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Groups > alt.folklore.computers > #163666 > unrolled thread

Beware the microsoft cloud?

Started by"gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid>
First post2016-05-13 17:28 +0100
Last post2016-06-05 14:31 +0000
Articles 20 on this page of 98 — 26 participants

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Contents

  Beware the microsoft cloud? "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> - 2016-05-13 17:28 +0100
    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? mentificium@gmail.com - 2016-05-14 09:22 -0700
    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk (Andrew Gabriel) - 2016-05-21 12:31 +0000
      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-05-21 13:16 +0000
        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-22 13:15 +0000
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-05-22 09:58 -0400
            Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-23 11:49 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? mausg@mail.com - 2016-05-23 11:56 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-05-23 15:02 +0000
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? David Wade <dave.g4ugm@gmail.com> - 2016-05-23 20:57 +0100
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-24 12:11 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-05-23 16:19 +0100
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "Rod Speed" <rod.speed.aaa@gmail.com> - 2016-05-24 04:02 +1000
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-24 12:11 +0000
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-05-24 10:59 -0500
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-23 14:30 -0400
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-05-23 14:04 -0500
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-23 23:23 -0400
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Alfred Falk <falk@arc.ab.ca> - 2016-05-24 04:40 +0000
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-24 12:11 +0000
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-24 12:48 -0400
                          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-05-25 07:47 -0400
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Alfred Falk <falk@arc.ab.ca> - 2016-05-24 17:43 +0000
                          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-24 14:13 -0400
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-24 12:38 -0400
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Alfred Falk <falk@arc.ab.ca> - 2016-05-24 17:55 +0000
                          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-24 20:25 +0200
                          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-24 15:02 -0400
                            Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Alfred Falk <falk@arc.ab.ca> - 2016-05-24 20:51 +0000
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? mausg@mail.com - 2016-05-24 19:24 +0000
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-05-23 14:38 -0500
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-23 23:28 -0400
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-05-24 09:03 -0500
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-24 18:28 +0200
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-24 12:52 -0400
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-05-24 12:33 -0500
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Walter Bushell <proto@panix.com> - 2016-05-24 17:17 -0400
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-05-24 17:23 -0500
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-05-25 07:47 -0400
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-05-24 11:55 -0400
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Walter Bushell <proto@panix.com> - 2016-05-24 17:16 -0400
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-05-24 21:31 +0000
                          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-25 07:37 +0200
                            Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-05-26 07:24 -0400
                              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-05-26 13:57 +0100
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-25 07:36 +0200
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Bob Martin <bob.martin@excite.com> - 2016-05-25 06:53 +0100
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-05-23 19:56 -0500
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-24 12:11 +0000
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-05-24 12:42 -0400
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-05-24 12:28 -0500
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Walter Bushell <proto@panix.com> - 2016-05-24 21:57 -0400
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-05-24 11:55 -0400
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-05-22 16:42 +0000
            Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-23 11:49 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-05-23 15:01 +0000
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-24 12:11 +0000
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-05-24 13:33 +0100
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-05-24 18:00 +0000
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btopenworld.com> - 2016-05-24 14:16 +0100
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-24 18:04 +0200
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-25 13:11 +0000
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-25 16:28 +0200
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-05-25 16:15 -0400
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? David Wade <dave.g4ugm@gmail.com> - 2016-05-26 10:31 +0100
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Walter Bushell <proto@panix.com> - 2016-05-24 17:12 -0400
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-05-24 21:27 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-05-23 16:04 +0100
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-05-23 17:15 +0000
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-05-24 18:00 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Mike Spencer <mds@bogus.nodomain.nowhere> - 2016-05-23 16:25 -0300
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "Rod Speed" <rod.speed.aaa@gmail.com> - 2016-05-23 11:04 +1000
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-05-23 06:40 +0100
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-23 16:16 +0200
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-05-23 19:58 -0500
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? pechter@t61.(none) (William Pechter) - 2016-05-29 20:35 +0000
      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Bud Frede <frede@mouse-potato.com> - 2016-05-23 12:53 -0400
        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-24 12:11 +0000
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-24 18:08 +0200
            Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-05-25 13:11 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-05-25 16:22 +0200
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? mausg@mail.com - 2016-05-25 17:51 +0000
          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Bud Frede <frede@mouse-potato.com> - 2016-06-01 13:16 -0400
            Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? mausg@mail.com - 2016-06-01 20:59 +0000
            Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-06-02 12:09 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-06-02 16:39 +0000
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-06-02 20:44 +0000
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-06-03 13:16 +0000
              Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? David Wade <dave.g4ugm@gmail.com> - 2016-06-03 15:04 +0100
                Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-06-04 13:44 +0000
                  Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? David Wade <dave.g4ugm@gmail.com> - 2016-06-04 23:22 +0100
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Gene Wirchenko <genew@telus.net> - 2016-06-04 19:02 -0700
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-06-05 05:14 -0400
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-06-05 17:38 +0000
                          Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-06-05 14:39 -0400
                      Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-06-05 10:08 -0500
                        Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-06-05 12:44 -0500
                    Re: Beware the microsoft cloud? jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-06-05 14:31 +0000

