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Groups > alt.folklore.computers > #155734 > unrolled thread

I Feel Old

Started byQuadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca>
First post2016-01-01 10:49 -0800
Last post2016-01-03 17:11 +0000
Articles 20 on this page of 320 — 37 participants

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Contents

  I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-01 10:49 -0800
    Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-01 13:33 -0600
      Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-01 12:05 -0800
        Re: I Feel Old Mike Spencer <mds@bogus.nodomain.nowhere> - 2016-01-02 04:41 -0400
          Re: I Feel Old "Joe Morris" <j.c.morris@verizon.net> - 2016-01-02 11:50 -0500
            Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-02 17:14 +0000
            Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-02 17:36 -0800
              Re: I Feel Old John Garza <john@127.0.0.1> - 2016-01-03 08:07 -0600
                Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-03 15:06 +0000
                  Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-03 11:05 -0500
                    Re: I Feel Old Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-01-03 17:59 +0000
                    Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-03 18:08 +0000
                  Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-04 06:44 -0500
                    Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-04 12:24 +0000
                Re: I Feel Old Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-01-03 09:45 -0600
                  Re: I Feel Old Lon <lon.stowell@comcast.net> - 2016-01-03 13:12 -0700
                    Re: I Feel Old Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net> - 2016-01-03 16:56 -0500
                      Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-03 14:27 -0800
                Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-03 23:53 +0000
                Re: I Feel Old John Garza <john@127.0.0.1> - 2016-01-04 07:42 -0600
                  Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-04 14:32 +0000
                    Re: I Feel Old Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-01-04 16:55 +0000
                  Re: I Feel Old Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net> - 2016-01-04 11:41 -0500
              Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-03 17:37 +0100
              Re: I Feel Old Lon <lon.stowell@comcast.net> - 2016-01-03 13:11 -0700
                Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-04 07:48 -0800
                  Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-04 16:01 +0000
                  Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-04 16:23 +0000
              Re: I Feel Old Mike Spencer <mds@bogus.nodomain.nowhere> - 2016-01-03 17:30 -0400
        Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-04 14:55 -0600
          Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-04 13:15 -0800
            Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-05 14:59 -0600
              Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-05 13:31 -0800
              Re: I Feel Old Jon Elson <elson@pico-systems.com> - 2016-01-05 22:11 -0600
          Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-04 17:07 -0800
        Re: I Feel Old philo <philo@privacy.net> - 2016-01-06 19:21 -0600
    Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-01 21:33 +0000
      Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-01 22:52 +0000
      Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-01 15:57 -0800
        Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-01 20:52 -0800
          Re: I Feel Old Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-01-02 00:45 -0500
          Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-02 06:40 +0000
            Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-02 17:25 -0800
              Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-03 08:18 +0000
              Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-03 07:26 -0500
                Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-04 07:34 -0800
          Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-02 14:27 +0000
            Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-02 17:28 -0800
              Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-02 19:56 -0600
                Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-03 07:26 -0500
                  Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-03 10:00 -0800
                    Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-17 08:48 -0800
                  Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-04 07:44 -0800
                    Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-04 13:42 -0600
                      Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-05 11:15 -0800
                        Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-06 11:27 -0600
                          Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-06 12:02 -0600
                            Re: I Feel Old scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal) - 2016-01-06 18:52 +0000
                            Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-06 18:06 -0600
                              Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-07 12:04 -0500
                              Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-07 09:22 -0800
                                Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-13 15:55 -0600
                              Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-07 09:36 -0800
                                Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-07 17:47 +0000
                                  Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-07 18:47 -0600
                                Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-07 19:23 -0600
                                  Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-08 10:58 +0100
                                    Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-08 06:37 -0500
                                      Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-08 15:53 +0100
                                        Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-08 11:26 -0600
                                          Re: I Feel Old "879" <879@nospam.com> - 2016-01-09 09:53 +1100
                                            Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-09 11:24 +0100
                                              Re: I Feel Old "879" <879@nospam.com> - 2016-01-10 06:06 +1100
                                        Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-08 10:13 -0800
                                      Re: I Feel Old Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-01-08 17:42 +0000
                                        Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-09 07:30 -0500
                                          Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-09 07:07 -0600
                                            Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-09 11:55 -0800
                                            Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-09 15:40 -0600
                                          Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-10 06:13 +1100
                                            Re: I Feel Old Jon Elson <elson@pico-systems.com> - 2016-01-09 13:36 -0600
                                              Re: I Feel Old Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-01-09 15:30 -0600
                                    Re: I Feel Old Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net> - 2016-01-08 10:43 -0500
                                      Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-08 10:33 -0600
                                        Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-08 10:46 -0800
                                    Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-08 10:59 -0600
                                      Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-08 10:44 -0800
                                        Re: I Feel Old Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-01-08 22:53 +0000
                                          Re: I Feel Old "879" <879@nospam.com> - 2016-01-09 12:53 +1100
                                            Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-09 11:29 +0100
                                          Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-09 11:26 +0100
                                        Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-12 16:22 -0600
                                          Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-13 10:03 +1100
                                          Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-12 21:01 -0600
                                            Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-13 14:22 +1100
                                          Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-13 10:14 -0800
                                            Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-13 18:51 +0000
                                              Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-14 07:02 +1100
                                            Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-13 13:06 -0600
                                      Re: I Feel Old "879" <879@nospam.com> - 2016-01-09 09:51 +1100
                                    Re: I Feel Old "879" <879@nospam.com> - 2016-01-09 06:01 +1100
                                    Re: I Feel Old Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-01-08 13:21 -0600
                                      Re: I Feel Old scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal) - 2016-01-08 20:58 +0000
                                        Re: I Feel Old "Jack Myers" <jmyers@n6wuz.net> - 2016-01-08 20:36 -0800
                                          Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-09 11:31 +0100
                                          Re: I Feel Old Lawrence Statton <lawrence@senguio.mx> - 2016-01-09 18:33 -0600
                                        Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-09 07:30 -0500
                                          Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-09 12:59 +0000
                                            Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-09 15:31 -0600
                                              Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-09 17:22 -0500
                                                Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-09 17:07 -0800
                                              Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-10 11:25 -0800
                                                Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-11 17:08 -0600
                                                  Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-12 07:43 -0800
                                                    Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-12 08:44 -0800
                                                      Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-12 09:52 -0800
                                                        Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-12 12:28 -0600
                                                          Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-12 10:58 -0800
                                                            Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-12 14:49 -0600
                                                              Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-12 13:57 -0800
                                                                Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-12 18:19 -0500
                                                                Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-12 17:37 -0800
                                                    Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-12 18:46 -0800
                                  Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-08 16:08 +0000
                                    Re: I Feel Old Lawrence Statton <lawrence@senguio.mx> - 2016-01-09 18:38 -0600
                                      Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-09 21:43 -0600
                                        Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-09 22:56 -0600
                                          Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-11 23:49 -0600
                                            Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-12 07:46 -0800
                                            Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-12 11:28 -0500
                                              Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-12 14:58 -0600
                                                Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-12 14:01 -0800
                                                  Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-12 16:42 -0600
                                                Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-12 22:07 +0000
                                  Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-08 10:36 -0800
                                    Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-09 05:04 -0500
                                      Re: I Feel Old scott@slp53.sl.home (Scott Lurndal) - 2016-01-11 14:48 +0000
                                        Re: I Feel Old Bob Eager <news0006@eager.cx> - 2016-01-11 17:28 +0000
                                        Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-11 19:01 -0500
                                    Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-09 07:30 -0500
                                    Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-09 16:59 -0600
                              Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-07 13:13 -0600
                                Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-07 18:55 -0600
                                  Re: I Feel Old Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-01-08 17:40 +0000
                                    Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-08 23:20 +0000
                Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-04 07:29 -0800
                  Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-04 18:30 +0100
                    Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-04 10:59 -0800
                      Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-04 19:48 -0600
                        Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-05 06:27 -0800
                          Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-05 16:26 +0000
                          Re: I Feel Old Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-01-05 12:27 -0600
                            Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-05 11:08 -0800
                    Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-04 13:14 -0600
                      Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-04 14:43 -0600
                        Re: I Feel Old Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-01-04 22:38 +0000
                        Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-12 17:47 -0600
                          Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-13 01:27 +0100
                            Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-13 11:18 -0600
