing current climate don't plug in a *continual* reduction in the solar output by 0.1% obviously because that hasn't been seen for 350 years. Note also that since the Sun's irradiance at the Earth is about 1,000 W/m^2, a drop of 0.1% would be about 1 W/m^2, about twice as large as that heat imbalance you cite. And just as that heat imbalance over years can build up to increase the overall temperature, a *continual* heat drop will combine over several years to decrease the overall temperature. Also, the professor Zharkova presenting this new model of solar activity suggests actually the irradiance drop during the Little Ice Age was 3 W/m^2 and she infers the upcoming drop will be similar to this. See the link to a audio interview with her here: http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/201762133/uk-scientist-suggests-a-mini-ice-age-be-upon-us IF the irradiance drop really is that great that would be far outside what the current models consider and would be well above what the current heat imbalance is. Interestingly, at the end of the interview the professor mentions also global warming indications seen on other planets. This gives credence to the idea of a solar influence in the global warming we are currently seeing. Bob Clark ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- A mission to Europa could result in the most important scientific advance in human history, dwarfing even the Apollo missions, to discover life on another world. By commercial space, launch and spacecraft costs can be slashed by a factor of 10 or more. This would be a cost that could be financed privately. And at costs this low it can even be done at a profit: Low cost Europa lander missions. http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2015/02/low-cost-europa-lander-missions.html ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- "Sam Wormley" wrote in message news:N5OdnXN5GOdA9jXInZ2dnUU7-RUAAAAA@giganews.com... On 7/16/15 4:57 PM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote: > Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote: >> The Maunder Minimum is back! (Maybe. And we probably won?t notice) > > If it happens, we will notice. > > One thing that will be hard to ignore is the screams of the true > believers in "global warming" which have done so much to destroy > modern life as they are dragged out into the streets to be tared and > feathered. We will definitely notice the lack of sun spots, and a quieter sun. However, the earth is absorbing more energy from the sun than it's giving up due to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. The excess energy that the planet is absorbing is enormous. The total energy imbalance now is 0.58 ± 0.15 W/m^2. Given the resulting warming of the earth, it is doubtful that anyone would notice a cooling effect in northern Europe as was witnessed several centuries ago, due to an extended solar minimum. -- sci.physics is an unmoderated newsgroup dedicated to the discussion of physics, news from the physics community, and physics-related social issues. --- This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. https://www.avast.com/antivirus
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| From | jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-02 12:05 +0200 |
| Message-ID | <mpkq0v$bja$1@speranza.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #510339 |
Le 30/07/2015 17:12, Robert Clark a écrit : > Interestingly, at the end of the interview the professor mentions also > global warming indications seen on other planets. This gives credence to > the idea of a solar influence in the global warming we are currently > seeing. Yes. It is the sun, cosmic rays, ANYTHING but Exxon, Shell, BP or other industries, that we NEED. Let's go on polluting since it is the best solution to our problems. DO NOTHING. Preserve the status quo that benefits Exxon, Shell, BP and all of our friends in the coal industry. There is global warming on Mars, Jupiter, Pluto. It is the sun, and against the sun we can't do anything. Just go on distributing public money to Exxon, Shell, BP. Repel the clean air act. Who needs clean air? Only green idiots, that do not like free entreprise, with hidden agendas of destroying our nation will still complain about pollution and CO2 levels. Your sincerely
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| From | HVAC <Mr.HVAC@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-02 06:58 -0400 |
| Message-ID | <mpkt03$s40$1@dont-email.me> |
| In reply to | #510819 |
