Groups | Search | Server Info | Keyboard shortcuts | Login | Register [http] [https] [nntp] [nntps]


Groups > sci.physics > #894978 > unrolled thread

A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-)

Started byTaskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com>
First post2026-01-28 21:34 -0600
Last post2026-01-31 12:28 +0100
Articles 7 on this page of 27 — 3 participants

Back to article view | Back to sci.physics


Contents

  A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-01-28 21:34 -0600
    Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Jan Panteltje <alien@comet.invalid> - 2026-01-29 06:04 +0000
    Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-01-29 12:58 -0600
      Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Thomas 'PointedEars' Lahn <PointedEars@web.de> - 2026-01-30 01:51 +0100
      Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-01-30 17:38 -0600
        Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-01-30 21:04 -0600
          Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-01-31 15:20 -0600
            Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-01-31 16:51 -0600
              Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-01 21:50 -0600
                Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-06 13:29 -0600
                  Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-10 13:53 -0600
                    Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-12 00:39 -0600
                      Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-15 21:51 -0600
                        Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-15 22:43 -0600
                          Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-17 17:15 -0600
                            Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-17 21:48 -0600
                              Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-18 12:44 -0600
                                Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-18 13:58 -0600
                                  Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-20 00:03 -0600
                                    Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-22 10:52 -0600
                                      Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-22 11:31 -0600
                                        Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-24 11:56 -0600
                                          Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-24 12:28 -0600
                                            Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-25 10:32 -0600
                                              Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-02-26 16:18 -0600
                                                Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Taskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com> - 2026-03-01 21:07 -0600
        Re: A Fake War With Iran Getting Close :-) Thomas 'PointedEars' Lahn <PointedEars@web.de> - 2026-01-31 12:28 +0100

Page 2 of 2 — ← Prev page 1 [2]


#895173

FromTaskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com>
Date2026-02-22 11:31 -0600
Message-ID<10nfei8$konc$1@solani.org>
In reply to#895172
On 2/22/26 10:52 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
> On 2/20/26 12:03 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>> On 2/18/26 1:58 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>> On 2/18/26 12:44 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>> On 2/17/26 9:48 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>> On 2/17/26 5:15 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>> On 2/15/26 10:43 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 9:51 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2/12/26 12:39 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>> On 2/10/26 1:53 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On 2/7/26 3:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>> So at this point I'm on the side of the 50% who think the war 
>>>>>>>>>>> will not happen, and on the side of the 100% who think Iran 
>>>>>>>>>>> won't accept any of the four unrealistic conditions even if 
>>>>>>>>>>> all the sanctions against her are removed!
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Do you know that right before the new "negotiations" began, 
>>>>>>>>>> USA quietly slipped an additional 5th condition to the 
>>>>>>>>>> previous 4 ?.. Hahhahhahhhah :-)))
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> If you look at that additional condition you'll immediately 
>>>>>>>>>> see why Trump did it and why Iran accepted another "negotiation".
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> It says something along these lines: Iran should not make 
>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attacks against any of her neighbors.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> :-)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Well, I bet you Sheep don't know that Iran has not made an 
>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attack on any of her neighbors for the past 250 
>>>>>>>>>> years!.. The last one was carried out by Nader Shah. Any other 
>>>>>>>>>> attack since, has been for the sole act of defense against 
>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attacks from neighbors toward Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> So Trump wants Iran to "agree" to that condition, and to that 
>>>>>>>>>> condition only, so he can say he won, therefore no war :) 
>>>>>>>>>> Hahhhahah :-)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> He's done stuff like that before too, you know, circumventing 
>>>>>>>>>> all those faggot Neocons who want war with Iran. Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> I am still thinking the same.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Netanyahu's visit didn't change anything. He probably just 
>>>>>>>>> flashed Trump some more files :-) Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> And since Trump is so confident nobody can prosecute him 
>>>>>>>>> regarding Epstein's files, decisions about Iran stayed the same.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Why is Trump so confident about being protected against those 
>>>>>>>>> files?.. He cannot be innocent, and he cooperated with FBI to 
>>>>>>>>> go against Epstein. This only means one thing. He must've asked 
>>>>>>>>> FBI for immunity in return for helping FBI get Epstein.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> That's why he is so confident about his being protected, even 
>>>>>>>>> after Netanyahu flashing more files for him. And yet, he is 
>>>>>>>>> still opposing the prosecution to continue on those files, so 
>>>>>>>>> he is in his turn protecting someone else. It may have to do 
>>>>>>>>> with Emarat! :)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> In his English language post, Araghchi in response to Munich 
>>>>>>>> Security Circus today said, "Europe is nowhere to be seen!"
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Hahhahhah :-))
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> And in his continuation of describing EU referred to it as a 
>>>>>>>> "peripheral" entity :-) You know what that word means, 
>>>>>>>> peripheral, don't you :)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Translated to penitentiary English, "Bitch" is what it means!
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Did you see the Valentine twit that the Israel's account in X 
>>>>>>> did? It went something like this:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>     "Dear World, I will never leave you. XOXO Love, Israel" then 
>>>>>>> a heart with star of david in it.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Just check the psychological state of these people.. 
>>>>>>> Hahhahhahhahh :-))) They say it thmselves! :)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> What fucked up morons.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> China has delivered scores of radars to Iran and they've filled up 
>>>>>> all the holes and vacuums across Iran. Also many (the number is 
>>>>>> high, but as of yet secret) modern and new fighter jets. Iran is 
>>>>>> to pay for all this in the future, not right away.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> All sorts of communication systems and air defense equipment have 
>>>>>> been delivered and implemented as well. This includes the Chinese 
>>>>>> versions of AWACS. I think they want to test a lot of these 
>>>>>> systems against U.S. and/or Israeli air attacks in a real war.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Another important update is that there are now numerous 
>>>>>> information gathering Chinese ships placed at strategic places in 
>>>>>> the Persian Gulf, Oman Sea, and the Arabian sea, as well as 
>>>>>> information gathering equipment across Iran (especially close to 
>>>>>> all borders and desert routes) which have totally nullified 
>>>>>> American Navy and inland forces ability to engage in "surprise" 
>>>>>> attacks against Iran.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> China's concern is for the whole region, not just the Iran's 
>>>>>> share. Especially the oil industries on which they are dependent. 
>>>>>> So this move from China lowers the probability of attacks by Iran 
>>>>>> on oil industries, and raises the probability of attacks on 
>>>>>> Amerinan business assets in the two cities I mentioned a few days 
>>>>>> back, and on attacking the American bases all around Iran and the 
>>>>>> Persian Gulf.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So war option is now even less favored today than it was just days 
>>>>>> back.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> And you must know Iran by now. If you do, you would know that she 
>>>>>> will never conduct an operation in relation to one objective only. 
>>>>>> The operation will be multi-faceted. This negotiation she is 
>>>>>> conducting with the USA in Europe is itself quite a multifaceted 
>>>>>> operation. For instance, I heard that Iran has even included 
>>>>>> offers for American businesses' investments in some sectors inside 
>>>>>> Iran to circumvent some of the unrealistic conditions that USA is 
>>>>>> (on the surface) imposing on her, and to contrast it to the huge 
>>>>>> loss of USA's investments in the two Emarati cities should a war 
>>>>>> with Iran take place. This has quite frightened the Israelis :-) I 
>>>>>> can measure that fear by measuring anti- Iranian propaganda that 
>>>>>> Israel supports and how disturbed and concerned they've suddenly 
>>>>>> become. Literally shocked. They had not been prepared for it.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Such Israeli backed outlets, often inviting "specialists" to give 
>>>>>> their takes about how Iran will lose in just every aspect of 
>>>>>> development that there is, now, and I mean within only the last 
>>>>>> couple of days, cannot anymore hold the discussions under control! 
>>>>>> Every one of them quickly is led to a nasty verbal fight between 
>>>>>> the interviewers and their hosts! Hehe :)
>>>>>>
>>>>>> In other words, Israelis are now crying, not arguing. The pain of 
>>>>>> the upcoming loss, the dread of failing in this grand operation 
>>>>>> they have conducted to push the American forces against Iran, has 
>>>>>> overwhelmed them. And it should.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> It points to an old deep well-kept secret knowledge inside them, 
>>>>>> the Israelis, that they are weaker than Iran and Iranians. As an 
>>>>>> individual, as a team, as a tribe, as a society, as a nation, and 
>>>>>> especially as a civilization, they are weaker than the Iranians.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> And this new development which was purposefully leaked out by the 
>>>>>> Iranians, aiming at no one but the Israelis, brings that deep fear 
>>>>>> up in them yet one more time. It is an ancient fear indeed.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I told you about their state of mind seen in their Valentine's 
>>>>>> post. It was a reflection of the fear I just described, except 
>>>>>> that they switched the word _inferiority_ with the word 
>>>>>> "existence" itself to justify their mass murders. All in the open 
>>>>>> for the right eyes to see!
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> But despite all these moves towards a more stable situation, one in 
>>>>> which war is avoided, Iran is feverishly getting ready for war. 
>>>>> Just today, Iran closed off the strait of Hormoz for several hours 
>>>>> to conduct tests for her new AI driven system that will be used for 
>>>>> stopping the oil traffic through the strait in the coming war. Lots 
>>>>> of Iranian defense forces just yesterday were done with getting 
>>>>> stationed behind northeastern areas to counter last week's 
>>>>> Americans' moving fighter jets to the Tajikestan Republic.
>>>>>
>>>>> Also, the spread of radars and missiles on eastern Iran in general 
>>>>> indicates that despite Pakestan's firm statement on not allowing 
>>>>> American forces to use their air space, Iran is still treating that 
>>>>> angle as if some U.S. aircrafts will come in via that angle.
>>>>>
>>>>> In a nutshell, although prospects look good for an agreement (a win 
>>>>> for both Trump and Iran), this time around there will be no 
>>>>> surprise attacks similar to those in last June.
>>>>>
>>>>> Eastern Iran played a huge role in winning the 12-day war last 
>>>>> June. It was the area where Israeli jets could not reach. It was 
>>>>> the area where the best missiles of Iran were stationed. As soon as 
>>>>> more than half of the overt missile launchers on the west side of 
>>>>> Iran were hit, these better and newer and more powerful missiles in 
>>>>> the East were deployed and quickly brought Israel to its knees.
>>>>>
>>>>> Bagram base, which got suddenly popular and wanted by Trump, was to 
>>>>> get American jets even closer to Iran. It won't happen! Iran had 
>>>>> already taken full account of that in her preparations months back. 
>>>>> But Americans thought the base in Tajikestan could do it for them 
>>>>> instead. Not anymore. Iran's surveillance capabilities aren't like 
>>>>> how it was last June.
>>>>>
>>>>> Nothing is being assumed in this war. Every scenario is dealt with. 
>>>>> Even right now, there's not an hour that much is not getting done, 
>>>>> arranged or tested, or rearranged according to what USA's forces 
>>>>> are doing, every thing is in motion. 24x7.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> It is worth mentioning just how those Eastern missiles defeated 
>>>> Israel. This was excellent war planning. Best in the world. Perhaps 
>>>> best in most parts of history as well. It was extremely realistic 
>>>> and efficient, therefore the simplest that could be devised. And 
>>>> sure enough within just a few days it trapped and defeated Israel.
>>>>
>>>> To explain the plan, I have to point to the vital fact that 
>>>> susceptibilities and/or "pain" itself exists in different ways from 
>>>> nation to nation. War means to inflict maximum pain and receive 
>>>> minimum pain. Israel only has three ports, three lifelines. Eylat, 
>>>> which was done with by Hoothies, the other two, Haifa and Ashdod. 
>>>> The missiles from eastern Iran simply targeted those two ports and 
>>>> rendered them totally useless. Israel was finished as soon as it was 
>>>> done. Nothing could come into Israel anymore. The concept of 
>>>> "import" turned into smoke and went up.
>>>>
>>>> Iran is not Israel. She didn't need to hit Israeli ships. Didn't 
>>>> need to hit Israeli military bases. Didn't need to blow Netanyahu 
>>>> and his team in the hole they were in. None of that mattered. Iran 
>>>> didn't need to do any of that. With relatively just a few of the 
>>>> best missiles Iran annihilated the concept of "import" in Israel. 
>>>> The job to make these missiles successful was already done by the 
>>>> ones on the western parts of Iran. The latter had used up Israel's 
>>>> air defenses and had made the road open for the missiles in East Iran.
>>>>
>>>> A plan was devised that wins for _sure_; not one that creates hoopla.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> But right now the matter of war with USA is the issue for Iran. This 
>>> "fake" war. Israel has learned its lessons. I don't think they'll 
>>> participate in it in any major way. And to this day, their ports have 
>>> not been brought up back to the life they should. They are still 
>>> behind in repairing Iran's hits; while Iran is now at least 10 times 
>>> more powerful and war-ready than in June of 2025.
>>>
>>> So the issue is the war with USA.
>>>
>>> I'm not a war analyzer or anything like that. I am a physicist. I can 
>>> think in a healthy way, and I can do it almost all by myself. I don't 
>>> need feedback from this and that or "Fox News" crap or what vile 
>>> Israelis are churning out or even what the American "think tanks" are 
>>> saying. A physicist is trained in thinking for himself. And this 
>>> thinking all by itself can open a few quite realistic scenes in fact, 
>>> because it makes use of only the main elements, not the ones 
>>> peripheral to the process.
>>>
>>> A physicist can do that because he is an expert in "approximation". 
>>> He knows what to throw away to gain what that's essential.
>>>
>>> So let's look at what USA has done in this war with Iran. Americans 
>>> always plan wars in a ... I'd say combinatorial way. That's for sure. 
>>> One doesn't get a hint of what else they've employed in their plans. 
>>> But a close look (or rather the opposite (!) of it), which can in 
>>> this case be in fact a general look, gives me this: They've started 
>>> to place one and the same sanction against Iran over and over. 
>>> Multiple times! Because they need to tell the American Sheep that, 
>>> "Here... see for yourself... we sanctioned this and that for Iran and 
>>> increased the pressure on them". The Sheep of course does not know 
>>> that nothing new has been done, and naturally believes that what was 
>>> done increased the pressure on Iran.
>>>
>>> For me, what this repeating points at, is, that the probability is 
>>> now at the maximum, that number of elements in the combinational war 
>>> they have planned has reached its maximum. It strongly indicates 
>>> nothing new and _real_ will be added to the plans they already have.
>>>
>>> This is one fact to consider for Iran to plan for.
>>>
>>> Another fact is that any ship and carrier they send to this war will 
>>> get destroyed by Iran with certainty. All of them have to come close 
>>> enough to be effective, and all of them will get sunk. This limits 
>>> the number of ships USA can deploy because it would get extremely 
>>> expensive. Trump hates extremely expensive wars. It is just not in 
>>> his genes. So if a war begins, this would not be a war in which 
>>> Americans would keep sending more and more ships to it like they did 
>>> in the Atlantic during WWII.
>>>
>>> And there's no other way for the USA to get close enough to Iran. All 
>>> USA's land bases that are close enough to be effective, 
>>> _within_hours_, will get destroyed or rendered useless.
>>>
>>> American forces can certainly hit Khark's oil-exporting ports in the 
>>> Persian Gulf if they choose so. If they do, every oil industry in the 
>>> entire region will go up in flames by Iran (even by Americans 
>>> themselves!), so the war will get reduced the "fake" one that I 
>>> explained in the first post of this blog. It can happen! And I'm all 
>>> for it. And Iranians should in fact welcome it. But only if Americans 
>>> limit the war to the destruction of oil industries of the region.
>>>
>>> If Americans hit mainland Iran, especially if they hit targets in 
>>> Iran that are only of interest for the Israelis, the war continues to 
>>> spread to Israel and destruction of the American business assets in 
>>> the Emarat. So if Trump really keen to do it then so be it. The cost 
>>> of war will skyrocket and will involve destruction of huge American 
>>> businesses. Almost as if New York City itself has been destroyed. So 
>>> I give it only little probability that war will continue to that end. 
>>> But it can happen! Iran should be ready for it.
>>>
>>> China does not want this war. Any scenario of it. Arabs living off of 
>>> oil do not want it. Again any scenario of it. They will get hurt bad 
>>> either way.
>>>
>>> So I give this war with USA a 20% chance to begin. 80% chance for no 
>>> war.
>>>
>>> What happens in a no-war situation? Things will certainly not stay as 
>>> before. Trump needs a win very bad, otherwise the rest of his term 
>>> he'll reduce to serve the Democrats' demands. He'll become another 
>>> Biden.
>>>
>>> So something must change that will look like a win for Trump and a 
>>> win for Iran. Iran will not walk out of it as the loser.
>>>
>>> The most probable scenario that will take place is the one I pointed 
>>> at before. The one that leaked out by Iranians a couple of days back. 
>>> One in which some sort of arrangements will take place between USA 
>>> and Iran that involves U.S. businesses' investing in a few sectors 
>>> inside Iran, and some of the sanctions removed, with everything else 
>>> intact. That would be a win-win for both sides.
>>>
>>> Note that Iran is very rich in highly educated workforce demanding 
>>> very little paychecks. Iran has endless amounts of precious minerals 
>>> to tap in. Iran has almost endless gas and oil. Iran has excellent 
>>> scientists and engineers. Iran can benefit U.S. businesses immensely. 
>>> A gazillion times more than this abysmal, pathetic "Israel" sitting 
>>> there crying and killing all the time, making people of the world 
>>> spit into the Americans' faces.
>>>
>>> These are important facts to bargain with :-)
>>>
>>> There will be no war.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>>
>> Yes, there will be no war. But not just because of what Iran can offer 
>> to American businesses in a normalized relations, no sanctions, and 
>> none of those idiotic "conditions" met, but also because of what Iran 
>> can do in the case of war..
>>
>> So in fact both cases support the no-war outcome. I'm certain of it. 
>> Iranians want you to tell Trump they don't get fooled by his sorry 
>> bullshit. Neither Israelis nor the Americans are in a position to 
>> threaten Iran in any form of war. The threat is on you!
>>
>> How difficult is it to see this? The core of the mistake you fucked up 
>> people are making is that throwing USA at Iran will weaken Iran more 
>> than it will weaken Israel. This is not so. This kind of mistakes are 
>> the ones that never allowed Jews to form a healthy country. The war 
>> will be a long one and Iranians are ready to face it! Do you know what 
>> it means?..
>>
>> Iran will not be the country that'll go down the drain. She'll tough 
>> it out. But you Israelis will not. Soon, say in 5 years or so, nobody 
>> in the world would want to live in Israel. How can you handle that? 
>> Don't you need people to be living there, working there, to form a 
>> nation and a country there?
>>
>> Hehe :)
>>
>> It's like I'm talking to kids.
>>
>> Even China and Russia are there to make sure it will be so. But Iran 
>> can do you in without them. China wants the strait stay open. Russia, 
>> in a much more strategic way, wants to put a leash on these Zionist 
>> animals in this U.S. administration, the ridicule of the world, 
>> running around trying to "control" others.
>>
>> I in fact think Iran will get stronger and stronger as this long war 
>> goes on. That's why I'm looking forward to it, and I'm not the only 
>> one. What of Israel will still be there when this war ends? Why would 
>> it "end" to begin with? The fact that it would one day "end", itself, 
>> means there will be no Israel left to war with or push USA farther 
>> against Iran. No? Iran will stay Iran! It isn't the first time for her 
>> at all.
>>
>> And USA?.. Hehe :) The war will not end at a state of "normalized 
>> relations." That option you'll only find in your pasts. I really think 
>> You're wrong thinking otherwise. It will end when Israel is no more, 
>> and USA grabs its sorry ass and limps away back where it came from. 
>> Just like after Vietnam and Afghanestan. Only worse. If you think you 
>> can handle that go ahead. Don't pretend you can threaten Iranians in 
>> any way.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
> 
> 
> Interesting:
> 
> Many news sources have it that today Witkoff said Trump asked him this 
> morning why Iran doesn't give up despite presence of such other drastic 
> scenarios :)
> 
> Evidently this same question was bugging Witkoff himself enough to 
> mention that to the Fox News.
> 
> Somebody give both of them the answer please. Here's the answer:
> 
>     "Because Iranians have something in them that a New Yorker thug 
> doesn't."
> 
> So these thugs will have to choose the option of paying the full price 
> regardless. Thugs don't like that, cause money is their blood. So there 
> won't be any war.
> 
> 
> 
> 


