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Re: my 'take' on the election

Newsgroups alt.dreams.castaneda
Date 2018-09-11 16:26 -0700
References (8 earlier) <9841pd57fovkclt7c998urpk5968qrs3kn@4ax.com> <op.zox18xgs7eafsp@slider> <783141ff-0262-4614-b636-61bc4a61ff95@googlegroups.com> <gga7pdlvdfqmil7s2i13b82nojh7r5l923@4ax.com> <3d84b749-f851-45d7-a619-be7dc0caaff8@googlegroups.com>
Message-ID <05bcf1b6-0823-4e96-8b98-b736e7c70bae@googlegroups.com> (permalink)
Subject Re: my 'take' on the election
From "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com>

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Thomas Friedman's take:

What if Trump is actually heating up our economy by burning all the furniture in the house? It’s going to be nice and toasty for us — at least for a while — but where will our kids sleep?

What if Trump’s tax cuts, deregulation, scrapping of Obamacare without any alternative and military spending surge were actually ill-thought-through, short-term-focused initiatives that all ignored expert opinion — because they mostly emerged from off-the-cuff remarks at Trump pep rallies — and collectively amount to a sugar high that not only will be unsustainable but will leave our economy far more vulnerable in the long term?

When Trump simultaneously cuts corporate taxes and withdraws America from the Paris climate accord, tries to revive the coal industry by lowering pollution standards and weakens fuel economy standards for U.S.-made cars and trucks, he is vastly adding to the financial debts and carbon debts that will burden our children.

And he is doing this despite many economists warning that increasing the deficit when your economy is already growing nicely is really, really reckless — because you may need that money to stimulate your way out of the next recession.

And he is doing this at a time when virtually every climate scientist has warned that global-warming-driven extreme weather events — droughts, floods and wildfires — are sharply on the rise and we are staring through the last window of time to mitigate climate change so that we can manage the impacts that are already unavoidable and avoid the impacts that will be terrifyingly unmanageable.

In June, The Associated Press reported on the latest International Monetary Fund survey of the U.S. economy, which concluded that as a result of Trump’s “tax cuts and expected increases in defense and domestic programs, the federal budget deficit as a percentage of the total economy will exceed 4.5 percent of G.D.P. by next year — nearly double what it was just three years ago.” 

Faced with so much debt, which the country will not be able to grow out of, The A.P. story continued, paraphrasing the I.M.F. report, the U.S. “may need to take politically painful steps,” such as cutting Social Security benefits and imposing higher taxes on consumers. (We’ll probably also have to limit spending on new roads, bridges and research.)

You might want to let your kids know that.

There were responsible ways to cut taxes on things we want more of — like corporate investment — while boosting them on things we want less of — like carbon, reckless financial speculation and diabetes — that could have stimulated jobs and growth but also left us more financially and environmentally resilient. But both Trump and the anonymous-G.O.P. crowd rejected them, just as they rejected smart improvements to Obamacare, preferring a total scrapping.

So when Republicans say they’re disgusted by Trump’s ignorance and indecency but love his “deregulations” and “tax reforms” — those very sanitized words — this is what they love: taking huge fiscal and environmental risks — effectively throwing away our bumpers and spare tires that we may soon need to drive through the next financial or climate storm — for a short-term economic and political high.

How different is that from Trump’s indecency? Let’s be clear, Trump cheated on his wife, but his party’s now cheating on their kids. You tell me who’s worse.

And don’t get me started on the recently signed $716 billion defense budget for the 2019 fiscal year — a spending hike so dramatic, as defense analyst Lawrence Korb pointed out, that it means since Trump took office under two years ago, “the defense budget will have grown by $133 billion, or 23 percent.” And there’s no major war going on.

Here again, the anonymous-Republicans equate a bigger defense budget and more weapons with strategy and strength. Thus, by definition, if Trump increased defense spending, he did something right. Did I miss the series of congressional hearings with independent military experts that addressed the question: What are the new (and old) threats we’re facing today, and how will these new and vastly expensive weapons systems enable us to better address them?

Some of the smartest military analysts I know think that investing in so many big, new weapons systems is the equivalent of taking sledgehammers to droplets of quicksilver...

In sum, I believe in a robust military and U.S. global engagement. But this does not automatically translate into support for a radically higher defense budget.