On 8/2/2015 6:05 AM, jacob navia wrote: > > Yes. It is the sun, cosmic rays, ANYTHING but Exxon, Shell, BP or other > industries, that we NEED. > > Let's go on polluting since it is the best solution to our problems. DO > NOTHING. Preserve the status quo that benefits Exxon, Shell, BP and all > of our friends in the coal industry. > > There is global warming on Mars, Jupiter, Pluto. It is the sun, and > against the sun we can't do anything. Just go on distributing public > money to Exxon, Shell, BP. Repel the clean air act. Who needs clean air? > > Only green idiots, that do not like free entreprise, with hidden agendas > of destroying our nation will still complain about pollution > and CO2 levels. Ever human should be a 'green idiot' in my opinion. We all live here. I think you will find very few people who are in favor of dumping shit into our air and water. Keeping the US air and water clean is equally as important as keeping our military the best. So Hail Satan and have a nice day -- Cut off one head, two more shall take its place. HAIL HYDRA! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZcG5UOY224
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| From | dsr@mail.lns.cornell.edu (Daniel S. Riley) |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-02 12:53 -0400 |
| Message-ID | <shwpxd7hu3.fsf@lnxcu9.classe.cornell.edu> |
| In reply to | #510339 |
"Robert Clark" <rgregoryclark@gmSPAMBLOACKail.com> writes: > The computer models describing current climate don't plug in a > *continual* reduction in the solar output by 0.1% obviously because > that hasn't been seen for 350 years. Actually, this has been modeled. Understanding past climatic changes and how similar events would change modern climate has lot of interest. Plus, this is far from the first prediction that we're heading for a new "Maunder Minimum", so it's hard to understand why this prediction is getting so much attention. We'll have to wait for the paper and observations to see if Zharkova's model is any more successful. > Note also that since the Sun's irradiance at the Earth is about 1,000 > W/m^2, a drop of 0.1% would be about 1 W/m^2, about twice as large as > that heat imbalance you cite. > > And just as that heat imbalance over years can build up to increase > the overall temperature, a *continual* heat drop will combine over > several years to decrease the overall temperature. > > Also, the professor Zharkova presenting this new model of solar > activity suggests actually the irradiance drop during the Little Ice > Age was 3 W/m^2 and she infers the upcoming drop will be similar to > this. > > IF the irradiance drop really is that great that would be far outside > what the current models consider and would be well above what the > current heat imbalance is. There's some apples vs. bushels of oranges problems here. First, irradiance and forcing aren't the same. TSI (irradiance) is the radiation arriving at the disc defined by the earth's outline, forcing is averaged over the surface and is reduced by the amount reflected back into space. 3 W/m^2 drop in TSI comes out to around 0.5 W/m^2 drop in solar forcing, about the same size as the current heat imbalance. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth%27s_energy_budget https://andthentheresphysics.wordpress.com/2015/07/12/mini-ice-age/ Secondly, the heat imbalance isn't the total AGW forcing, you might think of it as the delayed component because the earth doesn't react instantaneously to changes in forcing. Total change in AGW forcing since 1970 is close to 2 W/m^2 and continuing to rise. A new grand minimum might offset 25% of warming so far, likely less, consistent with an offset of no more than -0.3C from the models. Warming would continue since AGW forcing is continuing to grow, and, if Zharkova's model is correct, we get a corresponding jump up after 3 solar cycles when the sun returns to normal. For examples of some recent models with grand minimum TSI reductions: "On the effect of a new grand minimum of solar activity on the future climate on Earth" Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L05707, doi:10.1029/2010GL042710. discussed here: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2011/06/what-if-the-sun-went-into-a-new-grand-minimum/ also "Regional climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum" http://www.nature.com/ncomms/2015/150623/ncomms8535/full/ncomms8535.html "What influence will future solar activity changes over the 21st century have on projected global near-surface temperature changes?" J. Geophys. Res., 117, D05103, doi:10.1029/2011JD017013 cached: http://www.leif.org/EOS/2011JD017013.pdf > Interestingly, at the end of the interview the professor mentions also > global warming indications seen on other planets. Tired old talking points, clearly outside her area of research. Nothing new. -dan
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| From | jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 00:12 +0200 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <mpm4ka$dms$3@speranza.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #510832 |