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#163908

FromMorten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid>
Date2016-05-24 18:04 +0200
Message-ID<olae1d-9m.ln1@sambook.reistad.name>
In reply to#163895
In article <PM000533952B52D95B@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>,
jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>Huge wrote:
>> On 2016-05-23, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>> Huge wrote:
>>>> On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>>>>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>>>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>>>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>>>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>>>>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Among about a zillion other things.
>>>>>
>>>>> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>>>>> operations to doing one's own again.
>>>>
>>>> Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>>>> 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>>>> 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>>>> cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>>>> suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
>>>
>>> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
>>> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
>>> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?
>>
>> Largely, yes. That and the techies who remember the shambles from last time
>> have retired or died.
>
>14 years doesn't make them retired nor dead; it makes them middle management.
>Wouldn't it?

14 years should match the institutional, living memory of the middle
management of any large corporation. 

The turnover is usually around 5 years, but longer at higher positions.
(timing since first payroll in the company).

Every large organisation also must turn around the seats every 18-24
months or so to not ossify. That process is rapider the larger the
organisation is.

So 14 years is 7-10 reorganisations. 

That does take away the organisational memory.

I always interwiew the switchboard and the janitors. They have usually
the longest track records of the company "hoi polloi" and keep 
very good memories about goings-on, even though they have little sway
over decisions.

So, pendulum swings every 10-14 years seem about right.

-- mrr

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#163969

Fromjmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com>
Date2016-05-25 13:11 +0000
Message-ID<PM000533AA255ACA1B@aca40c43.ipt.aol.com>
In reply to#163908
Morten Reistad wrote:
> In article <PM000533952B52D95B@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>,
> jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>Huge wrote:
>>> On 2016-05-23, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>> On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>>>>>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>>>>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>>>>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>>>>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>>>>>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Among about a zillion other things.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>>>>>> operations to doing one's own again.
>>>>>
>>>>> Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>>>>> 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>>>>> 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>>>>> cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>>>>> suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
>>>>
>>>> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
>>>> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
>>>> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?
>>>
>>> Largely, yes. That and the techies who remember the shambles from last
time
>>> have retired or died.
>>
>>14 years doesn't make them retired nor dead; it makes them middle
management.
>>Wouldn't it?
>
> 14 years should match the institutional, living memory of the middle
> management of any large corporation.
>
> The turnover is usually around 5 years, but longer at higher positions.
> (timing since first payroll in the company).
>
> Every large organisation also must turn around the seats every 18-24
> months or so to not ossify. That process is rapider the larger the
> organisation is.
>
> So 14 years is 7-10 reorganisations.
>
> That does take away the organisational memory.
>
> I always interwiew the switchboard and the janitors. They have usually
> the longest track records of the company "hoi polloi" and keep
> very good memories about goings-on, even though they have little sway
> over decisions.
>
> So, pendulum swings every 10-14 years seem about right.

You are assuming that people don't stay with the same company;
I was assuming the opposite since that's how DEC worked.  things
sure have changed.

