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From: Tim Rentsch
Newsgroups: comp.arch
Subject: Re: IA-64
Date: Wed, 18 Mar 2026 01:01:03 -0700
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Terje Mathisen writes:
> Tim Rentsch wrote:
[...]
>> An unrelated item for your reading pleasure...
>>
>> Take an unbiased coin and start flipping it. Keep flipping until
>> the number of heads first exceeds the number of tails. Compute the
>> fraction: the number of heads divided by the number of flips (which
>> always gives a number between 0.5 and 1.0).
>>
>> Repeat the above process as many times as desired. Compute the
>> average of all the fractions and what do you get?
>>
>> I heard about this yesterday from a friend. That's a hint, of
>> sorts. (It is now Sunday afternoon where I am.)
>
> So, by definition the list of possible sequences start with
> H ; 1/2 of all
> THH ; 1/8
> TTHHH ; 1/32
> THTHH ; 1/32 Sum up to here is 22/32
> TTTHHHH ; 1/128
> TTHTHHH
> TTHHTHH
> THTTHHH
> THTHTHH
> etc
>
> Here's a wild-assed guess: sqrt(0.5) = 0.707
That's an interesting idea for how to analyze it. I'm not sure it
works. One thing I can say for sure is when I tried to replicate it
in a program I got wrong answers, or maybe it converges very slowly.
An easy way to get a result that matches the theoretical value is
just to simulate the coin flips using a random number generator. To
save you the trouble of doing that the ultimate value is pi/4 (and
it converges VERY slowly).
Incidentally, the hint mentioned above is that I heard about it on
pi day, March 14th. :)