                              Re: I Feel Old Lawrence Statton <lawrence@senguio.mx> - 2016-01-13 19:05 -0600
                                Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-13 20:22 -0600
                                  Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-14 14:09 -0600
                                    Re: I Feel Old jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-01-15 14:51 +0000
                                      Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-15 09:48 -0600
                                        Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-15 17:26 +0100
                                          Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-15 13:19 -0600
                                      Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-15 09:20 -0800
                                      Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-15 17:44 +0000
                                        Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-15 12:57 -0600
                                          Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-19 12:42 -0800
                                            Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-19 15:27 -0600
                                        Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-15 19:15 +0100
                                          Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-15 13:44 -0600
                                            Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-15 15:02 -0600
                                              Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-16 08:58 +1100
                                              Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-15 23:51 +0100
                                                Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-17 16:01 -0600
                                              Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-15 17:11 -0600
                                              Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-16 08:03 -0500
                                                Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-16 08:29 -0600
                                                  Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-17 03:38 +1100
                                                  Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-16 15:32 -0500
                                                    Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-16 16:59 -0600
                                                  Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-16 16:45 -0600
                                                    Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-17 02:11 +0000
                                                      Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-17 14:02 +1100
                                                        Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-17 14:22 +0000
                                                          Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-18 05:09 +1100
                                                          Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-17 15:00 -0600
                                                            Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-18 03:59 +0000
                                                  Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-16 16:15 +0100
                                                    Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-17 11:39 +0000
                                                      Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-18 04:41 +1100
                                                Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-16 16:33 +0000
                                                  Re: I Feel Old "Osmium" <r124c4u102@comcast.net> - 2016-01-16 11:19 -0600
                                                    Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-16 18:36 +0000
                                                    Re: I Feel Old Michael Black <et472@ncf.ca> - 2016-01-16 17:23 -0500
                                                  Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-16 13:01 -0500
                                                    Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-16 20:55 +0000
                                                      Re: I Feel Old Gene Wirchenko <genew@telus.net> - 2016-01-16 14:53 -0800
                                                        Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-17 05:43 +0000
                                                      Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-16 19:50 -0500
                                                      Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-17 09:22 -0500
                                                        Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-17 14:33 +0000
                                                          Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-17 15:19 +0000
                                                            Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-17 19:27 +0000
                                                        Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-17 15:00 +0000
                                                  Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-16 15:32 -0500
                                                    Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-16 22:49 -0600
                                                      Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-17 16:12 +1100
                                                    Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-17 11:32 +0000
                                                      Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-17 12:06 +0000
                                                        Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-17 09:22 -0500
                                                          Re: I Feel Old Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net> - 2016-01-17 10:05 -0500
                                                      Re: I Feel Old jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-01-17 15:26 +0000
                                                        Re: I Feel Old "Rod Speed" <rod.speed.aaa@gmail.com> - 2016-01-18 05:14 +1100
                                                  Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-17 15:38 -0600
                                          Re: I Feel Old jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-01-16 14:09 +0000
                                            Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-16 15:19 +0100
                                        Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-15 19:29 +0000
                                          Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-15 14:25 -0800
                                Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-14 13:46 +1100
                                Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-14 05:17 +0100
                                Re: I Feel Old Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-01-14 13:11 -0600
                      Re: I Feel Old Huge <Huge@nowhere.much.invalid> - 2016-01-04 22:37 +0000
                        Re: I Feel Old Mike Spencer <mds@bogus.nodomain.nowhere> - 2016-01-05 04:44 -0400
                          Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-05 18:46 +0000
                        Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-05 11:06 +0000
                          Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-05 18:46 +0000
                  Re: I Feel Old Stephen Sprunk <stephen@sprunk.org> - 2016-01-04 17:04 -0600
                  Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-04 17:36 -0800
        Re: I Feel Old jmfbahciv <See.above@aol.com> - 2016-01-02 15:01 +0000
          Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-02 15:58 +0000
            Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-04 06:40 -0500
              Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-04 12:31 +0000
                Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-04 22:06 -0500
          Re: I Feel Old "Rod Speed" <rod.speed.aaa@gmail.com> - 2016-01-03 07:09 +1100
        Re: I Feel Old Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> - 2016-01-03 12:11 -0500
          Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-03 20:42 -0800
            Re: I Feel Old "jack" <jkl8976@nospam.com> - 2016-01-04 16:43 +1100
            Re: I Feel Old Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> - 2016-01-05 22:05 -0500
          Re: I Feel Old Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> - 2016-01-04 18:21 +0100
            Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-04 17:47 +0000
            Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-04 16:10 -0500
              Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-04 13:26 -0800
                Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-04 21:57 -0500
            Re: I Feel Old Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> - 2016-01-06 19:46 -0500
              Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-07 12:04 -0500
                Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-07 17:36 +0000
                Re: I Feel Old Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-01-07 13:43 -0600
                  Re: I Feel Old "879" <879@nospam.com> - 2016-01-08 15:35 +1100
                    Re: I Feel Old Dave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> - 2016-01-08 00:15 -0600
                      Re: I Feel Old "879" <879@nospam.com> - 2016-01-08 19:41 +1100
                Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-07 12:44 -0800
                  Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-07 21:32 +0000
        Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-05 14:51 -0600
          Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-05 12:59 -0800
            Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-05 22:17 +0000
              Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-08 14:35 -0600
          Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-05 22:17 +0000
            Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-05 19:24 -0500
              Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-05 17:31 -0800
                Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-06 07:38 +0000
                  Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-06 06:50 -0500
                    Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-06 13:26 +0000
                      Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-06 05:49 -0800
                        Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-06 14:32 +0000
                          Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-06 07:13 -0800
                            Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-06 16:08 +0000
                            Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-08 14:39 -0600
                          Re: I Feel Old Lawrence Statton <lawrence@senguio.mx> - 2016-01-06 09:14 -0600
                          Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-06 10:22 -0500
                          Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-15 17:45 -0600
                        Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-06 18:42 -0500
                      Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-06 14:20 +0000
                        Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-06 14:34 +0000
                          Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-06 19:52 +0000
                            Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-06 12:35 -0800
                            Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-06 20:54 +0000
                        Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-06 18:44 -0500
                          Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-06 23:48 +0000
                            Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-06 19:38 -0500
                              Re: I Feel Old Andrew Swallow <am.swallow@btinternet.com> - 2016-01-07 07:46 +0000
                                Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-07 06:44 -0500
                                  Re: I Feel Old Gene Wirchenko <genew@telus.net> - 2016-01-09 21:47 -0800
                                    Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-10 05:45 -0500
                                  Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-10 12:18 +0000
                                    Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-10 08:12 -0500
                                      Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-10 13:40 +0000
                              Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-07 12:04 -0500
                            Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-07 08:15 +0000
                  Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-06 05:48 -0800
                Re: I Feel Old Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net> - 2016-01-06 11:29 -0500
                Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-06 10:20 -0800
              Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-05 20:52 -0500
                Re: I Feel Old Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> - 2016-01-06 06:54 -0500
                  Re: I Feel Old Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net> - 2016-01-06 11:34 -0500
                    Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-06 18:40 -0500
                  Re: I Feel Old "J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com> - 2016-01-06 18:39 -0500
                Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-06 10:22 -0800
                Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-15 17:43 -0600
                  Re: I Feel Old JimP <solosam90@gmail.com> - 2016-01-18 20:13 -0600
            Re: I Feel Old Dan Espen <despen@verizon.net> - 2016-01-06 11:26 -0500
            Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-08 14:37 -0600
              Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-08 23:25 +0000
      Re: I Feel Old Freddy1 <something@something.com> - 2016-01-02 21:35 -0500
        Re: I Feel Old Charlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> - 2016-01-03 05:34 +0000
        Re: I Feel Old Ahem A Rivet's Shot <steveo@eircom.net> - 2016-01-03 08:33 +0000
          Re: I Feel Old Freddy1 <something@something.com> - 2016-01-03 15:17 -0500
          Re: I Feel Old Gene Wirchenko <genew@telus.net> - 2016-01-03 20:52 -0800
            Re: I Feel Old Quadibloc <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> - 2016-01-04 05:09 -0800
              Re: I Feel Old "Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com> - 2016-01-05 14:57 -0600
    Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-01 20:46 -0800
      Re: I Feel Old Bob Martin <bob.martin@excite.com> - 2016-01-02 07:00 +0000
        Re: I Feel Old Louis Krupp <lkrupp@nospam.pssw.com.invalid> - 2016-01-02 01:44 -0700
        Re: I Feel Old hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com - 2016-01-02 13:46 -0800
      Re: I Feel Old Anne & Lynn Wheeler <lynn@garlic.com> - 2016-01-02 09:11 -0800
    Re: I Feel Old Jon Elson <elson@pico-systems.com> - 2016-01-02 11:49 -0600
    Re: I Feel Old John Garza <john@127.0.0.1> - 2016-01-03 08:14 -0600
      Re: I Feel Old mausg@mail.com - 2016-01-03 17:11 +0000