One of Iran's main militia commanders said today: "Presence of American 
armada in the region is advertorial." :-))) Hahhahhahhahh :-))

Bull's eye baby :-)




[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#895185

FromTaskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com>
Date2026-02-24 11:56 -0600
Message-ID<10nkono$nufu$1@solani.org>
In reply to#895173
On 2/22/26 11:31 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
> On 2/22/26 10:52 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>> On 2/20/26 12:03 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>> On 2/18/26 1:58 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>> On 2/18/26 12:44 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>> On 2/17/26 9:48 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>> On 2/17/26 5:15 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 10:43 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 9:51 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>> On 2/12/26 12:39 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On 2/10/26 1:53 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/7/26 3:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>> So at this point I'm on the side of the 50% who think the 
>>>>>>>>>>>> war will not happen, and on the side of the 100% who think 
>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran won't accept any of the four unrealistic conditions 
>>>>>>>>>>>> even if all the sanctions against her are removed!
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Do you know that right before the new "negotiations" began, 
>>>>>>>>>>> USA quietly slipped an additional 5th condition to the 
>>>>>>>>>>> previous 4 ?.. Hahhahhahhhah :-)))
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> If you look at that additional condition you'll immediately 
>>>>>>>>>>> see why Trump did it and why Iran accepted another 
>>>>>>>>>>> "negotiation".
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> It says something along these lines: Iran should not make 
>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attacks against any of her neighbors.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Well, I bet you Sheep don't know that Iran has not made an 
>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attack on any of her neighbors for the past 250 
>>>>>>>>>>> years!.. The last one was carried out by Nader Shah. Any 
>>>>>>>>>>> other attack since, has been for the sole act of defense 
>>>>>>>>>>> against aggressive attacks from neighbors toward Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> So Trump wants Iran to "agree" to that condition, and to that 
>>>>>>>>>>> condition only, so he can say he won, therefore no war :) 
>>>>>>>>>>> Hahhhahah :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> He's done stuff like that before too, you know, circumventing 
>>>>>>>>>>> all those faggot Neocons who want war with Iran. Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> I am still thinking the same.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Netanyahu's visit didn't change anything. He probably just 
>>>>>>>>>> flashed Trump some more files :-) Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> And since Trump is so confident nobody can prosecute him 
>>>>>>>>>> regarding Epstein's files, decisions about Iran stayed the same.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Why is Trump so confident about being protected against those 
>>>>>>>>>> files?.. He cannot be innocent, and he cooperated with FBI to 
>>>>>>>>>> go against Epstein. This only means one thing. He must've 
>>>>>>>>>> asked FBI for immunity in return for helping FBI get Epstein.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> That's why he is so confident about his being protected, even 
>>>>>>>>>> after Netanyahu flashing more files for him. And yet, he is 
>>>>>>>>>> still opposing the prosecution to continue on those files, so 
>>>>>>>>>> he is in his turn protecting someone else. It may have to do 
>>>>>>>>>> with Emarat! :)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> In his English language post, Araghchi in response to Munich 
>>>>>>>>> Security Circus today said, "Europe is nowhere to be seen!"
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhah :-))
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> And in his continuation of describing EU referred to it as a 
>>>>>>>>> "peripheral" entity :-) You know what that word means, 
>>>>>>>>> peripheral, don't you :)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Translated to penitentiary English, "Bitch" is what it means!
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Did you see the Valentine twit that the Israel's account in X 
>>>>>>>> did? It went something like this:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>     "Dear World, I will never leave you. XOXO Love, Israel" then 
>>>>>>>> a heart with star of david in it.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Just check the psychological state of these people.. 
>>>>>>>> Hahhahhahhahh :-))) They say it thmselves! :)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> What fucked up morons.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> China has delivered scores of radars to Iran and they've filled 
>>>>>>> up all the holes and vacuums across Iran. Also many (the number 
>>>>>>> is high, but as of yet secret) modern and new fighter jets. Iran 
>>>>>>> is to pay for all this in the future, not right away.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> All sorts of communication systems and air defense equipment have 
>>>>>>> been delivered and implemented as well. This includes the Chinese 
>>>>>>> versions of AWACS. I think they want to test a lot of these 
>>>>>>> systems against U.S. and/or Israeli air attacks in a real war.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Another important update is that there are now numerous 
>>>>>>> information gathering Chinese ships placed at strategic places in 
>>>>>>> the Persian Gulf, Oman Sea, and the Arabian sea, as well as 
>>>>>>> information gathering equipment across Iran (especially close to 
>>>>>>> all borders and desert routes) which have totally nullified 
>>>>>>> American Navy and inland forces ability to engage in "surprise" 
>>>>>>> attacks against Iran.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> China's concern is for the whole region, not just the Iran's 
>>>>>>> share. Especially the oil industries on which they are dependent. 
>>>>>>> So this move from China lowers the probability of attacks by Iran 
>>>>>>> on oil industries, and raises the probability of attacks on 
>>>>>>> Amerinan business assets in the two cities I mentioned a few days 
>>>>>>> back, and on attacking the American bases all around Iran and the 
>>>>>>> Persian Gulf.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So war option is now even less favored today than it was just 
>>>>>>> days back.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> And you must know Iran by now. If you do, you would know that she 
>>>>>>> will never conduct an operation in relation to one objective 
>>>>>>> only. The operation will be multi-faceted. This negotiation she 
>>>>>>> is conducting with the USA in Europe is itself quite a 
>>>>>>> multifaceted operation. For instance, I heard that Iran has even 
>>>>>>> included offers for American businesses' investments in some 
>>>>>>> sectors inside Iran to circumvent some of the unrealistic 
>>>>>>> conditions that USA is (on the surface) imposing on her, and to 
>>>>>>> contrast it to the huge loss of USA's investments in the two 
>>>>>>> Emarati cities should a war with Iran take place. This has quite 
>>>>>>> frightened the Israelis :-) I can measure that fear by measuring 
>>>>>>> anti- Iranian propaganda that Israel supports and how disturbed 
>>>>>>> and concerned they've suddenly become. Literally shocked. They 
>>>>>>> had not been prepared for it.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Such Israeli backed outlets, often inviting "specialists" to give 
>>>>>>> their takes about how Iran will lose in just every aspect of 
>>>>>>> development that there is, now, and I mean within only the last 
>>>>>>> couple of days, cannot anymore hold the discussions under 
>>>>>>> control! Every one of them quickly is led to a nasty verbal fight 
>>>>>>> between the interviewers and their hosts! Hehe :)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> In other words, Israelis are now crying, not arguing. The pain of 
>>>>>>> the upcoming loss, the dread of failing in this grand operation 
>>>>>>> they have conducted to push the American forces against Iran, has 
>>>>>>> overwhelmed them. And it should.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It points to an old deep well-kept secret knowledge inside them, 
>>>>>>> the Israelis, that they are weaker than Iran and Iranians. As an 
>>>>>>> individual, as a team, as a tribe, as a society, as a nation, and 
>>>>>>> especially as a civilization, they are weaker than the Iranians.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> And this new development which was purposefully leaked out by the 
>>>>>>> Iranians, aiming at no one but the Israelis, brings that deep 
>>>>>>> fear up in them yet one more time. It is an ancient fear indeed.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I told you about their state of mind seen in their Valentine's 
>>>>>>> post. It was a reflection of the fear I just described, except 
>>>>>>> that they switched the word _inferiority_ with the word 
>>>>>>> "existence" itself to justify their mass murders. All in the open 
>>>>>>> for the right eyes to see!
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> But despite all these moves towards a more stable situation, one 
>>>>>> in which war is avoided, Iran is feverishly getting ready for war. 
>>>>>> Just today, Iran closed off the strait of Hormoz for several hours 
>>>>>> to conduct tests for her new AI driven system that will be used 
>>>>>> for stopping the oil traffic through the strait in the coming war. 
>>>>>> Lots of Iranian defense forces just yesterday were done with 
>>>>>> getting stationed behind northeastern areas to counter last week's 
>>>>>> Americans' moving fighter jets to the Tajikestan Republic.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Also, the spread of radars and missiles on eastern Iran in general 
>>>>>> indicates that despite Pakestan's firm statement on not allowing 
>>>>>> American forces to use their air space, Iran is still treating 
>>>>>> that angle as if some U.S. aircrafts will come in via that angle.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> In a nutshell, although prospects look good for an agreement (a 
>>>>>> win for both Trump and Iran), this time around there will be no 
>>>>>> surprise attacks similar to those in last June.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Eastern Iran played a huge role in winning the 12-day war last 
>>>>>> June. It was the area where Israeli jets could not reach. It was 
>>>>>> the area where the best missiles of Iran were stationed. As soon 
>>>>>> as more than half of the overt missile launchers on the west side 
>>>>>> of Iran were hit, these better and newer and more powerful 
>>>>>> missiles in the East were deployed and quickly brought Israel to 
>>>>>> its knees.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Bagram base, which got suddenly popular and wanted by Trump, was 
>>>>>> to get American jets even closer to Iran. It won't happen! Iran 
>>>>>> had already taken full account of that in her preparations months 
>>>>>> back. But Americans thought the base in Tajikestan could do it for 
>>>>>> them instead. Not anymore. Iran's surveillance capabilities aren't 
>>>>>> like how it was last June.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Nothing is being assumed in this war. Every scenario is dealt 
>>>>>> with. Even right now, there's not an hour that much is not getting 
>>>>>> done, arranged or tested, or rearranged according to what USA's 
>>>>>> forces are doing, every thing is in motion. 24x7.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> It is worth mentioning just how those Eastern missiles defeated 
>>>>> Israel. This was excellent war planning. Best in the world. Perhaps 
>>>>> best in most parts of history as well. It was extremely realistic 
>>>>> and efficient, therefore the simplest that could be devised. And 
>>>>> sure enough within just a few days it trapped and defeated Israel.
>>>>>
>>>>> To explain the plan, I have to point to the vital fact that 
>>>>> susceptibilities and/or "pain" itself exists in different ways from 
>>>>> nation to nation. War means to inflict maximum pain and receive 
>>>>> minimum pain. Israel only has three ports, three lifelines. Eylat, 
>>>>> which was done with by Hoothies, the other two, Haifa and Ashdod. 
>>>>> The missiles from eastern Iran simply targeted those two ports and 
>>>>> rendered them totally useless. Israel was finished as soon as it 
>>>>> was done. Nothing could come into Israel anymore. The concept of 
>>>>> "import" turned into smoke and went up.
>>>>>
>>>>> Iran is not Israel. She didn't need to hit Israeli ships. Didn't 
>>>>> need to hit Israeli military bases. Didn't need to blow Netanyahu 
>>>>> and his team in the hole they were in. None of that mattered. Iran 
>>>>> didn't need to do any of that. With relatively just a few of the 
>>>>> best missiles Iran annihilated the concept of "import" in Israel. 
>>>>> The job to make these missiles successful was already done by the 
>>>>> ones on the western parts of Iran. The latter had used up Israel's 
>>>>> air defenses and had made the road open for the missiles in East Iran.
>>>>>
>>>>> A plan was devised that wins for _sure_; not one that creates hoopla.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> But right now the matter of war with USA is the issue for Iran. This 
>>>> "fake" war. Israel has learned its lessons. I don't think they'll 
>>>> participate in it in any major way. And to this day, their ports 
>>>> have not been brought up back to the life they should. They are 
>>>> still behind in repairing Iran's hits; while Iran is now at least 10 
>>>> times more powerful and war-ready than in June of 2025.
>>>>
>>>> So the issue is the war with USA.
>>>>
>>>> I'm not a war analyzer or anything like that. I am a physicist. I 
>>>> can think in a healthy way, and I can do it almost all by myself. I 
>>>> don't need feedback from this and that or "Fox News" crap or what 
>>>> vile Israelis are churning out or even what the American "think 
>>>> tanks" are saying. A physicist is trained in thinking for himself. 
>>>> And this thinking all by itself can open a few quite realistic 
>>>> scenes in fact, because it makes use of only the main elements, not 
>>>> the ones peripheral to the process.
>>>>
>>>> A physicist can do that because he is an expert in "approximation". 
>>>> He knows what to throw away to gain what that's essential.
>>>>
>>>> So let's look at what USA has done in this war with Iran. Americans 
>>>> always plan wars in a ... I'd say combinatorial way. That's for 
>>>> sure. One doesn't get a hint of what else they've employed in their 
>>>> plans. But a close look (or rather the opposite (!) of it), which 
>>>> can in this case be in fact a general look, gives me this: They've 
>>>> started to place one and the same sanction against Iran over and 
>>>> over. Multiple times! Because they need to tell the American Sheep 
>>>> that, "Here... see for yourself... we sanctioned this and that for 
>>>> Iran and increased the pressure on them". The Sheep of course does 
>>>> not know that nothing new has been done, and naturally believes that 
>>>> what was done increased the pressure on Iran.
>>>>
>>>> For me, what this repeating points at, is, that the probability is 
>>>> now at the maximum, that number of elements in the combinational war 
>>>> they have planned has reached its maximum. It strongly indicates 
>>>> nothing new and _real_ will be added to the plans they already have.
>>>>
>>>> This is one fact to consider for Iran to plan for.
>>>>
>>>> Another fact is that any ship and carrier they send to this war will 
>>>> get destroyed by Iran with certainty. All of them have to come close 
>>>> enough to be effective, and all of them will get sunk. This limits 
>>>> the number of ships USA can deploy because it would get extremely 
>>>> expensive. Trump hates extremely expensive wars. It is just not in 
>>>> his genes. So if a war begins, this would not be a war in which 
>>>> Americans would keep sending more and more ships to it like they did 
>>>> in the Atlantic during WWII.
>>>>
>>>> And there's no other way for the USA to get close enough to Iran. 
>>>> All USA's land bases that are close enough to be effective, 
>>>> _within_hours_, will get destroyed or rendered useless.
>>>>
>>>> American forces can certainly hit Khark's oil-exporting ports in the 
>>>> Persian Gulf if they choose so. If they do, every oil industry in 
>>>> the entire region will go up in flames by Iran (even by Americans 
>>>> themselves!), so the war will get reduced the "fake" one that I 
>>>> explained in the first post of this blog. It can happen! And I'm all 
>>>> for it. And Iranians should in fact welcome it. But only if 
>>>> Americans limit the war to the destruction of oil industries of the 
>>>> region.
>>>>
>>>> If Americans hit mainland Iran, especially if they hit targets in 
>>>> Iran that are only of interest for the Israelis, the war continues 
>>>> to spread to Israel and destruction of the American business assets 
>>>> in the Emarat. So if Trump really keen to do it then so be it. The 
>>>> cost of war will skyrocket and will involve destruction of huge 
>>>> American businesses. Almost as if New York City itself has been 
>>>> destroyed. So I give it only little probability that war will 
>>>> continue to that end. But it can happen! Iran should be ready for it.
>>>>
>>>> China does not want this war. Any scenario of it. Arabs living off 
>>>> of oil do not want it. Again any scenario of it. They will get hurt 
>>>> bad either way.
>>>>
>>>> So I give this war with USA a 20% chance to begin. 80% chance for no 
>>>> war.
>>>>
>>>> What happens in a no-war situation? Things will certainly not stay 
>>>> as before. Trump needs a win very bad, otherwise the rest of his 
>>>> term he'll reduce to serve the Democrats' demands. He'll become 
>>>> another Biden.
>>>>
>>>> So something must change that will look like a win for Trump and a 
>>>> win for Iran. Iran will not walk out of it as the loser.
>>>>
>>>> The most probable scenario that will take place is the one I pointed 
>>>> at before. The one that leaked out by Iranians a couple of days 
>>>> back. One in which some sort of arrangements will take place between 
>>>> USA and Iran that involves U.S. businesses' investing in a few 
>>>> sectors inside Iran, and some of the sanctions removed, with 
>>>> everything else intact. That would be a win-win for both sides.
>>>>
>>>> Note that Iran is very rich in highly educated workforce demanding 
>>>> very little paychecks. Iran has endless amounts of precious minerals 
>>>> to tap in. Iran has almost endless gas and oil. Iran has excellent 
>>>> scientists and engineers. Iran can benefit U.S. businesses 
>>>> immensely. A gazillion times more than this abysmal, pathetic 
>>>> "Israel" sitting there crying and killing all the time, making 
>>>> people of the world spit into the Americans' faces.
>>>>
>>>> These are important facts to bargain with :-)
>>>>
>>>> There will be no war.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Yes, there will be no war. But not just because of what Iran can 
>>> offer to American businesses in a normalized relations, no sanctions, 
>>> and none of those idiotic "conditions" met, but also because of what 
>>> Iran can do in the case of war..
>>>
>>> So in fact both cases support the no-war outcome. I'm certain of it. 
>>> Iranians want you to tell Trump they don't get fooled by his sorry 
>>> bullshit. Neither Israelis nor the Americans are in a position to 
>>> threaten Iran in any form of war. The threat is on you!
>>>
>>> How difficult is it to see this? The core of the mistake you fucked 
>>> up people are making is that throwing USA at Iran will weaken Iran 
>>> more than it will weaken Israel. This is not so. This kind of 
>>> mistakes are the ones that never allowed Jews to form a healthy 
>>> country. The war will be a long one and Iranians are ready to face 
>>> it! Do you know what it means?..
>>>
>>> Iran will not be the country that'll go down the drain. She'll tough 
>>> it out. But you Israelis will not. Soon, say in 5 years or so, nobody 
>>> in the world would want to live in Israel. How can you handle that? 
>>> Don't you need people to be living there, working there, to form a 
>>> nation and a country there?
>>>
>>> Hehe :)
>>>
>>> It's like I'm talking to kids.
>>>
>>> Even China and Russia are there to make sure it will be so. But Iran 
>>> can do you in without them. China wants the strait stay open. Russia, 
>>> in a much more strategic way, wants to put a leash on these Zionist 
>>> animals in this U.S. administration, the ridicule of the world, 
>>> running around trying to "control" others.
>>>
>>> I in fact think Iran will get stronger and stronger as this long war 
>>> goes on. That's why I'm looking forward to it, and I'm not the only 
>>> one. What of Israel will still be there when this war ends? Why would 
>>> it "end" to begin with? The fact that it would one day "end", itself, 
>>> means there will be no Israel left to war with or push USA farther 
>>> against Iran. No? Iran will stay Iran! It isn't the first time for 
>>> her at all.
>>>
>>> And USA?.. Hehe :) The war will not end at a state of "normalized 
>>> relations." That option you'll only find in your pasts. I really 
>>> think You're wrong thinking otherwise. It will end when Israel is no 
>>> more, and USA grabs its sorry ass and limps away back where it came 
>>> from. Just like after Vietnam and Afghanestan. Only worse. If you 
>>> think you can handle that go ahead. Don't pretend you can threaten 
>>> Iranians in any way.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>> Interesting:
>>
>> Many news sources have it that today Witkoff said Trump asked him this 
>> morning why Iran doesn't give up despite presence of such other 
>> drastic scenarios :)
>>
>> Evidently this same question was bugging Witkoff himself enough to 
>> mention that to the Fox News.
>>
>> Somebody give both of them the answer please. Here's the answer:
>>
>>     "Because Iranians have something in them that a New Yorker thug 
>> doesn't."
>>
>> So these thugs will have to choose the option of paying the full price 
>> regardless. Thugs don't like that, cause money is their blood. So 
>> there won't be any war.
>>
>>
>>
>>
> 
> 
> One of Iran's main militia commanders said today: "Presence of American 
> armada in the region is advertorial." :-))) Hahhahhahhahh :-))
> 
> Bull's eye baby :-)
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 