Dry Days Bring Ferocious Start to Fire Season WALLA WALLA, Wash. — Another summer of record-breaking drought and heat has seized the West, setting off costly and destructive wildfires from Southern California, where a single blaze burned more than 30,000 acres of national forest east of Los Angeles, to Montana, where a fast-moving fire in Glacier National Park recently forced tourists to flee hotels, campgrounds and vehicles. No measurable rain has fallen here in Walla Walla since May. Temperatures have broken decades-old records. And, though known for soaking skies and cool summers, Washington State is well on track to surpass last year’s wildfire season, its busiest on record. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/02/us/dry-days-in-west-bring-ferocious- start-to-fire-season.html?&moduleDetail=section-news-0&action=click& contentCollection=U.S.®ion=Footer&module=MoreInSection& version=WhatsNext&contentID=WhatsNext&pgtype=article
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| From | Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-02 19:57 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <uhbtratam569ib296uesf1upn9jed0p36s@4ax.com> |
| In reply to | #510845 |
On Mon, 3 Aug 2015 00:12:28 +0200, jacob navia wrote: >Dry Days Bring Ferocious Start to Fire Season > >WALLA WALLA, Wash. — Another summer of record-breaking drought and heat >has seized the West, setting off costly and destructive wildfires from >Southern California, where a single blaze burned more than 30,000 acres >of national forest east of Los Angeles, to Montana, where a fast-moving >fire in Glacier National Park recently forced tourists to flee hotels, >campgrounds and vehicles. > >No measurable rain has fallen here in Walla Walla since May. >Temperatures have broken decades-old records. What caused the drought those decades ago? Was it SUVs? >And, though known for >soaking skies and cool summers, Washington State is well on track to >surpass last year’s wildfire season, its busiest on record. > >http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/02/us/dry-days-in-west-bring-ferocious- >start-to-fire-season.html?&moduleDetail=section-news-0&action=click& >contentCollection=U.S.®ion=Footer&module=MoreInSection& >version=WhatsNext&contentID=WhatsNext&pgtype=article
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| From | jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 10:40 +0200 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <mpn9cs$kkt$1@speranza.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #510881 |
Le 03/08/2015 01:57, Wally W. a écrit : > > What caused the drought those decades ago? > > Was it SUVs? > Of course NOT! That is the PROOF! Just go on with all SUVs! Global warming is a FAKE! Those droughts happened 80 million years ago even worst than today. The whole Cretaceous was a very long summer. P.S. Normal temperature variations produces droughts and moist years. In the long run those temperature/humidity variations average out. During global warming however, you have ONLY droughts, and no moist years! But it is impossible to try to prove anything to the deniers. They will go on driving their SUVs until death meets them.
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| From | Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 08:03 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <fflurat2qoj224k352plu9s85g58jd3i8h@4ax.com> |
| In reply to | #510907 |
On Mon, 3 Aug 2015 10:40:02 +0200, jacob navia wrote: >Le 03/08/2015 01:57, Wally W. a écrit : >> >> What caused the drought those decades ago? >> >> Was it SUVs? >> > > >Of course NOT! > >That is the PROOF! Just go on with all SUVs! Global warming is a FAKE! >Those droughts happened 80 million years ago even worst than today. > >The whole Cretaceous was a very long summer. > > >P.S. >Normal temperature variations produces droughts and moist years. In the >long run those temperature/humidity variations average out. > >During global warming however, you have ONLY droughts, and no moist years! But global warming increases the average amount of moisture in the air. That moisture falls somewhere. So maybe places that *had* droughts have been relieved from those droughts by some small part of the 'A' in AGW. Never mind the tautology that climate change can't happen without weather outside the norms, and that climate change has been happening for billions of years. If weather stayed inside the norms for the current climate, the climate wouldn't be changing. You are missing part of the alarmists' narrative: *A*GW ... err ... Climate Change causes "extreme weather," which includes droughts and floods. IOW: "Global-warming explains everything, its opposite and even, if needed, the absence of any remarkable pattern." >But it is impossible to try to prove anything to the deniers. So cultists will continue "proving" to the unthinking masses that the sky is falling and we're all gonna die because Western civilization is spewing evil CO2. Never mind how much CO2 is spewed by China. > They will >go on driving their SUVs until death meets them. Being a greenie is a ticket to immortality? Do greenies not need to wait until the afterlife to be rewarded with 70 virgins for killing infidels?