/BAH

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#163973

FromMorten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid>
Date2016-05-25 16:28 +0200
Message-ID<idpg1d-bn4.ln1@sambook.reistad.name>
In reply to#163969
In article <PM000533AA255ACA1B@aca40c43.ipt.aol.com>,
jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>Morten Reistad wrote:
>> In article <PM000533952B52D95B@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>,
>> jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>Huge wrote:
>>>> On 2016-05-23, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>> On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>>>>>>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>>>>>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>>>>>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>>>>>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>>>>>>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Among about a zillion other things.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>>>>>>> operations to doing one's own again.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>>>>>> 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>>>>>> 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>>>>>> cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>>>>>> suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
>>>>>
>>>>> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
>>>>> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
>>>>> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?
>>>>
>>>> Largely, yes. That and the techies who remember the shambles from last
>time
>>>> have retired or died.
>>>
>>>14 years doesn't make them retired nor dead; it makes them middle
>management.
>>>Wouldn't it?
>>
>> 14 years should match the institutional, living memory of the middle
>> management of any large corporation.
>>
>> The turnover is usually around 5 years, but longer at higher positions.
>> (timing since first payroll in the company).
>>
>> Every large organisation also must turn around the seats every 18-24
>> months or so to not ossify. That process is rapider the larger the
>> organisation is.
>>
>> So 14 years is 7-10 reorganisations.
>>
>> That does take away the organisational memory.
>>
>> I always interwiew the switchboard and the janitors. They have usually
>> the longest track records of the company "hoi polloi" and keep
>> very good memories about goings-on, even though they have little sway
>> over decisions.
>>
>> So, pendulum swings every 10-14 years seem about right.
>
>You are assuming that people don't stay with the same company;
>I was assuming the opposite since that's how DEC worked.  things
>sure have changed.

People in standard clerical positions, programmers included, that does
not take a career into management, rarely stay with the same company
more than 5 years. They have to move to advance their pay.

The routine reorganisations every 1-2 years are bound to push some
out too. If not outright fired, reassigned to oblivion and pushed to
apply for external jobs. I very much doubt anyone would survive 10
years in todays fortune 500s without having a separate career path.
that is 7-10 reorganisations.

Mostly this is into management.

DEC was an outlier. This company was not really managed; the engineers
made up for that until it became DIGITAL; and the management couldn't
duplicate the culture the engineers had. 

Workers nowadays have to embrace this constant change to survive; or
they need to go to quieter pastures, like into consulting, smaller
businesses or small government/utilities.

-- mrr




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#163982

FromPeter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com>
Date2016-05-25 16:15 -0400
Message-ID<234940408.485900020.470633.peter_flass-yahoo.com@news.eternal-september.org>
In reply to#163969
jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
> Morten Reistad wrote:
>> In article <PM000533952B52D95B@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>,
>> jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>> Huge wrote:
>>>> On 2016-05-23, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>> On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>>>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>>>>>>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>>>>>>> "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>>>>>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>>>>>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>>>>>>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> Among about a zillion other things.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>>>>>>> operations to doing one's own again.
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>>>>>> 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>>>>>> 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>>>>>> cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>>>>>> suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
>>>>> 
>>>>> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
>>>>> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
>>>>> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?
>>>> 
>>>> Largely, yes. That and the techies who remember the shambles from last
> time
>>>> have retired or died.
>>> 
>>> 14 years doesn't make them retired nor dead; it makes them middle
> management.
>>> Wouldn't it?
>> 
>> 14 years should match the institutional, living memory of the middle
>> management of any large corporation.
>> 
>> The turnover is usually around 5 years, but longer at higher positions.
>> (timing since first payroll in the company).
>> 
>> Every large organisation also must turn around the seats every 18-24
>> months or so to not ossify. That process is rapider the larger the
>> organisation is.
>> 
>> So 14 years is 7-10 reorganisations.
>> 
>> That does take away the organisational memory.
>> 
>> I always interwiew the switchboard and the janitors. They have usually
>> the longest track records of the company "hoi polloi" and keep
>> very good memories about goings-on, even though they have little sway
>> over decisions.
>> 
>> So, pendulum swings every 10-14 years seem about right.
> 
> You are assuming that people don't stay with the same company;
> I was assuming the opposite since that's how DEC worked.  things
> sure have changed.
> 

I forget what the average time with one employer is today, but it may be on
the order of two years.  It certainly is different from my experience too.