So the next time anonymous-G.O.P. lawmakers tell you that while Trump is a moral wreck — and they are saving the nation from his wretchedness — they love his tax cuts, deregulation and military budget, ask them to describe the strategic vision behind that defense budget. Ask them if they really are unbothered by massively increasing the deficit at a time when our economy was already growing — just when we should be saving cash to soften our next recession. Ask them if they really think it is smart to roll back our auto mileage standards, when the last time we did that the more fuel-efficient Japanese and Korean auto industries nearly killed Detroit.

Lastly, ask them if they have kids — and how they think all these Trumpian policies that they like, even if they don’t like Trump, will serve the next generation.

***

That's right. That's exactly what Trump is doing. In effect he's
"running up America's credit cards" to make himself look impressive
while sabotaging the long-term future - everyone who comes after him.

An interesting way to view unemployment is to look at the general
trend across each president's term. Look at what it was when they
took office, then what the trends were, then what it was when they
left office.

Truman     entered 3.4 exited 2.6  Very low
Eisenhower entered 2.6 exited 6.9  Steady rise to fairly high
Kennedy    entered 6.9 exited 5.6  Moderate fall to low
Johnson    entered 5.6 exited 3.4  Steady fall to very low
Nixon      entered 3.4 exited 5.9  Steady rise to fairly high
Ford       entered 5.9 exited 7.6  Moderate rise to high
Carter     entered 7.6 exited 7.4  Steady fall then steady rise to high
Reagan     entered 7.4 exited 5.2  Strong rise then steady fall to low
Bush Sr    entered 5.2 exited 7.1  Steady rise to fairly high
Clinton    entered 7.1 exited 4.3  Steady fall to very low
Bush Jr    entered 4.3 exited 7.8  Rise to fall to rise to high
Obama      entered 7.8 exited 4.7  Strong rise then steady fall to low
Trump      entered 4.7 exited  ?   Steady fall to ?

Nixon's, Bush Sr's and Eisenhower's patterns were the same.
All three steadily rose to fairly high.

Reagan's and Obama's pattern were the same.
Both started with big problems but got them under control.

Clinton and Johnson's patterns were also the same.
Both brought it steadily down to very low.

No one really knows what will happen with Trump but I think Friedman's
description and possible prediction is perfect, i.e. that Trump will:

"...collectively amount to a sugar high that not only will be
unsustainable but will leave our economy far more vulnerable
in the long term."

He'll set up whoever comes after him to have it really bad.

.

