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Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance

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On 9/13/15 8:08 PM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote:
> Now, now, spamming shit head, where is your response to what I posted?

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   Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance
 > http://phys.org/news/2015-09-tornadoes-months-seasons-advance.html

 > A new model for predicting tornado activity could allow experts to
 > prepare forecasts months or even seasons in advance, researchers at
 > the University of Toronto say.

 > "The aim is to predict ahead to the following year or subsequent
 > years about whether we'll get above or below average tornado activity
 > in a given area," said Vincent Cheng, a postdoctoral fellow in the
 > Ecological Modelling Lab at the University of Toronto Scarborough
 > (UTSC).

 > Developed by Cheng, Professor George Arhonditsis and Professor Bill
 > Gough in UTSC's Climate Lab along with colleagues at Environment
 > Canada, the model uses large-scale atmospheric variables like those
 > used by weather forecasters. But instead of trying to predict a
 > tornado on any specific day, it looks at variations in monthly and
 > seasonal tornado activity relative to changes in atmospheric
 > conditions over the same period.

 > Cheng said the model predicts how different conditions in the
 > atmosphere during a thunderstorm will affect the risk of a tornado.
 > The key variables the model relies on includes the instability of the
 > atmosphere and vertical windshear, which is the change in wind speed
 > and wind direction at different heights. These variables are
 > important since there's a much higher risk of a tornado taking place
 > when air is able to rise quickly coupled with a big change in wind
 > speed and direction at different heights above the ground.

 > Cheng's model also takes into account the lack of accurate records in
 > tracking tornadoes. Tornado reports rely solely on eyewitness
 > observations, which means they're better monitored in more populated
 > areas. The model bypasses that by showing the strong relationship
 > between atmospheric variables and actual tornado occurrences.

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Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-09-13 19:09 -0500
  Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-09-14 00:41 +0000
    Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-09-13 19:52 -0500
      Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-09-14 01:08 +0000
        Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-09-13 21:01 -0500
          Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance gilber34 <invalid@invalid.com> - 2015-09-13 21:47 -0500
          Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-09-14 04:31 +0000
            Re: Predicting tornadoes months or even seasons in advance Bret Cahill <bretcahill@aol.com> - 2015-09-13 22:12 -0700

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