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Asymmetric Leverage might kill Crypto [No Morals] (Was: People are buying shit [Mar-A-Logo Effect])

From Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm>
Newsgroups sci.physics
Subject Asymmetric Leverage might kill Crypto [No Morals] (Was: People are buying shit [Mar-A-Logo Effect])
Date 2026-02-22 15:44 +0100
Message-ID <10nf4om$k48j$1@solani.org> (permalink)
References (5 earlier) <10fsiq1$ebhp$2@solani.org> <10ndfj0$j27m$1@solani.org> <10neoc0$k8bd$2@solani.org> <10nepdv$k90s$2@solani.org> <10ner2r$kad4$1@solani.org>

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Hi,

How crypto bors see their own crypto.
There is no evil or good, just market
nechanics, of a ponzi scheme collapsing:

Bitcoin Edges Towards Crucial Price Level,
Testing Major Betters’ Resilience
https://en.bitcoinhaber.net/bitcoin-edges-towards-crucial-price-level-testing-major-betters-resilience

So if it moves up, there is wipeout.
And if it moves down there is wipeout:

- If Bitcoin moves up sharply through a
critical resistance (~$90K in this case),
heavily leveraged short positions get liquidated.

- Bitcoin plummets below key support,
leveraged long positions get liquidated.

LoL

Bye

P.S.: Nice “Hot Potato” Game semantics.

Mild Shock schrieb:
> Hi,
> 
> Its really amazing how the Mar-A-Logo Effect
> works. BTC went from oversold to overbought.
> And price recovered a little bit.
> 
> But the pendelum might swing back, into new
> wipeouts. (*) What one can already see, price
> doesn't break the 70'000 barrier, right?
> 
> Its not a rocket to the moon effect, this
> surreal Mar-A-Logo theatre. And in crypto
> the weekends determine how the whole comming
> 
> week works out. Whales setting the stage,
> Shrimps only having a minor impact. Won't
> change much during the comming week, right?
> 
> You see overbought/oversold here:
> 
> Crypto Relative Strength Index (RSI)
> https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/rsi/
> 
> Bye
> 
> (*) Thats an interesting question what might
> trigger new wipeouts. What are the landmarks,
> when whales come out of their hibernation,
> 
> and perform some market actions?
> 
> Mild Shock schrieb:
>> Hi,
>>
>> I am not sure whether the some bond advice
>> is the best advice, it depends whether you
>> are risk adverse or risk seeking, and what
>>
>> bothers you most, inflation or what else?
>> If one is a little more risk seeking one
>> might be better of with real estate.
>>
>> In general it might be anyways a bad sign,
>> that a portfolio isn't diversified yet,
>> i.e. either a gold bug portfolio, or a
>>
>> bitcoin believer portfolio. 5 years from
>> now gold bugs might be hit, if some long
>> term cycle hits the financial markets, or
>>
>> if Elon Musk has found gold on mars.
>>
>> Bye
>>
>> Mild Shock schrieb:
>>> Hi,
>>>
>>> Who is the "you", do you mean "one"?
>>> Like in "one" should drop the idea of
>>> crypto gold as a store of wealth.
>>>
>>> Well you are wellcome to write it like
>>> that, since I am not seeking advice.
>>> I am only commenting the currious
>>>
>>> events and how they progress from
>>> delusion to another delusion. But I
>>> wont tell how to get out of this
>>>
>>> vicious cycle, since I don't know the
>>> optimum and the future. Even if you
>>> take some actions, its always bounded
>>>
>>> rationality and uncertainty.
>>>
>>> Have Fun!
>>>
>>> Bye
>>>
>>> Ross Finlayson schrieb:
>>>  > You mean the "Board of Piss"' dumped in its scattergory
>>>  > saudi sovereign shekels, because the dirty money didn't
>>>  > have anywhere else to go?
>>>  >
>>>  >
>>>  > Maybe you should look into some nice bonds, ....
>>>  > The Japanese made a major shift to increase
>>>  > the attractiveness of Nippon bonds.
>>>  >
>>>  > These days the Swiss are almost giving better
>>>  > than even money.
>>>
>>>  > On 02/21/2026 03:47 PM, Mild Shock wrote:
>>>  >> Hi,
>>>  >>
>>>  >> Goldbugs are now the new heros, since they didn't
>>>  >> believe in Crypto, which recently saw a Wipeout,
>>>  >> and they now simply walk into a Store with a big Pincher:
>>>  >>
>>>  >> Goldbugs going to the grocery store
>>>  >> https://9gag.com/gag/aoywg43
>>>  >>
>>>  >> And see also:
>>>  >>
>>>  >> Gold Bug: What It Is, How It Works, and Example
>>>  >> https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/goldbug.asp
>>>  >>
>>>  >> Bye
>>>  >>
>>>  >> P.S.: Gold reputation wasn't always good:
>>>  >>
>>>  >> - Gold peaked around 2011 during the aftermath
>>>  >> of the Federal Reserve QE era and eurozone crisis panic.
>>>  >>
>>>  >> - Then from 2012 to 2015 it slid hard
>>>  >>   — roughly a ~40–45% drop.
>>>  >>
>>>  >> - Meanwhile, US equities (like the S&P 500) went
>>>  >> on a monster bull run.
>>>  >>
>>>  >> - And by the mid-2010s, crypto (especially Bitcoin)
>>>  >> started stealing the “hard money / anti-fiat” narrative.
>>>  >>
>>>  >> Mild Shock schrieb:
>>>  >>> Hi,
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>> Will the crypto bros become AI bros? They
>>>  >>> could repurpose their infrastructure. But
>>>  >>> this will mostlikely not happen:
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>> - Worthless Infrastructure:
>>>  >>>    Mostlikely their infrastructure is discounted
>>>  >>>    to zero. Except for some personell know how
>>>  >>>    value, and some real estate value, they possibly
>>>  >>>    run hardware which lacks the leap to currently
>>>  >>>    slightly expensive HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) ?
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>> - Shift to Local AI:
>>>  >>>    Even if they can repurpose their infrastruture,
>>>  >>>    they might not see a lot of customers. Smartphone
>>>  >>>    technology is now used in Desktops, giving again
>>>  >>>    a leap in low power consumption with the benefit
>>>  >>>    of integrated AI accelerators (example Snapdragon X).
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>> These new PCs, can run local AI models, and the
>>>  >>> possible winners will be Microsoft with Copilot+, etc..
>>>  >>> and the loosers will be Palantir, etc..
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>> A corresponding sector rotation is already seen.
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>> Bye
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>> Mild Shock schrieb:
>>>  >>>  > Hi,
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > My original theory was a little different
>>>  >>>  > when I predicted that BTC will disappear
>>>  >>>  > by end of 2025. I assumed that "Kiosk"
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  >  From 120'000 to 80'000 in a few days
>>>  >>>  > https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > money exchange will be done by Dogecoin,
>>>  >>>  > LTC, etc.. But my theory is different now.
>>>  >>>  > The West doesn't need Crypto. There is
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > enough cyber security and active database
>>>  >>>  > technology around, and Mastercard, VISA,
>>>  >>>  > Banks, etc.. have all mordernized, instant
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > payment and mobile apps.
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > Bye
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > P.S.: Also USA gets fucked hard with their
>>>  >>>  > silly "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve". And most-
>>>  >>>  > likely Michael Sailor will be one of the
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > "black peter"s, or some other moron, or
>>>  >>>  > some other colllective of morons ?
>>>  >>>  >
>>>  >>>  > Mild Shock schrieb:
>>>  >>>  >  > Hi,
>>>  >>>  >  >
>>>  >>>  >  > Looks like having some crypto bought in
>>>  >>>  >  > March 2025, would have been a good idea.
>>>  >>>  >  > For exampe BTC is currently going through
>>>  >>>  >  >
>>>  >>>  >  > the 120'000.- USD ceiling:
>>>  >>>  >  >
>>>  >>>  >  > 122'000 USD (Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:43:33 +0200)
>>>  >>>  >  > https://coinmarketcap.com/
>>>  >>>  >  >
>>>  >>>  >  > But why am I still believing BTC will disappear.
>>>  >>>  >  > I don't know. Epstein did also disappear, and
>>>  >>>  >  > his funds on Virgin Islands are all gone,
>>>  >>>  >  >
>>>  >>>  >  > compensation payed to Non-Virgins.
>>>  >>>  >  >
>>>  >>>  >  > Bye
>>>  >>>  >  >
>>>  >>>  >  > Mild Shock schrieb:
>>>  >>>  >  >> Hi,
>>>  >>>  >  >>
>>>  >>>  >  >> Bravo: Bitcon at 82'000.- USD now! Not as
>>>  >>>  >  >> bad as the 79'000.- USD a few days ago.
>>>  >>>  >  >>
>>>  >>>  >  >> Thanks to the modern AI trading bots, now
>>>  >>>  >  >> everything runs in parallel, BTC, ETH, altcoins.
>>>  >>>  >  >> If one altcoin is favorable, an AI trading bot
>>>  >>>  >  >>
>>>  >>>  >  >> will sell, and buy something else. So that
>>>  >>>  >  >> after a while BTC, ETH, altcoin show all the
>>>  >>>  >  >> same trajectory and so on:
>>>  >>>  >  >>
>>>  >>>  >  >> https://coinmarketcap.com/
>>>  >>>  >  >>
>>>  >>>  >  >> It doesn't matter anymore if the strategic
>>>  >>>  >  >> bitcoin reserve would includen SOL, XRP, or
>>>  >>>  >  >> who knows what. Its all completely broken.
>>>  >>>  >  >>
>>>  >>>  >  >> Bye
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>>
>>>  >>
>>>  >
>>
> 