-- 
Pete

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#163998

FromDavid Wade <dave.g4ugm@gmail.com>
Date2016-05-26 10:31 +0100
Message-ID<ni6fqf$g6j$1@news.albasani.net>
In reply to#163982
On 25/05/2016 21:15, Peter Flass wrote:
> jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>> Morten Reistad wrote:
>>> In article <PM000533952B52D95B@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>,
>>> jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>> On 2016-05-23, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>>> On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>> Huge wrote:
>>>>>>>>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>>>>>>>> "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>>>>>>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>>>>>>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>>>>>>>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Among about a zillion other things.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>>>>>>>> operations to doing one's own again.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>>>>>>> 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>>>>>>> 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>>>>>>> cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>>>>>>> suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
>>>>>> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
>>>>>> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?
>>>>>
>>>>> Largely, yes. That and the techies who remember the shambles from last
>> time
>>>>> have retired or died.
>>>>
>>>> 14 years doesn't make them retired nor dead; it makes them middle
>> management.
>>>> Wouldn't it?
>>>
>>> 14 years should match the institutional, living memory of the middle
>>> management of any large corporation.
>>>
>>> The turnover is usually around 5 years, but longer at higher positions.
>>> (timing since first payroll in the company).
>>>
>>> Every large organisation also must turn around the seats every 18-24
>>> months or so to not ossify. That process is rapider the larger the
>>> organisation is.
>>>
>>> So 14 years is 7-10 reorganisations.
>>>
>>> That does take away the organisational memory.
>>>
>>> I always interwiew the switchboard and the janitors. They have usually
>>> the longest track records of the company "hoi polloi" and keep
>>> very good memories about goings-on, even though they have little sway
>>> over decisions.
>>>
>>> So, pendulum swings every 10-14 years seem about right.
>>
>> You are assuming that people don't stay with the same company;
>> I was assuming the opposite since that's how DEC worked.  things
>> sure have changed.

Just search for HP and lay-offs or redundancy. The current business 
model seems to be to sack staff who don't fit the current technology 
model. Hp Layoffs seem to be:-

55,000 in 2015
41,000 in 2014
27,000 in 2012

yet they continue to recruit. IBM Consultancy follows a similar path.

>>
>
> I forget what the average time with one employer is today, but it may be on
> the order of two years.  It certainly is different from my experience too.
>

The person allocated to do my job left before I finished my notice. He 
said they didn't pay him enough for his own job, never mind mine as well...

Dave
G4UGM

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#163938

FromWalter Bushell <proto@panix.com>
Date2016-05-24 17:12 -0400
Message-ID<proto-7DA955.17121524052016@news.panix.com>
In reply to#163853
In article <dqgka0FileU1@mid.individual.net>,
 Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> wrote:

> 
> Largely, yes. That and the techies who remember the shambles from last time
> have retired or died.

Or ignored. Sewage flows downhill.

-- 
 To terrify children with the image of hell,
 to consider women an inferior creation is that good for the world?  
  Christopher Hitchens

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#163942

FromHuge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid>
Date2016-05-24 21:27 +0000
Message-ID<dqjvajFl4m1U1@mid.individual.net>
In reply to#163938
On 2016-05-24, Walter Bushell <proto@panix.com> wrote:
> In article <dqgka0FileU1@mid.individual.net>,
>  Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> wrote:
>
>> 
>> Largely, yes. That and the techies who remember the shambles from last time
>> have retired or died.
>
> Or ignored. Sewage flows downhill.

Troo.


-- 
Today is Prickle-Prickle, the 71st day of Discord in the YOLD 3182
                  I don't have an attitude problem.
    If you have a problem with my attitude, that's your problem.

