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Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century

Started bySam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com>
First post2016-02-24 14:17 -0600
Last post2016-02-24 23:04 +0000
Articles 3 — 3 participants

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  Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> - 2016-02-24 14:17 -0600
    Re: Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century Sergio <invalid@invalid.com> - 2016-02-24 14:33 -0600
    Re: Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century jimp@specsol.spam.sux.com - 2016-02-24 23:04 +0000

#556281 — Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century

FromSam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com>
Date2016-02-24 14:17 -0600
SubjectSea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the end of this century
Message-ID<2t-dndjeSqJcklPLnZ2dnUU7-XednZ2d@giganews.com>
Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the 
end of this century
> http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-stories/article/study-claims-robust-estimates-for-sea-level-rise.html


> Abstract
>
> Sea level has been steadily rising over the past century,
> predominantly due to anthropogenic climate change. The rate of sea
> level rise will keep increasing with continued global warming, and,
> even if temperatures are stabilized through the phasing out of
> greenhouse gas emissions, sea level is still expected to rise for
> centuries. This will affect coastal areas worldwide, and robust
> projections are needed to assess mitigation options and guide
> adaptation measures. Here we combine the equilibrium response of the
> main sea level rise contributions with their last century's observed
> contribution to constrain projections of future sea level rise. Our
> model is calibrated to a set of observations for each contribution,
> and the observational and climate uncertainties are combined to
> produce uncertainty ranges for 21st century sea level rise. We
> project anthropogenic sea level rise of 28–56 cm, 37–77 cm, and
> 57–131 cm in 2100 for the greenhouse gas concentration scenarios
> RCP26, RCP45, and RCP85, respectively. Our uncertainty ranges for
> total sea level rise overlap with the process-based estimates of the
> Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The “constrained
> extrapolation” approach generalizes earlier global semiempirical
> models and may therefore lead to a better understanding of the
> discrepancies with process-based projections.
>
> Citation
>
> Future sea-level rise constrained by observations and long-term
> commitment by Mengel, M., Levermann, A., Frieler, K., Robinson, A.,
> Marzeion, B., Winkelmann, R. published in Proceedings of the National
> Academy of Sciences (PNAS), DOI:10.1073/pnas.1500515113
>



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#556290

FromSergio <invalid@invalid.com>
Date2016-02-24 14:33 -0600
Message-ID<nal43f$g1p$4@gioia.aioe.org>
In reply to#556281
On 2/24/2016 2:17 PM, Sam Wormley wrote:
> Sea-levels worldwide will likely rise by between 50 and 130 cms by the

>
>
>> Abstract
>>
>> Sea level has been steadily rising over the past century,

prove it !   How much ?    and Where ?

  last # I saw was less than 1/10 of a mm.

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#556346

Fromjimp@specsol.spam.sux.com
Date2016-02-24 23:04 +0000
Message-ID<2gp1qc-mbm.ln1@mail.specsol.com>
In reply to#556281
Sam Wormley <swormley1@gmail.com> wrote:

Too bad you didn't copy this material to an appropriate group, spammer.


-- 
Jim Pennino

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