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| From | jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 14:37 +0200 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <mpnn9i$lgt$1@speranza.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #510918 |
Le 03/08/2015 14:03, Wally W. a écrit : >> During global warming however, you have ONLY droughts, and no moist years! > But global warming increases the average amount of moisture in the > air. That moisture falls somewhere. > > So maybe places that*had* droughts have been relieved from those > droughts by some small part of the 'A' in AGW. For an answer to your question: http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/staff/trenbert/trenberth.papers/GLOB_CHANGE/extremes.html <quote> The above arguments suggest that there is not such a clear expectation on how local total precipitation amounts should change, except as an overall global average. With higher average temperatures in winter expected, more precipitation is likely to fall in the form of rain rather than snow, which will increase both soil moisture and run off. In addition, faster snow melt in spring is likely to aggravate springtime flooding. In other places, complicated patterns of precipitation change should occur where storm tracks shift. Where the storms previously tracked gets drier and where they shift to becomes wetter. Beyond this, it is suggested that examining moisture content, rainfall rates and frequency of precipitation and how they change with climate change may be more important and fruitful than just examining precipitation amounts in understanding what is happening, both in the real world and in climate models. But many data analyses are not done to illuminate these aspects. To be compatible with life times of significant rain events, yet still deal with whole storms rather than individual rain cells, examination of hourly precipitation data are recommended. Such data are also retrievable from climate models. <end quote> But please do not forget this: Water vapour is a potent greenhouse gas! http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/08/14/1321481/-Global-Warming-is-increasing-moisture-in-Earth-s-atmosphere-driving-Mother-of-all-Feedback-Loops#
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| From | benj <nobody@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 13:28 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <4xNvx.41708$zc2.25609@fx06.iad> |
| In reply to | #510920 |
On 08/03/2015 08:37 AM, jacob navia wrote:
> Le 03/08/2015 14:03, Wally W. a écrit :
>>> During global warming however, you have ONLY droughts, and no moist
>>> years!
>> But global warming increases the average amount of moisture in the
>> air. That moisture falls somewhere.
>>
>> So maybe places that*had* droughts have been relieved from those
>> droughts by some small part of the 'A' in AGW.
>
> For an answer to your question:
> http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/staff/trenbert/trenberth.papers/GLOB_CHANGE/extremes.html
>
>
> <quote>
> The above arguments suggest that there is not such a clear expectation
> on how local total precipitation amounts should change, except as an
> overall global average. With higher average temperatures in winter
> expected, more precipitation is likely to fall in the form of rain
> rather than snow, which will increase both soil moisture and run off. In
> addition, faster snow melt in spring is likely to aggravate springtime
> flooding. In other places, complicated patterns of precipitation change
> should occur where storm tracks shift. Where the storms previously
> tracked gets drier and where they shift to becomes wetter. Beyond this,
> it is suggested that examining moisture content, rainfall rates and
> frequency of precipitation and how they change with climate change may
> be more important and fruitful than just examining precipitation amounts
> in understanding what is happening, both in the real world and in
> climate models. But many data analyses are not done to illuminate these
> aspects. To be compatible with life times of significant rain events,
> yet still deal with whole storms rather than individual rain cells,
> examination of hourly precipitation data are recommended. Such data are
> also retrievable from climate models.
> <end quote>
>
> But please do not forget this:
>
> Water vapour is a potent greenhouse gas!