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#163855

FromAhem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net>
Date2016-05-23 16:04 +0100
Message-ID<20160523160430.aac2e7057d272570e76ad46c@eircom.net>
In reply to#163847
On 23 May 2016 11:49:09 GMT
jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:

> Huge wrote:
> > On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
> >> Huge wrote:
> >>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
> >>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
> >>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
> >>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
> >>>>>
> >>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
> >>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
> >>>>
> >>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
> >>>> exit costs from their supplier.
> >>>
> >>> Among about a zillion other things.
> >>
> >> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
> >> operations to doing one's own again.
> >
> > Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
> > 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
> > 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
> > cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
> > suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
> 
> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?

	Of course, and it's probably related to the average length of time
people get to spend at the level where these decisions are made before
retiring, once there's nobody around who remembers the last time it was
tried the field is clear for a repeat run.

-- 
Steve O'Hara-Smith                          |   Directable Mirror Arrays
C:>WIN                                      | A better way to focus the sun
The computer obeys and wins.                |    licences available see
You lose and Bill collects.                 |    http://www.sohara.org/

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#163860

FromHuge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid>
Date2016-05-23 17:15 +0000
Message-ID<dqgs5oF26soU1@mid.individual.net>
In reply to#163855
On 2016-05-23, Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> wrote:
> On 23 May 2016 11:49:09 GMT
> jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>
>> Huge wrote:
>> > On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>> >> Huge wrote:
>> >>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>> >>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>> >>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>> >>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>> >>>>>
>> >>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>> >>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>> >>>>
>> >>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>> >>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>> >>>
>> >>> Among about a zillion other things.
>> >>
>> >> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>> >> operations to doing one's own again.
>> >
>> > Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>> > 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>> > 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>> > cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>> > suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
>> 
>> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
>> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
>> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?
>
> 	Of course, and it's probably related to the average length of time
> people get to spend at the level where these decisions are made before
> retiring, once there's nobody around who remembers the last time it was
> tried the field is clear for a repeat run.

Precisely.


-- 
Today is Pungenday, the 70th day of Discord in the YOLD 3182
                  I don't have an attitude problem.
    If you have a problem with my attitude, that's your problem.

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#163921

FromCharlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid>
Date2016-05-24 18:00 +0000
Message-ID<ni24sg12fbd@news4.newsguy.com>
In reply to#163860
On 2016-05-23, Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> wrote:

> On 2016-05-23, Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> wrote:
>
>> On 23 May 2016 11:49:09 GMT jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>
>>> Huge wrote:
>>>
>>>> On 2016-05-22, jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>>>>> operations to doing one's own again.
>>>>
>>>> Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>>>> 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>>>> 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>>>> cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>>>> suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
>>> 
>>> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
>>> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
>>> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?
>>
>> 	Of course, and it's probably related to the average length of time
>> people get to spend at the level where these decisions are made before
>> retiring, once there's nobody around who remembers the last time it was
>> tried the field is clear for a repeat run.
>
> Precisely.

"The one thing we learn from history is that we don't learn from history."

-- 
/~\  cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid (Charlie Gibbs)
\ /  I'm really at ac.dekanfrus if you read it the right way.
 X   Top-posted messages will probably be ignored.  See RFC1855.
/ \  HTML will DEFINITELY be ignored.  Join the ASCII ribbon campaign!

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#163870

FromMike Spencer <mds@bogus.nodomain.nowhere>
Date2016-05-23 16:25 -0300
Message-ID<87k2ika85q.fsf@bogus.nodomain.nowhere>
In reply to#163847
jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> writes:

> Huge wrote:
>
>> Well, I worked with computers (it had various names over the years) for
>> 41 years, and I saw the "centralised"/"distributed" cycle go past about
>> 3 times in that time. So I would say these things go in about 14 year
>> cycles. We're likely about 5 years into "Ooh, shiney, cloud, want", so I
>> suppose we have to put up with it for about another 10 years.
> 
> So that makes it 3 brown books' worth of management planning.  The cycles
> can't really be tied to hardware nor software innovations.  right?
> So it must be the mid-management side of a business which "forgets"?

