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Groups > comp.soft-sys.math.mathematica > #3471

Re: Insoluble marbles-in-urn problem?

From Ray Koopman <koopman@sfu.ca>
Newsgroups comp.soft-sys.math.mathematica
Subject Re: Insoluble marbles-in-urn problem?
Date 2011-07-04 10:44 +0000
Organization Steven M. Christensen and Associates, Inc and MathTensor, Inc.
Message-ID <ius5i2$2db$1@smc.vnet.net> (permalink)
References <iup8dp$ksp$1@smc.vnet.net>

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On Jul 3, 1:14 am, John Feth <johnf...@gmail.com> wrote:
> There is a huge urn full of marbles, each marked with a single digit:
> 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9.  The marked marble quantities are
> uniformly distributed between all of the digits and the marbles are
> thoroughly mixed.  You look away, choose 10 marbles, and put them in
> a black velvet bag.
>
> When you have some time, you look away, open the bag, and remove one
> marble.  You close the bag, look at the digit on the marble, open a
> beer perhaps, and calculate the probability that there is at least
> one more marble in the bag with the same digit.

P(at least one more marble with the same digit) =
1 - P(no more marbles with the same digit) =
1 - (9/10)^9 = .612579511

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Thread

Insoluble marbles-in-urn problem? John Feth <johnfeth@gmail.com> - 2011-07-03 08:14 +0000
  Re: Insoluble marbles-in-urn problem? Ray Koopman <koopman@sfu.ca> - 2011-07-04 10:44 +0000

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