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Met Office Report Hints That Pause May Be About To End

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  Met Office Report Hints That Pause May Be About To End Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-09-15 08:55 -0500
    Re: Met Office Report Hints That Pause May Be About To End jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-09-15 17:53 +0000

#521266 — Met Office Report Hints That Pause May Be About To End

Met Office Report Hints That Pause May Be About To End
> http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/met-office-report-hints-that-pause-may-be-about-to-end.html


> Observations and near term climate predictions are consistent with a
> resumption of warming, says the UK Met Office in a major new report
> which suggests that the so called pause in global warming could be
> coming to an end

> Summary
>
> Changes are occurring in some of the leading patterns of global
> climate variability, altering the risk of regional climate impacts
> worldwide and affecting decadal rates of global warming.
>
> El Niño is now well underway and is growing in strength. This is
> likely to have widespread regional impacts and to continue to
> contribute to raised global average temperatures this year and next
> year.
>
> On longer timescales, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation has been
> negative in recent years and this has been linked to a slowing of the
> rate of global warming. Changes in the North Pacific suggest that the
> PDO may now be entering its positive phase, but because understanding
> of what drives the low frequency behaviour of the PDO is limited and
> its predictability appears to be low, a definitive statement on its
> future state is not yet possible.
>
> The Atlantic Ocean has been warm in recent years but is now showing
> the first signs of a switch to cooler conditions, consistent with
> observed changes in the deeper ocean circulation. Widespread impacts
> around the Atlantic basin are likely if this continues.
>
> While global surface warming slowed from the end of the 20th century,
> our best estimates of global mean temperature for 2015 are at or near
> record levels, and this is consistent with climate predictions for
> similarly high values that we made last year
> (http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2014/2015-global-temp-forecast).
> Record or near record temperatures last year and so far this year,
> along with the expected warming effects of El Niño, mean that
> decadal temperature trends are likely to increase. Barring a large
> volcanic eruption or a very sudden return to La Niña or negative AMO
> conditions which could temporarily cool climate, ten year global
> average warming rates are likely to return to late 20th century
> levels within the next two years. Nevertheless, the slowdown in
> warming is still an active research topic and trends over a longer
> (15 year) period will take longer to respond.
>
> Further long-term global warming is expected over the coming decades
> but variations of climate worldwide from year to year or decade to
> decade will always depend on the subsequent variations in the
> patterns of climate variability described in this report.
>
> Citation
>
> Big Changes Underway in the Climate System? by Adam Scaife, Rob
> Allan, Stephen Belcher, Anca Brookshaw, Mike Davey, Rosie Eade, Chris
> Folland, Margaret Gordon,Leon Hermanson, Sarah Ineson, John Kennedy,
> Jeff Knight, Julia Slingo and Doug Smith, published by the UK
> Meteorological Office.
>

   It's a shame that we has to get far enough into the effect of
   climate change, before most would take the science of climate
   change seriously.

   Energy Imbalance

   The earth is absorbing more energy from the sun than it's giving
   up due to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. The excess
   energy that the planet is absorbing is enormous. The total energy
   imbalance now is 0.58 ± 0.15 W/m^2.


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#521318

Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote:
> Met Office Report Hints That Pause May Be About To End

And it may continue for a long time, spamming shit head.

All this arm waving is from the same people that could not predict the
18 year (so far) warming pause in the first place, spamming shit head.


-- 
Jim Pennino

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