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California’s COVID-19 surpassed last summer’s peak (Re: Whats the SIR-Model of Brain Loss? (Re: Corona isn't over 2024)))

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Hi,

The intersting thimg about SIR-Models they
can be used to detect an epidemic:

With the help of the SIR model, we can
determine for given initial values ​​I_0,S_0,\beta ,
\gamma whether the course of the disease will
result in an epidemic.
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/SIR-Modell#Mathematische_Behandlung

Maybe we should look at Covid, and not Long-Covid.
But modelling of Long-Covid would be also intersting.

Currently I am reading:

 > California’s COVID-19 test positivity rate has surpassed
last summer’s peak, largely fueled by the FLiRT variants,
particularly KP.3.1.1. The rapid spread of these strains
suggests a likely rise in cases in the weeks ahead.

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2024-07-29/covid-surging-in-california-as-virus-levels-in-sewage-near-two-year-summer-high

Bye

Mild Shock schrieb:
> Hi,
> 
> During the early covid pandemic a macabre pass
> time was to calibrate the SIR-model and try to
> make predictions:
> 
> susceptible-infected-removed model
> https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/SIR-Modell
> 
> But hey, when do you have the chance to work
> with real data! But now with Long-Covid, what
> would we measure? What is the "removed" state
> 
> in Long-Covid. Freed from regular work?
> 
> Bye
> 
> Mild Shock schrieb:
>> Hi,
>>
>> "Long Covid" and "Covid 19" trending on Twitter.
>> They have interresting tips:
>>
>> Reminder: If you recently had covid, the recommen-
>> dation is that you not exercise for at least 6-8
>> weeks--even if your symptoms were mild--to not
>> put more stress on your body, which could lead
>> to Long COVID. Conserve your energy as much as you can.
>> https://twitter.com/milanaldebaran/status/1813363693821812813
>>
>> LoL
>>
>> Bye
>>
>> Mild Shock schrieb:
>>  > Hi,
>>  >
>>  > Forget face masks, it might be the
>>  > beginning of a new experience for the world!
>>  >
>>  > Coronaviruses are oculotropic
>>  > https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7241406/
>>  >
>>  > Bye
> 

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Corona isn't over 2024 Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-17 18:21 +0200
  Re: Corona isn't over 2024 Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-17 18:30 +0200
    So... new season of covid Inc? (Was: Corona isn't over 2024) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-19 19:29 +0200
      Re: So... new season of covid Inc? (Was: Corona isn't over 2024) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-19 19:39 +0200
  Re: Corona isn't over 2024 Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-20 19:01 +0200
    Re: Corona isn't over 2024 Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-20 19:07 +0200
      Re: Corona isn't over 2024 Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-21 00:59 +0200
  Post-Covid isn't a Fata Morgana (Re: Corona isn't over 2024) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-25 22:55 +0200
    Japan has 11th Wave of Covid (Re: Post-Covid isn't a Fata Morgana) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-25 23:08 +0200
      COVID is NOT "just a cold." (Was: Japan has 11th Wave of Covid) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-26 23:55 +0200
        China preparing for Covid-24 (Was: COVID is NOT "just a cold.") Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-27 11:14 +0200
          Neurological effects and Long-Covid (Was: China preparing for Covid-24) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-28 19:12 +0200
    I was a NOVID — until I wasn’t [34 states likely growing] (Was: Post-Covid isn't a Fata Morgana) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-08-05 19:39 +0200
  Brains Under Stress [Covid Research 2024] (Re: Corona isn't over 2024) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-29 13:46 +0200
    Comic Creators Come Down With Covid [San Diego, 28 Jul 2024] Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-29 16:13 +0200
  Whats the SIR-Model of Brain Loss? (Re: Corona isn't over 2024) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-29 22:39 +0200
    California’s COVID-19 surpassed last summer’s peak (Re: Whats the SIR-Model of Brain Loss? (Re: Corona isn't over 2024))) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-29 22:50 +0200
      Marxist perspectives on Covid (Re: California’s COVID-19 surpassed last summer’s peak) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-30 00:35 +0200
        Long Covid Moonshot by Bernie Sanders (Re: Marxist perspectives on Covid) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-08-05 20:06 +0200
  What does the Sputnik V channel say? (Re: Corona isn't over 2024) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-30 01:22 +0200
    We are back tio survival of the fittest (Was: What does the Sputnik V channel say?) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-30 02:16 +0200
      Re: We are back tio survival of the fittest (Was: What does the Sputnik V channel say?) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-07-30 02:21 +0200
    Closing Remark on Brain Plaque [Robin Williams] (Re: What does the Sputnik V channel say?) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2024-08-11 23:06 +0200

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