A new development :-)

It is possible that the real aim of Trump's armada is to have the 
sailors get to some land space to defecate on, toilets or not! :-))

Evidently the toilets on the carriers aren't working right and the lines 
for using the working ones are each a 45 minute wait (auch!..). On the 
other hand, Navy has issued this instruction:

https://i.postimg.cc/KYKTbNtt/real-aim.jpg

Sailors have to defecate directly into the ocean in the manner described 
in the above instruction sign until they get close enough to Iran's 
shores to "disembark" and reach land to sit on and defecate :)

Hehe :)

If shitting under ordinary conditions is a problem for today's Navy, 
imagine what the sailors do when the Hoots begin to reach them. If you 
ask me, they won't be needing toilets anymore :) Pants would do fine!

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#895187

FromTaskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com>
Date2026-02-24 12:28 -0600
Message-ID<10nkqks$o0eg$1@solani.org>
In reply to#895185
On 2/24/26 11:56 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
> On 2/22/26 11:31 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>> On 2/22/26 10:52 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>> On 2/20/26 12:03 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>> On 2/18/26 1:58 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>> On 2/18/26 12:44 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>> On 2/17/26 9:48 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2/17/26 5:15 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 10:43 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 9:51 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On 2/12/26 12:39 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/10/26 1:53 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/7/26 3:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>> So at this point I'm on the side of the 50% who think the 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> war will not happen, and on the side of the 100% who think 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran won't accept any of the four unrealistic conditions 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> even if all the sanctions against her are removed!
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Do you know that right before the new "negotiations" began, 
>>>>>>>>>>>> USA quietly slipped an additional 5th condition to the 
>>>>>>>>>>>> previous 4 ?.. Hahhahhahhhah :-)))
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> If you look at that additional condition you'll immediately 
>>>>>>>>>>>> see why Trump did it and why Iran accepted another 
>>>>>>>>>>>> "negotiation".
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> It says something along these lines: Iran should not make 
>>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attacks against any of her neighbors.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Well, I bet you Sheep don't know that Iran has not made an 
>>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attack on any of her neighbors for the past 250 
>>>>>>>>>>>> years!.. The last one was carried out by Nader Shah. Any 
>>>>>>>>>>>> other attack since, has been for the sole act of defense 
>>>>>>>>>>>> against aggressive attacks from neighbors toward Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> So Trump wants Iran to "agree" to that condition, and to 
>>>>>>>>>>>> that condition only, so he can say he won, therefore no 
>>>>>>>>>>>> war :) Hahhhahah :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> He's done stuff like that before too, you know, 
>>>>>>>>>>>> circumventing all those faggot Neocons who want war with 
>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran. Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> I am still thinking the same.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Netanyahu's visit didn't change anything. He probably just 
>>>>>>>>>>> flashed Trump some more files :-) Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> And since Trump is so confident nobody can prosecute him 
>>>>>>>>>>> regarding Epstein's files, decisions about Iran stayed the same.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Why is Trump so confident about being protected against those 
>>>>>>>>>>> files?.. He cannot be innocent, and he cooperated with FBI to 
>>>>>>>>>>> go against Epstein. This only means one thing. He must've 
>>>>>>>>>>> asked FBI for immunity in return for helping FBI get Epstein.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> That's why he is so confident about his being protected, even 
>>>>>>>>>>> after Netanyahu flashing more files for him. And yet, he is 
>>>>>>>>>>> still opposing the prosecution to continue on those files, so 
>>>>>>>>>>> he is in his turn protecting someone else. It may have to do 
>>>>>>>>>>> with Emarat! :)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> In his English language post, Araghchi in response to Munich 
>>>>>>>>>> Security Circus today said, "Europe is nowhere to be seen!"
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhah :-))
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> And in his continuation of describing EU referred to it as a 
>>>>>>>>>> "peripheral" entity :-) You know what that word means, 
>>>>>>>>>> peripheral, don't you :)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Translated to penitentiary English, "Bitch" is what it means!
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Did you see the Valentine twit that the Israel's account in X 
>>>>>>>>> did? It went something like this:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>     "Dear World, I will never leave you. XOXO Love, Israel" 
>>>>>>>>> then a heart with star of david in it.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Just check the psychological state of these people.. 
>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhahhahh :-))) They say it thmselves! :)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> What fucked up morons.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> China has delivered scores of radars to Iran and they've filled 
>>>>>>>> up all the holes and vacuums across Iran. Also many (the number 
>>>>>>>> is high, but as of yet secret) modern and new fighter jets. Iran 
>>>>>>>> is to pay for all this in the future, not right away.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> All sorts of communication systems and air defense equipment 
>>>>>>>> have been delivered and implemented as well. This includes the 
>>>>>>>> Chinese versions of AWACS. I think they want to test a lot of 
>>>>>>>> these systems against U.S. and/or Israeli air attacks in a real 
>>>>>>>> war.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Another important update is that there are now numerous 
>>>>>>>> information gathering Chinese ships placed at strategic places 
>>>>>>>> in the Persian Gulf, Oman Sea, and the Arabian sea, as well as 
>>>>>>>> information gathering equipment across Iran (especially close to 
>>>>>>>> all borders and desert routes) which have totally nullified 
>>>>>>>> American Navy and inland forces ability to engage in "surprise" 
>>>>>>>> attacks against Iran.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> China's concern is for the whole region, not just the Iran's 
>>>>>>>> share. Especially the oil industries on which they are 
>>>>>>>> dependent. So this move from China lowers the probability of 
>>>>>>>> attacks by Iran on oil industries, and raises the probability of 
>>>>>>>> attacks on Amerinan business assets in the two cities I 
>>>>>>>> mentioned a few days back, and on attacking the American bases 
>>>>>>>> all around Iran and the Persian Gulf.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> So war option is now even less favored today than it was just 
>>>>>>>> days back.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> And you must know Iran by now. If you do, you would know that 
>>>>>>>> she will never conduct an operation in relation to one objective 
>>>>>>>> only. The operation will be multi-faceted. This negotiation she 
>>>>>>>> is conducting with the USA in Europe is itself quite a 
>>>>>>>> multifaceted operation. For instance, I heard that Iran has even 
>>>>>>>> included offers for American businesses' investments in some 
>>>>>>>> sectors inside Iran to circumvent some of the unrealistic 
>>>>>>>> conditions that USA is (on the surface) imposing on her, and to 
>>>>>>>> contrast it to the huge loss of USA's investments in the two 
>>>>>>>> Emarati cities should a war with Iran take place. This has quite 
>>>>>>>> frightened the Israelis :-) I can measure that fear by measuring 
>>>>>>>> anti- Iranian propaganda that Israel supports and how disturbed 
>>>>>>>> and concerned they've suddenly become. Literally shocked. They 
>>>>>>>> had not been prepared for it.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Such Israeli backed outlets, often inviting "specialists" to 
>>>>>>>> give their takes about how Iran will lose in just every aspect 
>>>>>>>> of development that there is, now, and I mean within only the 
>>>>>>>> last couple of days, cannot anymore hold the discussions under 
>>>>>>>> control! Every one of them quickly is led to a nasty verbal 
>>>>>>>> fight between the interviewers and their hosts! Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> In other words, Israelis are now crying, not arguing. The pain 
>>>>>>>> of the upcoming loss, the dread of failing in this grand 
>>>>>>>> operation they have conducted to push the American forces 
>>>>>>>> against Iran, has overwhelmed them. And it should.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> It points to an old deep well-kept secret knowledge inside them, 
>>>>>>>> the Israelis, that they are weaker than Iran and Iranians. As an 
>>>>>>>> individual, as a team, as a tribe, as a society, as a nation, 
>>>>>>>> and especially as a civilization, they are weaker than the 
>>>>>>>> Iranians.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> And this new development which was purposefully leaked out by 
>>>>>>>> the Iranians, aiming at no one but the Israelis, brings that 
>>>>>>>> deep fear up in them yet one more time. It is an ancient fear 
>>>>>>>> indeed.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> I told you about their state of mind seen in their Valentine's 
>>>>>>>> post. It was a reflection of the fear I just described, except 
>>>>>>>> that they switched the word _inferiority_ with the word 
>>>>>>>> "existence" itself to justify their mass murders. All in the 
>>>>>>>> open for the right eyes to see!
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> But despite all these moves towards a more stable situation, one 
>>>>>>> in which war is avoided, Iran is feverishly getting ready for 
>>>>>>> war. Just today, Iran closed off the strait of Hormoz for several 
>>>>>>> hours to conduct tests for her new AI driven system that will be 
>>>>>>> used for stopping the oil traffic through the strait in the 
>>>>>>> coming war. Lots of Iranian defense forces just yesterday were 
>>>>>>> done with getting stationed behind northeastern areas to counter 
>>>>>>> last week's Americans' moving fighter jets to the Tajikestan 
>>>>>>> Republic.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Also, the spread of radars and missiles on eastern Iran in 
>>>>>>> general indicates that despite Pakestan's firm statement on not 
>>>>>>> allowing American forces to use their air space, Iran is still 
>>>>>>> treating that angle as if some U.S. aircrafts will come in via 
>>>>>>> that angle.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> In a nutshell, although prospects look good for an agreement (a 
>>>>>>> win for both Trump and Iran), this time around there will be no 
>>>>>>> surprise attacks similar to those in last June.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Eastern Iran played a huge role in winning the 12-day war last 
>>>>>>> June. It was the area where Israeli jets could not reach. It was 
>>>>>>> the area where the best missiles of Iran were stationed. As soon 
>>>>>>> as more than half of the overt missile launchers on the west side 
>>>>>>> of Iran were hit, these better and newer and more powerful 
>>>>>>> missiles in the East were deployed and quickly brought Israel to 
>>>>>>> its knees.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Bagram base, which got suddenly popular and wanted by Trump, was 
>>>>>>> to get American jets even closer to Iran. It won't happen! Iran 
>>>>>>> had already taken full account of that in her preparations months 
>>>>>>> back. But Americans thought the base in Tajikestan could do it 
>>>>>>> for them instead. Not anymore. Iran's surveillance capabilities 
>>>>>>> aren't like how it was last June.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Nothing is being assumed in this war. Every scenario is dealt 
>>>>>>> with. Even right now, there's not an hour that much is not 
>>>>>>> getting done, arranged or tested, or rearranged according to what 
>>>>>>> USA's forces are doing, every thing is in motion. 24x7.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> It is worth mentioning just how those Eastern missiles defeated 
>>>>>> Israel. This was excellent war planning. Best in the world. 
>>>>>> Perhaps best in most parts of history as well. It was extremely 
>>>>>> realistic and efficient, therefore the simplest that could be 
>>>>>> devised. And sure enough within just a few days it trapped and 
>>>>>> defeated Israel.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> To explain the plan, I have to point to the vital fact that 
>>>>>> susceptibilities and/or "pain" itself exists in different ways 
>>>>>> from nation to nation. War means to inflict maximum pain and 
>>>>>> receive minimum pain. Israel only has three ports, three 
>>>>>> lifelines. Eylat, which was done with by Hoothies, the other two, 
>>>>>> Haifa and Ashdod. The missiles from eastern Iran simply targeted 
>>>>>> those two ports and rendered them totally useless. Israel was 
>>>>>> finished as soon as it was done. Nothing could come into Israel 
>>>>>> anymore. The concept of "import" turned into smoke and went up.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Iran is not Israel. She didn't need to hit Israeli ships. Didn't 
>>>>>> need to hit Israeli military bases. Didn't need to blow Netanyahu 
>>>>>> and his team in the hole they were in. None of that mattered. Iran 
>>>>>> didn't need to do any of that. With relatively just a few of the 
>>>>>> best missiles Iran annihilated the concept of "import" in Israel. 
>>>>>> The job to make these missiles successful was already done by the 
>>>>>> ones on the western parts of Iran. The latter had used up Israel's 
>>>>>> air defenses and had made the road open for the missiles in East 
>>>>>> Iran.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> A plan was devised that wins for _sure_; not one that creates hoopla.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> But right now the matter of war with USA is the issue for Iran. 
>>>>> This "fake" war. Israel has learned its lessons. I don't think 
>>>>> they'll participate in it in any major way. And to this day, their 
>>>>> ports have not been brought up back to the life they should. They 
>>>>> are still behind in repairing Iran's hits; while Iran is now at 
>>>>> least 10 times more powerful and war-ready than in June of 2025.
>>>>>
>>>>> So the issue is the war with USA.
>>>>>
>>>>> I'm not a war analyzer or anything like that. I am a physicist. I 
>>>>> can think in a healthy way, and I can do it almost all by myself. I 
>>>>> don't need feedback from this and that or "Fox News" crap or what 
>>>>> vile Israelis are churning out or even what the American "think 
>>>>> tanks" are saying. A physicist is trained in thinking for himself. 
>>>>> And this thinking all by itself can open a few quite realistic 
>>>>> scenes in fact, because it makes use of only the main elements, not 
>>>>> the ones peripheral to the process.
>>>>>
>>>>> A physicist can do that because he is an expert in "approximation". 
>>>>> He knows what to throw away to gain what that's essential.
>>>>>
>>>>> So let's look at what USA has done in this war with Iran. Americans 
>>>>> always plan wars in a ... I'd say combinatorial way. That's for 
>>>>> sure. One doesn't get a hint of what else they've employed in their 
>>>>> plans. But a close look (or rather the opposite (!) of it), which 
>>>>> can in this case be in fact a general look, gives me this: They've 
>>>>> started to place one and the same sanction against Iran over and 
>>>>> over. Multiple times! Because they need to tell the American Sheep 
>>>>> that, "Here... see for yourself... we sanctioned this and that for 
>>>>> Iran and increased the pressure on them". The Sheep of course does 
>>>>> not know that nothing new has been done, and naturally believes 
>>>>> that what was done increased the pressure on Iran.
>>>>>
>>>>> For me, what this repeating points at, is, that the probability is 
>>>>> now at the maximum, that number of elements in the combinational 
>>>>> war they have planned has reached its maximum. It strongly 
>>>>> indicates nothing new and _real_ will be added to the plans they 
>>>>> already have.
>>>>>
>>>>> This is one fact to consider for Iran to plan for.
>>>>>
>>>>> Another fact is that any ship and carrier they send to this war 
>>>>> will get destroyed by Iran with certainty. All of them have to come 
>>>>> close enough to be effective, and all of them will get sunk. This 
>>>>> limits the number of ships USA can deploy because it would get 
>>>>> extremely expensive. Trump hates extremely expensive wars. It is 
>>>>> just not in his genes. So if a war begins, this would not be a war 
>>>>> in which Americans would keep sending more and more ships to it 
>>>>> like they did in the Atlantic during WWII.
>>>>>
>>>>> And there's no other way for the USA to get close enough to Iran. 
>>>>> All USA's land bases that are close enough to be effective, 
>>>>> _within_hours_, will get destroyed or rendered useless.
>>>>>
>>>>> American forces can certainly hit Khark's oil-exporting ports in 
>>>>> the Persian Gulf if they choose so. If they do, every oil industry 
>>>>> in the entire region will go up in flames by Iran (even by 
>>>>> Americans themselves!), so the war will get reduced the "fake" one 
>>>>> that I explained in the first post of this blog. It can happen! And 
>>>>> I'm all for it. And Iranians should in fact welcome it. But only if 
>>>>> Americans limit the war to the destruction of oil industries of the 
>>>>> region.
>>>>>
>>>>> If Americans hit mainland Iran, especially if they hit targets in 
>>>>> Iran that are only of interest for the Israelis, the war continues 
>>>>> to spread to Israel and destruction of the American business assets 
>>>>> in the Emarat. So if Trump really keen to do it then so be it. The 
>>>>> cost of war will skyrocket and will involve destruction of huge 
>>>>> American businesses. Almost as if New York City itself has been 
>>>>> destroyed. So I give it only little probability that war will 
>>>>> continue to that end. But it can happen! Iran should be ready for it.
>>>>>
>>>>> China does not want this war. Any scenario of it. Arabs living off 
>>>>> of oil do not want it. Again any scenario of it. They will get hurt 
>>>>> bad either way.
>>>>>
>>>>> So I give this war with USA a 20% chance to begin. 80% chance for 
>>>>> no war.
>>>>>
>>>>> What happens in a no-war situation? Things will certainly not stay 
>>>>> as before. Trump needs a win very bad, otherwise the rest of his 
>>>>> term he'll reduce to serve the Democrats' demands. He'll become 
>>>>> another Biden.
>>>>>
>>>>> So something must change that will look like a win for Trump and a 
>>>>> win for Iran. Iran will not walk out of it as the loser.
>>>>>
>>>>> The most probable scenario that will take place is the one I 
>>>>> pointed at before. The one that leaked out by Iranians a couple of 
>>>>> days back. One in which some sort of arrangements will take place 
>>>>> between USA and Iran that involves U.S. businesses' investing in a 
>>>>> few sectors inside Iran, and some of the sanctions removed, with 
>>>>> everything else intact. That would be a win-win for both sides.
>>>>>
>>>>> Note that Iran is very rich in highly educated workforce demanding 
>>>>> very little paychecks. Iran has endless amounts of precious 
>>>>> minerals to tap in. Iran has almost endless gas and oil. Iran has 
>>>>> excellent scientists and engineers. Iran can benefit U.S. 
>>>>> businesses immensely. A gazillion times more than this abysmal, 
>>>>> pathetic "Israel" sitting there crying and killing all the time, 
>>>>> making people of the world spit into the Americans' faces.
>>>>>
>>>>> These are important facts to bargain with :-)
>>>>>
>>>>> There will be no war.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Yes, there will be no war. But not just because of what Iran can 
>>>> offer to American businesses in a normalized relations, no 
>>>> sanctions, and none of those idiotic "conditions" met, but also 
>>>> because of what Iran can do in the case of war..
>>>>
>>>> So in fact both cases support the no-war outcome. I'm certain of it. 
>>>> Iranians want you to tell Trump they don't get fooled by his sorry 
>>>> bullshit. Neither Israelis nor the Americans are in a position to 
>>>> threaten Iran in any form of war. The threat is on you!
>>>>
>>>> How difficult is it to see this? The core of the mistake you fucked 
>>>> up people are making is that throwing USA at Iran will weaken Iran 
>>>> more than it will weaken Israel. This is not so. This kind of 
>>>> mistakes are the ones that never allowed Jews to form a healthy 
>>>> country. The war will be a long one and Iranians are ready to face 
>>>> it! Do you know what it means?..
>>>>
>>>> Iran will not be the country that'll go down the drain. She'll tough 
>>>> it out. But you Israelis will not. Soon, say in 5 years or so, 
>>>> nobody in the world would want to live in Israel. How can you handle 
>>>> that? Don't you need people to be living there, working there, to 
>>>> form a nation and a country there?
>>>>
>>>> Hehe :)
>>>>
>>>> It's like I'm talking to kids.
>>>>
>>>> Even China and Russia are there to make sure it will be so. But Iran 
>>>> can do you in without them. China wants the strait stay open. 
>>>> Russia, in a much more strategic way, wants to put a leash on these 
>>>> Zionist animals in this U.S. administration, the ridicule of the 
>>>> world, running around trying to "control" others.
>>>>
>>>> I in fact think Iran will get stronger and stronger as this long war 
>>>> goes on. That's why I'm looking forward to it, and I'm not the only 
>>>> one. What of Israel will still be there when this war ends? Why 
>>>> would it "end" to begin with? The fact that it would one day "end", 
>>>> itself, means there will be no Israel left to war with or push USA 
>>>> farther against Iran. No? Iran will stay Iran! It isn't the first 
>>>> time for her at all.
>>>>
>>>> And USA?.. Hehe :) The war will not end at a state of "normalized 
>>>> relations." That option you'll only find in your pasts. I really 
>>>> think You're wrong thinking otherwise. It will end when Israel is no 
>>>> more, and USA grabs its sorry ass and limps away back where it came 
>>>> from. Just like after Vietnam and Afghanestan. Only worse. If you 
>>>> think you can handle that go ahead. Don't pretend you can threaten 
>>>> Iranians in any way.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Interesting:
>>>
>>> Many news sources have it that today Witkoff said Trump asked him 
>>> this morning why Iran doesn't give up despite presence of such other 
>>> drastic scenarios :)
>>>
>>> Evidently this same question was bugging Witkoff himself enough to 
>>> mention that to the Fox News.
>>>
>>> Somebody give both of them the answer please. Here's the answer:
>>>
>>>     "Because Iranians have something in them that a New Yorker thug 
>>> doesn't."
>>>
>>> So these thugs will have to choose the option of paying the full 
>>> price regardless. Thugs don't like that, cause money is their blood. 
>>> So there won't be any war.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>> One of Iran's main militia commanders said today: "Presence of 
>> American armada in the region is advertorial." :-))) Hahhahhahhahh :-))
>>
>> Bull's eye baby :-)
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
> 
> 
> A new development :-)
> 
> It is possible that the real aim of Trump's armada is to have the 
> sailors get to some land space to defecate on, toilets or not! :-))
> 
> Evidently the toilets on the carriers aren't working right and the lines 
> for using the working ones are each a 45 minute wait (auch!..). On the 
> other hand, Navy has issued this instruction:
> 
> https://i.postimg.cc/KYKTbNtt/real-aim.jpg
> 
> Sailors have to defecate directly into the ocean in the manner described 
> in the above instruction sign until they get close enough to Iran's 
> shores to "disembark" and reach land to sit on and defecate :)
> 
> Hehe :)
> 
> If shitting under ordinary conditions is a problem for today's Navy, 
> imagine what the sailors do when the Hoots begin to reach them. If you 
> ask me, they won't be needing toilets anymore :) Pants would do fine!
> 
> 


Meanwhile situation on the deck:

https://i.postimg.cc/15DtSdnS/on-the-deck.jpg

:-))