What's the cycle time for the appearance of "unintended consequences"?

A corporation or other large organizational entity spends months or
years and megabucks planning a major change, then more months/years
and more megabucks implementing it, then more time and money in
shakedown and training.  At some point the uninteded consequences
begin to appear but probably aren't prioritized over getting the new
$WHATEVER system working as planned.

Eventually, the unintended consequences manifest as a sudden and
shocking fuvg-storm or at least as a quiet but steady ingress of fuvg
graually rising to knee depth in some departments.

The insalubrious unintended consequences get a new and higher
priority.  Time to start a new planning session.  New cycle.


-- 
Mike Spencer                  Nova Scotia, Canada

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#163841

From"Rod Speed" <rod.speed.aaa@gmail.com>
Date2016-05-23 11:04 +1000
Message-ID<dqf39pFlqgiU1@mid.individual.net>
In reply to#163821

"jmfbahciv" <See.above@aol.com> wrote in message 
news:PM0005336E1EC56868@aca446d8.ipt.aol.com...
> Huge wrote:
>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>
>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>
>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>
>> Among about a zillion other things.
>
> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
> operations to doing one's own again.

Doubt that will ever happen with OSs, accounting packages except
where the operation is so unusual that no one outside is interested,
and with stuff like spreadsheets and office suites etc in spades. 

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#163844

FromAhem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net>
Date2016-05-23 06:40 +0100
Message-ID<20160523064010.cbe68d8f2c48897cfa05718b@eircom.net>
In reply to#163821
On 22 May 2016 13:15:06 GMT
jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> wrote:

> Huge wrote:
> > On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
> >> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
> >>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
> >>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
> >>>
> >>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
> >>> they start charging heftily for it?
> >>
> >> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
> >> exit costs from their supplier.
> >
> > Among about a zillion other things.
> 
> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
> operations to doing one's own again.

	Round here it never swung away and it never will, but for the crowd
I reckon Huge has it nailed pretty well.

-- 
Steve O'Hara-Smith                          |   Directable Mirror Arrays
C:>WIN                                      | A better way to focus the sun
The computer obeys and wins.                |    licences available see
You lose and Bill collects.                 |    http://www.sohara.org/

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#163865

FromMorten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid>
Date2016-05-23 16:16 +0200
Message-ID<jufb1d-1n2.ln1@sambook.reistad.name>
In reply to#163821
In article <PM0005336E1EC56868@aca446d8.ipt.aol.com>,
jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>Huge wrote:
>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>
>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>
>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>
>> Among about a zillion other things.
>
>How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>operations to doing one's own again.

So far the pendulum has taken off sideways, with heavy uptake of
hosted "raw" cpus, where the customer adds OS, management and applications.
That way they can build and operate their own clouds simply, cheaply
but still have good security and be in control of the services and
data.

-- mrr

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#163880

From"Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com>
Date2016-05-23 19:58 -0500
Message-ID<ni08oo$m9q$1@dont-email.me>
In reply to#163821
"jmfbahciv" <See.above@aol.com> wrote in message 
news:PM0005336E1EC56868@aca446d8.ipt.aol.com...
> Huge wrote:
>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>
>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>
>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>
>> Among about a zillion other things.
>
> How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
> operations to doing one's own again.
>

"If you would like a willing servant, and one that you like... server 
yourself."  -- Benjamin Franklin

-- 

numerist at aquaporin4 dot com

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#164126

Frompechter@t61.(none) (William Pechter)
Date2016-05-29 20:35 +0000
Message-ID<nifjqs$kgg$1@pechter.eternal-september.org>
In reply to#163821
In article <PM0005336E1EC56868@aca446d8.ipt.aol.com>,
jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>Huge wrote:
>> On 2016-05-21, Andrew Gabriel <andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk> wrote:
>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>
>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>
>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>> exit costs from their supplier.
>>
>> Among about a zillion other things.
>
>How long will it be before the pendumlum swings from outsourcing
>operations to doing one's own again.
>
>/BAH

When the machines have physical plugboards again... Just after the next
nuclear holocaust or other world ending disaster.

