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Re: Toughest Probability Question

From Willem <willem@toad.stack.nl>
Newsgroups comp.lang.c
Subject Re: Toughest Probability Question
Date 2011-12-15 09:07 +0000
Organization Stack Usenet News Service
Message-ID <slrnjeje67.an6.willem@toad.stack.nl> (permalink)
References (7 earlier) <jc8oom$ku5$2@dont-email.me> <slrnjefr5m.7q7.usenet-nospam@guild.seebs.net> <jca3se$pln$1@dont-email.me> <slrnjei6n5.bv6.willem@toad.stack.nl> <jcb8cg$qie$1@dont-email.me>

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BartC wrote:
) I've no idea how to work these things out myself. But I've done a rough
) simulation, and in 10,000 years, there were only 4 years where there was a
) double birthday on less than 150 nights, and none on less that 140. So
) roughly 0.04%.
)
) Now I suppose you're going to say there was something funny about the
) restaurant, that it's used exclusively by people with the same birthday, or
) all different, or there's something that's going to be contrary to the
) theoretical probabilities.

I'll just say that you proved that even with a random distribution, you
can't be *certain* that the outcome of a given number of experiments will
be the number you expected by probability calculus.


SaSW, Willem
-- 
Disclaimer: I am in no way responsible for any of the statements
            made in the above text. For all I know I might be
            drugged or something..
            No I'm not paranoid. You all think I'm paranoid, don't you !
#EOT

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Thread

Re: Toughest Probability Question pete <pfiland@mindspring.com> - 2011-12-12 19:29 -0500
  Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-13 04:46 +0000
    Re: Toughest Probability Question Geoff <geoff@invalid.invalid> - 2011-12-12 22:19 -0800
      Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-13 09:19 +0000
        Re: Toughest Probability Question "BartC" <bc@freeuk.com> - 2011-12-13 13:43 +0000
          Re: Toughest Probability Question Keith Thompson <kst-u@mib.org> - 2011-12-13 10:27 -0800
            Re: Toughest Probability Question "BartC" <bc@freeuk.com> - 2011-12-13 19:52 +0000
              Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-13 20:06 +0000
              Re: Toughest Probability Question Keith Thompson <kst-u@mib.org> - 2011-12-13 12:14 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question "BartC" <bc@freeuk.com> - 2011-12-13 23:34 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-14 00:24 +0000
          Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-13 19:27 +0000
            Re: Toughest Probability Question "BartC" <bc@freeuk.com> - 2011-12-13 23:56 +0000
              Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-14 00:24 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question "BartC" <bc@freeuk.com> - 2011-12-14 12:12 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-14 17:47 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question gordonb.qunma@burditt.org (Gordon Burditt) - 2011-12-15 08:22 -0600
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Robert Wessel <robertwessel2@yahoo.com> - 2011-12-15 14:41 -0600
                Re: Toughest Probability Question superpollo <superpollo@tznvy.pbz> - 2011-12-15 19:14 +0100
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Keith Thompson <kst-u@mib.org> - 2011-12-14 13:12 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Willem <willem@toad.stack.nl> - 2011-12-14 21:53 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question "BartC" <bc@freeuk.com> - 2011-12-14 22:35 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Willem <willem@toad.stack.nl> - 2011-12-15 09:07 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Geoff <geoff@invalid.invalid> - 2011-12-15 02:07 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Keith Thompson <kst-u@mib.org> - 2011-12-15 12:13 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Geoff <geoff@invalid.invalid> - 2011-12-15 13:03 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-15 21:36 +0000
              Re: Toughest Probability Question Geoff <geoff@invalid.invalid> - 2011-12-13 16:35 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-14 01:20 +0000
              Re: Toughest Probability Question Keith Thompson <kst-u@mib.org> - 2011-12-13 16:44 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-14 01:20 +0000
                Re: Toughest Probability Question James Dow Allen <jdallen2000@yahoo.com> - 2011-12-15 02:33 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question gwowen <gwowen@gmail.com> - 2011-12-15 05:38 -0800
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Thad Smith <ThadSmith@acm.org> - 2011-12-18 23:34 -0700
                Re: Toughest Probability Question Bill Reid <hormelfree@gmail.com> - 2011-12-14 07:07 -0800
    Re: Toughest Probability Question Kaz Kylheku <kaz@kylheku.com> - 2011-12-13 06:55 +0000
      Re: Toughest Probability Question Seebs <usenet-nospam@seebs.net> - 2011-12-13 09:19 +0000
    Re: Toughest Probability Question pete <pfiland@mindspring.com> - 2011-12-13 12:15 -0500
      Re: Toughest Probability Question pete <pfiland@mindspring.com> - 2011-12-13 13:20 -0500
        Re: Toughest Probability Question Peter Nilsson <airia@acay.com.au> - 2011-12-13 18:15 -0800
          Re: Toughest Probability Question pete <pfiland@mindspring.com> - 2011-12-13 21:52 -0500

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