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#895193

FromTaskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com>
Date2026-02-25 10:32 -0600
Message-ID<10nn86h$pr6p$1@solani.org>
In reply to#895187
On 2/24/26 12:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
> On 2/24/26 11:56 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>> On 2/22/26 11:31 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>> On 2/22/26 10:52 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>> On 2/20/26 12:03 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>> On 2/18/26 1:58 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>> On 2/18/26 12:44 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2/17/26 9:48 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2/17/26 5:15 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 10:43 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 9:51 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/12/26 12:39 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/10/26 1:53 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/7/26 3:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> So at this point I'm on the side of the 50% who think the 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> war will not happen, and on the side of the 100% who think 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran won't accept any of the four unrealistic conditions 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> even if all the sanctions against her are removed!
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Do you know that right before the new "negotiations" began, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> USA quietly slipped an additional 5th condition to the 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> previous 4 ?.. Hahhahhahhhah :-)))
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> If you look at that additional condition you'll immediately 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> see why Trump did it and why Iran accepted another 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> "negotiation".
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> It says something along these lines: Iran should not make 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attacks against any of her neighbors.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Well, I bet you Sheep don't know that Iran has not made an 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attack on any of her neighbors for the past 250 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> years!.. The last one was carried out by Nader Shah. Any 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> other attack since, has been for the sole act of defense 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> against aggressive attacks from neighbors toward Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> So Trump wants Iran to "agree" to that condition, and to 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> that condition only, so he can say he won, therefore no 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> war :) Hahhhahah :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> He's done stuff like that before too, you know, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> circumventing all those faggot Neocons who want war with 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran. Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> I am still thinking the same.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Netanyahu's visit didn't change anything. He probably just 
>>>>>>>>>>>> flashed Trump some more files :-) Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> And since Trump is so confident nobody can prosecute him 
>>>>>>>>>>>> regarding Epstein's files, decisions about Iran stayed the 
>>>>>>>>>>>> same.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Why is Trump so confident about being protected against 
>>>>>>>>>>>> those files?.. He cannot be innocent, and he cooperated with 
>>>>>>>>>>>> FBI to go against Epstein. This only means one thing. He 
>>>>>>>>>>>> must've asked FBI for immunity in return for helping FBI get 
>>>>>>>>>>>> Epstein.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> That's why he is so confident about his being protected, 
>>>>>>>>>>>> even after Netanyahu flashing more files for him. And yet, 
>>>>>>>>>>>> he is still opposing the prosecution to continue on those 
>>>>>>>>>>>> files, so he is in his turn protecting someone else. It may 
>>>>>>>>>>>> have to do with Emarat! :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> In his English language post, Araghchi in response to Munich 
>>>>>>>>>>> Security Circus today said, "Europe is nowhere to be seen!"
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhah :-))
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> And in his continuation of describing EU referred to it as a 
>>>>>>>>>>> "peripheral" entity :-) You know what that word means, 
>>>>>>>>>>> peripheral, don't you :)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Translated to penitentiary English, "Bitch" is what it means!
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Did you see the Valentine twit that the Israel's account in X 
>>>>>>>>>> did? It went something like this:
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>     "Dear World, I will never leave you. XOXO Love, Israel" 
>>>>>>>>>> then a heart with star of david in it.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Just check the psychological state of these people.. 
>>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhahhahh :-))) They say it thmselves! :)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> What fucked up morons.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> China has delivered scores of radars to Iran and they've filled 
>>>>>>>>> up all the holes and vacuums across Iran. Also many (the number 
>>>>>>>>> is high, but as of yet secret) modern and new fighter jets. 
>>>>>>>>> Iran is to pay for all this in the future, not right away.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> All sorts of communication systems and air defense equipment 
>>>>>>>>> have been delivered and implemented as well. This includes the 
>>>>>>>>> Chinese versions of AWACS. I think they want to test a lot of 
>>>>>>>>> these systems against U.S. and/or Israeli air attacks in a real 
>>>>>>>>> war.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Another important update is that there are now numerous 
>>>>>>>>> information gathering Chinese ships placed at strategic places 
>>>>>>>>> in the Persian Gulf, Oman Sea, and the Arabian sea, as well as 
>>>>>>>>> information gathering equipment across Iran (especially close 
>>>>>>>>> to all borders and desert routes) which have totally nullified 
>>>>>>>>> American Navy and inland forces ability to engage in "surprise" 
>>>>>>>>> attacks against Iran.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> China's concern is for the whole region, not just the Iran's 
>>>>>>>>> share. Especially the oil industries on which they are 
>>>>>>>>> dependent. So this move from China lowers the probability of 
>>>>>>>>> attacks by Iran on oil industries, and raises the probability 
>>>>>>>>> of attacks on Amerinan business assets in the two cities I 
>>>>>>>>> mentioned a few days back, and on attacking the American bases 
>>>>>>>>> all around Iran and the Persian Gulf.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> So war option is now even less favored today than it was just 
>>>>>>>>> days back.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> And you must know Iran by now. If you do, you would know that 
>>>>>>>>> she will never conduct an operation in relation to one 
>>>>>>>>> objective only. The operation will be multi-faceted. This 
>>>>>>>>> negotiation she is conducting with the USA in Europe is itself 
>>>>>>>>> quite a multifaceted operation. For instance, I heard that Iran 
>>>>>>>>> has even included offers for American businesses' investments 
>>>>>>>>> in some sectors inside Iran to circumvent some of the 
>>>>>>>>> unrealistic conditions that USA is (on the surface) imposing on 
>>>>>>>>> her, and to contrast it to the huge loss of USA's investments 
>>>>>>>>> in the two Emarati cities should a war with Iran take place. 
>>>>>>>>> This has quite frightened the Israelis :-) I can measure that 
>>>>>>>>> fear by measuring anti- Iranian propaganda that Israel supports 
>>>>>>>>> and how disturbed and concerned they've suddenly become. 
>>>>>>>>> Literally shocked. They had not been prepared for it.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Such Israeli backed outlets, often inviting "specialists" to 
>>>>>>>>> give their takes about how Iran will lose in just every aspect 
>>>>>>>>> of development that there is, now, and I mean within only the 
>>>>>>>>> last couple of days, cannot anymore hold the discussions under 
>>>>>>>>> control! Every one of them quickly is led to a nasty verbal 
>>>>>>>>> fight between the interviewers and their hosts! Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> In other words, Israelis are now crying, not arguing. The pain 
>>>>>>>>> of the upcoming loss, the dread of failing in this grand 
>>>>>>>>> operation they have conducted to push the American forces 
>>>>>>>>> against Iran, has overwhelmed them. And it should.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> It points to an old deep well-kept secret knowledge inside 
>>>>>>>>> them, the Israelis, that they are weaker than Iran and 
>>>>>>>>> Iranians. As an individual, as a team, as a tribe, as a 
>>>>>>>>> society, as a nation, and especially as a civilization, they 
>>>>>>>>> are weaker than the Iranians.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> And this new development which was purposefully leaked out by 
>>>>>>>>> the Iranians, aiming at no one but the Israelis, brings that 
>>>>>>>>> deep fear up in them yet one more time. It is an ancient fear 
>>>>>>>>> indeed.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> I told you about their state of mind seen in their Valentine's 
>>>>>>>>> post. It was a reflection of the fear I just described, except 
>>>>>>>>> that they switched the word _inferiority_ with the word 
>>>>>>>>> "existence" itself to justify their mass murders. All in the 
>>>>>>>>> open for the right eyes to see!
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> But despite all these moves towards a more stable situation, one 
>>>>>>>> in which war is avoided, Iran is feverishly getting ready for 
>>>>>>>> war. Just today, Iran closed off the strait of Hormoz for 
>>>>>>>> several hours to conduct tests for her new AI driven system that 
>>>>>>>> will be used for stopping the oil traffic through the strait in 
>>>>>>>> the coming war. Lots of Iranian defense forces just yesterday 
>>>>>>>> were done with getting stationed behind northeastern areas to 
>>>>>>>> counter last week's Americans' moving fighter jets to the 
>>>>>>>> Tajikestan Republic.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Also, the spread of radars and missiles on eastern Iran in 
>>>>>>>> general indicates that despite Pakestan's firm statement on not 
>>>>>>>> allowing American forces to use their air space, Iran is still 
>>>>>>>> treating that angle as if some U.S. aircrafts will come in via 
>>>>>>>> that angle.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> In a nutshell, although prospects look good for an agreement (a 
>>>>>>>> win for both Trump and Iran), this time around there will be no 
>>>>>>>> surprise attacks similar to those in last June.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Eastern Iran played a huge role in winning the 12-day war last 
>>>>>>>> June. It was the area where Israeli jets could not reach. It was 
>>>>>>>> the area where the best missiles of Iran were stationed. As soon 
>>>>>>>> as more than half of the overt missile launchers on the west 
>>>>>>>> side of Iran were hit, these better and newer and more powerful 
>>>>>>>> missiles in the East were deployed and quickly brought Israel to 
>>>>>>>> its knees.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Bagram base, which got suddenly popular and wanted by Trump, was 
>>>>>>>> to get American jets even closer to Iran. It won't happen! Iran 
>>>>>>>> had already taken full account of that in her preparations 
>>>>>>>> months back. But Americans thought the base in Tajikestan could 
>>>>>>>> do it for them instead. Not anymore. Iran's surveillance 
>>>>>>>> capabilities aren't like how it was last June.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Nothing is being assumed in this war. Every scenario is dealt 
>>>>>>>> with. Even right now, there's not an hour that much is not 
>>>>>>>> getting done, arranged or tested, or rearranged according to 
>>>>>>>> what USA's forces are doing, every thing is in motion. 24x7.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It is worth mentioning just how those Eastern missiles defeated 
>>>>>>> Israel. This was excellent war planning. Best in the world. 
>>>>>>> Perhaps best in most parts of history as well. It was extremely 
>>>>>>> realistic and efficient, therefore the simplest that could be 
>>>>>>> devised. And sure enough within just a few days it trapped and 
>>>>>>> defeated Israel.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> To explain the plan, I have to point to the vital fact that 
>>>>>>> susceptibilities and/or "pain" itself exists in different ways 
>>>>>>> from nation to nation. War means to inflict maximum pain and 
>>>>>>> receive minimum pain. Israel only has three ports, three 
>>>>>>> lifelines. Eylat, which was done with by Hoothies, the other two, 
>>>>>>> Haifa and Ashdod. The missiles from eastern Iran simply targeted 
>>>>>>> those two ports and rendered them totally useless. Israel was 
>>>>>>> finished as soon as it was done. Nothing could come into Israel 
>>>>>>> anymore. The concept of "import" turned into smoke and went up.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Iran is not Israel. She didn't need to hit Israeli ships. Didn't 
>>>>>>> need to hit Israeli military bases. Didn't need to blow Netanyahu 
>>>>>>> and his team in the hole they were in. None of that mattered. 
>>>>>>> Iran didn't need to do any of that. With relatively just a few of 
>>>>>>> the best missiles Iran annihilated the concept of "import" in 
>>>>>>> Israel. The job to make these missiles successful was already 
>>>>>>> done by the ones on the western parts of Iran. The latter had 
>>>>>>> used up Israel's air defenses and had made the road open for the 
>>>>>>> missiles in East Iran.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> A plan was devised that wins for _sure_; not one that creates 
>>>>>>> hoopla.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> But right now the matter of war with USA is the issue for Iran. 
>>>>>> This "fake" war. Israel has learned its lessons. I don't think 
>>>>>> they'll participate in it in any major way. And to this day, their 
>>>>>> ports have not been brought up back to the life they should. They 
>>>>>> are still behind in repairing Iran's hits; while Iran is now at 
>>>>>> least 10 times more powerful and war-ready than in June of 2025.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So the issue is the war with USA.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I'm not a war analyzer or anything like that. I am a physicist. I 
>>>>>> can think in a healthy way, and I can do it almost all by myself. 
>>>>>> I don't need feedback from this and that or "Fox News" crap or 
>>>>>> what vile Israelis are churning out or even what the American 
>>>>>> "think tanks" are saying. A physicist is trained in thinking for 
>>>>>> himself. And this thinking all by itself can open a few quite 
>>>>>> realistic scenes in fact, because it makes use of only the main 
>>>>>> elements, not the ones peripheral to the process.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> A physicist can do that because he is an expert in 
>>>>>> "approximation". He knows what to throw away to gain what that's 
>>>>>> essential.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So let's look at what USA has done in this war with Iran. 
>>>>>> Americans always plan wars in a ... I'd say combinatorial way. 
>>>>>> That's for sure. One doesn't get a hint of what else they've 
>>>>>> employed in their plans. But a close look (or rather the opposite 
>>>>>> (!) of it), which can in this case be in fact a general look, 
>>>>>> gives me this: They've started to place one and the same sanction 
>>>>>> against Iran over and over. Multiple times! Because they need to 
>>>>>> tell the American Sheep that, "Here... see for yourself... we 
>>>>>> sanctioned this and that for Iran and increased the pressure on 
>>>>>> them". The Sheep of course does not know that nothing new has been 
>>>>>> done, and naturally believes that what was done increased the 
>>>>>> pressure on Iran.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> For me, what this repeating points at, is, that the probability is 
>>>>>> now at the maximum, that number of elements in the combinational 
>>>>>> war they have planned has reached its maximum. It strongly 
>>>>>> indicates nothing new and _real_ will be added to the plans they 
>>>>>> already have.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> This is one fact to consider for Iran to plan for.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Another fact is that any ship and carrier they send to this war 
>>>>>> will get destroyed by Iran with certainty. All of them have to 
>>>>>> come close enough to be effective, and all of them will get sunk. 
>>>>>> This limits the number of ships USA can deploy because it would 
>>>>>> get extremely expensive. Trump hates extremely expensive wars. It 
>>>>>> is just not in his genes. So if a war begins, this would not be a 
>>>>>> war in which Americans would keep sending more and more ships to 
>>>>>> it like they did in the Atlantic during WWII.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> And there's no other way for the USA to get close enough to Iran. 
>>>>>> All USA's land bases that are close enough to be effective, 
>>>>>> _within_hours_, will get destroyed or rendered useless.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> American forces can certainly hit Khark's oil-exporting ports in 
>>>>>> the Persian Gulf if they choose so. If they do, every oil industry 
>>>>>> in the entire region will go up in flames by Iran (even by 
>>>>>> Americans themselves!), so the war will get reduced the "fake" one 
>>>>>> that I explained in the first post of this blog. It can happen! 
>>>>>> And I'm all for it. And Iranians should in fact welcome it. But 
>>>>>> only if Americans limit the war to the destruction of oil 
>>>>>> industries of the region.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> If Americans hit mainland Iran, especially if they hit targets in 
>>>>>> Iran that are only of interest for the Israelis, the war continues 
>>>>>> to spread to Israel and destruction of the American business 
>>>>>> assets in the Emarat. So if Trump really keen to do it then so be 
>>>>>> it. The cost of war will skyrocket and will involve destruction of 
>>>>>> huge American businesses. Almost as if New York City itself has 
>>>>>> been destroyed. So I give it only little probability that war will 
>>>>>> continue to that end. But it can happen! Iran should be ready for it.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> China does not want this war. Any scenario of it. Arabs living off 
>>>>>> of oil do not want it. Again any scenario of it. They will get 
>>>>>> hurt bad either way.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So I give this war with USA a 20% chance to begin. 80% chance for 
>>>>>> no war.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> What happens in a no-war situation? Things will certainly not stay 
>>>>>> as before. Trump needs a win very bad, otherwise the rest of his 
>>>>>> term he'll reduce to serve the Democrats' demands. He'll become 
>>>>>> another Biden.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So something must change that will look like a win for Trump and a 
>>>>>> win for Iran. Iran will not walk out of it as the loser.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> The most probable scenario that will take place is the one I 
>>>>>> pointed at before. The one that leaked out by Iranians a couple of 
>>>>>> days back. One in which some sort of arrangements will take place 
>>>>>> between USA and Iran that involves U.S. businesses' investing in a 
>>>>>> few sectors inside Iran, and some of the sanctions removed, with 
>>>>>> everything else intact. That would be a win-win for both sides.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Note that Iran is very rich in highly educated workforce demanding 
>>>>>> very little paychecks. Iran has endless amounts of precious 
>>>>>> minerals to tap in. Iran has almost endless gas and oil. Iran has 
>>>>>> excellent scientists and engineers. Iran can benefit U.S. 
>>>>>> businesses immensely. A gazillion times more than this abysmal, 
>>>>>> pathetic "Israel" sitting there crying and killing all the time, 
>>>>>> making people of the world spit into the Americans' faces.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> These are important facts to bargain with :-)
>>>>>>
>>>>>> There will be no war.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Yes, there will be no war. But not just because of what Iran can 
>>>>> offer to American businesses in a normalized relations, no 
>>>>> sanctions, and none of those idiotic "conditions" met, but also 
>>>>> because of what Iran can do in the case of war..
>>>>>
>>>>> So in fact both cases support the no-war outcome. I'm certain of 
>>>>> it. Iranians want you to tell Trump they don't get fooled by his 
>>>>> sorry bullshit. Neither Israelis nor the Americans are in a 
>>>>> position to threaten Iran in any form of war. The threat is on you!
>>>>>
>>>>> How difficult is it to see this? The core of the mistake you fucked 
>>>>> up people are making is that throwing USA at Iran will weaken Iran 
>>>>> more than it will weaken Israel. This is not so. This kind of 
>>>>> mistakes are the ones that never allowed Jews to form a healthy 
>>>>> country. The war will be a long one and Iranians are ready to face 
>>>>> it! Do you know what it means?..
>>>>>
>>>>> Iran will not be the country that'll go down the drain. She'll 
>>>>> tough it out. But you Israelis will not. Soon, say in 5 years or 
>>>>> so, nobody in the world would want to live in Israel. How can you 
>>>>> handle that? Don't you need people to be living there, working 
>>>>> there, to form a nation and a country there?
>>>>>
>>>>> Hehe :)
>>>>>
>>>>> It's like I'm talking to kids.
>>>>>
>>>>> Even China and Russia are there to make sure it will be so. But 
>>>>> Iran can do you in without them. China wants the strait stay open. 
>>>>> Russia, in a much more strategic way, wants to put a leash on these 
>>>>> Zionist animals in this U.S. administration, the ridicule of the 
>>>>> world, running around trying to "control" others.
>>>>>
>>>>> I in fact think Iran will get stronger and stronger as this long 
>>>>> war goes on. That's why I'm looking forward to it, and I'm not the 
>>>>> only one. What of Israel will still be there when this war ends? 
>>>>> Why would it "end" to begin with? The fact that it would one day 
>>>>> "end", itself, means there will be no Israel left to war with or 
>>>>> push USA farther against Iran. No? Iran will stay Iran! It isn't 
>>>>> the first time for her at all.
>>>>>
>>>>> And USA?.. Hehe :) The war will not end at a state of "normalized 
>>>>> relations." That option you'll only find in your pasts. I really 
>>>>> think You're wrong thinking otherwise. It will end when Israel is 
>>>>> no more, and USA grabs its sorry ass and limps away back where it 
>>>>> came from. Just like after Vietnam and Afghanestan. Only worse. If 
>>>>> you think you can handle that go ahead. Don't pretend you can 
>>>>> threaten Iranians in any way.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Interesting:
>>>>
>>>> Many news sources have it that today Witkoff said Trump asked him 
>>>> this morning why Iran doesn't give up despite presence of such other 
>>>> drastic scenarios :)
>>>>
>>>> Evidently this same question was bugging Witkoff himself enough to 
>>>> mention that to the Fox News.
>>>>
>>>> Somebody give both of them the answer please. Here's the answer:
>>>>
>>>>     "Because Iranians have something in them that a New Yorker thug 
>>>> doesn't."
>>>>
>>>> So these thugs will have to choose the option of paying the full 
>>>> price regardless. Thugs don't like that, cause money is their blood. 
>>>> So there won't be any war.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> One of Iran's main militia commanders said today: "Presence of 
>>> American armada in the region is advertorial." :-))) Hahhahhahhahh :-))
>>>
>>> Bull's eye baby :-)
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>> A new development :-)
>>
>> It is possible that the real aim of Trump's armada is to have the 
>> sailors get to some land space to defecate on, toilets or not! :-))
>>
>> Evidently the toilets on the carriers aren't working right and the 
>> lines for using the working ones are each a 45 minute wait (auch!..). 
>> On the other hand, Navy has issued this instruction:
>>
>> https://i.postimg.cc/KYKTbNtt/real-aim.jpg
>>
>> Sailors have to defecate directly into the ocean in the manner 
>> described in the above instruction sign until they get close enough to 
>> Iran's shores to "disembark" and reach land to sit on and defecate :)
>>
>> Hehe :)
>>
>> If shitting under ordinary conditions is a problem for today's Navy, 
>> imagine what the sailors do when the Hoots begin to reach them. If you 
>> ask me, they won't be needing toilets anymore :) Pants would do fine!
>>
>>
> 
> 
> Meanwhile situation on the deck:
> 
> https://i.postimg.cc/15DtSdnS/on-the-deck.jpg
> 
> :-))
> 
> 


New developments:

For the past few days the Militia has been conducting war practices on 
how to hit Emarat! What did I say some days back...

Emarat is a multi-trillion dollar collection of various big business 
conglomerates 80% owned by American/Israeli Jews, 10% Europeans (mostly 
Jews) and 5% other nations around the world (mostly Jews!), and the last 
5% of it belongs to Emaratis themselves (mainly Jews).

Nothing is more vulnerable than the Emarat to the Iranian forces. Almost 
everything is concentrated into just two cities.

Think about it. There won't be a war. The idea that "Israel is throwing 
U.S. forces at Iran" doesn't hold water.

I think it is much more likely that Americans are threatening to control 
Israel and their own Jews both. They're definitely sick of both and want 
to break their backs now if they keep doing anything they want at the 
expense of the others. They want to place a yoke on them all, and leash 
them. The push and pull has escalated to a stage that huge losses on 
each other are accepted for one side to carry this leashing, and for the 
other side to resist it.

The armada, at any moment, can initiate this confrontation, leading to 
destruction of many trillions of dollars of the American Jews 
possessions, with certainty. So this doesn't mean a war will begin. It 
is the threat of it that does the job, giving Americans some lever in 
handling American Jews and their obnoxious demands.

The war will not happen of course. Jews will not give away such amounts 
of money. It's all, as one of the heads of the Militia said, an 
"advertorial" for the Iranians, pretending to speak of science.







