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Re: OT: Hurricane

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  Re: OT: Hurricane doark@mail.com - 2017-09-22 17:20 +0200
    Re: OT: Hurricane Cindy-Sue Causey <butterflybytes@gmail.com> - 2017-09-22 17:50 +0200
    Re: OT: Hurricane Patrick Bartek <nemommxiv@gmail.com> - 2017-09-23 03:20 +0200
      Re: OT: Hurricane Zenaan Harkness <zenaan@freedbms.net> - 2017-09-23 08:00 +0200

#187095 — Re: OT: Hurricane

First of all, thanks to everyone for your PM'ed messages and prayers. We
are alive and well. Though the eye hit our town quite close to us, we
were on the lee side. Power has also been restored, though some of the
roads remain flooded (anyone for trout fishing? :)

BTW: Are you OK Felix?


On Sat, 9 Sep 2017 12:56:54 -0700
Patrick Bartek <nemommxiv@gmail.com> wrote:
> On Sat, 9 Sep 2017 12:06:23 -0400 David Niklas <doark@mail.com> wrote:
> 
> > There is only one thing worse than a *CAT 5* hurricane headed towards
> > Florida.  
> 
> Irma's a CAT 3 storm currently (north of Cuba), and if it tracks
> through Central Florida as predicted, it will loose strength rapidly --
> hurricanes need to feed off heat and moisture from warm oceans to
> maintain themselves -- probably only being a Tropical Storm by the
> time it gets to northern Florida. If it tracks into the Gulf of Mexico
> instead, different story.  If it veers east and follows the Gulf
> Stream, few worries for the Florida Panhandle

When I got up it was a CAT 4 and was forecast to become a CAT 5 and then
make landfall.
Oh wait, it did make CAT 5:
https://news.slashdot.org/story/17/09/10/1441224/whats-causing-the-hurricanes
Sorry for the outdated information.

> > Another one behind it.  
> 
> Looks like Jose is going to meander and loose strength east of the
> Bahamss.  No worries for FL.

The news was obsessed with Irma, Jose was behind it and the cone of
uncertainty was wide enough, so I decided it was safer to assume it would
hit FL.


<snip>
> > BTW: This is the first time since 2004 or 2005 that Florida's
> > panhandle has been hit, so no, it's not time to have a global warming
> > "I told you so party" on the mailing list.  
> 
> FYI (also for all the global warming, we caused it and it's going
> to destroy the planet Chicken Littles out there): the Earth has been
> warming steadily since the end of the last glaciation began some 27,000
> years ago.  It's not something that just occurred during former
> President Obama's administration. Humanity didn't cause it. We
> contribute to it, yes, but so does every bovine who farts in the
> pasture, and every volcano eruption, and every plant, and every insect,
> and every forest or plains fire, and every swamp, and every creature in
> the sea, and the sea itself, etc. But the driving force of climate is
> the Sun. A fractional energy change one way or the other has major
> effects of earthly climate more than all the other contributory factors
> combined. Climate is never static. It's ALWAYS in flux, always
> changing. But that change occurs so slowly that no one lives long
> enough to "see" it.  A few bad storms over a few years doesn't make
> climate.
<snip>

Good point,can I quote you on that?


David

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#187096

On 9/21/17, doark@mail.com <doark@mail.com> wrote:
> First of all, thanks to everyone for your PM'ed messages and prayers. We
> are alive and well. Though the eye hit our town quite close to us, we
> were on the lee side. Power has also been restored, though some of the
> roads remain flooded (anyone for trout fishing? :)
>
> BTW: Are you OK Felix?


I got nailed in North Georgia. Slant of the roof is all that kept the
dogs and me from being crushed by a 60 foot plus Hickory tree. It had
been leaning straight over the top of the entire house (upcycled
trailer) for YEARS.

For months, I've been telling it "please just don't" whenever that
possibility was a conscious observation. Actually said that out loud
to it... :)

No #Life flashing before my eyes or any of that. Just sat there all
*stupid* staring up at the ceiling. Was waiting to see the first
leaves and branches come crashing through the roof straight over top
of us.