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#156164

FromUncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com>
Date2016-01-05 22:05 -0500
Message-ID<0049c7efe3eeef0-a531c@gmail.com>
In reply to#155857
On Sun, Jan 03, 2016 at 08:42:37PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
> On Sunday, January 3, 2016 at 7:28:20 PM UTC-7, Uncle Steve wrote:
> > I wonder whether
> > some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon technological
> > developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the potential
> > we now see looming.
> 
> Generally speaking, in the distant past, people didn't notice change within 
> their lifetimes, and so it wasn't until the Industrial Revolution that the 
> possibility really entered the popular consciousness.
> 
> However, long before that, Roger Bacon wrote his vision of a future with 
> increased technical capabilities.
> 
> And then, perhaps the earliest, the Bible speaks of a time when "people shall 
> go to and fro, and knowledge shall be increased".

Myths of a fountain of youth and such, and perhaps even the tale of
Achilles, suggest a more fully developed understanding of progress.
At least among scholars.  I suspect the phenomenon of vivisection in
ancient times was instructive on the nature of mortality to a degree
it is difficult to appreciate at this distance.  So to the arts of
ship-building, metallurgy, civil engineering, and so forth at least in
relation to the time of the Roman Empire -- the collapse of which
appears to have delayed progress considerably.

The current climate of unreason, blind faith, unrestrained
corporatism, insular clannish psychology, and no small amount of naked
cultural aggression is not terribly helpful.



-- 
We all cannot be intelligent, but at least we can all be polite.

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#155889

FromMorten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid>
Date2016-01-04 18:21 +0100
Message-ID<s8mqlc-1b1.ln1@sambook.reistad.name>
In reply to#155851
In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
>> 
>> > 	Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
>> > another 35 years will bring.
>> 
>> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard scaling has already 
>> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life left in it.
>
>Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
>reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the atom-by-atom
>approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
>discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I am too
>ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
>clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.

The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As the
fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than linearly
up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about financing
their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take a lot
of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.

But we may see one-off, "hand made" chips emerge at mainframe prices
on fabs that don't support industrial scales.

All predicted by The Economist a decade ago.
 
>> However, other areas of technological progress are about to start their sigmoid 
>> curves.
>> 
>> So maybe 35 years from now, computers will only be a "little" better than they 
>> are today (that will still be a significant improvement, just not as much as 
>> further exponential growth would indicate)... but that CISPR stuff might lead 
>> to cures for nearly all genetic diseases, and basically eternal youth through 
>> rebuilding telomeres...
>
>I came to the realization some time ago that the natural apotheosis of
>medicine was the eventual cure of disease and ageing.  Looking back it
>seems a rather obvious projection of capability, and I wonder whether
>some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon technological
>developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the potential
>we now see looming.

Well, with people in better health in higher age we will have to do
something about pensions. The medical industry need not worry, though.
Medication generally go up with age, even if they handle the ailments
a lot better than the precursors did a generation ago.

>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>
>That's one way of putting it.

I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for all" emerge
in the far future.

-- mrr

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#155890

FromCharlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid>
Date2016-01-04 17:47 +0000
Message-ID<n6eb7g01u1j@news6.newsguy.com>
In reply to#155889
On 2016-01-04, Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> wrote:

> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>>
>>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>>
>> That's one way of putting it.
>
> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for all" emerge
> in the far future.

FSVO "all", unless we're careful.

-- 
/~\  cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid (Charlie Gibbs)
\ /  I'm really at ac.dekanfrus if you read it the right way.
 X   Top-posted messages will probably be ignored.  See RFC1855.
/ \  HTML will DEFINITELY be ignored.  Join the ASCII ribbon campaign!

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#155905

FromPeter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com>
Date2016-01-04 16:10 -0500
Message-ID<907420288.473633634.203954.peter_flass-yahoo.com@news.eternal-september.org>
In reply to#155889
Morten Reistad <first@last.name.invalid> wrote:
> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>> On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>>> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
>>> 
>>>> Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
>>>> another 35 years will bring.
>>> 
>>> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard scaling has already 
>>> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life left in it.
>> 
>> Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
>> reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the atom-by-atom
>> approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
>> discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I am too
>> ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
>> clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.
> 
> The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As the
> fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than linearly
> up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about financing
> their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take a lot
> of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
> a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.

I think IBM has now gotten out of the chip business.  They sold everything
to GlobalFoundries, if it's been approved by now.


-- 
Pete

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#155911

Fromhancock4@bbs.cpcn.com
Date2016-01-04 13:26 -0800
Message-ID<676e58ec-9e1c-44d1-8b86-cd2b06f16926@googlegroups.com>
In reply to#155905
On Monday, January 4, 2016 at 4:10:40 PM UTC-5, Peter Flass wrote:

> I think IBM has now gotten out of the chip business.  They sold everything
> to GlobalFoundries, if it's been approved by now.

Does IBM _manufacture_ anything now?

It's weird.  When you go to the website of a company today, they
don't tell you their product list.  Rather, they speak of "solutions"
in fancy language.  This includes old companies like IBM or Lucent,
and some of the old companies I found in C&A that are still in business.

IBM has stuff online about their Z13, but it's very technical.  I 
wonder how many people actually understand what they're saying
and the impact for what they want to do.

Admittedly, a lot of the computer sales literature of 50-60 years
ago was just as opaque.  Obviously, the typical businessmen who
would make the decision to buy a computer was clueless as to
mircoseconds or density.  It was very rare that there'd be an
ad claiming the XYZ computer could get out the payroll at 30%
less cost than with manual methods---the real question a decision
maker would want to know.

