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Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal]

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Date Tue, 8 Jan 2013 06:43:46 +1100
Subject Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal]
From Chris Angelico <rosuav@gmail.com>
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On Tue, Jan 8, 2013 at 4:58 AM, Steven D'Aprano
<steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> wrote:
> Anyone can fool themselves into placing a line through a subset of non-
> linear data. Or, sadly more often, *deliberately* cherry picking fake
> clusters in order to fool others. Here is a real world example of what
> happens when people pick out the data clusters that they like based on
> visual inspection:
>
> http://www.skepticalscience.com/images/TempEscalator.gif

And sensible people will notice that, even drawn like that, it's only
a ~0.6 deg increase across ~30 years. Hardly statistically
significant, given that weather patterns have been known to follow
cycles at least that long. But that's nothing to do with drawing lines
through points, and more to do with how much data you collect before
you announce a conclusion, and how easily a graph can prove any point
you like.

Statistical analysis is a huge science. So is lying. And I'm not sure
most people can pick one from the other.

ChrisA

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Thread

Numpy outlier removal "Joseph L. Casale" <jcasale@activenetwerx.com> - 2013-01-06 19:44 +0000
  Re: Numpy outlier removal Hans Mulder <hansmu@xs4all.nl> - 2013-01-06 23:33 +0100
    RE: Numpy outlier removal "Joseph L. Casale" <jcasale@activenetwerx.com> - 2013-01-06 22:50 +0000
    Re: Numpy outlier removal MRAB <python@mrabarnett.plus.com> - 2013-01-06 23:18 +0000
  Re: Numpy outlier removal Steven D'Aprano <steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> - 2013-01-07 01:46 +0000
    Re: Numpy outlier removal "Paul Simon" <psimon@sonic.net> - 2013-01-06 18:21 -0800
    Re: Numpy outlier removal Oscar Benjamin <oscar.j.benjamin@gmail.com> - 2013-01-07 02:29 +0000
      Re: Numpy outlier removal Steven D'Aprano <steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> - 2013-01-07 05:11 +0000
        Re: Numpy outlier removal Oscar Benjamin <oscar.j.benjamin@gmail.com> - 2013-01-07 15:20 +0000
          [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Steven D'Aprano <steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> - 2013-01-07 17:58 +0000
            Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Chris Angelico <rosuav@gmail.com> - 2013-01-08 06:43 +1100
              Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Steven D'Aprano <steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> - 2013-01-08 02:06 +0000
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Chris Angelico <rosuav@gmail.com> - 2013-01-08 17:35 +1100
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Robert Kern <robert.kern@gmail.com> - 2013-01-08 15:55 +0000
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Chris Angelico <rosuav@gmail.com> - 2013-01-09 07:14 +1100
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Steven D'Aprano <steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> - 2013-01-09 07:50 +0000
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Robert Kern <robert.kern@gmail.com> - 2013-01-08 22:59 +0000
            Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Oscar Benjamin <oscar.j.benjamin@gmail.com> - 2013-01-07 22:32 +0000
              Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Steven D'Aprano <steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> - 2013-01-08 01:23 +0000
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Terry Reedy <tjreedy@udel.edu> - 2013-01-08 04:07 -0500
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Maarten <maarten.sneep@knmi.nl> - 2013-01-08 08:47 -0800
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Maarten <maarten.sneep@knmi.nl> - 2013-01-08 08:47 -0800
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Steven D'Aprano <steve+comp.lang.python@pearwood.info> - 2013-01-09 00:02 +0000
                Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Oscar Benjamin <oscar.j.benjamin@gmail.com> - 2013-01-08 13:50 +0000
            Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Jason Friedman <jason@powerpull.net> - 2013-01-08 19:22 -0700
            Re: [Offtopic] Line fitting [was Re: Numpy outlier removal] Jason Friedman <jason@powerpull.net> - 2013-01-08 19:23 -0700
        Re: Numpy outlier removal Robert Kern <robert.kern@gmail.com> - 2013-01-07 15:35 +0000
    RE: Numpy outlier removal "Joseph L. Casale" <jcasale@activenetwerx.com> - 2013-01-07 02:12 +0000

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