>
> http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/08/14/1321481/-Global-Warming-is-increasing-moisture-in-Earth-s-atmosphere-driving-Mother-of-all-Feedback-Loops#
So Science says that drought is saving the planet from death by global
warming! Nature moves in mysterious ways!
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| From | jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 14:41 +0200 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <mpnni8$m6c$1@speranza.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #510918 |
Le 03/08/2015 14:03, Wally W. a écrit : > Never mind the tautology that climate change can't happen without > weather outside the norms, and that climate change has been happening > for billions of years. Exactly. Billions of years of climate change. And since there wasn't any people to get worried, animals went exctinct, just disappeared, like, for instance, the mammoth that did not resist the end of the ice ages. So, probably, humans will disappear and the weather will bounce back to normal after the peak of carbon they produced is absorbed by the oceans, in a few hundred thousand years. Other animals, less specialized and more intelligent than humans will take over. Let's remember that primates were a big rat, 64 million years ago. In some million years, the descendants of the rats could be wondering if it is wise to burn so much oil...
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| From | Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 22:40 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <sp80sa54jgdk9ksdcfb5tm4ego9fi7ppur@4ax.com> |
| In reply to | #510921 |
On Mon, 3 Aug 2015 14:41:51 +0200, jacob navia wrote: >Le 03/08/2015 14:03, Wally W. a écrit : >> Never mind the tautology that climate change can't happen without >> weather outside the norms, and that climate change has been happening >> for billions of years. > >Exactly. Billions of years of climate change. And since there wasn't any >people to get worried, animals went exctinct, just disappeared, like, >for instance, the mammoth that did not resist the end of the ice ages. If all the animals that went extinct were still around, how much room would there be for us? How many of us would be eaten by T-rexes, etc.? What you have had us do to save the mammoth? How many sabre tooth tigers do you wish were nesting within five miles of you? How would you like to see these on the road? https://www.pinterest.com/pin/521150988103814927/ Saber Tooth Tiger Street Crossing Sign >So, probably, humans will disappear and the weather will bounce back to >normal What is "normal" weather for the *planet*? Do you think it will settle into one world-wide climate? >after the peak of carbon they produced is absorbed by the oceans, >in a few hundred thousand years. > >Other animals, less specialized and more intelligent than humans will >take over. Would that be "better?" >Let's remember that primates were a big rat, 64 million years ago. This sounds like a misanthropic point of view. >In >some million years, the descendants of the rats could be wondering if it >is wise to burn so much oil... Of course we should burn less oil. It is a valuable chemical feedstock. Burning it is not the best use in the long run. Which is why we should be building nuclear power plants. We can't make plastic from uranium.
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| From | HVAC <Mr.HVAC@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-04 06:48 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <mpq57c$gr1$1@dont-email.me> |
| In reply to | #511091 |
On 8/3/2015 10:40 PM, Wally W. wrote: > >> Let's remember that primates were a big rat, 64 million years ago. > > This sounds like a misanthropic point of view. > >> In >> some million years, the descendants of the rats could be wondering if it >> is wise to burn so much oil... > > Of course we should burn less oil. It is a valuable chemical > feedstock. Burning it is not the best use in the long run. > > Which is why we should be building nuclear power plants. We can't make > plastic from uranium. I could not agree more Wally. Nuclear power is our best hope for the near future. I think of the lost opportunity that passed when Obama came into office. If instead of squandering that trillion dollar stimulus, he had invested with a goal to build 50 new nuclear power stations over the next 20 years, we would be well on our way to a future free from the carbon based energy economy we have become dependent on. Not to mention all the jobs it would have created. -- Cut off one head, two more shall take its place. HAIL HYDRA! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZcG5UOY224