As the industry moved from tab machines to basic computers
and from basic computers to fancy ones, I know decision makers
from the old days grew increasingly frustrated with slow
development of systems (I heard many complain).  They did not
give a crap that System/360 has "Solid logic technology", or
that their company's S/360 had 128k vs. only 16k in their old
1401.  They did want to know why it took so damn long to add
a new application to their accounting systems.

IBM and the others were pretty good at confusing the issue.

(I will give a lot of credit to my comp sci prof back at 
college.   He did not allow buzz words, and he expected
precise figures and specifics on statements of improvement
in proposals.  In other words, he would not accept, "the
new system will improve payroll processing", rather, he
expected something like "the new system will get out the
payroll in 20% less time because manual adjustment calculations
will now be automatically done.")

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#155931

From"J. Clarke" <j.clarke.873638@gmail.com>
Date2016-01-04 21:57 -0500
Message-ID<MPG.30f4fb146a84f6f0989d90@news.eternal-september.org>
In reply to#155911
In article <676e58ec-9e1c-44d1-8b86-cd2b06f16926@googlegroups.com>, 
hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com says...
> 
> On Monday, January 4, 2016 at 4:10:40 PM UTC-5, Peter Flass wrote:
> 
> > I think IBM has now gotten out of the chip business.  They sold everything
> > to GlobalFoundries, if it's been approved by now.
> 
> Does IBM _manufacture_ anything now?
> 
> It's weird.  When you go to the website of a company today, they
> don't tell you their product list.  Rather, they speak of "solutions"
> in fancy language.  This includes old companies like IBM or Lucent,
> and some of the old companies I found in C&A that are still in business.
> 
> IBM has stuff online about their Z13, but it's very technical.  I 
> wonder how many people actually understand what they're saying
> and the impact for what they want to do.

I think they're relying on a captive market.  The Z will live as long as 
there is Cobol that needs it.
 
> Admittedly, a lot of the computer sales literature of 50-60 years
> ago was just as opaque.  Obviously, the typical businessmen who
> would make the decision to buy a computer was clueless as to
> mircoseconds or density.  It was very rare that there'd be an
> ad claiming the XYZ computer could get out the payroll at 30%
> less cost than with manual methods---the real question a decision
> maker would want to know.
> 
> As the industry moved from tab machines to basic computers
> and from basic computers to fancy ones, I know decision makers
> from the old days grew increasingly frustrated with slow
> development of systems (I heard many complain).  They did not
> give a crap that System/360 has "Solid logic technology", or
> that their company's S/360 had 128k vs. only 16k in their old
> 1401.  They did want to know why it took so damn long to add
> a new application to their accounting systems.
> 
> IBM and the others were pretty good at confusing the issue.


 
> (I will give a lot of credit to my comp sci prof back at 
> college.   He did not allow buzz words, and he expected
> precise figures and specifics on statements of improvement
> in proposals.  In other words, he would not accept, "the
> new system will improve payroll processing", rather, he
> expected something like "the new system will get out the
> payroll in 20% less time because manual adjustment calculations
> will now be automatically done.")

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#156171

FromUncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com>
Date2016-01-06 19:46 -0500
Message-ID<4f7334cedbde077-de60d@gmail.com>
In reply to#155889
On Mon, Jan 04, 2016 at 06:21:00PM +0100, Morten Reistad wrote:
> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
> >On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
> >> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
> >> 
> >> > 	Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
> >> > another 35 years will bring.
> >> 
> >> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard scaling has already 
> >> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life left in it.
> >
> >Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
> >reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the atom-by-atom
> >approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
> >discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I am too
> >ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
> >clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.
> 
> The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As the
> fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than linearly
> up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about financing
> their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take a lot
> of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
> a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.
> 
> But we may see one-off, "hand made" chips emerge at mainframe prices
> on fabs that don't support industrial scales.
> 
> All predicted by The Economist a decade ago.

I would think that fabs would follow the general trend of faster/
smaller/cheaper.  ISTM that current fabs are so expensive because they
represent the absolute leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing.
So while the feature-size limit will remain a barrier to process
technology (absent a breakthrough) we ought to see the eventual advent
of the workshop chip fab.  (This is an approximation; other scenarios
are possible.)
  
> >> However, other areas of technological progress are about to start their sigmoid 
> >> curves.
> >> 
> >> So maybe 35 years from now, computers will only be a "little" better than they 
> >> are today (that will still be a significant improvement, just not as much as 
> >> further exponential growth would indicate)... but that CISPR stuff might lead 
> >> to cures for nearly all genetic diseases, and basically eternal youth through 
> >> rebuilding telomeres...
> >
> >I came to the realization some time ago that the natural apotheosis of
> >medicine was the eventual cure of disease and ageing.  Looking back it
> >seems a rather obvious projection of capability, and I wonder whether
> >some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon technological
> >developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the potential
> >we now see looming.
> 
> Well, with people in better health in higher age we will have to do
> something about pensions. The medical industry need not worry, though.
> Medication generally go up with age, even if they handle the ailments
> a lot better than the precursors did a generation ago.

The medical instruct still needs to move from a primary revenue model
based on treating illness to prevention and cure as the main goal.
 
> >> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
> >
> >That's one way of putting it.
> 
> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for all" emerge
> in the far future.

Could happen.  But there is a metric buttload of religion and politics
in the way, and that is unlikely to clear from the road in the
forseeable future.  And there are dystopian scenarios wherein a
political bloc such as a loony religious faction within the
intelligence community achieve a coup and dictate mortality as part of
their political/religious platform.  There are people today who hold
similarly regressive values, doing evil for evil's sake as a means of
marking their page in history.



-- 
We all cannot be intelligent, but at least we can all be polite.

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#156206

FromPeter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com>
Date2016-01-07 12:04 -0500
Message-ID<1685291072.473878166.461077.peter_flass-yahoo.com@news.eternal-september.org>
In reply to#156171
Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
> On Mon, Jan 04, 2016 at 06:21:00PM +0100, Morten Reistad wrote:
>> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
>> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>> On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>>>> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
>>>> 
>>>>> Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
>>>>> another 35 years will bring.
>>>> 
>>>> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard scaling has already 
>>>> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life left in it.
>>> 
>>> Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
>>> reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the atom-by-atom
>>> approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
>>> discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I am too
>>> ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
>>> clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.
>> 
>> The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As the
>> fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than linearly
>> up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about financing
>> their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take a lot
>> of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
>> a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.
>> 
>> But we may see one-off, "hand made" chips emerge at mainframe prices
>> on fabs that don't support industrial scales.
>> 
>> All predicted by The Economist a decade ago.
> 
> I would think that fabs would follow the general trend of faster/
> smaller/cheaper.  ISTM that current fabs are so expensive because they
> represent the absolute leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing.
> So while the feature-size limit will remain a barrier to process
> technology (absent a breakthrough) we ought to see the eventual advent
> of the workshop chip fab.  (This is an approximation; other scenarios
> are possible.)
>   
>>>> However, other areas of technological progress are about to start their sigmoid 
>>>> curves.
>>>> 
>>>> So maybe 35 years from now, computers will only be a "little" better than they 
>>>> are today (that will still be a significant improvement, just not as much as 
>>>> further exponential growth would indicate)... but that CISPR stuff might lead 
>>>> to cures for nearly all genetic diseases, and basically eternal youth through 
>>>> rebuilding telomeres...
>>> 
>>> I came to the realization some time ago that the natural apotheosis of
>>> medicine was the eventual cure of disease and ageing.  Looking back it
>>> seems a rather obvious projection of capability, and I wonder whether
>>> some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon technological
>>> developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the potential
>>> we now see looming.
>> 
>> Well, with people in better health in higher age we will have to do
>> something about pensions. The medical industry need not worry, though.
>> Medication generally go up with age, even if they handle the ailments
>> a lot better than the precursors did a generation ago.
> 
> The medical instruct still needs to move from a primary revenue model
> based on treating illness to prevention and cure as the main goal.
>  
>>>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>>> 
>>> That's one way of putting it.
>> 
>> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for all" emerge
>> in the far future.
> 
> Could happen.  But there is a metric buttload of religion and politics
> in the way, and that is unlikely to clear from the road in the
> forseeable future.  And there are dystopian scenarios wherein a
> political bloc such as a loony religious faction within the
> intelligence community achieve a coup and dictate mortality as part of
> their political/religious platform.  There are people today who hold
> similarly regressive values, doing evil for evil's sake as a means of
> marking their page in history.
> 

Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or religious
groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic and
Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just like to
fight.


