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Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’

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  Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-10-16 12:19 -0500
    Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ gilber34 <fafa@invalid.com> - 2015-10-16 12:58 -0500
      Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-10-16 18:12 +0000
        Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-10-16 18:56 -0500
          Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-10-17 00:58 +0000
            Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-10-16 22:22 -0500
              Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ benj <none@gmail.com> - 2015-10-17 00:06 -0400
              Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-10-17 06:07 +0000
                Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2015-10-24 09:29 -0500
                  Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ James Sinclair Jr <jamis@portalbnova.org> - 2015-10-24 14:32 +0000
                  Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-10-24 18:42 +0000
    Re: Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’ jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2015-10-16 18:10 +0000

#526441 — Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’

Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’
> http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/scientists-identify-climate-tipping-points.html


> An international team of scientists has identified potential ‘tipping
> points’ where abrupt regional climate shifts could occur due to
> global warming

> Significance
>
> PNAS reports the significance of this research as follows: One of the
> most concerning consequences of human-induced increases in
> atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations is the potential for rapid
> regional transitions in the climate system. Yet, despite much public
> awareness of how “tipping points” may be crossed, little information
> is available as to exactly what may be expected in the coming
> centuries. We assess all Earth System Models underpinning the recent
> 5th Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report and
> systematically search for evidence of abrupt changes. We do find
> abrupt changes in sea ice, oceanic flows, land ice, and terrestrial
> ecosystem response, although with little consistency among the
> models. A particularly large number is projected for warming levels
> below 2°. We discuss mechanisms and include methods to objectively
> classify abrupt climate change.
>
> Abstract
>
> Abrupt transitions of regional climate in response to the gradual
> rise in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously
> difficult to foresee. However, such events could be particularly
> challenging in view of the capacity required for society and
> ecosystems to adapt to them. We present, to our knowledge, the first
> systematic screening of the massive climate model ensemble informing
> the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, and
> reveal evidence of 37 forced regional abrupt changes in the ocean,
> sea ice, snow cover, permafrost, and terrestrial biosphere that arise
> after a certain global temperature increase. Eighteen out of 37
> events occur for global warming levels of less than 2°, a threshold
> sometimes presented as a safe limit. Although most models predict one
> or more such events, any specific occurrence typically appears in
> only a few models. We find no compelling evidence for a general
> relation between the overall number of abrupt shifts and the level of
> global warming. However, we do note that abrupt changes in ocean
> circulation occur more often for moderate warming (less than 2°),
> whereas over land they occur more often for warming larger than 2°.
> Using a basic proportion test, however, we find that the number of
> abrupt shifts identified in Representative Concentration Pathway
> (RCP) 8.5 scenarios is significantly larger than in other scenarios
> of lower radiative forcing. This suggests the potential for a gradual
> trend of destabilization of the climate with respect to such shifts,
> due to increasing global mean temperature change.
>
> Citation
>
> Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
> Change climate models by Sybren Drijfhout, Sebastian Bathiany,
> Claudie Beaulieu, Victor Brovkin, Martin Claussen, Chris Huntingford,
> Marten Scheffer, Giovanni Sgubin, and Didier Swingedouw published in
> the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, DOI:
> 10.1073/pnas.1511451112
>


-- 

sci.physics is an unmoderated newsgroup dedicated
to the discussion of physics, news from the physics
community, and physics-related social issues.

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#526444

On 10/16/2015 12:19 PM, Sam Wormley wrote:
> Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’



Wormley, read the article before you post,
this one says there is NO RELATIONSHIP, NO EVIDENENCE of Global Worming.




>> Significance
>>
>>Yet, despite much public
>> awareness of how “tipping points” may be crossed, *little information*
>> *is available* as to exactly what may be expected in the coming
>> centuries.

>> We do find
>> abrupt changes in sea ice, oceanic flows, land ice, and terrestrial
>> ecosystem response, although *with little consistency* among the
>> models.

>> Abstract
>>
  >> We find *no compelling evidence* for a general
>> relation between the overall number of abrupt shifts and the level of
>> global warming.

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#526450

gilber34 <fafa@invalid.com> wrote:
> On 10/16/2015 12:19 PM, Sam Wormley wrote:
>> Scientists Identify Climate ?Tipping Points?
> 
> 
> 
> Wormley, read the article before you post,
> this one says there is NO RELATIONSHIP, NO EVIDENENCE of Global Worming.

It has become increasingly obvious the spamming shit head does not
read the articles before he cut and pastes them.


