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Polling Brutal for Democrats on Immigration Enforcement According A-Rated Pollster

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https://hotair.com/david-strom/2026/02/02/surprise-polling-brutal-for-
democrats-on-immigration-enforcement-according-a-rated-pollster-n3811462

I was so surprised by this poll that I had to look into the pollster who 
put it out just to be certain that it wasn't some fly-by-night propaganda 
outlet. 

It isn't. Several sites rate Cygnal Polling as having a slight liberal 
bias in their results, but as a high-factuality pollster that focuses 
mostly on private clients. And the results are so lopsided that they would 
have had to stack the deck by a huge margin to get the results that they 
did.

And the results are BRUTAL for Democrats, although they also tell us 
something about the Democrat strategy for the midterms. They are focused 
entirely on turning out their base and have decided to go all-in on the 
strategy of mobilizing their base and exhausting the rest of the 
population. 


Brent Buchanan, Pollster
@brentbuc
·
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When Democrats don't believe illegal immigration is a problem, why would 
they have any desire to fix it?

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HAKsbbDWcAAZO8O?format=jpg&name=small

How brutal is the polling? Well, compared to the Ayatollah in Iran, they 
may be able to claim more popularity with the general public, and it's 
likely that people would rather have their city be declared a sanctuary 
than get a case of Lyme Disease. Colonoscopies and root canals may be 
considered less pleasant than being lectured to about morality by Chuck 
Schumer, but few other things are. 

https://media.townhall.com/cdn/hodl/ha/images/2026/33/0cabb8a8-a479-457d-
8b44-5c5bfcac6c34-650x0.png

According to Cygnal's Brent Buchanon, Democrats are "catastrophically 
wrong" on the immigration issue, although I am not so certain. Not that he 
is misanalyzing the numbers, but perhaps on whether the Democrats are 
mistaken on their strategy.

68% of Democrats want to defund ICE. 58% of all voters oppose that. If 
you're looking for the single biggest electoral blindspot in American 
politics right now, you just found it.

Cygnal just conducted a nationwide survey of midterm voters to see where 
things really stood on the issue of deportation, ICE, and immigration.

And I've never seen a major party this far out of step with the electorate 
on a single issue.

The conventional wisdom in Washington says immigration is a "complicated" 
issue where "reasonable people disagree." The media frames it as a debate 
between compassion and cruelty. Democratic strategists apparently believe 
their base's position is where the country is heading.

The data says they're wrong. Catastrophically wrong.

I am a bit surprised by the numbers, but hardly shocked. I knew that 
"defund ICE" would be unpopular with the general public, but I expected 
that enough people would be tired of the chaos that many would be driven 
by exhaustion or fear of social opprobrium, making the number worse.  

Let's start with deportation. 61% of midterm voters support it. 67% of 
Democrats oppose it. That's a massive chasm between most people and where 
the Democrats are.

64% of voters believe illegal immigration is a problem. 61% of Democrats 
say it isn't. Same pattern.

Even the definition of "illegal" splits along party lines in ways that 
should alarm anyone running a Democratic campaign. 73% of midterm voters 
say coming to the U.S. without permission means you broke the law. 45% of 
Democrats disagree with that basic premise.

I suspect that a lot of this has to do with the Pravda Media audience now 
skews so Democrat that the ordinary person consumes or trusts so little of 
the propaganda that it is becoming ineffective. There are people who 
eagerly consume newspaper Op/Eds, watch CNN, believe The New York Times, 
and then everybody else. 

We only see "everybody else" on X, if that. Most people aren't even on X; 
they just want the activists to enjoy the tear gas. 

54% of voters support ICE's enforcement efforts. Among swing voters? 59%. 
These are the people who decide elections, and they're overwhelmingly 
siding with enforcement...and the Republican position.

Yet 81% of Democrats oppose ICE enforcing federal immigration laws to 
remove illegal immigrants from the U.S. The gap between the Democratic 
base and swing voters on this issue is net 43 points. In a polarized era 
where most issues split along predictable lines, that kind of spread is 
extraordinary.

Where I diverge from Buchanan is in his conclusion from examining these 
numbers. He believes that they are electorally devastating, while I am not 
so sure. 

The results of Democrats' position on the deportation issue are 
electorally devastating.

Democrats currently hold a nominal lead on the generic congressional 
ballot. Standard stuff for the out-party. But when we frame the question 
around supporting ICE's ability to enforce federal immigration laws, and a 
Democrat opposes that, the ballot instantly ties (4-point shift).

Push it one step further. If Democrats force a government shutdown over 
ICE funding, which is exactly what started today, Republicans take a 2-
point lead.

That's a 6-point swing on a single issue. In competitive districts, that's 
the difference between winning and losing.

I hope he is right, but there is an alternate theory of the case, and one 
that I think Democrats are banking on: that the chaos, which I predict 
will escalate dramatically as the weather warms up, will increase voter 
participation among Democrats and depress it among Republicans and 
moderates. 


Stephen L. Miller
@redsteeze
·
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This poll was taken on stolen land.

https://x.com/guypbenson/status/2018347207812882774/photo/1

Democrats looked at the off-year elections, which sucked for Republicans 
in 2025, and think: if we can mobilize our base through propaganda and get 
them to believe they are on a crusade, we can swamp the polls through 
turnout. Democrats can get Jay Jones elected, which is a miracle, so 
"approval" in the general public is not the metric that matters. 


Rapid Response 47

@RapidResponse47
·
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NEW POLL:

??? 73% say coming here illegally is breaking the law.

??? 61% support deporting illegals.

??? 58% oppose defunding ICE.

??? 54% support ICE enforcing our immigration laws.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HAK2_axWMAAvkSB?format=jpg&name=240x240

Your average Democrat believes that the dark night of fascism is upon us. 
AWFLs are taking to TikTok proudly demonstrating that they are willing to 
sacrifice their own children to fight Bad Orange Man, so they surely will 
show up to the polls and drag every homeless person along with them. 

Will Republicans and especially moderates do the same? Perhaps, but more 
likely not. It is the asymmetry of passion they are trying to create, not 
overall public approval. 

It's not a bad strategy, especially for a midterm election, because they 
typically have much lower turnout than presidential years. 

Of course, some of this is due to sheer necessity. Trump is systematically 
tearing down their criminal syndicate, which has helped fund the endless 
NGOs, smurfing, and illegal voting. They simply must win, and they cannot 
depress their base, which is highly radicalized, by being even remotely 
reasonable. 

Do I predict this strategy will work?

I am out of the prediction game. The available data is just not good or 
reliable enough to predict who will show up at the polls, how much early-
voting cheating will occur, or any of the other variables that play into 
election outcomes. Elections are won on margins, not on what "most people" 
think. 

What I do know is that the Democratic base is hysterical, and Democrats 
want it that way. 


-- 
November 5, 2024 - Congratulations President Donald Trump.  We look 
forward to America being great again.

We live in a time where intelligent people are being silenced so that 
stupid people won't be offended.

Every day is an IQ test. Some pass, some, not so much.

Thank you for cleaning up the disasters of the 2008-2017, 2020-2024 Obama 
/ Biden / Harris fiascos, President Trump.

Under Barack Obama's leadership, the United States of America became the 
The World According To Garp.  Obama sold out heterosexuals for Hollywood 
queer liberal democrat donors.

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Polling Brutal for Democrats on Immigration Enforcement According A-Rated Pollster "Leroy N. Soetoro" <leroysoetoro@americans-first.com> - 2026-02-06 22:09 +0000

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