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Thread

Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-21 15:22 -0700
  Re: and no religion too feewilly <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-08-21 16:25 -0700
  Re: and no religion too slider <slider@anashram.org> - 2018-08-22 11:45 +0100
    Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 09:23 -0700
      Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 09:57 -0700
      Re: and no religion too slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-22 20:43 +0100
        Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 14:03 -0700
          Re: and no religion too slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-22 23:07 +0100
        Re: and no religion too LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 17:39 -0700
          Re: and no religion too slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-23 02:53 +0100
            Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 19:44 -0700
              Re: and no religion too slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-23 04:37 +0100
                Re: and no religion too LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 21:31 -0700
                Re: and no religion too LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 22:28 -0700
                Re: and no religion too slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-23 14:42 +0100
                the dumbest shit ever chorro <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-08-23 08:13 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-23 16:53 +0100
                Re: the dumbest shit ever "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-23 12:24 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-23 21:35 +0100
                Re: the dumbest shit ever chorro <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-08-23 13:38 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 09:54 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-24 18:40 +0100
                Re: the dumbest shit ever "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 11:37 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-24 20:05 +0100
                fuck that puto chorro <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 11:41 -0700
                Re: fuck that puto slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-08-24 19:49 +0100
                Re: what's that you say, puto? You don't like the Trump talk? "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 14:34 -0700
                nice try gas boy chorro <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 15:25 -0700
                no cigar dull boy "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 16:48 -0700
                fuck yourself chorro <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 17:00 -0700
                Dumbo... "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-08-24 17:25 -0700
                Re: what's that you say, puto? You don't like the Trump talk? thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 10:28 +0800
                Re: fuck that puto thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 10:31 +0800
                Re: fuck that puto slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-07 00:59 +0100
                my 'take' on the election alreadygone <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-07 11:50 -0700
                Re: my 'take' on the election thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-08 19:05 +0800
                Re: my 'take' on the election "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-11 09:33 -0700
                Re: my 'take' on the election "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-11 16:26 -0700
                Re: my 'take' on the election "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-16 12:09 -0700
                Re: my 'take' on the election "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-20 10:55 -0700
                Re: my 'take' on the election alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-21 07:57 -0700
                Re: my 'take' on the election slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 08:48 -0700
                life travels on alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-21 09:51 -0700
                everybody must get fucked alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-21 10:06 -0700
                Re: everybody must get fucked "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 11:16 -0700
                Re: But it's not all bad news "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 11:39 -0700
                Re: everybody must get fucked alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-21 12:42 -0700
                Re: everybody must get fucked alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-21 12:51 -0700
                Re: everybody must get fucked slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 14:03 -0700
                Re: everybody must get fucked alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-21 15:26 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 17:52 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 18:30 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 18:46 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-21 19:45 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-22 11:07 -0700
                nice try alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-22 11:26 -0700
                Re: no cigar "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-22 12:12 -0700
                Re: no cigar alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-22 13:22 -0700
                more time ? alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-22 13:32 -0700
                Re: more time ? "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-22 14:40 -0700
                Re: more time ? thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 17:26 +0800
                Re: more time ? slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 05:05 -0700
                Re: more time ? "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 12:42 -0700
                Re: more time ? slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 14:22 -0700
                Re: more time ? slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 14:59 -0700
                Re: more time ? alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-23 16:17 -0700
                Re: more time ? "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 16:44 -0700
                Re: more time ? slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 17:59 -0700
                Re: more time ? slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 18:14 -0700
                Re: more time ? "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-24 08:50 -0700
                Re: more time ? slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-24 08:55 -0700
                Re: nice try thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 17:35 +0800
                Re: everybody must do themselves in slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-22 14:45 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-22 15:06 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-22 15:50 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 17:33 +0800
                Re: everybody must do themselves in slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 03:42 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-25 18:41 +0800
                Re: everybody must do themselves in slider <allmyslotties@gmail.com> - 2018-09-25 10:40 -0700
                Re: everybody must do themselves in "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-26 09:52 -0700
                Re: life travels on thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 17:23 +0800
                Re: life travels on "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-24 09:32 -0700
                Re: life travels on "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-24 12:18 -0700
                Re: life travels on alky judas <crsds@sbcglobal.net> - 2018-09-24 13:52 -0700
                Re: life travels on "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-24 17:01 -0700
                Re: my 'take' on the election thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-23 17:10 +0800
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-25 21:40 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-25 21:59 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-25 22:36 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-25 23:51 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever chorro <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-08-26 05:36 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-26 18:53 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-26 19:24 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-25 21:23 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-27 15:12 -0700
                Re: the dumbest shit ever LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-28 21:12 -0700
                Re: moving on from all that gaslighting bs... "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 13:47 -0700
                same ole, same ole jewedus <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 14:26 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 14:46 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole jewedus <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 15:36 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 16:08 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-04 00:14 +0100
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 16:44 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole jewedus <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 16:57 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 17:26 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-04 01:31 +0100
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 17:43 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-04 13:46 +0100
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-03 17:47 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 10:44 +0800
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-07 00:16 +0100
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 16:50 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 10:43 +0800
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-04 13:51 +0100
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 10:45 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-04 19:13 +0100
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 11:19 -0700
                bogus man jewedus <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 11:26 -0700
                don't push your luck jewedus <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 11:28 -0700
                Re: don't push your luck "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 11:44 -0700
                Re: don't push your luck thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 11:01 +0800
                Re: Hopefully you guys can look at a few pictures "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 14:57 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 11:34 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-04 19:43 +0100
                Re: same ole, same ole "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 12:18 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 10:55 +0800
                cricketts jewedus <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 11:22 -0700
                Re: cricketts slider <slider@anashram.org> - 2018-09-04 19:52 +0100
                i like peanut butter jewedus <allreadydun@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 11:57 -0700
                Re: i like peanut butter slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-04 20:29 +0100
                Re: i like peanut butter "Jeremy H. Donovan" <jeremyhdonovan@gmail.com> - 2018-09-04 12:49 -0700
                Re: same ole, same ole thang ornerythinchus <thangolossus@gmail.com> - 2018-09-06 10:45 +0800
                Re: same ole, same ole slider <slider@anashram.com> - 2018-09-07 00:10 +0100
            Re: and no religion too LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 19:48 -0700
              Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 20:02 -0700
                Re: and no religion too LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 20:39 -0700
          Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 19:41 -0700
            Re: and no religion too LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 19:51 -0700
              Re: and no religion too "Jeremy H. Denisovan" <david.j.worrell@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 20:08 -0700
              Re: and no religion too LowRider44M <intraphase@gmail.com> - 2018-08-22 20:14 -0700

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