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| From | jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 14:51 +0200 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <mpno3m$nic$1@speranza.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #510918 |
Le 03/08/2015 14:03, Wally W. a écrit : > You are missing part of the alarmists' narrative: *A*GW ... err ... > Climate Change causes "extreme weather," which includes droughts and > floods. > > IOW: "Global-warming explains everything, its opposite and even, if > needed, the absence of any remarkable pattern." Obviously the fact that the planet has never seen the heat wave that is happening now since millions of years doesn't worry you. All the facts that NASA publishes each year. Read for instance the National Resources Defence Council (http://www.nrdc.org/globalwarming/), or NASA (http://climate.nasa.gov) or the concerned scientists (http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming#.Vb9i63hSA7Q) or even the National Geographic organization: http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/ ALL those people are... "... cultists will continue "proving" to the unthinking masses that the sky is falling and we're all gonna die because Western civilization is spewing evil CO2." They are ALL wrong! They have no data! Just let's GO ON AS USUAL, do not DO anything. The profits of Exxon, Shell, and coal industry are SACRED (even more sacred than cows in India)
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| From | Fred J. McCall <fjmccall@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 08:18 -0700 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <vd1vra54um52ni4llikivjfvn6pv4v6m9a@4ax.com> |
| In reply to | #510924 |
jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> wrote:
>
>Just let's GO ON AS USUAL, do not DO anything. The profits of Exxon,
>Shell, and coal industry are SACRED (even more sacred than cows in India)
>
When you don't have a model for what's going on that works (and we
don't), what do you suggest we do? Remember that anything we do is
going to expend wealth that we might need later to do something else.
The philosophy of your lot seems to be to do something without regard
for whether it makes any difference at all. So you expend the wealth
and when we find something that would actually matter we can't do it
anymore.
--
"Some people get lost in thought because it's such unfamiliar
territory."
--G. Behn
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| From | benj <nobody@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 13:35 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <PDNvx.32203$et.22264@fx05.iad> |
| In reply to | #510924 |
On 08/03/2015 08:51 AM, jacob navia wrote:
> Le 03/08/2015 14:03, Wally W. a écrit :
>> You are missing part of the alarmists' narrative: *A*GW ... err ...
>> Climate Change causes "extreme weather," which includes droughts and
>> floods.
>>
>> IOW: "Global-warming explains everything, its opposite and even, if
>> needed, the absence of any remarkable pattern."
>
> Obviously the fact that the planet has never seen the heat wave that is
> happening now since millions of years doesn't worry you. All the facts
> that NASA publishes each year.
>
> Read for instance the National Resources Defence Council
> (http://www.nrdc.org/globalwarming/), or NASA (http://climate.nasa.gov)
> or the concerned scientists
> (http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming#.Vb9i63hSA7Q) or even the National
> Geographic organization:
> http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/
>
> ALL those people are...
>
> "... cultists will continue "proving" to the unthinking masses that the
> sky is falling and we're all gonna die because Western civilization is
> spewing evil CO2."
>
> They are ALL wrong! They have no data!
>
> Just let's GO ON AS USUAL, do not DO anything. The profits of Exxon,
> Shell, and coal industry are SACRED (even more sacred than cows in India)
>
Oh sure, the problem is those nasty "rich energy companies". Of course
it was idiot greens like YOU who murdered the million third world
children with your wonderful idea of burning food to sock it to Big Oil!
So how many million children has Big Oil murdered? We can compare.
What with all the REAL environmental problems of chemicals and trash in
the air and water, nasty waste piling up, destruction of rain forests
and on and on, but YOU are all worried about some made-up imaginary CO2
"warming" that has never actually measured only predicted! Yap, Yap, Yap.
Hey buster, get off your ASS and fix something WORTHWHILE instead of
trying to rob the poor with a massive energy tax.