-- 
Pete

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#156212

FromCharlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid>
Date2016-01-07 17:36 +0000
Message-ID<n6m7m00hi9@news7.newsguy.com>
In reply to#156206
On 2016-01-07, Peter Flass <peter_flass@yahoo.com> wrote:

> Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> On Mon, Jan 04, 2016 at 06:21:00PM +0100, Morten Reistad wrote:
>> 
>>> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for all"
>>> emerge in the far future.
>> 
>> Could happen.  But there is a metric buttload of religion and politics
>> in the way, and that is unlikely to clear from the road in the
>> forseeable future.  And there are dystopian scenarios wherein a
>> political bloc such as a loony religious faction within the
>> intelligence community achieve a coup and dictate mortality as part of
>> their political/religious platform.  There are people today who hold
>> similarly regressive values, doing evil for evil's sake as a means of
>> marking their page in history.
>
> Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or religious
> groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic and
> Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just like to
> fight.

And others make a boatload of money off it, hence that old saying:
"Let's you and him fight."

-- 
/~\  cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid (Charlie Gibbs)
\ /  I'm really at ac.dekanfrus if you read it the right way.
 X   Top-posted messages will probably be ignored.  See RFC1855.
/ \  HTML will DEFINITELY be ignored.  Join the ASCII ribbon campaign!

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#156222

FromDave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com>
Date2016-01-07 13:43 -0600
Message-ID<n6mf13$s0n$1@dont-email.me>
In reply to#156206
On 1/7/2016 11:04 AM, Peter Flass wrote:
> Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>> On Mon, Jan 04, 2016 at 06:21:00PM +0100, Morten Reistad wrote:
>>> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
>>> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>> On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>>>>> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's Shot wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
>>>>>> another 35 years will bring.
>>>>>
>>>>> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard scaling has already
>>>>> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life left in it.
>>>>
>>>> Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
>>>> reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the atom-by-atom
>>>> approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
>>>> discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I am too
>>>> ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
>>>> clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.
>>>
>>> The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As the
>>> fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than linearly
>>> up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about financing
>>> their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take a lot
>>> of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
>>> a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.
>>>
>>> But we may see one-off, "hand made" chips emerge at mainframe prices
>>> on fabs that don't support industrial scales.
>>>
>>> All predicted by The Economist a decade ago.
>>
>> I would think that fabs would follow the general trend of faster/
>> smaller/cheaper.  ISTM that current fabs are so expensive because they
>> represent the absolute leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing.
>> So while the feature-size limit will remain a barrier to process
>> technology (absent a breakthrough) we ought to see the eventual advent
>> of the workshop chip fab.  (This is an approximation; other scenarios
>> are possible.)
>>
>>>>> However, other areas of technological progress are about to start their sigmoid
>>>>> curves.
>>>>>
>>>>> So maybe 35 years from now, computers will only be a "little" better than they
>>>>> are today (that will still be a significant improvement, just not as much as
>>>>> further exponential growth would indicate)... but that CISPR stuff might lead
>>>>> to cures for nearly all genetic diseases, and basically eternal youth through
>>>>> rebuilding telomeres...
>>>>
>>>> I came to the realization some time ago that the natural apotheosis of
>>>> medicine was the eventual cure of disease and ageing.  Looking back it
>>>> seems a rather obvious projection of capability, and I wonder whether
>>>> some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon technological
>>>> developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the potential
>>>> we now see looming.
>>>
>>> Well, with people in better health in higher age we will have to do
>>> something about pensions. The medical industry need not worry, though.
>>> Medication generally go up with age, even if they handle the ailments
>>> a lot better than the precursors did a generation ago.
>>
>> The medical instruct still needs to move from a primary revenue model
>> based on treating illness to prevention and cure as the main goal.
>>
>>>>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>>>>
>>>> That's one way of putting it.
>>>
>>> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for all" emerge
>>> in the far future.
>>
>> Could happen.  But there is a metric buttload of religion and politics
>> in the way, and that is unlikely to clear from the road in the
>> forseeable future.  And there are dystopian scenarios wherein a
>> political bloc such as a loony religious faction within the
>> intelligence community achieve a coup and dictate mortality as part of
>> their political/religious platform.  There are people today who hold
>> similarly regressive values, doing evil for evil's sake as a means of
>> marking their page in history.
>>
>
> Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or religious
> groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic and
> Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just like to
> fight.
>
I think it's more that politicians see fighting as a path to enhance 
their power. There's the famous Goering quote, which paraphrases as 
"of course people don't want to fight, they've got nothing to gain, 
but it's up to the leaders... if their leaders tell them they're in 
danger and under attack, people will go along with it,"

Which we can see at work around the world today.

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#156236

From"879" <879@nospam.com>
Date2016-01-08 15:35 +1100
Message-ID<df8sl6Feaa3U1@mid.individual.net>
In reply to#156222

"Dave Garland" <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> wrote in message 
news:n6mf13$s0n$1@dont-email.me...
> On 1/7/2016 11:04 AM, Peter Flass wrote:
>> Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>> On Mon, Jan 04, 2016 at 06:21:00PM +0100, Morten Reistad wrote:
>>>> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
>>>> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>> On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>>>>>> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's Shot 
>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
>>>>>>> another 35 years will bring.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard scaling has 
>>>>>> already
>>>>>> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life left in 
>>>>>> it.
>>>>>
>>>>> Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
>>>>> reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the atom-by-atom
>>>>> approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
>>>>> discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I am too
>>>>> ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
>>>>> clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.
>>>>
>>>> The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As the
>>>> fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than linearly
>>>> up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about 
>>>> financing
>>>> their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take a lot
>>>> of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
>>>> a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.
>>>>
>>>> But we may see one-off, "hand made" chips emerge at mainframe prices
>>>> on fabs that don't support industrial scales.
>>>>
>>>> All predicted by The Economist a decade ago.
>>>
>>> I would think that fabs would follow the general trend of faster/
>>> smaller/cheaper.  ISTM that current fabs are so expensive because they
>>> represent the absolute leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing.
>>> So while the feature-size limit will remain a barrier to process
>>> technology (absent a breakthrough) we ought to see the eventual advent
>>> of the workshop chip fab.  (This is an approximation; other scenarios
>>> are possible.)
>>>
>>>>>> However, other areas of technological progress are about to start 
>>>>>> their sigmoid
>>>>>> curves.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> So maybe 35 years from now, computers will only be a "little" better 
>>>>>> than they
>>>>>> are today (that will still be a significant improvement, just not as 
>>>>>> much as
>>>>>> further exponential growth would indicate)... but that CISPR stuff 
>>>>>> might lead
>>>>>> to cures for nearly all genetic diseases, and basically eternal youth 
>>>>>> through
>>>>>> rebuilding telomeres...
>>>>>
>>>>> I came to the realization some time ago that the natural apotheosis of
>>>>> medicine was the eventual cure of disease and ageing.  Looking back it
>>>>> seems a rather obvious projection of capability, and I wonder whether
>>>>> some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon technological
>>>>> developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the potential
>>>>> we now see looming.
>>>>
>>>> Well, with people in better health in higher age we will have to do
>>>> something about pensions. The medical industry need not worry, though.
>>>> Medication generally go up with age, even if they handle the ailments
>>>> a lot better than the precursors did a generation ago.
>>>
>>> The medical instruct still needs to move from a primary revenue model
>>> based on treating illness to prevention and cure as the main goal.
>>>
>>>>>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>>>>>
>>>>> That's one way of putting it.
>>>>
>>>> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for all" 
>>>> emerge
>>>> in the far future.
>>>
>>> Could happen.  But there is a metric buttload of religion and politics
>>> in the way, and that is unlikely to clear from the road in the
>>> forseeable future.  And there are dystopian scenarios wherein a
>>> political bloc such as a loony religious faction within the
>>> intelligence community achieve a coup and dictate mortality as part of
>>> their political/religious platform.  There are people today who hold
>>> similarly regressive values, doing evil for evil's sake as a means of
>>> marking their page in history.
>>>
>>
>> Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or religious
>> groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic and
>> Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just like to
>> fight.