[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#895207

FromTaskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com>
Date2026-02-26 16:18 -0600
Message-ID<10nqgs6$s1h9$2@solani.org>
In reply to#895193
On 2/25/26 10:32 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
> On 2/24/26 12:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>> On 2/24/26 11:56 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>> On 2/22/26 11:31 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>> On 2/22/26 10:52 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>> On 2/20/26 12:03 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>> On 2/18/26 1:58 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2/18/26 12:44 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2/17/26 9:48 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>> On 2/17/26 5:15 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 10:43 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 9:51 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/12/26 12:39 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/10/26 1:53 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/7/26 3:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> So at this point I'm on the side of the 50% who think the 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> war will not happen, and on the side of the 100% who 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> think Iran won't accept any of the four unrealistic 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> conditions even if all the sanctions against her are 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> removed!
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Do you know that right before the new "negotiations" 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> began, USA quietly slipped an additional 5th condition to 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> the previous 4 ?.. Hahhahhahhhah :-)))
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> If you look at that additional condition you'll 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> immediately see why Trump did it and why Iran accepted 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> another "negotiation".
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> It says something along these lines: Iran should not make 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attacks against any of her neighbors.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Well, I bet you Sheep don't know that Iran has not made an 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attack on any of her neighbors for the past 250 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> years!.. The last one was carried out by Nader Shah. Any 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> other attack since, has been for the sole act of defense 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> against aggressive attacks from neighbors toward Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> So Trump wants Iran to "agree" to that condition, and to 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> that condition only, so he can say he won, therefore no 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> war :) Hahhhahah :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> He's done stuff like that before too, you know, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> circumventing all those faggot Neocons who want war with 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran. Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> I am still thinking the same.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Netanyahu's visit didn't change anything. He probably just 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> flashed Trump some more files :-) Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> And since Trump is so confident nobody can prosecute him 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> regarding Epstein's files, decisions about Iran stayed the 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> same.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Why is Trump so confident about being protected against 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> those files?.. He cannot be innocent, and he cooperated 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> with FBI to go against Epstein. This only means one thing. 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> He must've asked FBI for immunity in return for helping FBI 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> get Epstein.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> That's why he is so confident about his being protected, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> even after Netanyahu flashing more files for him. And yet, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> he is still opposing the prosecution to continue on those 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> files, so he is in his turn protecting someone else. It may 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> have to do with Emarat! :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> In his English language post, Araghchi in response to Munich 
>>>>>>>>>>>> Security Circus today said, "Europe is nowhere to be seen!"
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhah :-))
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> And in his continuation of describing EU referred to it as a 
>>>>>>>>>>>> "peripheral" entity :-) You know what that word means, 
>>>>>>>>>>>> peripheral, don't you :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Translated to penitentiary English, "Bitch" is what it means!
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Did you see the Valentine twit that the Israel's account in X 
>>>>>>>>>>> did? It went something like this:
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>     "Dear World, I will never leave you. XOXO Love, Israel" 
>>>>>>>>>>> then a heart with star of david in it.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Just check the psychological state of these people.. 
>>>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhahhahh :-))) They say it thmselves! :)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> What fucked up morons.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> China has delivered scores of radars to Iran and they've 
>>>>>>>>>> filled up all the holes and vacuums across Iran. Also many 
>>>>>>>>>> (the number is high, but as of yet secret) modern and new 
>>>>>>>>>> fighter jets. Iran is to pay for all this in the future, not 
>>>>>>>>>> right away.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> All sorts of communication systems and air defense equipment 
>>>>>>>>>> have been delivered and implemented as well. This includes the 
>>>>>>>>>> Chinese versions of AWACS. I think they want to test a lot of 
>>>>>>>>>> these systems against U.S. and/or Israeli air attacks in a 
>>>>>>>>>> real war.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Another important update is that there are now numerous 
>>>>>>>>>> information gathering Chinese ships placed at strategic places 
>>>>>>>>>> in the Persian Gulf, Oman Sea, and the Arabian sea, as well as 
>>>>>>>>>> information gathering equipment across Iran (especially close 
>>>>>>>>>> to all borders and desert routes) which have totally nullified 
>>>>>>>>>> American Navy and inland forces ability to engage in 
>>>>>>>>>> "surprise" attacks against Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> China's concern is for the whole region, not just the Iran's 
>>>>>>>>>> share. Especially the oil industries on which they are 
>>>>>>>>>> dependent. So this move from China lowers the probability of 
>>>>>>>>>> attacks by Iran on oil industries, and raises the probability 
>>>>>>>>>> of attacks on Amerinan business assets in the two cities I 
>>>>>>>>>> mentioned a few days back, and on attacking the American bases 
>>>>>>>>>> all around Iran and the Persian Gulf.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> So war option is now even less favored today than it was just 
>>>>>>>>>> days back.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> And you must know Iran by now. If you do, you would know that 
>>>>>>>>>> she will never conduct an operation in relation to one 
>>>>>>>>>> objective only. The operation will be multi-faceted. This 
>>>>>>>>>> negotiation she is conducting with the USA in Europe is itself 
>>>>>>>>>> quite a multifaceted operation. For instance, I heard that 
>>>>>>>>>> Iran has even included offers for American businesses' 
>>>>>>>>>> investments in some sectors inside Iran to circumvent some of 
>>>>>>>>>> the unrealistic conditions that USA is (on the surface) 
>>>>>>>>>> imposing on her, and to contrast it to the huge loss of USA's 
>>>>>>>>>> investments in the two Emarati cities should a war with Iran 
>>>>>>>>>> take place. This has quite frightened the Israelis :-) I can 
>>>>>>>>>> measure that fear by measuring anti- Iranian propaganda that 
>>>>>>>>>> Israel supports and how disturbed and concerned they've 
>>>>>>>>>> suddenly become. Literally shocked. They had not been prepared 
>>>>>>>>>> for it.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Such Israeli backed outlets, often inviting "specialists" to 
>>>>>>>>>> give their takes about how Iran will lose in just every aspect 
>>>>>>>>>> of development that there is, now, and I mean within only the 
>>>>>>>>>> last couple of days, cannot anymore hold the discussions under 
>>>>>>>>>> control! Every one of them quickly is led to a nasty verbal 
>>>>>>>>>> fight between the interviewers and their hosts! Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> In other words, Israelis are now crying, not arguing. The pain 
>>>>>>>>>> of the upcoming loss, the dread of failing in this grand 
>>>>>>>>>> operation they have conducted to push the American forces 
>>>>>>>>>> against Iran, has overwhelmed them. And it should.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> It points to an old deep well-kept secret knowledge inside 
>>>>>>>>>> them, the Israelis, that they are weaker than Iran and 
>>>>>>>>>> Iranians. As an individual, as a team, as a tribe, as a 
>>>>>>>>>> society, as a nation, and especially as a civilization, they 
>>>>>>>>>> are weaker than the Iranians.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> And this new development which was purposefully leaked out by 
>>>>>>>>>> the Iranians, aiming at no one but the Israelis, brings that 
>>>>>>>>>> deep fear up in them yet one more time. It is an ancient fear 
>>>>>>>>>> indeed.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> I told you about their state of mind seen in their Valentine's 
>>>>>>>>>> post. It was a reflection of the fear I just described, except 
>>>>>>>>>> that they switched the word _inferiority_ with the word 
>>>>>>>>>> "existence" itself to justify their mass murders. All in the 
>>>>>>>>>> open for the right eyes to see!
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> But despite all these moves towards a more stable situation, 
>>>>>>>>> one in which war is avoided, Iran is feverishly getting ready 
>>>>>>>>> for war. Just today, Iran closed off the strait of Hormoz for 
>>>>>>>>> several hours to conduct tests for her new AI driven system 
>>>>>>>>> that will be used for stopping the oil traffic through the 
>>>>>>>>> strait in the coming war. Lots of Iranian defense forces just 
>>>>>>>>> yesterday were done with getting stationed behind northeastern 
>>>>>>>>> areas to counter last week's Americans' moving fighter jets to 
>>>>>>>>> the Tajikestan Republic.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Also, the spread of radars and missiles on eastern Iran in 
>>>>>>>>> general indicates that despite Pakestan's firm statement on not 
>>>>>>>>> allowing American forces to use their air space, Iran is still 
>>>>>>>>> treating that angle as if some U.S. aircrafts will come in via 
>>>>>>>>> that angle.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> In a nutshell, although prospects look good for an agreement (a 
>>>>>>>>> win for both Trump and Iran), this time around there will be no 
>>>>>>>>> surprise attacks similar to those in last June.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Eastern Iran played a huge role in winning the 12-day war last 
>>>>>>>>> June. It was the area where Israeli jets could not reach. It 
>>>>>>>>> was the area where the best missiles of Iran were stationed. As 
>>>>>>>>> soon as more than half of the overt missile launchers on the 
>>>>>>>>> west side of Iran were hit, these better and newer and more 
>>>>>>>>> powerful missiles in the East were deployed and quickly brought 
>>>>>>>>> Israel to its knees.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Bagram base, which got suddenly popular and wanted by Trump, 
>>>>>>>>> was to get American jets even closer to Iran. It won't happen! 
>>>>>>>>> Iran had already taken full account of that in her preparations 
>>>>>>>>> months back. But Americans thought the base in Tajikestan could 
>>>>>>>>> do it for them instead. Not anymore. Iran's surveillance 
>>>>>>>>> capabilities aren't like how it was last June.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Nothing is being assumed in this war. Every scenario is dealt 
>>>>>>>>> with. Even right now, there's not an hour that much is not 
>>>>>>>>> getting done, arranged or tested, or rearranged according to 
>>>>>>>>> what USA's forces are doing, every thing is in motion. 24x7.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> It is worth mentioning just how those Eastern missiles defeated 
>>>>>>>> Israel. This was excellent war planning. Best in the world. 
>>>>>>>> Perhaps best in most parts of history as well. It was extremely 
>>>>>>>> realistic and efficient, therefore the simplest that could be 
>>>>>>>> devised. And sure enough within just a few days it trapped and 
>>>>>>>> defeated Israel.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> To explain the plan, I have to point to the vital fact that 
>>>>>>>> susceptibilities and/or "pain" itself exists in different ways 
>>>>>>>> from nation to nation. War means to inflict maximum pain and 
>>>>>>>> receive minimum pain. Israel only has three ports, three 
>>>>>>>> lifelines. Eylat, which was done with by Hoothies, the other 
>>>>>>>> two, Haifa and Ashdod. The missiles from eastern Iran simply 
>>>>>>>> targeted those two ports and rendered them totally useless. 
>>>>>>>> Israel was finished as soon as it was done. Nothing could come 
>>>>>>>> into Israel anymore. The concept of "import" turned into smoke 
>>>>>>>> and went up.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Iran is not Israel. She didn't need to hit Israeli ships. Didn't 
>>>>>>>> need to hit Israeli military bases. Didn't need to blow 
>>>>>>>> Netanyahu and his team in the hole they were in. None of that 
>>>>>>>> mattered. Iran didn't need to do any of that. With relatively 
>>>>>>>> just a few of the best missiles Iran annihilated the concept of 
>>>>>>>> "import" in Israel. The job to make these missiles successful 
>>>>>>>> was already done by the ones on the western parts of Iran. The 
>>>>>>>> latter had used up Israel's air defenses and had made the road 
>>>>>>>> open for the missiles in East Iran.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> A plan was devised that wins for _sure_; not one that creates 
>>>>>>>> hoopla.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> But right now the matter of war with USA is the issue for Iran. 
>>>>>>> This "fake" war. Israel has learned its lessons. I don't think 
>>>>>>> they'll participate in it in any major way. And to this day, 
>>>>>>> their ports have not been brought up back to the life they 
>>>>>>> should. They are still behind in repairing Iran's hits; while 
>>>>>>> Iran is now at least 10 times more powerful and war-ready than in 
>>>>>>> June of 2025.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So the issue is the war with USA.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I'm not a war analyzer or anything like that. I am a physicist. I 
>>>>>>> can think in a healthy way, and I can do it almost all by myself. 
>>>>>>> I don't need feedback from this and that or "Fox News" crap or 
>>>>>>> what vile Israelis are churning out or even what the American 
>>>>>>> "think tanks" are saying. A physicist is trained in thinking for 
>>>>>>> himself. And this thinking all by itself can open a few quite 
>>>>>>> realistic scenes in fact, because it makes use of only the main 
>>>>>>> elements, not the ones peripheral to the process.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> A physicist can do that because he is an expert in 
>>>>>>> "approximation". He knows what to throw away to gain what that's 
>>>>>>> essential.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So let's look at what USA has done in this war with Iran. 
>>>>>>> Americans always plan wars in a ... I'd say combinatorial way. 
>>>>>>> That's for sure. One doesn't get a hint of what else they've 
>>>>>>> employed in their plans. But a close look (or rather the opposite 
>>>>>>> (!) of it), which can in this case be in fact a general look, 
>>>>>>> gives me this: They've started to place one and the same sanction 
>>>>>>> against Iran over and over. Multiple times! Because they need to 
>>>>>>> tell the American Sheep that, "Here... see for yourself... we 
>>>>>>> sanctioned this and that for Iran and increased the pressure on 
>>>>>>> them". The Sheep of course does not know that nothing new has 
>>>>>>> been done, and naturally believes that what was done increased 
>>>>>>> the pressure on Iran.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> For me, what this repeating points at, is, that the probability 
>>>>>>> is now at the maximum, that number of elements in the 
>>>>>>> combinational war they have planned has reached its maximum. It 
>>>>>>> strongly indicates nothing new and _real_ will be added to the 
>>>>>>> plans they already have.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> This is one fact to consider for Iran to plan for.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Another fact is that any ship and carrier they send to this war 
>>>>>>> will get destroyed by Iran with certainty. All of them have to 
>>>>>>> come close enough to be effective, and all of them will get sunk. 
>>>>>>> This limits the number of ships USA can deploy because it would 
>>>>>>> get extremely expensive. Trump hates extremely expensive wars. It 
>>>>>>> is just not in his genes. So if a war begins, this would not be a 
>>>>>>> war in which Americans would keep sending more and more ships to 
>>>>>>> it like they did in the Atlantic during WWII.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> And there's no other way for the USA to get close enough to Iran. 
>>>>>>> All USA's land bases that are close enough to be effective, 
>>>>>>> _within_hours_, will get destroyed or rendered useless.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> American forces can certainly hit Khark's oil-exporting ports in 
>>>>>>> the Persian Gulf if they choose so. If they do, every oil 
>>>>>>> industry in the entire region will go up in flames by Iran (even 
>>>>>>> by Americans themselves!), so the war will get reduced the "fake" 
>>>>>>> one that I explained in the first post of this blog. It can 
>>>>>>> happen! And I'm all for it. And Iranians should in fact welcome 
>>>>>>> it. But only if Americans limit the war to the destruction of oil 
>>>>>>> industries of the region.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> If Americans hit mainland Iran, especially if they hit targets in 
>>>>>>> Iran that are only of interest for the Israelis, the war 
>>>>>>> continues to spread to Israel and destruction of the American 
>>>>>>> business assets in the Emarat. So if Trump really keen to do it 
>>>>>>> then so be it. The cost of war will skyrocket and will involve 
>>>>>>> destruction of huge American businesses. Almost as if New York 
>>>>>>> City itself has been destroyed. So I give it only little 
>>>>>>> probability that war will continue to that end. But it can 
>>>>>>> happen! Iran should be ready for it.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> China does not want this war. Any scenario of it. Arabs living 
>>>>>>> off of oil do not want it. Again any scenario of it. They will 
>>>>>>> get hurt bad either way.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So I give this war with USA a 20% chance to begin. 80% chance for 
>>>>>>> no war.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> What happens in a no-war situation? Things will certainly not 
>>>>>>> stay as before. Trump needs a win very bad, otherwise the rest of 
>>>>>>> his term he'll reduce to serve the Democrats' demands. He'll 
>>>>>>> become another Biden.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So something must change that will look like a win for Trump and 
>>>>>>> a win for Iran. Iran will not walk out of it as the loser.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> The most probable scenario that will take place is the one I 
>>>>>>> pointed at before. The one that leaked out by Iranians a couple 
>>>>>>> of days back. One in which some sort of arrangements will take 
>>>>>>> place between USA and Iran that involves U.S. businesses' 
>>>>>>> investing in a few sectors inside Iran, and some of the sanctions 
>>>>>>> removed, with everything else intact. That would be a win-win for 
>>>>>>> both sides.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Note that Iran is very rich in highly educated workforce 
>>>>>>> demanding very little paychecks. Iran has endless amounts of 
>>>>>>> precious minerals to tap in. Iran has almost endless gas and oil. 
>>>>>>> Iran has excellent scientists and engineers. Iran can benefit 
>>>>>>> U.S. businesses immensely. A gazillion times more than this 
>>>>>>> abysmal, pathetic "Israel" sitting there crying and killing all 
>>>>>>> the time, making people of the world spit into the Americans' faces.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> These are important facts to bargain with :-)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> There will be no war.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Yes, there will be no war. But not just because of what Iran can 
>>>>>> offer to American businesses in a normalized relations, no 
>>>>>> sanctions, and none of those idiotic "conditions" met, but also 
>>>>>> because of what Iran can do in the case of war..
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So in fact both cases support the no-war outcome. I'm certain of 
>>>>>> it. Iranians want you to tell Trump they don't get fooled by his 
>>>>>> sorry bullshit. Neither Israelis nor the Americans are in a 
>>>>>> position to threaten Iran in any form of war. The threat is on you!
>>>>>>
>>>>>> How difficult is it to see this? The core of the mistake you 
>>>>>> fucked up people are making is that throwing USA at Iran will 
>>>>>> weaken Iran more than it will weaken Israel. This is not so. This 
>>>>>> kind of mistakes are the ones that never allowed Jews to form a 
>>>>>> healthy country. The war will be a long one and Iranians are ready 
>>>>>> to face it! Do you know what it means?..
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Iran will not be the country that'll go down the drain. She'll 
>>>>>> tough it out. But you Israelis will not. Soon, say in 5 years or 
>>>>>> so, nobody in the world would want to live in Israel. How can you 
>>>>>> handle that? Don't you need people to be living there, working 
>>>>>> there, to form a nation and a country there?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Hehe :)
>>>>>>
>>>>>> It's like I'm talking to kids.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Even China and Russia are there to make sure it will be so. But 
>>>>>> Iran can do you in without them. China wants the strait stay open. 
>>>>>> Russia, in a much more strategic way, wants to put a leash on 
>>>>>> these Zionist animals in this U.S. administration, the ridicule of 
>>>>>> the world, running around trying to "control" others.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I in fact think Iran will get stronger and stronger as this long 
>>>>>> war goes on. That's why I'm looking forward to it, and I'm not the 
>>>>>> only one. What of Israel will still be there when this war ends? 
>>>>>> Why would it "end" to begin with? The fact that it would one day 
>>>>>> "end", itself, means there will be no Israel left to war with or 
>>>>>> push USA farther against Iran. No? Iran will stay Iran! It isn't 
>>>>>> the first time for her at all.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> And USA?.. Hehe :) The war will not end at a state of "normalized 
>>>>>> relations." That option you'll only find in your pasts. I really 
>>>>>> think You're wrong thinking otherwise. It will end when Israel is 
>>>>>> no more, and USA grabs its sorry ass and limps away back where it 
>>>>>> came from. Just like after Vietnam and Afghanestan. Only worse. If 
>>>>>> you think you can handle that go ahead. Don't pretend you can 
>>>>>> threaten Iranians in any way.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Interesting:
>>>>>
>>>>> Many news sources have it that today Witkoff said Trump asked him 
>>>>> this morning why Iran doesn't give up despite presence of such 
>>>>> other drastic scenarios :)
>>>>>
>>>>> Evidently this same question was bugging Witkoff himself enough to 
>>>>> mention that to the Fox News.
>>>>>
>>>>> Somebody give both of them the answer please. Here's the answer:
>>>>>
>>>>>     "Because Iranians have something in them that a New Yorker thug 
>>>>> doesn't."
>>>>>
>>>>> So these thugs will have to choose the option of paying the full 
>>>>> price regardless. Thugs don't like that, cause money is their 
>>>>> blood. So there won't be any war.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> One of Iran's main militia commanders said today: "Presence of 
>>>> American armada in the region is advertorial." :-))) Hahhahhahhahh :-))
>>>>
>>>> Bull's eye baby :-)
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> A new development :-)
>>>
>>> It is possible that the real aim of Trump's armada is to have the 
>>> sailors get to some land space to defecate on, toilets or not! :-))
>>>
>>> Evidently the toilets on the carriers aren't working right and the 
>>> lines for using the working ones are each a 45 minute wait (auch!..). 
>>> On the other hand, Navy has issued this instruction:
>>>
>>> https://i.postimg.cc/KYKTbNtt/real-aim.jpg
>>>
>>> Sailors have to defecate directly into the ocean in the manner 
>>> described in the above instruction sign until they get close enough 
>>> to Iran's shores to "disembark" and reach land to sit on and defecate :)
>>>
>>> Hehe :)
>>>
>>> If shitting under ordinary conditions is a problem for today's Navy, 
>>> imagine what the sailors do when the Hoots begin to reach them. If 
>>> you ask me, they won't be needing toilets anymore :) Pants would do 
>>> fine!
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>> Meanwhile situation on the deck:
>>
>> https://i.postimg.cc/15DtSdnS/on-the-deck.jpg
>>
>> :-))
>>
>>
> 
> 
> New developments:
> 
> For the past few days the Militia has been conducting war practices on 
> how to hit Emarat! What did I say some days back...
> 
> Emarat is a multi-trillion dollar collection of various big business 
> conglomerates 80% owned by American/Israeli Jews, 10% Europeans (mostly 
> Jews) and 5% other nations around the world (mostly Jews!), and the last 
> 5% of it belongs to Emaratis themselves (mainly Jews).
> 
> Nothing is more vulnerable than the Emarat to the Iranian forces. Almost 
> everything is concentrated into just two cities.
> 
> Think about it. There won't be a war. The idea that "Israel is throwing 
> U.S. forces at Iran" doesn't hold water.
> 
> I think it is much more likely that Americans are threatening to control 
> Israel and their own Jews both. They're definitely sick of both and want 
> to break their backs now if they keep doing anything they want at the 
> expense of the others. They want to place a yoke on them all, and leash 
> them. The push and pull has escalated to a stage that huge losses on 
> each other are accepted for one side to carry this leashing, and for the 
> other side to resist it.
> 
> The armada, at any moment, can initiate this confrontation, leading to 
> destruction of many trillions of dollars of the American Jews 
> possessions, with certainty. So this doesn't mean a war will begin. It 
> is the threat of it that does the job, giving Americans some lever in 
> handling American Jews and their obnoxious demands.
> 
> The war will not happen of course. Jews will not give away such amounts 
> of money. It's all, as one of the heads of the Militia said, an 
> "advertorial" for the Iranians, pretending to speak of science.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 