-- 
Jim Pennino

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#526489

On 10/16/15 1:12 PM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote:
> It has become increasingly obvious the spamming shit head does not
> read the articles before he cut and pastes them.


   I call the jimp's attention to this paper:


   Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
   Change climate models
 > http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2015/10/07/1511451112

 > One of the most concerning consequences of human-induced increases in
 > atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations is the potential for rapid
 > regional transitions in the climate system. Yet, despite much public
 > awareness of how “tipping points” may be crossed, little information
 > is available as to exactly what may be expected in the coming
 > centuries. We assess all Earth System Models underpinning the recent
 > 5th Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report and
 > systematically search for evidence of abrupt changes. We do find
 > abrupt changes in sea ice, oceanic flows, land ice, and terrestrial
 > ecosystem response, although with little consistency among the
 > models. A particularly large number is projected for warming levels
 > below 2°. We discuss mechanisms and include methods to objectively
 > classify abrupt climate change.
 >
 > Abrupt transitions of regional climate in response to the gradual
 > rise in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously
 > difficult to foresee. However, such events could be particularly
 > challenging in view of the capacity required for society and
 > ecosystems to adapt to them. We present, to our knowledge, the first
 > systematic screening of the massive climate model ensemble informing
 > the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, and
 > reveal evidence of 37 forced regional abrupt changes in the ocean,
 > sea ice, snow cover, permafrost, and terrestrial biosphere that arise
 > after a certain global temperature increase. Eighteen out of 37
 > events occur for global warming levels of less than 2°, a threshold
 > sometimes presented as a safe limit. Although most models predict one
 > or more such events, any specific occurrence typically appears in
 > only a few models. We find no compelling evidence for a general
 > relation between the overall number of abrupt shifts and the level of
 > global warming. However, we do note that abrupt changes in ocean
 > circulation occur more often for moderate warming (less than 2°),
 > whereas over land they occur more often for warming larger than 2°.
 > Using a basic proportion test, however, we find that the number of
 > abrupt shifts identified in Representative Concentration Pathway
 > (RCP) 8.5 scenarios is significantly larger than in other scenarios
 > of lower radiative forcing. This suggests the potential for a gradual
 > trend of destabilization of the climate with respect to such shifts,
 > due to increasing global mean temperature change.



-- 

sci.physics is an unmoderated newsgroup dedicated
to the discussion of physics, news from the physics
community, and physics-related social issues.

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]

#526501

Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote:
> On 10/16/15 1:12 PM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote:
>> It has become increasingly obvious the spamming shit head does not
>> read the articles before he cut and pastes them.
> 
> 
>   I call the jimp's attention to this paper:

I call the worthless, spamming, piece of shit, ass holes's attention
to this highly relevant graphic:

                    /"\
                    |\./|
                    |   |
                    |   |
                    |   |
                    |   |
                 /'\|   |/'\..
             /~\|   |   |   | \
            |   =[@]=   |   |  \
            |   |   |   |   |   \
            | ~   ~   ~   ~ |`   )
            |                   /
             \                 /
              \               /
               \    _____    /
                |--//''`\--|
                | (( +==)) |
                |--\_|_//--|


-- 
Jim Pennino

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]

#526513

On 10/16/15 7:58 PM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote:

>
> I call the worthless, spamming, piece of shit, ass holes's attention
> to this highly relevant graphic:
>
>                      /"\
>                      |\./|
>                      |   |
>                      |   |
>                      |   |
>                      |   |
>                   /'\|   |/'\..
>               /~\|   |   |   | \
>              |   =[@]=   |   |  \
>              |   |   |   |   |   \
>              | ~   ~   ~   ~ |`   )
>              |                   /
>               \                 /
>                \               /
>                 \    _____    /
>                  |--//''`\--|
>                  | (( +==)) |
>                  |--\_|_//--|
>
>

   Did you cut your finger again, jimp. That's pretty careless of
   an old codger like you. Instead of fingering, try reading this
   article:

   Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’
> http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/scientists-identify-climate-tipping-points.html

 > An international team of scientists has identified potential ‘tipping
 > points’ where abrupt regional climate shifts could occur due to
 > global warming

