Path: csiph.com!v102.xanadu-bbs.net!xanadu-bbs.net!news.mixmin.net!feeds.phibee-telecom.net!newsfeed.xs4all.nl!newsfeed2.news.xs4all.nl!xs4all!newsgate.cistron.nl!newsgate.news.xs4all.nl!post.news.xs4all.nl!not-for-mail Return-Path: X-Original-To: python-list@python.org Delivered-To: python-list@mail.python.org X-Spam-Status: OK 0.015 X-Spam-Evidence: '*H*': 0.97; '*S*': 0.00; 'affected': 0.07; 'desired.': 0.07; 'odd': 0.07; 'versions,': 0.07; 'formula': 0.16; 'from:addr:mrabarnett.plus.com': 0.16; 'from:addr:python': 0.16; 'from:name:mrab': 0.16; 'message-id:@mrabarnett.plus.com': 0.16; 'range.': 0.16; 'received:192.168.1.4': 0.16; 'strength': 0.16; "would've": 0.16; 'wrote:': 0.18; 'written': 0.21; 'seems': 0.21; '(in': 0.22; 'header:User-Agent:1': 0.23; 'header:In-Reply-To:1': 0.27; 'appear': 0.29; 'sep': 0.31; "we're": 0.32; '2010.': 0.33; 'fri,': 0.33; 'level.': 0.33; 'there': 0.35; 'ram': 0.36; 'should': 0.36; 'easily': 0.37; 'to:addr:python-list': 0.38; 'pm,': 0.38; 'anything': 0.39; 'to:addr:python.org': 0.39; 'ian': 0.60; 'ago,': 0.61; 'today': 0.64; 'deals': 0.65; 'skip:1 20': 0.65; '26,': 0.68; 'price': 0.69; 'price.': 0.74; 'trend.': 0.84 X-CM-Score: 0.00 X-CNFS-Analysis: v=2.1 cv=HNxNF+dv c=1 sm=1 tr=0 a=0nF1XD0wxitMEM03M9B4ZQ==:117 a=0nF1XD0wxitMEM03M9B4ZQ==:17 a=0Bzu9jTXAAAA:8 a=u9EReRu7m0cA:10 a=ihvODaAuJD4A:10 a=IkcTkHD0fZMA:10 a=EBOSESyhAAAA:8 a=pGLkceISAAAA:8 a=Ou8-nDE8AAAA:8 a=olFkyggq3waSuMpxMGcA:9 a=QEXdDO2ut3YA:10 a=LvUxLZ3iF9QA:10 a=MSl-tDqOz04A:10 X-AUTH: mrabarnett:2500 Date: Sat, 27 Sep 2014 16:41:55 +0100 From: MRAB User-Agent: Mozilla/5.0 (Windows NT 6.3; WOW64; rv:24.0) Gecko/20100101 Thunderbird/24.6.0 MIME-Version: 1.0 To: python-list@python.org Subject: Re: Storage Cost Calculation References: In-Reply-To: Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8; format=flowed Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit X-BeenThere: python-list@python.org X-Mailman-Version: 2.1.15 Precedence: list List-Id: General discussion list for the Python programming language List-Unsubscribe: , List-Archive: List-Post: List-Help: List-Subscribe: , Newsgroups: comp.lang.python Message-ID: Lines: 30 NNTP-Posting-Host: 2001:888:2000:d::a6 X-Trace: 1411832704 news.xs4all.nl 2865 [2001:888:2000:d::a6]:47630 X-Complaints-To: abuse@xs4all.nl Xref: csiph.com comp.lang.python:78416 On 2014-09-27 15:30, Ian Kelly wrote: > On Fri, Sep 26, 2014 at 12:53 PM, Abohfu venant zinkeng > wrote: >> This site was written by a person (in 2009) who had considered this >> amazing trend. He collected a lot of data about hard drive capacity >> and price. The formula he extrapolated by using the data he found >> is >> >> cost per gigabyte = 10-0.2502(year-1980) + 6.304 where year is the >> year for which the extrapolated cost was desired. This formula is >> based on data from 1980 to 2010. > > A nice illustration in the perils of extrapolation. Per the formula, > hard drives should be $0.006 per gigabyte now. I don't see anything > on newegg.com for less than $0.03 per gigabyte; the best deals appear > to be at the 2 TB level. And we're only 4 years out of the data > range. > > It also seems odd to quantify technical advancement in a way that is > easily affected by fluctuations in the strength of the US dollar. > I once did a calculation of my own about the cost of RAM. In 1981 the BBC Micro was released. There were 2 versions, model A with 16K and model B was 32K. The price difference was £100, so that's £100 for 16K of RAM. Today you can get 16GB of RAM for about the same price. If you'd wanted that much RAM 30 years ago, it would've cost you £100m!