I keep saying that there won't be a war. But this doesn't mean that 
something will not be agreed upon in the "negotiations". That's where 
the dangers for some of the enemies of Iran resides.

The concept of Iran's negotiation with USA itself inflicts paralyzing 
terror among the Israelis, like making them almost petrified. They know 
what they've done and they know who they've been.

It is so because negotiation may involve packages that include anything 
under the sky that's agreed upon! There's no limit for introducing new 
conditions in it. For instance, one condition placed by Iran which has 
leaked out is that Iran, now that Reza Pahlavi last month caused a few 
thousands of demonstrating Iranians to get killed, be extradited to Iran 
together with his mother Farah who stole tens of billions of Iranians' 
dollar assets right before she fled Iran with her husband, and brought 
them inside USA. Iran has asked for the money to be transferred to Iran 
and Farah and Reza Pahlavi, her son, extradited to Iran. This was 
revealed when U.S. government sent this request to the intelligence 
agencies to get their feedback on it.

So it may happen! Who knows. All depends on what particular package be 
agreed upon.

There's also a demand on placing the MKO back on the terrorist list.

Both such demands were made only after thousands of Iranians were killed 
in the streets last month. So things for troublemakers such as them have 
changed, perhaps forever. We'll see what happens if negotiations would 
prove to prevent war.

Things for Israelis changed forever after mass murders of November 2023 
began, thanks to their dimness and nothing else. So Israelis too may 
well get the short end of the stick. It is possible.

These criminals are the ones fearing this negotiation. Not the Iranians.