I don't ever think the systems operations and administration will move
back in house again since the networking and hardware costs of power and
air conditioning and staff make the "cloud" a probable win for all but small
mom and pop businesses...


Bill

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#163859

FromBud Frede <frede@mouse-potato.com>
Date2016-05-23 12:53 -0400
Message-ID<Q9WdnafKCIHvqN7KnZ2dnUU7-UHNnZ2d@supernews.com>
In reply to#163806
andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk (Andrew Gabriel) writes:

> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
> 	"gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>> 
>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>> they start charging heftily for it?
>
> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
> exit costs from their supplier. An area where this is often
> overlooked is those using cloud based object stores, and when
> they decide there's a better provider or solution, they only
> then realise they can't actually afford to retrieve all their data
> from their current provider in order to move it somewhere else
> - a great lock-in strategy.
> (Not saying this applies to MS necessarily - not looked at their
> charges.)

It does. They have a number of cloud services that seem to be of the
roach motel type - easy to enter, but difficult to leave. I've warned
developers about this, but many of them don't even think we need to do
backups (and test the restores) anymore because "the cloud does all that
for us."

I think the cloud can be good in some cases, like when you're a fairly
small company but you need geographic diversity for your
servers/datacenter. It's not ideal for everything (not a surprise to
anyone here), so you have to use some sense before (or instead of) just
moving everything to the cloud.

Ideally, things would be vendor-neutral so that you can easily move from
cloud provider to cloud provider, or even from your local virtual
environment to cloud and back again without too much pain. They're not
like that yet though, and most of the cloud providers are busy trying to
"add value" by offering services that only they provide and thus lock
you in.


[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#163890

Fromjmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com>
Date2016-05-24 12:11 +0000
Message-ID<PM00053395219D15EE@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>
In reply to#163859
Bud Frede wrote:
> andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk (Andrew Gabriel) writes:
>
>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>
>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>
>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>> exit costs from their supplier. An area where this is often
>> overlooked is those using cloud based object stores, and when
>> they decide there's a better provider or solution, they only
>> then realise they can't actually afford to retrieve all their data
>> from their current provider in order to move it somewhere else
>> - a great lock-in strategy.
>> (Not saying this applies to MS necessarily - not looked at their
>> charges.)
>
> It does. They have a number of cloud services that seem to be of the
> roach motel type - easy to enter, but difficult to leave. I've warned
> developers about this, but many of them don't even think we need to do
> backups (and test the restores) anymore because "the cloud does all that
> for us."
>
> I think the cloud can be good in some cases, like when you're a fairly
> small company but you need geographic diversity for your
> servers/datacenter. It's not ideal for everything (not a surprise to
> anyone here), so you have to use some sense before (or instead of) just
> moving everything to the cloud.

How do you check that the cloud provider is geographically diverse?

>
> Ideally, things would be vendor-neutral so that you can easily move from
> cloud provider to cloud provider, or even from your local virtual
> environment to cloud and back again without too much pain. They're not
> like that yet though, and most of the cloud providers are busy trying to
> "add value" by offering services that only they provide and thus lock
> you in.

I've just thought of a dozen scenarios which can screw a customer.
Not a pretty site.

/BAH

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#163909

FromMorten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid>
Date2016-05-24 18:08 +0200
Message-ID<5tae1d-9m.ln1@sambook.reistad.name>
In reply to#163890
In article <PM00053395219D15EE@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>,
jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>Bud Frede wrote:
>> andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk (Andrew Gabriel) writes:
>>
>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>
>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>
>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>> exit costs from their supplier. An area where this is often
>>> overlooked is those using cloud based object stores, and when
>>> they decide there's a better provider or solution, they only
>>> then realise they can't actually afford to retrieve all their data
>>> from their current provider in order to move it somewhere else
>>> - a great lock-in strategy.
>>> (Not saying this applies to MS necessarily - not looked at their
>>> charges.)
>>
>> It does. They have a number of cloud services that seem to be of the
>> roach motel type - easy to enter, but difficult to leave. I've warned
>> developers about this, but many of them don't even think we need to do
>> backups (and test the restores) anymore because "the cloud does all that
>> for us."
>>
>> I think the cloud can be good in some cases, like when you're a fairly
>> small company but you need geographic diversity for your
>> servers/datacenter. It's not ideal for everything (not a surprise to
>> anyone here), so you have to use some sense before (or instead of) just
>> moving everything to the cloud.
>
>How do you check that the cloud provider is geographically diverse?