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Thread

Goldbugs are now storming the Stores [Crypto Wipeout] (Was: Will the crypto bros become AI bros?) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-22 00:37 +0100
  I am commenter, I don't ask for advice (Was: Goldbugs are now storming the Stores [Crypto Wipeout]) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-22 12:13 +0100
    Whats the anti-dote to myoptic trading (Re: I am commenter, I don't ask for advice) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-22 12:31 +0100
      People are buying shit [Mar-A-Logo Effect] (Re: Whats the anti-dote to myoptic trading) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-22 12:59 +0100
        Asymmetric Leverage might kill Crypto [No Morals] (Was: People are buying shit [Mar-A-Logo Effect]) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-22 15:44 +0100
          Now I found a 101-year leasehold (Re: Asymmetric Leverage might kill Crypto [No Morals]) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-22 23:30 +0100
            Real estate is generally less volatile than bonds (Re: Now I found a 101-year leasehold) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-22 23:43 +0100
              I am a lazy IT supporter, so its ETF (Re: Real estate is generally less volatile than bonds) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-23 00:17 +0100
                Quizz and IQ Test: Escape Assets of the Crypto Wipeout? (Re: I am a lazy IT supporter, so its ETF) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-23 00:19 +0100
                Bitcoins Death Embrace is Trumps 2nd Casino (Re: Quizz and IQ Test: Escape Assets of the Crypto Wipeout?) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-23 08:40 +0100
                The idea of Bitcoin to Zero [Stupid USA] (Re: Bitcoins Death Embrace is Trumps 2nd Casino) Mild Shock <janburse@fastmail.fm> - 2026-02-23 09:00 +0100

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