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The Law of Accelerating Returns

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  The Law of Accelerating Returns Sky89 <Sky89@sky68.com> - 2018-08-05 12:12 -0400

#4538 — The Law of Accelerating Returns

Hello,

An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change 
is exponential, contrary to the common-sense “intuitive linear” view. So 
we won’t experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century — it will 
be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate). The “returns,” 
such as chip speed and cost-effectiveness, also increase exponentially. 
There’s even exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth. 
Within a few decades, machine intelligence will surpass human 
intelligence, leading to The Singularity — technological change so rapid 
and profound it represents a rupture in the fabric of human history. The 
implications include the merger of biological and nonbiological 
intelligence, immortal software-based humans, and ultra-high levels of 
intelligence that expand outward in the universe at the speed of light.


Read the rest here:

The Law of Accelerating Returns

http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-law-of-accelerating-returns



Thank you,
Amine Moulay Ramdane.

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