> I think it's more that politicians see fighting as a path to enhance their 
> power.

I don’t believe that is true anymore with say western europe.

> There's the famous Goering quote, which paraphrases as "of course people 
> don't want to fight, they've got nothing to gain, but it's up to the 
> leaders... if their leaders tell them they're in danger and under attack, 
> people will go along with it,"

And then the world moved on and western europe
chose to go the other route and have the EU and
that was so successful we have even the worst of
the countries on eastern europe who used to go
to war with each other at the drop of a hat
decide that it makes more sense to join the EU
and stop doing that.

> Which we can see at work around the world today.

Not to anything like the level that it used to with
the modern first world or the second world either.
We haven't seen any wars in SE asia or south
america for quite a while now. Just a few
recalcitrant's like Kim Jung Il and fools like that.
 

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#156239

FromDave Garland <dave.garland@wizinfo.com>
Date2016-01-08 00:15 -0600
Message-ID<n6nk22$79g$1@dont-email.me>
In reply to#156236
On 1/7/2016 10:35 PM, 879 wrote:
>
>
> "Dave Garland" <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> wrote in message
> news:n6mf13$s0n$1@dont-email.me...
>> On 1/7/2016 11:04 AM, Peter Flass wrote:
>>> Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>> On Mon, Jan 04, 2016 at 06:21:00PM +0100, Morten Reistad wrote:
>>>>> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
>>>>> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>> On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>>>>>>> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's
>>>>>>> Shot wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
>>>>>>>> another 35 years will bring.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard
>>>>>>> scaling has already
>>>>>>> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life
>>>>>>> left in it.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
>>>>>> reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the
>>>>>> atom-by-atom
>>>>>> approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
>>>>>> discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I
>>>>>> am too
>>>>>> ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
>>>>>> clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.
>>>>>
>>>>> The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As
>>>>> the
>>>>> fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than
>>>>> linearly
>>>>> up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about
>>>>> financing
>>>>> their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take
>>>>> a lot
>>>>> of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
>>>>> a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.
>>>>>
>>>>> But we may see one-off, "hand made" chips emerge at mainframe prices
>>>>> on fabs that don't support industrial scales.
>>>>>
>>>>> All predicted by The Economist a decade ago.
>>>>
>>>> I would think that fabs would follow the general trend of faster/
>>>> smaller/cheaper.  ISTM that current fabs are so expensive because
>>>> they
>>>> represent the absolute leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing.
>>>> So while the feature-size limit will remain a barrier to process
>>>> technology (absent a breakthrough) we ought to see the eventual
>>>> advent
>>>> of the workshop chip fab.  (This is an approximation; other scenarios
>>>> are possible.)
>>>>
>>>>>>> However, other areas of technological progress are about to
>>>>>>> start their sigmoid
>>>>>>> curves.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So maybe 35 years from now, computers will only be a "little"
>>>>>>> better than they
>>>>>>> are today (that will still be a significant improvement, just
>>>>>>> not as much as
>>>>>>> further exponential growth would indicate)... but that CISPR
>>>>>>> stuff might lead
>>>>>>> to cures for nearly all genetic diseases, and basically eternal
>>>>>>> youth through
>>>>>>> rebuilding telomeres...
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I came to the realization some time ago that the natural
>>>>>> apotheosis of
>>>>>> medicine was the eventual cure of disease and ageing.  Looking
>>>>>> back it
>>>>>> seems a rather obvious projection of capability, and I wonder
>>>>>> whether
>>>>>> some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon
>>>>>> technological
>>>>>> developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the
>>>>>> potential
>>>>>> we now see looming.
>>>>>
>>>>> Well, with people in better health in higher age we will have to do
>>>>> something about pensions. The medical industry need not worry,
>>>>> though.
>>>>> Medication generally go up with age, even if they handle the
>>>>> ailments
>>>>> a lot better than the precursors did a generation ago.
>>>>
>>>> The medical instruct still needs to move from a primary revenue model
>>>> based on treating illness to prevention and cure as the main goal.
>>>>
>>>>>>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> That's one way of putting it.
>>>>>
>>>>> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for
>>>>> all" emerge
>>>>> in the far future.
>>>>
>>>> Could happen.  But there is a metric buttload of religion and
>>>> politics
>>>> in the way, and that is unlikely to clear from the road in the
>>>> forseeable future.  And there are dystopian scenarios wherein a
>>>> political bloc such as a loony religious faction within the
>>>> intelligence community achieve a coup and dictate mortality as
>>>> part of
>>>> their political/religious platform.  There are people today who hold
>>>> similarly regressive values, doing evil for evil's sake as a means of
>>>> marking their page in history.
>>>>
>>>
>>> Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or
>>> religious
>>> groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic
>>> and
>>> Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just
>>> like to
>>> fight.
>
>> I think it's more that politicians see fighting as a path to enhance
>> their power.
>
> I don’t believe that is true anymore with say western europe.

Ok, we're excluding Milosevik, eh?
>
>> There's the famous Goering quote, which paraphrases as "of course
>> people don't want to fight, they've got nothing to gain, but it's up
>> to the leaders... if their leaders tell them they're in danger and
>> under attack, people will go along with it,"
>
> And then the world moved on and western europe
> chose to go the other route and have the EU and
> that was so successful we have even the worst of
> the countries on eastern europe who used to go
> to war with each other at the drop of a hat
> decide that it makes more sense to join the EU
> and stop doing that.
>
>> Which we can see at work around the world today.
>
> Not to anything like the level that it used to with
> the modern first world or the second world either.
> We haven't seen any wars in SE asia or south
> america for quite a while now. Just a few
> recalcitrant's like Kim Jung Il and fools like that.

Maybe not in Oz (though I suspect it's happening there too). Now we're 
seeing it with "Al-Quaida"/ISIS/"Muslims". (One of the two main 
political parties here has gone anti-Muslim, though they're struggling 
to conceal that.) Searches at airports. No-fly lists, with 
no-explanation or cure if you're not a Kennedy. Cops spying on 
mosques. Appeals to spy on your neighbor. To the point that schoolkids 
are being arrested for their science projects.