You build the actual cloud yourself, using the same open source tools
that the run-of-the-mill operations do, and use the cheap containers
(linux machines, usually) offered by every hosting operation across the
planet.

Even my little "me, myself and I" company has storage on three
continents. I pay less than $300/month for the privilige.

>> Ideally, things would be vendor-neutral so that you can easily move from
>> cloud provider to cloud provider, or even from your local virtual
>> environment to cloud and back again without too much pain. They're not
>> like that yet though, and most of the cloud providers are busy trying to
>> "add value" by offering services that only they provide and thus lock
>> you in.
>
>I've just thought of a dozen scenarios which can screw a customer.
>Not a pretty site.

When you start with a good open source platform you can add that
value yourself.

-- mrr

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#163967

Fromjmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com>
Date2016-05-25 13:11 +0000
Message-ID<PM000533AA165E8708@aca40c43.ipt.aol.com>
In reply to#163909
Morten Reistad wrote:
> In article <PM00053395219D15EE@aca423de.ipt.aol.com>,
> jmfbahciv  <See.above@aol.com> wrote:
>>Bud Frede wrote:
>>> andrew@cucumber.demon.co.uk (Andrew Gabriel) writes:
>>>
>>>> In article <nh4v4v$id$1@dont-email.me>,
>>>>     "gareth G4SDW GQRP #3339" <no.spam@thank.you.invalid> writes:
>>>>> Has microsoft a reputation for doing something for nothing?
>>>>>
>>>>> How soon after they've everyone locked in to the cloud will
>>>>> they start charging heftily for it?
>>>>
>>>> Anyone using cloud needs to keep an eye on the current and future
>>>> exit costs from their supplier. An area where this is often
>>>> overlooked is those using cloud based object stores, and when
>>>> they decide there's a better provider or solution, they only
>>>> then realise they can't actually afford to retrieve all their data
>>>> from their current provider in order to move it somewhere else
>>>> - a great lock-in strategy.
>>>> (Not saying this applies to MS necessarily - not looked at their
>>>> charges.)
>>>
>>> It does. They have a number of cloud services that seem to be of the
>>> roach motel type - easy to enter, but difficult to leave. I've warned
>>> developers about this, but many of them don't even think we need to do
>>> backups (and test the restores) anymore because "the cloud does all that
>>> for us."
>>>
>>> I think the cloud can be good in some cases, like when you're a fairly
>>> small company but you need geographic diversity for your
>>> servers/datacenter. It's not ideal for everything (not a surprise to
>>> anyone here), so you have to use some sense before (or instead of) just
>>> moving everything to the cloud.
>>
>>How do you check that the cloud provider is geographically diverse?
>
> You build the actual cloud yourself, using the same open source tools
> that the run-of-the-mill operations do, and use the cheap containers
> (linux machines, usually) offered by every hosting operation across the
> planet.

So you do know where those hosting operations are?

>
> Even my little "me, myself and I" company has storage on three
> continents. I pay less than $300/month for the privilige.
>
>>> Ideally, things would be vendor-neutral so that you can easily move from
>>> cloud provider to cloud provider, or even from your local virtual
>>> environment to cloud and back again without too much pain. They're not
>>> like that yet though, and most of the cloud providers are busy trying to
>>> "add value" by offering services that only they provide and thus lock
>>> you in.
>>
>>I've just thought of a dozen scenarios which can screw a customer.
>>Not a pretty site.
>
> When you start with a good open source platform you can add that
> value yourself.

that's software.  There is still hardware and its physical location
which requires humans to babysit.

/BAH

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