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| From | jacob navia <jacob@jacob.remcomp.fr> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 20:37 +0200 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <mpoccg$7mp$1@speranza.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #510990 |
Le 03/08/2015 19:35, benj a écrit : > Hey buster, get off your ASS and fix something WORTHWHILE instead of > trying to rob the poor with a massive energy tax. When they start like this I have won... They have NO ARGUMENTS any more, just insults. :-) Have a nice day everybody
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| From | Wally W. <ww84wa@aim.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-03 22:40 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <gn80saptg6f5ebrgqdh6f0mkc07bbe1n1a@4ax.com> |
| In reply to | #511021 |
On Mon, 3 Aug 2015 20:37:12 +0200, jacob navia wrote: >Le 03/08/2015 19:35, benj a écrit : >> Hey buster, get off your ASS and fix something WORTHWHILE instead of >> trying to rob the poor with a massive energy tax. > >When they start like this I have won... They have NO ARGUMENTS any more, >just insults. > >:-) > >Have a nice day everybody Declare victory and leave the field. Rise and Repeat until True.
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| From | benj <nobody@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-04 02:51 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <giZvx.70009$uE1.29044@fx01.iad> |
| In reply to | #511092 |
On 08/03/2015 10:40 PM, Wally W. wrote:
> On Mon, 3 Aug 2015 20:37:12 +0200, jacob navia wrote:
>
>> Le 03/08/2015 19:35, benj a écrit :
>>> Hey buster, get off your ASS and fix something WORTHWHILE instead of
>>> trying to rob the poor with a massive energy tax.
>>
>> When they start like this I have won... They have NO ARGUMENTS any more,
>> just insults.
>>
>> :-)
>>
>> Have a nice day everybody
>
> Declare victory and leave the field.
>
> Rise and Repeat until True.
Usual warmballer response when confronted with actual facts rather than
their fantasies.
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| From | benj <nobody@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2015-08-04 02:23 -0400 |
| Subject | Re: BURNING forests and the talk goes on |
| Message-ID | <iTYvx.11930$cF5.10479@fx12.iad> |
| In reply to | #511021 |
On 08/03/2015 02:37 PM, jacob navia wrote:
> Le 03/08/2015 19:35, benj a écrit :
>> Hey buster, get off your ASS and fix something WORTHWHILE instead of
>> trying to rob the poor with a massive energy tax.
>
> When they start like this I have won... They have NO ARGUMENTS any more,
> just insults.
>
> :-)
>
> Have a nice day everybody
No arguments? Everything you warmballers say is a lie. We refute each
and every one with references and you all pretend you've heard nothing.
And then simply dismiss anyone with proof as a "denier".
Fact: CO2 is a MINOR greenhouse gas:
http://meteo.lcd.lu/globalwarming/Schmidt/attribution_present_GH_effect_2010.pdf
Fact: All the hundreds of Warmballers models have been proven totally
WRONG. And the worse the agreement the more you scream it's certain!
https://nofrakkingconsensus.files.wordpress.com/2013/10/hayden_ipcc_arrow.jpg
Fact: Even head warmballer Dr. Hanson's "improved" warming data shows no
significant rise over nearly two decades. All screams of dire "warming"
for past decade have been total lies.
http://www.mrk-inc.com/users/bspam/AGWGISS2014.gif
Fact: There is NO causality between CO2 levels and climate warming. In
fact there is not even correlation As shown by Temperature 1940-1970
when CO2 went UP and Temperature went DOWN!
http://www.mrk-inc.com/users/bspam/40-70GISS.htm
And I could go on with record high levels of Antarctic ice and sea
levels and all the other lies.
Why do all the liars here have to tell everyone they've "won".
"Winning" is what politicians do. Science is about truth.
Come back little boy when you have some actual data with you.
But no matter, if Congress is full of "deniers", our emperor will simply
pass the huge energy tax by decree. And so he has! But don't worry about
your big energy bills, It's simple. Just return to the simple life of
the middle ages and you can be a happy serf again! Shut off that damn
fossil fuel lawn mower that is making all the oil company executives
rich and buy a couple of goats! They are traditional and green. Obama
can maybe take a couple of goats with him on Air Force one when he goes
to the big meeting in Paris to boast about what he's done.
Jacob is just one more internet big mouth with absolutely nothing to
back it up. He'd rather be stealing your money than actually be doing
something to clean up the mess we humans have made.
--
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