That tactic has been working for eons. It hasn't stopped now. But it's 
become so much cheaper and easier for governments to spy on people.





>
>

[toc] | [prev] | [next] | [standalone]


#156241

From"879" <879@nospam.com>
Date2016-01-08 19:41 +1100
Message-ID<df9b2bFhidoU1@mid.individual.net>
In reply to#156239

"Dave Garland" <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> wrote in message 
news:n6nk22$79g$1@dont-email.me...
> On 1/7/2016 10:35 PM, 879 wrote:
>>
>>
>> "Dave Garland" <dave.garland@wizinfo.com> wrote in message
>> news:n6mf13$s0n$1@dont-email.me...
>>> On 1/7/2016 11:04 AM, Peter Flass wrote:
>>>> Uncle Steve <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>> On Mon, Jan 04, 2016 at 06:21:00PM +0100, Morten Reistad wrote:
>>>>>> In article <7db2ed440bca8c0-13432@gmail.com>,
>>>>>> Uncle Steve  <stevet810@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>>> On Fri, Jan 01, 2016 at 03:57:43PM -0800, Quadibloc wrote:
>>>>>>>> On Friday, January 1, 2016 at 3:00:04 PM UTC-7, Ahem A Rivet's
>>>>>>>> Shot wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Yes we have come a very long way indeed. It makes you wonder what
>>>>>>>>> another 35 years will bring.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Of course, the pace of progress is slowing a bit. Dennard
>>>>>>>> scaling has already
>>>>>>>> gone by the boards, and Moore's Law has only a bit more life
>>>>>>>> left in it.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Well, we haven't hit the atomic wall yet.  While we seem to be
>>>>>>> reaching the limits of bulk manufacturing processes, the
>>>>>>> atom-by-atom
>>>>>>> approach remains to be explored.  This represents something of a
>>>>>>> discontinuity to the stately progression of Moore's law, but I
>>>>>>> am too
>>>>>>> ignorant of science to project its limitation in terms of processor
>>>>>>> clock speed, information density, heat dissipation, etc.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> The first real, hard wall we are going to see is one of money. As
>>>>>> the
>>>>>> fabs get tuned for smaller, faster layouts they go more than
>>>>>> linearly
>>>>>> up in investment cost. Even IBM and Intel have huge issues about
>>>>>> financing
>>>>>> their current ones, and even small/faster ones are going to take
>>>>>> a lot
>>>>>> of depreciation time; i.e. the expansion will slowly peter to a halt
>>>>>> a good bit before the fundamental physical constants are reached.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> But we may see one-off, "hand made" chips emerge at mainframe prices
>>>>>> on fabs that don't support industrial scales.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> All predicted by The Economist a decade ago.
>>>>>
>>>>> I would think that fabs would follow the general trend of faster/
>>>>> smaller/cheaper.  ISTM that current fabs are so expensive because
>>>>> they
>>>>> represent the absolute leading edge of semiconductor manufacturing.
>>>>> So while the feature-size limit will remain a barrier to process
>>>>> technology (absent a breakthrough) we ought to see the eventual
>>>>> advent
>>>>> of the workshop chip fab.  (This is an approximation; other scenarios
>>>>> are possible.)
>>>>>
>>>>>>>> However, other areas of technological progress are about to
>>>>>>>> start their sigmoid
>>>>>>>> curves.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> So maybe 35 years from now, computers will only be a "little"
>>>>>>>> better than they
>>>>>>>> are today (that will still be a significant improvement, just
>>>>>>>> not as much as
>>>>>>>> further exponential growth would indicate)... but that CISPR
>>>>>>>> stuff might lead
>>>>>>>> to cures for nearly all genetic diseases, and basically eternal
>>>>>>>> youth through
>>>>>>>> rebuilding telomeres...
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I came to the realization some time ago that the natural
>>>>>>> apotheosis of
>>>>>>> medicine was the eventual cure of disease and ageing.  Looking
>>>>>>> back it
>>>>>>> seems a rather obvious projection of capability, and I wonder
>>>>>>> whether
>>>>>>> some of the ancients (in Rome, for instance) looked upon
>>>>>>> technological
>>>>>>> developments of their age and imagined in some dim way the
>>>>>>> potential
>>>>>>> we now see looming.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Well, with people in better health in higher age we will have to do
>>>>>> something about pensions. The medical industry need not worry,
>>>>>> though.
>>>>>> Medication generally go up with age, even if they handle the
>>>>>> ailments
>>>>>> a lot better than the precursors did a generation ago.
>>>>>
>>>>> The medical instruct still needs to move from a primary revenue model
>>>>> based on treating illness to prevention and cure as the main goal.
>>>>>
>>>>>>>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> That's one way of putting it.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I see faintly a society of "peace, freedom and prosperity for
>>>>>> all" emerge
>>>>>> in the far future.
>>>>>
>>>>> Could happen.  But there is a metric buttload of religion and
>>>>> politics
>>>>> in the way, and that is unlikely to clear from the road in the
>>>>> forseeable future.  And there are dystopian scenarios wherein a
>>>>> political bloc such as a loony religious faction within the
>>>>> intelligence community achieve a coup and dictate mortality as
>>>>> part of
>>>>> their political/religious platform.  There are people today who hold
>>>>> similarly regressive values, doing evil for evil's sake as a means of
>>>>> marking their page in history.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or
>>>> religious
>>>> groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic
>>>> and
>>>> Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just
>>>> like to
>>>> fight.
>>
>>> I think it's more that politicians see fighting as a path to enhance
>>> their power.
>>
>> I don’t believe that is true anymore with say western europe.
>
> Ok, we're excluding Milosevik, eh?

Yes, that's eastern europe. And so is the Ukraine and Putin.

>>> There's the famous Goering quote, which paraphrases as "of course
>>> people don't want to fight, they've got nothing to gain, but it's up
>>> to the leaders... if their leaders tell them they're in danger and
>>> under attack, people will go along with it,"
>>
>> And then the world moved on and western europe
>> chose to go the other route and have the EU and
>> that was so successful we have even the worst of
>> the countries on eastern europe who used to go
>> to war with each other at the drop of a hat
>> decide that it makes more sense to join the EU
>> and stop doing that.
>>
>>> Which we can see at work around the world today.
>>
>> Not to anything like the level that it used to with
>> the modern first world or the second world either.
>> We haven't seen any wars in SE asia or south
>> america for quite a while now. Just a few
>> recalcitrant's like Kim Jung Il and fools like that.

> Maybe not in Oz

No maybe about it. We haven't gone to
war with anyone of our own volition.

> (though I suspect it's happening there too).

More fool you.

> Now we're seeing it with "Al-Quaida"/ISIS/"Muslims".

Yes, but those fools haven't even managed to work
out the value of the separation of church and state yet,
something the first world worked out centuries ago now.

> (One of the two main political parties here has gone anti-Muslim,

Hardly surprising given 9/11 and other atrocities like Paris recently.

> though they're struggling to conceal that.) Searches at airports. No-fly 
> lists, with no-explanation or cure if you're not a Kennedy. Cops spying on 
> mosques. Appeals to spy on your neighbor.

Corse nothing like that ever happened previously, eh ?

> To the point that schoolkids are being arrested for their science 
> projects.

Nothing like what Goering was talking about.