[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#895276

FromTaskfreak <taskfreak@gmail.com>
Date2026-03-01 21:07 -0600
Message-ID<10o2ut5$122kd$1@solani.org>
In reply to#895207
On 2/26/26 4:18 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
> On 2/25/26 10:32 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>> On 2/24/26 12:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>> On 2/24/26 11:56 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>> On 2/22/26 11:31 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>> On 2/22/26 10:52 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>> On 2/20/26 12:03 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2/18/26 1:58 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2/18/26 12:44 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>> On 2/17/26 9:48 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> On 2/17/26 5:15 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 10:43 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/15/26 9:51 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/12/26 12:39 AM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/10/26 1:53 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> On 2/7/26 3:28 PM, Taskfreak wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> So at this point I'm on the side of the 50% who think 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> the war will not happen, and on the side of the 100% who 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> think Iran won't accept any of the four unrealistic 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> conditions even if all the sanctions against her are 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> removed!
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Do you know that right before the new "negotiations" 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> began, USA quietly slipped an additional 5th condition to 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> the previous 4 ?.. Hahhahhahhhah :-)))
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> If you look at that additional condition you'll 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> immediately see why Trump did it and why Iran accepted 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> another "negotiation".
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> It says something along these lines: Iran should not make 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> aggressive attacks against any of her neighbors.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Well, I bet you Sheep don't know that Iran has not made 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> an aggressive attack on any of her neighbors for the past 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> 250 years!.. The last one was carried out by Nader Shah. 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Any other attack since, has been for the sole act of 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> defense against aggressive attacks from neighbors toward 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> So Trump wants Iran to "agree" to that condition, and to 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> that condition only, so he can say he won, therefore no 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> war :) Hahhhahah :-)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> He's done stuff like that before too, you know, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> circumventing all those faggot Neocons who want war with 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Iran. Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> I am still thinking the same.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Netanyahu's visit didn't change anything. He probably just 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> flashed Trump some more files :-) Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> And since Trump is so confident nobody can prosecute him 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> regarding Epstein's files, decisions about Iran stayed the 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> same.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Why is Trump so confident about being protected against 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> those files?.. He cannot be innocent, and he cooperated 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> with FBI to go against Epstein. This only means one thing. 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> He must've asked FBI for immunity in return for helping 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> FBI get Epstein.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> That's why he is so confident about his being protected, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> even after Netanyahu flashing more files for him. And yet, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> he is still opposing the prosecution to continue on those 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> files, so he is in his turn protecting someone else. It 
>>>>>>>>>>>>>> may have to do with Emarat! :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> In his English language post, Araghchi in response to 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Munich Security Circus today said, "Europe is nowhere to be 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> seen!"
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhah :-))
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> And in his continuation of describing EU referred to it as 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> a "peripheral" entity :-) You know what that word means, 
>>>>>>>>>>>>> peripheral, don't you :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>> Translated to penitentiary English, "Bitch" is what it means!
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Did you see the Valentine twit that the Israel's account in 
>>>>>>>>>>>> X did? It went something like this:
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>     "Dear World, I will never leave you. XOXO Love, Israel" 
>>>>>>>>>>>> then a heart with star of david in it.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> Just check the psychological state of these people.. 
>>>>>>>>>>>> Hahhahhahhahh :-))) They say it thmselves! :)
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>> What fucked up morons.
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> China has delivered scores of radars to Iran and they've 
>>>>>>>>>>> filled up all the holes and vacuums across Iran. Also many 
>>>>>>>>>>> (the number is high, but as of yet secret) modern and new 
>>>>>>>>>>> fighter jets. Iran is to pay for all this in the future, not 
>>>>>>>>>>> right away.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> All sorts of communication systems and air defense equipment 
>>>>>>>>>>> have been delivered and implemented as well. This includes 
>>>>>>>>>>> the Chinese versions of AWACS. I think they want to test a 
>>>>>>>>>>> lot of these systems against U.S. and/or Israeli air attacks 
>>>>>>>>>>> in a real war.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Another important update is that there are now numerous 
>>>>>>>>>>> information gathering Chinese ships placed at strategic 
>>>>>>>>>>> places in the Persian Gulf, Oman Sea, and the Arabian sea, as 
>>>>>>>>>>> well as information gathering equipment across Iran 
>>>>>>>>>>> (especially close to all borders and desert routes) which 
>>>>>>>>>>> have totally nullified American Navy and inland forces 
>>>>>>>>>>> ability to engage in "surprise" attacks against Iran.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> China's concern is for the whole region, not just the Iran's 
>>>>>>>>>>> share. Especially the oil industries on which they are 
>>>>>>>>>>> dependent. So this move from China lowers the probability of 
>>>>>>>>>>> attacks by Iran on oil industries, and raises the probability 
>>>>>>>>>>> of attacks on Amerinan business assets in the two cities I 
>>>>>>>>>>> mentioned a few days back, and on attacking the American 
>>>>>>>>>>> bases all around Iran and the Persian Gulf.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> So war option is now even less favored today than it was just 
>>>>>>>>>>> days back.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> And you must know Iran by now. If you do, you would know that 
>>>>>>>>>>> she will never conduct an operation in relation to one 
>>>>>>>>>>> objective only. The operation will be multi-faceted. This 
>>>>>>>>>>> negotiation she is conducting with the USA in Europe is 
>>>>>>>>>>> itself quite a multifaceted operation. For instance, I heard 
>>>>>>>>>>> that Iran has even included offers for American businesses' 
>>>>>>>>>>> investments in some sectors inside Iran to circumvent some of 
>>>>>>>>>>> the unrealistic conditions that USA is (on the surface) 
>>>>>>>>>>> imposing on her, and to contrast it to the huge loss of USA's 
>>>>>>>>>>> investments in the two Emarati cities should a war with Iran 
>>>>>>>>>>> take place. This has quite frightened the Israelis :-) I can 
>>>>>>>>>>> measure that fear by measuring anti- Iranian propaganda that 
>>>>>>>>>>> Israel supports and how disturbed and concerned they've 
>>>>>>>>>>> suddenly become. Literally shocked. They had not been 
>>>>>>>>>>> prepared for it.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Such Israeli backed outlets, often inviting "specialists" to 
>>>>>>>>>>> give their takes about how Iran will lose in just every 
>>>>>>>>>>> aspect of development that there is, now, and I mean within 
>>>>>>>>>>> only the last couple of days, cannot anymore hold the 
>>>>>>>>>>> discussions under control! Every one of them quickly is led 
>>>>>>>>>>> to a nasty verbal fight between the interviewers and their 
>>>>>>>>>>> hosts! Hehe :)
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> In other words, Israelis are now crying, not arguing. The 
>>>>>>>>>>> pain of the upcoming loss, the dread of failing in this grand 
>>>>>>>>>>> operation they have conducted to push the American forces 
>>>>>>>>>>> against Iran, has overwhelmed them. And it should.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> It points to an old deep well-kept secret knowledge inside 
>>>>>>>>>>> them, the Israelis, that they are weaker than Iran and 
>>>>>>>>>>> Iranians. As an individual, as a team, as a tribe, as a 
>>>>>>>>>>> society, as a nation, and especially as a civilization, they 
>>>>>>>>>>> are weaker than the Iranians.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> And this new development which was purposefully leaked out by 
>>>>>>>>>>> the Iranians, aiming at no one but the Israelis, brings that 
>>>>>>>>>>> deep fear up in them yet one more time. It is an ancient fear 
>>>>>>>>>>> indeed.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> I told you about their state of mind seen in their 
>>>>>>>>>>> Valentine's post. It was a reflection of the fear I just 
>>>>>>>>>>> described, except that they switched the word _inferiority_ 
>>>>>>>>>>> with the word "existence" itself to justify their mass 
>>>>>>>>>>> murders. All in the open for the right eyes to see!
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> But despite all these moves towards a more stable situation, 
>>>>>>>>>> one in which war is avoided, Iran is feverishly getting ready 
>>>>>>>>>> for war. Just today, Iran closed off the strait of Hormoz for 
>>>>>>>>>> several hours to conduct tests for her new AI driven system 
>>>>>>>>>> that will be used for stopping the oil traffic through the 
>>>>>>>>>> strait in the coming war. Lots of Iranian defense forces just 
>>>>>>>>>> yesterday were done with getting stationed behind northeastern 
>>>>>>>>>> areas to counter last week's Americans' moving fighter jets to 
>>>>>>>>>> the Tajikestan Republic.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Also, the spread of radars and missiles on eastern Iran in 
>>>>>>>>>> general indicates that despite Pakestan's firm statement on 
>>>>>>>>>> not allowing American forces to use their air space, Iran is 
>>>>>>>>>> still treating that angle as if some U.S. aircrafts will come 
>>>>>>>>>> in via that angle.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> In a nutshell, although prospects look good for an agreement 
>>>>>>>>>> (a win for both Trump and Iran), this time around there will 
>>>>>>>>>> be no surprise attacks similar to those in last June.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Eastern Iran played a huge role in winning the 12-day war last 
>>>>>>>>>> June. It was the area where Israeli jets could not reach. It 
>>>>>>>>>> was the area where the best missiles of Iran were stationed. 
>>>>>>>>>> As soon as more than half of the overt missile launchers on 
>>>>>>>>>> the west side of Iran were hit, these better and newer and 
>>>>>>>>>> more powerful missiles in the East were deployed and quickly 
>>>>>>>>>> brought Israel to its knees.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Bagram base, which got suddenly popular and wanted by Trump, 
>>>>>>>>>> was to get American jets even closer to Iran. It won't happen! 
>>>>>>>>>> Iran had already taken full account of that in her 
>>>>>>>>>> preparations months back. But Americans thought the base in 
>>>>>>>>>> Tajikestan could do it for them instead. Not anymore. Iran's 
>>>>>>>>>> surveillance capabilities aren't like how it was last June.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Nothing is being assumed in this war. Every scenario is dealt 
>>>>>>>>>> with. Even right now, there's not an hour that much is not 
>>>>>>>>>> getting done, arranged or tested, or rearranged according to 
>>>>>>>>>> what USA's forces are doing, every thing is in motion. 24x7.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> It is worth mentioning just how those Eastern missiles defeated 
>>>>>>>>> Israel. This was excellent war planning. Best in the world. 
>>>>>>>>> Perhaps best in most parts of history as well. It was extremely 
>>>>>>>>> realistic and efficient, therefore the simplest that could be 
>>>>>>>>> devised. And sure enough within just a few days it trapped and 
>>>>>>>>> defeated Israel.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> To explain the plan, I have to point to the vital fact that 
>>>>>>>>> susceptibilities and/or "pain" itself exists in different ways 
>>>>>>>>> from nation to nation. War means to inflict maximum pain and 
>>>>>>>>> receive minimum pain. Israel only has three ports, three 
>>>>>>>>> lifelines. Eylat, which was done with by Hoothies, the other 
>>>>>>>>> two, Haifa and Ashdod. The missiles from eastern Iran simply 
>>>>>>>>> targeted those two ports and rendered them totally useless. 
>>>>>>>>> Israel was finished as soon as it was done. Nothing could come 
>>>>>>>>> into Israel anymore. The concept of "import" turned into smoke 
>>>>>>>>> and went up.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Iran is not Israel. She didn't need to hit Israeli ships. 
>>>>>>>>> Didn't need to hit Israeli military bases. Didn't need to blow 
>>>>>>>>> Netanyahu and his team in the hole they were in. None of that 
>>>>>>>>> mattered. Iran didn't need to do any of that. With relatively 
>>>>>>>>> just a few of the best missiles Iran annihilated the concept of 
>>>>>>>>> "import" in Israel. The job to make these missiles successful 
>>>>>>>>> was already done by the ones on the western parts of Iran. The 
>>>>>>>>> latter had used up Israel's air defenses and had made the road 
>>>>>>>>> open for the missiles in East Iran.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> A plan was devised that wins for _sure_; not one that creates 
>>>>>>>>> hoopla.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> But right now the matter of war with USA is the issue for Iran. 
>>>>>>>> This "fake" war. Israel has learned its lessons. I don't think 
>>>>>>>> they'll participate in it in any major way. And to this day, 
>>>>>>>> their ports have not been brought up back to the life they 
>>>>>>>> should. They are still behind in repairing Iran's hits; while 
>>>>>>>> Iran is now at least 10 times more powerful and war-ready than 