 > Significance
 >
 > PNAS reports the significance of this research as follows: One of the
 > most concerning consequences of human-induced increases in
 > atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations is the potential for rapid
 > regional transitions in the climate system. Yet, despite much public
 > awareness of how “tipping points” may be crossed, little information
 > is available as to exactly what may be expected in the coming
 > centuries. We assess all Earth System Models underpinning the recent
 > 5th Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report and
 > systematically search for evidence of abrupt changes. We do find
 > abrupt changes in sea ice, oceanic flows, land ice, and terrestrial
 > ecosystem response, although with little consistency among the
 > models. A particularly large number is projected for warming levels
 > below 2°. We discuss mechanisms and include methods to objectively
 > classify abrupt climate change.
 >
 > Abstract
 >
 > Abrupt transitions of regional climate in response to the gradual
 > rise in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously
 > difficult to foresee. However, such events could be particularly
 > challenging in view of the capacity required for society and
 > ecosystems to adapt to them. We present, to our knowledge, the first
 > systematic screening of the massive climate model ensemble informing
 > the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, and
 > reveal evidence of 37 forced regional abrupt changes in the ocean,
 > sea ice, snow cover, permafrost, and terrestrial biosphere that arise
 > after a certain global temperature increase. Eighteen out of 37
 > events occur for global warming levels of less than 2°, a threshold
 > sometimes presented as a safe limit. Although most models predict one
 > or more such events, any specific occurrence typically appears in
 > only a few models. We find no compelling evidence for a general
 > relation between the overall number of abrupt shifts and the level of
 > global warming. However, we do note that abrupt changes in ocean
 > circulation occur more often for moderate warming (less than 2°),
 > whereas over land they occur more often for warming larger than 2°.
 > Using a basic proportion test, however, we find that the number of
 > abrupt shifts identified in Representative Concentration Pathway
 > (RCP) 8.5 scenarios is significantly larger than in other scenarios
 > of lower radiative forcing. This suggests the potential for a gradual
 > trend of destabilization of the climate with respect to such shifts,
 > due to increasing global mean temperature change.
 >
 > Citation
 >
 > Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
 > Change climate models by Sybren Drijfhout, Sebastian Bathiany,
 > Claudie Beaulieu, Victor Brovkin, Martin Claussen, Chris Huntingford,
 > Marten Scheffer, Giovanni Sgubin, and Didier Swingedouw published in
 > the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, DOI:
 > 10.1073/pnas.1511451112
 >







-- 

sci.physics is an unmoderated newsgroup dedicated
to the discussion of physics, news from the physics
community, and physics-related social issues.

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]

#526522

On 10/16/2015 11:22 PM, Sam Wormley wrote:
> On 10/16/15 7:58 PM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote:
>
>>
>> I call the worthless, spamming, piece of shit, ass holes's attention
>> to this highly relevant graphic:
>>
>>                      /"\
>>                      |\./|
>>                      |   |
>>                      |   |
>>                      |   |
>>                      |   |
>>                   /'\|   |/'\..
>>               /~\|   |   |   | \
>>              |   =[@]=   |   |  \
>>              |   |   |   |   |   \
>>              | ~   ~   ~   ~ |`   )
>>              |                   /
>>               \                 /
>>                \               /
>>                 \    _____    /
>>                  |--//''`\--|
>>                  | (( +==)) |
>>                  |--\_|_//--|
>>
>>
>
>    Did you cut your finger again, jimp. That's pretty careless of
>    an old codger like you. Instead of fingering, try reading this
>    article:
>
>    Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’

Sam, the only "tipping point" of any meaning in your gibberish is found 
by balancing right on the end of jimp's middle finger.

-- 

       ___           ___           ___            ___
      /\  \         /\  \         /\__\          /\  \
     /::\  \       /::\  \       /::|  |         \:\  \
    /:/\:\  \     /:/\:\  \     /:|:|  |     ___ /::\__\
   /::\~\:\__\   /::\~\:\  \   /:/|:|  |__  /\  /:/\/__/
  /:/\:\ \:|__| /:/\:\ \:\__\ /:/ |:| /\__\ \:\/:/  /
  \:\~\:\/:/  / \:\~\:\ \/__/ \/__|:|/:/  /  \::/  /
   \:\ \::/  /   \:\ \:\__\       |:/:/  /    \/__/
    \:\/:/  /     \:\ \/__/       |::/  /
     \::/__/       \:\__\         /:/  /
      ~~            \/__/         \/__/

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]

#526553

Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote:
> On 10/16/15 7:58 PM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote:
> 
>>
>> I call the worthless, spamming, piece of shit, ass holes's attention
>> to this highly relevant graphic:
>>
>>                      /"\
>>                      |\./|
>>                      |   |
>>                      |   |
>>                      |   |
>>                      |   |
>>                   /'\|   |/'\..
>>               /~\|   |   |   | \
>>              |   =[@]=   |   |  \
>>              |   |   |   |   |   \
>>              | ~   ~   ~   ~ |`   )
>>              |                   /
>>               \                 /
>>                \               /
>>                 \    _____    /
>>                  |--//''`\--|
>>                  | (( +==)) |
>>                  |--\_|_//--|
>>
>>
> 
>   Did you cut your finger again, jimp.