> That tactic has been working for eons. It hasn't stopped now. But it's 
> become so much cheaper and easier for governments to spy on people.

Nothing like what Goering was talking about.
 

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#156223

Fromhancock4@bbs.cpcn.com
Date2016-01-07 12:44 -0800
Message-ID<df714374-0cbb-4b2d-9fa4-e44319b13e45@googlegroups.com>
In reply to#156206
On Thursday, January 7, 2016 at 12:04:02 PM UTC-5, Peter Flass wrote:

> Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or religious
> groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic and
> Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just like to
> fight.

Especially over religion.  Or, the most passionate about politics.

The extreme right and extreme left often split up into factions that
hate each other more than their real opponents.  When the Bolsheviks
took over Russia, their first order of business was to kill off the
other leftist groups (e.g. Mensheviks).

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#156224

Frommausg@mail.com
Date2016-01-07 21:32 +0000
Message-ID<slrnn8tmbc.2ok.mausg@smaus.org>
In reply to#156223
On 2016-01-07, hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com <hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com> wrote:
> On Thursday, January 7, 2016 at 12:04:02 PM UTC-5, Peter Flass wrote:
>
>> Probably never happen.  Time and again in history  political or religious
>> groups that seemed unified split up and started fighting - Catholic and
>> Protestant, Sunni and Shia, US North and South, etc.  People just like to
>> fight.
>
> Especially over religion.  Or, the most passionate about politics.
>
> The extreme right and extreme left often split up into factions that
> hate each other more than their real opponents.  When the Bolsheviks
> took over Russia, their first order of business was to kill off the
> other leftist groups (e.g. Mensheviks).


In "The Life of Brian", the Judean Liberation Front really hated
the liberation front of Judea. T'is happening here at the moment, the
myriad leftist groups hate each other, just less thaan they hate SinnFein.

-- 
greymaus
 .
  .
...

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#156004

From"Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com>
Date2016-01-05 14:51 -0600
Message-ID<n6ha7p$n6v$1@dont-email.me>
In reply to#155752
"Quadibloc" <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote in message 
news:6080e724-4d4a-4f96-a0b6-06d6c86668d8@googlegroups.com...
>
>  [snip...]                  [snip...]                    [snip...]
>
> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>

And the future will find a way to make all of us look *stupid* and 
plodding... attempting to do big things with underpowered machines. The 
future has always done this to people.

The fact is:  People in the present *must* continue to work the best way 
they can, so that the *future* people will get the better hardware and 
software.  IMO.

-- 

numerist at aquaporin4 dot com

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#156007

Fromhancock4@bbs.cpcn.com
Date2016-01-05 12:59 -0800
Message-ID<f15a1b1b-fda2-4fc3-9917-8487c95c03d6@googlegroups.com>
In reply to#156004
On Tuesday, January 5, 2016 at 3:51:38 PM UTC-5, Charles Richmond wrote:

> > One way or another, the future will be exciting.

> And the future will find a way to make all of us look *stupid* and 
> plodding... attempting to do big things with underpowered machines. The 
> future has always done this to people.
> 
> The fact is:  People in the present *must* continue to work the best way 
> they can, so that the *future* people will get the better hardware and 
> software.  IMO.


I guess as a senior, I see the future as greedy people finding
loopholes in existing processes to make money, via computers or
not, legally or not. 

Seniors are particularly at risk since often they aren't as in tune
with modern trends as youngsters, usually retired and not in touch
with workplace news.   They cling to old assumptions; for instance,
that banking transactions are secure, that banks are trustworthy,
and that government is looking out for them.

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#156020

FromCharlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid>
Date2016-01-05 22:17 +0000
Message-ID<n6hfeh112nk@news3.newsguy.com>
In reply to#156007
On 2016-01-05, hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com <hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com> wrote:

> On Tuesday, January 5, 2016 at 3:51:38 PM UTC-5, Charles Richmond wrote:
>
>>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>
>> And the future will find a way to make all of us look *stupid* and 
>> plodding... attempting to do big things with underpowered machines. The 
>> future has always done this to people.
>> 
>> The fact is:  People in the present *must* continue to work the best way 
>> they can, so that the *future* people will get the better hardware and 
>> software.  IMO.
>
> I guess as a senior, I see the future as greedy people finding
> loopholes in existing processes to make money, via computers or
> not, legally or not. 
>
> Seniors are particularly at risk since often they aren't as in tune
> with modern trends as youngsters, usually retired and not in touch
> with workplace news.   They cling to old assumptions; for instance,
> that banking transactions are secure, that banks are trustworthy,
> and that government is looking out for them.

That's what makes us look like surly curmudgeons.

    Clear analysis of any situation is often mistaken for pessimism.
      -- Barbara Hambly: The Walls of Air

-- 
/~\  cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid (Charlie Gibbs)
\ /  I'm really at ac.dekanfrus if you read it the right way.
 X   Top-posted messages will probably be ignored.  See RFC1855.
/ \  HTML will DEFINITELY be ignored.  Join the ASCII ribbon campaign!

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#156283

From"Charles Richmond" <numerist@aquaporin4.com>
Date2016-01-08 14:35 -0600
Message-ID<n6p6d2$kmn$1@dont-email.me>
In reply to#156020
"Charlie Gibbs" <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid> wrote in message 
news:n6hfeh112nk@news3.newsguy.com...
> On 2016-01-05, hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com <hancock4@bbs.cpcn.com> wrote:
>
>>           [snip...]                   [snip...] 
>> [snip...]
>>
>> Seniors are particularly at risk since often they aren't as in tune
>> with modern trends as youngsters, usually retired and not in touch
>> with workplace news.   They cling to old assumptions; for instance,
>> that banking transactions are secure, that banks are trustworthy,
>> and that government is looking out for them.
>
> That's what makes us look like surly curmudgeons.
>
>    Clear analysis of any situation is often mistaken for pessimism.
>      -- Barbara Hambly: The Walls of Air
>

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who 
have not got it."
                  -- George Bernard Shaw

-- 

numerist at aquaporin4 dot com

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#156021

FromCharlie Gibbs <cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid>
Date2016-01-05 22:17 +0000
Message-ID<n6hfeh012nk@news3.newsguy.com>
In reply to#156004
On 2016-01-05, Charles Richmond <numerist@aquaporin4.com> wrote:

> "Quadibloc" <jsavard@ecn.ab.ca> wrote in message 
> news:6080e724-4d4a-4f96-a0b6-06d6c86668d8@googlegroups.com...
>
>>  [snip...]                  [snip...]                    [snip...]
>>
>> One way or another, the future will be exciting.
>
> And the future will find a way to make all of us look *stupid* and 
> plodding... attempting to do big things with underpowered machines. The 
> future has always done this to people.
>
> The fact is:  People in the present *must* continue to work the best way 
> they can, so that the *future* people will get the better hardware and 
> software.  IMO.

Still, just because a machine is underpowered by today's standards,
that doesn't make it unusable.  Look at what those space probes out
there are doing - and think of the kinds of computers the builders
had available when making them.

Your average user has more computer power on his desk (heck, even
in his phone these days) than the combined power of all the computers
used to put a man on the moon.  But nobody's going to the moon anymore.
What happened?

-- 
/~\  cgibbs@kltpzyxm.invalid (Charlie Gibbs)
\ /  I'm really at ac.dekanfrus if you read it the right way.
 X   Top-posted messages will probably be ignored.  See RFC1855.
/ \  HTML will DEFINITELY be ignored.  Join the ASCII ribbon campaign!

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