>>>>>>>> in June of 2025.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> So the issue is the war with USA.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> I'm not a war analyzer or anything like that. I am a physicist. 
>>>>>>>> I can think in a healthy way, and I can do it almost all by 
>>>>>>>> myself. I don't need feedback from this and that or "Fox News" 
>>>>>>>> crap or what vile Israelis are churning out or even what the 
>>>>>>>> American "think tanks" are saying. A physicist is trained in 
>>>>>>>> thinking for himself. And this thinking all by itself can open a 
>>>>>>>> few quite realistic scenes in fact, because it makes use of only 
>>>>>>>> the main elements, not the ones peripheral to the process.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> A physicist can do that because he is an expert in 
>>>>>>>> "approximation". He knows what to throw away to gain what that's 
>>>>>>>> essential.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> So let's look at what USA has done in this war with Iran. 
>>>>>>>> Americans always plan wars in a ... I'd say combinatorial way. 
>>>>>>>> That's for sure. One doesn't get a hint of what else they've 
>>>>>>>> employed in their plans. But a close look (or rather the 
>>>>>>>> opposite (!) of it), which can in this case be in fact a general 
>>>>>>>> look, gives me this: They've started to place one and the same 
>>>>>>>> sanction against Iran over and over. Multiple times! Because 
>>>>>>>> they need to tell the American Sheep that, "Here... see for 
>>>>>>>> yourself... we sanctioned this and that for Iran and increased 
>>>>>>>> the pressure on them". The Sheep of course does not know that 
>>>>>>>> nothing new has been done, and naturally believes that what was 
>>>>>>>> done increased the pressure on Iran.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> For me, what this repeating points at, is, that the probability 
>>>>>>>> is now at the maximum, that number of elements in the 
>>>>>>>> combinational war they have planned has reached its maximum. It 
>>>>>>>> strongly indicates nothing new and _real_ will be added to the 
>>>>>>>> plans they already have.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> This is one fact to consider for Iran to plan for.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Another fact is that any ship and carrier they send to this war 
>>>>>>>> will get destroyed by Iran with certainty. All of them have to 
>>>>>>>> come close enough to be effective, and all of them will get 
>>>>>>>> sunk. This limits the number of ships USA can deploy because it 
>>>>>>>> would get extremely expensive. Trump hates extremely expensive 
>>>>>>>> wars. It is just not in his genes. So if a war begins, this 
>>>>>>>> would not be a war in which Americans would keep sending more 
>>>>>>>> and more ships to it like they did in the Atlantic during WWII.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> And there's no other way for the USA to get close enough to 
>>>>>>>> Iran. All USA's land bases that are close enough to be 
>>>>>>>> effective, _within_hours_, will get destroyed or rendered useless.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> American forces can certainly hit Khark's oil-exporting ports in 
>>>>>>>> the Persian Gulf if they choose so. If they do, every oil 
>>>>>>>> industry in the entire region will go up in flames by Iran (even 
>>>>>>>> by Americans themselves!), so the war will get reduced the 
>>>>>>>> "fake" one that I explained in the first post of this blog. It 
>>>>>>>> can happen! And I'm all for it. And Iranians should in fact 
>>>>>>>> welcome it. But only if Americans limit the war to the 
>>>>>>>> destruction of oil industries of the region.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> If Americans hit mainland Iran, especially if they hit targets 
>>>>>>>> in Iran that are only of interest for the Israelis, the war 
>>>>>>>> continues to spread to Israel and destruction of the American 
>>>>>>>> business assets in the Emarat. So if Trump really keen to do it 
>>>>>>>> then so be it. The cost of war will skyrocket and will involve 
>>>>>>>> destruction of huge American businesses. Almost as if New York 
>>>>>>>> City itself has been destroyed. So I give it only little 
>>>>>>>> probability that war will continue to that end. But it can 
>>>>>>>> happen! Iran should be ready for it.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> China does not want this war. Any scenario of it. Arabs living 
>>>>>>>> off of oil do not want it. Again any scenario of it. They will 
>>>>>>>> get hurt bad either way.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> So I give this war with USA a 20% chance to begin. 80% chance 
>>>>>>>> for no war.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> What happens in a no-war situation? Things will certainly not 
>>>>>>>> stay as before. Trump needs a win very bad, otherwise the rest 
>>>>>>>> of his term he'll reduce to serve the Democrats' demands. He'll 
>>>>>>>> become another Biden.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> So something must change that will look like a win for Trump and 
>>>>>>>> a win for Iran. Iran will not walk out of it as the loser.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> The most probable scenario that will take place is the one I 
>>>>>>>> pointed at before. The one that leaked out by Iranians a couple 
>>>>>>>> of days back. One in which some sort of arrangements will take 
>>>>>>>> place between USA and Iran that involves U.S. businesses' 
>>>>>>>> investing in a few sectors inside Iran, and some of the 
>>>>>>>> sanctions removed, with everything else intact. That would be a 
>>>>>>>> win-win for both sides.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Note that Iran is very rich in highly educated workforce 
>>>>>>>> demanding very little paychecks. Iran has endless amounts of 
>>>>>>>> precious minerals to tap in. Iran has almost endless gas and 
>>>>>>>> oil. Iran has excellent scientists and engineers. Iran can 
>>>>>>>> benefit U.S. businesses immensely. A gazillion times more than 
>>>>>>>> this abysmal, pathetic "Israel" sitting there crying and killing 
>>>>>>>> all the time, making people of the world spit into the 
>>>>>>>> Americans' faces.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> These are important facts to bargain with :-)
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> There will be no war.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Yes, there will be no war. But not just because of what Iran can 
>>>>>>> offer to American businesses in a normalized relations, no 
>>>>>>> sanctions, and none of those idiotic "conditions" met, but also 
>>>>>>> because of what Iran can do in the case of war..
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So in fact both cases support the no-war outcome. I'm certain of 
>>>>>>> it. Iranians want you to tell Trump they don't get fooled by his 
>>>>>>> sorry bullshit. Neither Israelis nor the Americans are in a 
>>>>>>> position to threaten Iran in any form of war. The threat is on you!
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> How difficult is it to see this? The core of the mistake you 
>>>>>>> fucked up people are making is that throwing USA at Iran will 
>>>>>>> weaken Iran more than it will weaken Israel. This is not so. This 
>>>>>>> kind of mistakes are the ones that never allowed Jews to form a 
>>>>>>> healthy country. The war will be a long one and Iranians are 
>>>>>>> ready to face it! Do you know what it means?..
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Iran will not be the country that'll go down the drain. She'll 
>>>>>>> tough it out. But you Israelis will not. Soon, say in 5 years or 
>>>>>>> so, nobody in the world would want to live in Israel. How can you 
>>>>>>> handle that? Don't you need people to be living there, working 
>>>>>>> there, to form a nation and a country there?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Hehe :)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It's like I'm talking to kids.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Even China and Russia are there to make sure it will be so. But 
>>>>>>> Iran can do you in without them. China wants the strait stay 
>>>>>>> open. Russia, in a much more strategic way, wants to put a leash 
>>>>>>> on these Zionist animals in this U.S. administration, the 
>>>>>>> ridicule of the world, running around trying to "control" others.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I in fact think Iran will get stronger and stronger as this long 
>>>>>>> war goes on. That's why I'm looking forward to it, and I'm not 
>>>>>>> the only one. What of Israel will still be there when this war 
>>>>>>> ends? Why would it "end" to begin with? The fact that it would 
>>>>>>> one day "end", itself, means there will be no Israel left to war 
>>>>>>> with or push USA farther against Iran. No? Iran will stay Iran! 
>>>>>>> It isn't the first time for her at all.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> And USA?.. Hehe :) The war will not end at a state of "normalized 
>>>>>>> relations." That option you'll only find in your pasts. I really 
>>>>>>> think You're wrong thinking otherwise. It will end when Israel is 
>>>>>>> no more, and USA grabs its sorry ass and limps away back where it 
>>>>>>> came from. Just like after Vietnam and Afghanestan. Only worse. 
>>>>>>> If you think you can handle that go ahead. Don't pretend you can 
>>>>>>> threaten Iranians in any way.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Interesting:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Many news sources have it that today Witkoff said Trump asked him 
>>>>>> this morning why Iran doesn't give up despite presence of such 
>>>>>> other drastic scenarios :)
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Evidently this same question was bugging Witkoff himself enough to 
>>>>>> mention that to the Fox News.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Somebody give both of them the answer please. Here's the answer:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>     "Because Iranians have something in them that a New Yorker 
>>>>>> thug doesn't."
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So these thugs will have to choose the option of paying the full 
>>>>>> price regardless. Thugs don't like that, cause money is their 
>>>>>> blood. So there won't be any war.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> One of Iran's main militia commanders said today: "Presence of 
>>>>> American armada in the region is advertorial." :-))) 
>>>>> Hahhahhahhahh :-))
>>>>>
>>>>> Bull's eye baby :-)
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> A new development :-)
>>>>
>>>> It is possible that the real aim of Trump's armada is to have the 
>>>> sailors get to some land space to defecate on, toilets or not! :-))
>>>>
>>>> Evidently the toilets on the carriers aren't working right and the 
>>>> lines for using the working ones are each a 45 minute wait 
>>>> (auch!..). On the other hand, Navy has issued this instruction:
>>>>
>>>> https://i.postimg.cc/KYKTbNtt/real-aim.jpg
>>>>
>>>> Sailors have to defecate directly into the ocean in the manner 
>>>> described in the above instruction sign until they get close enough 
>>>> to Iran's shores to "disembark" and reach land to sit on and 
>>>> defecate :)
>>>>
>>>> Hehe :)
>>>>
>>>> If shitting under ordinary conditions is a problem for today's Navy, 
>>>> imagine what the sailors do when the Hoots begin to reach them. If 
>>>> you ask me, they won't be needing toilets anymore :) Pants would do 
>>>> fine!
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Meanwhile situation on the deck:
>>>
>>> https://i.postimg.cc/15DtSdnS/on-the-deck.jpg
>>>
>>> :-))
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
>> New developments:
>>
>> For the past few days the Militia has been conducting war practices on 
>> how to hit Emarat! What did I say some days back...
>>
>> Emarat is a multi-trillion dollar collection of various big business 
>> conglomerates 80% owned by American/Israeli Jews, 10% Europeans 
>> (mostly Jews) and 5% other nations around the world (mostly Jews!), 
>> and the last 5% of it belongs to Emaratis themselves (mainly Jews).
>>
>> Nothing is more vulnerable than the Emarat to the Iranian forces. 
>> Almost everything is concentrated into just two cities.
>>
>> Think about it. There won't be a war. The idea that "Israel is 
>> throwing U.S. forces at Iran" doesn't hold water.
>>
>> I think it is much more likely that Americans are threatening to 
>> control Israel and their own Jews both. They're definitely sick of 
>> both and want to break their backs now if they keep doing anything 
>> they want at the expense of the others. They want to place a yoke on 
>> them all, and leash them. The push and pull has escalated to a stage 
>> that huge losses on each other are accepted for one side to carry this 
>> leashing, and for the other side to resist it.
>>
>> The armada, at any moment, can initiate this confrontation, leading to 
>> destruction of many trillions of dollars of the American Jews 
>> possessions, with certainty. So this doesn't mean a war will begin. It 
>> is the threat of it that does the job, giving Americans some lever in 
>> handling American Jews and their obnoxious demands.
>>
>> The war will not happen of course. Jews will not give away such 
>> amounts of money. It's all, as one of the heads of the Militia said, 
>> an "advertorial" for the Iranians, pretending to speak of science.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
> 
> 
> 
> I keep saying that there won't be a war. But this doesn't mean that 
> something will not be agreed upon in the "negotiations". That's where 
> the dangers for some of the enemies of Iran resides.
> 
> The concept of Iran's negotiation with USA itself inflicts paralyzing 
> terror among the Israelis, like making them almost petrified. They know 
> what they've done and they know who they've been.
> 
> It is so because negotiation may involve packages that include anything 
> under the sky that's agreed upon! There's no limit for introducing new 
> conditions in it. For instance, one condition placed by Iran which has 
> leaked out is that Iran, now that Reza Pahlavi last month caused a few 
> thousands of demonstrating Iranians to get killed, be extradited to Iran 
> together with his mother Farah who stole tens of billions of Iranians' 
> dollar assets right before she fled Iran with her husband, and brought 
> them inside USA. Iran has asked for the money to be transferred to Iran 
> and Farah and Reza Pahlavi, her son, extradited to Iran. This was 
> revealed when U.S. government sent this request to the intelligence 
> agencies to get their feedback on it.
> 
> So it may happen! Who knows. All depends on what particular package be 
> agreed upon.
> 
> There's also a demand on placing the MKO back on the terrorist list.
> 
> Both such demands were made only after thousands of Iranians were killed 
> in the streets last month. So things for troublemakers such as them have 
> changed, perhaps forever. We'll see what happens if negotiations would 
> prove to prevent war.
> 
> Things for Israelis changed forever after mass murders of November 2023 
> began, thanks to their dimness and nothing else. So Israelis too may 
> well get the short end of the stick. It is possible.
> 
> These criminals are the ones fearing this negotiation. Not the Iranians.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 



My prediction was that war would not happen.

And now that war has happened, I still think war would not have happened 
if a sane person was in White House. So both my prediction was correct 
(because it assumed a sane person was inside White House), and also war 
started!

Hehe :)

So that's it for this blog.

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#895008

FromThomas 'PointedEars' Lahn <PointedEars@web.de>
Date2026-01-31 12:28 +0100
Message-ID<10lkp10$evd0$1@gwaiyur.mb-net.net>
In reply to#895004
Taskfreak wrote:
> [off-topic again]

*PLONK*

F'up2 poster

-- 
PointedEars

Twitter: @PointedEars2
Please do not cc me. / Bitte keine Kopien per E-Mail.

[toc] | [prev] | [standalone]


Page 2 of 2 — ← Prev page 1 [2]

Back to top | Article view | sci.physics


csiph-web