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| Started by | Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| First post | 2016-02-24 14:17 -0600 |
| Last post | 2016-02-24 23:04 +0000 |
| Articles | 3 — 3 participants |
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Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-02-24 14:17 -0600
Re: Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century Sergio <invalid@invalid.com> - 2016-02-24 14:33 -0600
Re: Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-02-24 23:04 +0000
| From | Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2016-02-24 14:17 -0600 |
| Subject | Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century |
| Message-ID | <2t-dndjeSqJcklPLnZ2dnUU7-XednZ2d@giganews.com> |
Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century > http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/study-claims-robust-estimates-for-sea-level-rise.html > Abstract > > Sea level has been steadily rising over the past century, > predominantly due to anthropogenic climate change. The rate of sea > level rise will keep increasing with continued global warming, and, > even if temperatures are stabilized through the phasing out of > greenhouse gas emissions, sea level is still expected to rise for > centuries. This will affect coastal areas worldwide, and robust > projections are needed to assess mitigation options and guide > adaptation measures. Here we combine the equilibrium response of the > main sea level rise contributions with their last century's observed > contribution to constrain projections of future sea level rise. Our > model is calibrated to a set of observations for each contribution, > and the observational and climate uncertainties are combined to > produce uncertainty ranges for 21st century sea level rise. We > project anthropogenic sea level rise of 28–56 cm, 37–77 cm, and > 57–131 cm in 2100 for the greenhouse gas concentration scenarios > RCP26, RCP45, and RCP85, respectively. Our uncertainty ranges for > total sea level rise overlap with the process-based estimates of the > Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The “constrained > extrapolation” approach generalizes earlier global semiempirical > models and may therefore lead to a better understanding of the > discrepancies with process-based projections. > > Citation > > Future sea-level rise constrained by observations and long-term > commitment by Mengel, M., Levermann, A., Frieler, K., Robinson, A., > Marzeion, B., Winkelmann, R. published in Proceedings of the National > Academy of Sciences (PNAS), DOI:10.1073/pnas.1500515113 > -- sci.physics is an unmoderated newsgroup dedicated to the discussion of physics, news from the physics community, and physics-related social issues.
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| From | Sergio <invalid@invalid.com> |
|---|---|
| Date | 2016-02-24 14:33 -0600 |
| Message-ID | <nal43f$g1p$4@gioia.aioe.org> |
| In reply to | #556281 |
On 2/24/2016 2:17 PM, Sam Wormley wrote: > Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the > > >> Abstract >> >> Sea level has been steadily rising over the past century, prove it ! How much ? and Where ? last # I saw was less than 1/10 of a mm.
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| From | jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com |
|---|---|
| Date | 2016-02-24 23:04 +0000 |
| Message-ID | <2gp1qc-mbm.ln1@mail.specsol.com> |
| In reply to | #556281 |
Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote: Too bad you didn't copy this material to an appropriate group, spammer. -- Jim Pennino
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