My dogs went absolutely ballistic. They were going to chew the
invasive beast a new one. #MyHeroes :)

Hope everyone's ok. Even when damage is minimal, the traumatic
upheaval and even seeing what *could have happened* has an effect.

Please be safe out there...

Cindy....
-- 
Cindy-Sue Causey
Talking Rock, Pickens County, Georgia, USA

* . *

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#187104

On Thu, 21 Sep 2017 21:55:31 -0400 doark@mail.com wrote:

> First of all, thanks to everyone for your PM'ed messages and prayers.
> We are alive and well. Though the eye hit our town quite close to us,
> we were on the lee side. Power has also been restored, though some of
> the roads remain flooded (anyone for trout fishing? :)
> 
> BTW: Are you OK Felix?
> 
> 
> On Sat, 9 Sep 2017 12:56:54 -0700
> Patrick Bartek <nemommxiv@gmail.com> wrote:
> > On Sat, 9 Sep 2017 12:06:23 -0400 David Niklas <doark@mail.com>
> > wrote:
> > 
> > > [big snip]
> 
> > > BTW: This is the first time since 2004 or 2005 that Florida's
> > > panhandle has been hit, so no, it's not time to have a global
> > > warming "I told you so party" on the mailing list.  
> > 
> > FYI (also for all the global warming, we caused it and it's going
> > to destroy the planet Chicken Littles out there): the Earth has been
> > warming steadily since the end of the last glaciation began some
> > 27,000 years ago.  It's not something that just occurred during
> > former President Obama's administration. Humanity didn't cause it.
> > We contribute to it, yes, but so does every bovine who farts in the
> > pasture, and every volcano eruption, and every plant, and every
> > insect, and every forest or plains fire, and every swamp, and every
> > creature in the sea, and the sea itself, etc. But the driving force
> > of climate is the Sun. A fractional energy change one way or the
> > other has major effects of earthly climate more than all the other
> > contributory factors combined. Climate is never static. It's ALWAYS
> > in flux, always changing. But that change occurs so slowly that no
> > one lives long enough to "see" it.  A few bad storms over a few
> > years doesn't make climate.
> <snip>
> 
> Good point,can I quote you on that?

Sure, but don't be surprised if the faithful demonize you for your
heresy. ;-)

Glad youc came through it all fairly unscathed.

B

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#187111

On Fri, Sep 22, 2017 at 06:16:02PM -0700, Patrick Bartek wrote:
> On Thu, 21 Sep 2017 21:55:31 -0400 doark@mail.com wrote:
> > On Sat, 9 Sep 2017 12:56:54 -0700
> > Patrick Bartek <nemommxiv@gmail.com> wrote:
> > > On Sat, 9 Sep 2017 12:06:23 -0400 David Niklas <doark@mail.com>
> > > wrote:
> > > 
> > > > [big snip]
> > 
> > > > BTW: This is the first time since 2004 or 2005 that Florida's
> > > > panhandle has been hit, so no, it's not time to have a global
> > > > warming "I told you so party" on the mailing list.  
> > > 
> > > FYI (also for all the global warming, we caused it and it's going
> > > to destroy the planet Chicken Littles out there): the Earth has been
> > > warming steadily since the end of the last glaciation began some
> > > 27,000 years ago.  It's not something that just occurred during
> > > former President Obama's administration. Humanity didn't cause it.
> > > We contribute to it, yes, but so does every bovine who farts in the
> > > pasture, and every volcano eruption, and every plant, and every
> > > insect, and every forest or plains fire, and every swamp, and every
> > > creature in the sea, and the sea itself, etc. But the driving force
> > > of climate is the Sun. A fractional energy change one way or the
> > > other has major effects of earthly climate more than all the other
> > > contributory factors combined. Climate is never static. It's ALWAYS
> > > in flux, always changing. But that change occurs so slowly that no
> > > one lives long enough to "see" it.  A few bad storms over a few
> > > years doesn't make climate.
> > <snip>

We had some beautiful climate change this morning - sunny, warm, mild
breeze - spring finally began here in the land down under :)

I just -love- climate change,

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