Makes an assumption not in evidence, just like everything you post in
your own words, spamming shit head.

No wonder most of your shit is cut and paste, ass hole.


-- 
Jim Pennino

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]

#527880

On 10/17/15 1:07 AM, jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com wrote:
> Makes an assumption not in evidence, just like everything you post in
> your own words, spamming shit head.


   Now, Now, jimp, your obsessive compulsive name-calling can be
   addressed in the anger management classes:
> http://www.yellowpages.com/rancho-cucamonga-ca/anger-management-classes



   Scientists Identify Climate ‘Tipping Points’
> http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/scientists-identify-climate-tipping-points.html

 > An international team of scientists has identified potential ‘tipping
 > points’ where abrupt regional climate shifts could occur due to
 > global warming

 > Significance
 >
 > PNAS reports the significance of this research as follows: One of the
 > most concerning consequences of human-induced increases in
 > atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations is the potential for rapid
 > regional transitions in the climate system. Yet, despite much public
 > awareness of how “tipping points” may be crossed, little information
 > is available as to exactly what may be expected in the coming
 > centuries. We assess all Earth System Models underpinning the recent
 > 5th Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report and
 > systematically search for evidence of abrupt changes. We do find
 > abrupt changes in sea ice, oceanic flows, land ice, and terrestrial
 > ecosystem response, although with little consistency among the
 > models. A particularly large number is projected for warming levels
 > below 2°. We discuss mechanisms and include methods to objectively
 > classify abrupt climate change.
 >
 > Abstract
 >
 > Abrupt transitions of regional climate in response to the gradual
 > rise in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously
 > difficult to foresee. However, such events could be particularly
 > challenging in view of the capacity required for society and
 > ecosystems to adapt to them. We present, to our knowledge, the first
 > systematic screening of the massive climate model ensemble informing
 > the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, and
 > reveal evidence of 37 forced regional abrupt changes in the ocean,
 > sea ice, snow cover, permafrost, and terrestrial biosphere that arise
 > after a certain global temperature increase. Eighteen out of 37
 > events occur for global warming levels of less than 2°, a threshold
 > sometimes presented as a safe limit. Although most models predict one
 > or more such events, any specific occurrence typically appears in
 > only a few models. We find no compelling evidence for a general
 > relation between the overall number of abrupt shifts and the level of
 > global warming. However, we do note that abrupt changes in ocean
 > circulation occur more often for moderate warming (less than 2°),
 > whereas over land they occur more often for warming larger than 2°.
 > Using a basic proportion test, however, we find that the number of
 > abrupt shifts identified in Representative Concentration Pathway
 > (RCP) 8.5 scenarios is significantly larger than in other scenarios
 > of lower radiative forcing. This suggests the potential for a gradual
 > trend of destabilization of the climate with respect to such shifts,
 > due to increasing global mean temperature change.
 >
 > Citation
 >
 > Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
 > Change climate models by Sybren Drijfhout, Sebastian Bathiany,
 > Claudie Beaulieu, Victor Brovkin, Martin Claussen, Chris Huntingford,
 > Marten Scheffer, Giovanni Sgubin, and Didier Swingedouw published in
 > the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, DOI:
 > 10.1073/pnas.1511451112
 >



-- 

sci.physics is an unmoderated newsgroup dedicated
to the discussion of physics, news from the physics
community, and physics-related social issues.

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]

#527882

Sam Wormley wrote:

>  > Abstract
>  >
>  > Abrupt transitions of regional climate in response to the gradual
>  > rise in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are notoriously
>  > difficult to foresee. However, such events could be particularly
>  > challenging in view of the capacity required for society and
>  > ecosystems to adapt to them.

This writer proves himself already corrupted. Next.

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#527914

Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote:

As per usual, nothing but a repaste of the previously snipped cut and
paste.

Have you ever wondered what your life might have been like if you had
the competence to do more than just copy the words of others, spamming
piece of shit?


-- 
Jim Pennino

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#526449

Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote:
> Scientists Identify Climate ?Tipping Points?

Oh no, not MORE tipping points!!

Here a tipping point, there a tipping point, everywhere a tipping point,
you worthless piece of shit spamming ass hole.


-- 
Jim Pennino

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